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3x5 maco method
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Author 3x5 maco method
galrani
White Belt
White Belt


Joined: 23 Oct 2011
Posts: 93

Post: #166   PostPosted: Fri Nov 30, 2012 9:49 am    Post subject: Re: Rolling over in 3x5 method Reply with quote

Hi Rajandar

Why are you complicating a simple matter?
Yesterday was the last day of Nvember series but December series still ahs one month to go. So surely december series will have a premium for the time. November series was closer to banknifty spot as it was going to expire yesterday.

75rs is the price you pay for riding the december series for one month. That is the price or investment you make. Am sure you did not expect to be able to get december future series at nearly the same price as November series.

Just buy the december series and enjoy the ride.

Cheers
Shiva


rajanadar wrote:
Hi Galrani sir,
Can you please help us understand the rolling over on expiry?

What I mean is, taking an example of BNF , the Nov 2012 series at 3.15 was around 11976 while the Dec series was around 12050+ that is a difference of about 75 points.
How do we handle this scenario? If we sell Nov and buy Dec, then we are losing alomost 75 to 100 points.

Any inputs will be helpful.

Thanks.
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rakpeds
White Belt
White Belt


Joined: 24 Jun 2012
Posts: 481

Post: #167   PostPosted: Fri Nov 30, 2012 11:14 am    Post subject: Re: Rolling over in 3x5 method Reply with quote

galrani wrote:
Hi Rajandar

Why are you complicating a simple matter?
Yesterday was the last day of Nvember series but December series still ahs one month to go. So surely december series will have a premium for the time. November series was closer to banknifty spot as it was going to expire yesterday.

75rs is the price you pay for riding the december series for one month. That is the price or investment you make. Am sure you did not expect to be able to get december future series at nearly the same price as November series.

Just buy the december series and enjoy the ride.

Cheers
Shiva


rajanadar wrote:
Hi Galrani sir,
Can you please help us understand the rolling over on expiry?

What I mean is, taking an example of BNF , the Nov 2012 series at 3.15 was around 11976 while the Dec series was around 12050+ that is a difference of about 75 points.
How do we handle this scenario? If we sell Nov and buy Dec, then we are losing alomost 75 to 100 points.

Any inputs will be helpful.

Thanks.


Hi Galrani sir,

Can you please upload the latest excel sheet with buy, sell profit loss signal with current month data? need to clear one doubt ..

thanks in advance Rolling Eyes
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galrani
White Belt
White Belt


Joined: 23 Oct 2011
Posts: 93

Post: #168   PostPosted: Fri Nov 30, 2012 11:48 am    Post subject: Re: Rolling over in 3x5 method Reply with quote

Will do it tomorrow or sunday as am busy today in markets and weekend here in Dubai

Cheers
Shiva

rakpeds wrote:
galrani wrote:
Hi Rajandar

Why are you complicating a simple matter?
Yesterday was the last day of Nvember series but December series still ahs one month to go. So surely december series will have a premium for the time. November series was closer to banknifty spot as it was going to expire yesterday.

75rs is the price you pay for riding the december series for one month. That is the price or investment you make. Am sure you did not expect to be able to get december future series at nearly the same price as November series.

Just buy the december series and enjoy the ride.

Cheers
Shiva


rajanadar wrote:
Hi Galrani sir,
Can you please help us understand the rolling over on expiry?

What I mean is, taking an example of BNF , the Nov 2012 series at 3.15 was around 11976 while the Dec series was around 12050+ that is a difference of about 75 points.
How do we handle this scenario? If we sell Nov and buy Dec, then we are losing alomost 75 to 100 points.

Any inputs will be helpful.

Thanks.


Hi Galrani sir,

Can you please upload the latest excel sheet with buy, sell profit loss signal with current month data? need to clear one doubt ..

thanks in advance Rolling Eyes
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rakpeds
White Belt
White Belt


Joined: 24 Jun 2012
Posts: 481

Post: #169   PostPosted: Fri Nov 30, 2012 11:59 am    Post subject: Re: Rolling over in 3x5 method Reply with quote

galrani wrote:
Will do it tomorrow or sunday as am busy today in markets and weekend here in Dubai

Cheers
Shiva

rakpeds wrote:
galrani wrote:
Hi Rajandar

Why are you complicating a simple matter?
Yesterday was the last day of Nvember series but December series still ahs one month to go. So surely december series will have a premium for the time. November series was closer to banknifty spot as it was going to expire yesterday.

75rs is the price you pay for riding the december series for one month. That is the price or investment you make. Am sure you did not expect to be able to get december future series at nearly the same price as November series.

Just buy the december series and enjoy the ride.

Cheers
Shiva


rajanadar wrote:
Hi Galrani sir,
Can you please help us understand the rolling over on expiry?

What I mean is, taking an example of BNF , the Nov 2012 series at 3.15 was around 11976 while the Dec series was around 12050+ that is a difference of about 75 points.
How do we handle this scenario? If we sell Nov and buy Dec, then we are losing alomost 75 to 100 points.

Any inputs will be helpful.

Thanks.


Hi Galrani sir,

Can you please upload the latest excel sheet with buy, sell profit loss signal with current month data? need to clear one doubt ..

thanks in advance Rolling Eyes

Thanks .. will be waiting for that... and BNF giving good points as of now Smile
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rajanadar
White Belt
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Joined: 31 Mar 2009
Posts: 20

Post: #170   PostPosted: Fri Nov 30, 2012 12:04 pm    Post subject: Re: Rolling over in 3x5 method Reply with quote

Thanks Galrani sir.

galrani wrote:
Hi Rajandar

Why are you complicating a simple matter?
Yesterday was the last day of Nvember series but December series still ahs one month to go. So surely december series will have a premium for the time. November series was closer to banknifty spot as it was going to expire yesterday.

75rs is the price you pay for riding the december series for one month. That is the price or investment you make. Am sure you did not expect to be able to get december future series at nearly the same price as November series.

Just buy the december series and enjoy the ride.

Cheers
Shiva


rajanadar wrote:
Hi Galrani sir,
Can you please help us understand the rolling over on expiry?

What I mean is, taking an example of BNF , the Nov 2012 series at 3.15 was around 11976 while the Dec series was around 12050+ that is a difference of about 75 points.
How do we handle this scenario? If we sell Nov and buy Dec, then we are losing alomost 75 to 100 points.

Any inputs will be helpful.

Thanks.
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galrani
White Belt
White Belt


Joined: 23 Oct 2011
Posts: 93

Post: #171   PostPosted: Fri Nov 30, 2012 1:56 pm    Post subject: Re: Rolling over in 3x5 method Reply with quote

Taking the excitement and anguish out of market moves will help you trade in a objective way.

3x5 system has only two rules
buy when 3x5 crosses over and sell when 5x3 crosses over

It has two secrets to success

trade all signals in anticipation of a super move and be in trade when a super move till you get a reversal signal

I hope many friends who had taken the small whipsaw losses have been able to revoer the losses by the 400 odd move in bank nifty

Now we have to just hold on tight and enjoy the ride

Enough of the rant (I was bored as nothing to do for last 3 days Razz )

Cheers
Shiva
rakpeds wrote:
galrani wrote:
Will do it tomorrow or sunday as am busy today in markets and weekend here in Dubai

Cheers
Shiva

rakpeds wrote:
galrani wrote:
Hi Rajandar

Why are you complicating a simple matter?
Yesterday was the last day of Nvember series but December series still ahs one month to go. So surely december series will have a premium for the time. November series was closer to banknifty spot as it was going to expire yesterday.

75rs is the price you pay for riding the december series for one month. That is the price or investment you make. Am sure you did not expect to be able to get december future series at nearly the same price as November series.

Just buy the december series and enjoy the ride.

Cheers
Shiva


rajanadar wrote:
Hi Galrani sir,
Can you please help us understand the rolling over on expiry?

What I mean is, taking an example of BNF , the Nov 2012 series at 3.15 was around 11976 while the Dec series was around 12050+ that is a difference of about 75 points.
How do we handle this scenario? If we sell Nov and buy Dec, then we are losing alomost 75 to 100 points.

Any inputs will be helpful.

Thanks.


Hi Galrani sir,

Can you please upload the latest excel sheet with buy, sell profit loss signal with current month data? need to clear one doubt ..

thanks in advance Rolling Eyes

Thanks .. will be waiting for that... and BNF giving good points as of now Smile
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rakpeds
White Belt
White Belt


Joined: 24 Jun 2012
Posts: 481

Post: #172   PostPosted: Fri Nov 30, 2012 3:23 pm    Post subject: Re: Rolling over in 3x5 method Reply with quote

galrani wrote:
Taking the excitement and anguish out of market moves will help you trade in a objective way.

3x5 system has only two rules
buy when 3x5 crosses over and sell when 5x3 crosses over

It has two secrets to success

trade all signals in anticipation of a super move and be in trade when a super move till you get a reversal signal

I hope many friends who had taken the small whipsaw losses have been able to revoer the losses by the 400 odd move in bank nifty

Now we have to just hold on tight and enjoy the ride

Enough of the rant (I was bored as nothing to do for last 3 days Razz )

Cheers
Shiva
rakpeds wrote:
galrani wrote:
Will do it tomorrow or sunday as am busy today in markets and weekend here in Dubai

Cheers
Shiva

rakpeds wrote:
galrani wrote:
Hi Rajandar

Why are you complicating a simple matter?
Yesterday was the last day of Nvember series but December series still ahs one month to go. So surely december series will have a premium for the time. November series was closer to banknifty spot as it was going to expire yesterday.

75rs is the price you pay for riding the december series for one month. That is the price or investment you make. Am sure you did not expect to be able to get december future series at nearly the same price as November series.

Just buy the december series and enjoy the ride.

Cheers
Shiva


rajanadar wrote:
Hi Galrani sir,
Can you please help us understand the rolling over on expiry?

What I mean is, taking an example of BNF , the Nov 2012 series at 3.15 was around 11976 while the Dec series was around 12050+ that is a difference of about 75 points.
How do we handle this scenario? If we sell Nov and buy Dec, then we are losing alomost 75 to 100 points.

Any inputs will be helpful.

Thanks.


Hi Galrani sir,

Can you please upload the latest excel sheet with buy, sell profit loss signal with current month data? need to clear one doubt ..

thanks in advance Rolling Eyes

Thanks .. will be waiting for that... and BNF giving good points as of now Smile

Laughing Laughing

yes it is giving good gains after some whips.
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rakpeds
White Belt
White Belt


Joined: 24 Jun 2012
Posts: 481

Post: #173   PostPosted: Sun Dec 02, 2012 12:59 am    Post subject: Re: Rolling over in 3x5 method Reply with quote

galrani wrote:
Will do it tomorrow or sunday as am busy today in markets and weekend here in Dubai

Cheers
Shiva

rakpeds wrote:
galrani wrote:
Hi Rajandar

Why are you complicating a simple matter?
Yesterday was the last day of Nvember series but December series still ahs one month to go. So surely december series will have a premium for the time. November series was closer to banknifty spot as it was going to expire yesterday.

75rs is the price you pay for riding the december series for one month. That is the price or investment you make. Am sure you did not expect to be able to get december future series at nearly the same price as November series.

Just buy the december series and enjoy the ride.

Cheers
Shiva


rajanadar wrote:
Hi Galrani sir,
Can you please help us understand the rolling over on expiry?

What I mean is, taking an example of BNF , the Nov 2012 series at 3.15 was around 11976 while the Dec series was around 12050+ that is a difference of about 75 points.
How do we handle this scenario? If we sell Nov and buy Dec, then we are losing alomost 75 to 100 points.

Any inputs will be helpful.

Thanks.


Hi Galrani sir,

Can you please upload the latest excel sheet with buy, sell profit loss signal with current month data? need to clear one doubt ..

thanks in advance Rolling Eyes


Hi sir... waiting for your file.. please post it whenever you are free...
happy weekend...
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chiragbvyas
White Belt
White Belt


Joined: 18 Feb 2010
Posts: 469

Post: #174   PostPosted: Sun Dec 02, 2012 9:12 am    Post subject: hi Reply with quote

Dear Galrani,

I read this thread and sounds nice. Using two narrowest ema's crossover for trading which generates buy or sell signals, good. I think any of us or you should try to get solution for whipsaw and need early signal to book maximum profit without waiting for opposite cross over. Bcoz what happens we are long or short and have good aount of profits but when opposite c/o happens major part of profit wipe out. So it is an area of interest where we should try to do something solid.

Can we use gap between two ema's after c/o to book profits ? I mean (ema 3 minus ema 5).

If it is done it would be the best early spoting trend finder system.

regards,

Chirag...
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selvanrajk
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Joined: 20 Dec 2011
Posts: 2

Post: #175   PostPosted: Sun Dec 02, 2012 2:16 pm    Post subject: sir where will we get 9.30am&3.15pm datafor last 1 mont Reply with quote

s.muthuswamy wrote:
kommall15 wrote:
sir,
how to identifty in live market at 9:30 or 3:15 that 3 ema is below 5 ema or up???
plz guide me.

thanks and regards,
mr. kommall

Go to Charts(Premium) and select the chart for Nifty( not Nifty-1m) .
It gives ema values then and there.
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galrani
White Belt
White Belt


Joined: 23 Oct 2011
Posts: 93

Post: #176   PostPosted: Sun Dec 02, 2012 9:00 pm    Post subject: Updated backtest till 30.11.2012 Reply with quote

The updated backtest is attached till 30.11.2012 for both Bank nifty and Nifty futures.

The system has given 74K Rs per bank nifty lot for 2012 till November.

For Nifty the returns is 31K for 2012

Cheers
Shiva



3x5 Backtest updated 30.11.2012.xlsx
 Description:
Updated backtest till 30.11.2012

Download
 Filename:  3x5 Backtest updated 30.11.2012.xlsx
 Filesize:  795.95 KB
 Downloaded:  691 Time(s)

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chiragbvyas
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Joined: 18 Feb 2010
Posts: 469

Post: #177   PostPosted: Wed Dec 05, 2012 7:26 pm    Post subject: hi Reply with quote

Dear friends,

Let us make it the simplest trade set up.

1.Make an excel sheet which contains EOD high low and close in columns A B and C.

2. Apply excel formulas where in column D calculate EMA 3 and in E EMA 5 plus in in column F calculate REVERSAL POINT.

3. Now if a trend is continue than wait for reversal and enter the established trend. Or wait for fresh trend.
4. Mostly on the day of cross over and after that some whipsaws take place.

There is a trick to get proper entry here.

After close above both the EMA's next day it should open gap up/down , if it happens then think that it is the day for entry.

if after gap opening (for long trade) prices start melting then previous day low or EMA or REVERSAL point which is lowest is our stop loss. A low above any of these value is confirming the up trend.

for short trade completely reverse.

If it doesn't happens then that crossover will prove false or may be reverse soon or will pass some time before starting a good long trend. I am Attaching an excel sheet where i have discussed all above points mentioned here. The script is bhartiartl spot prices..

Feed Backs are wel come..... as always.......

Regards,

Chirag......



ema cross over.xls
 Description:

Download
 Filename:  ema cross over.xls
 Filesize:  62.5 KB
 Downloaded:  687 Time(s)

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skd2012
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Joined: 03 Oct 2012
Posts: 948

Post: #178   PostPosted: Wed Dec 05, 2012 8:54 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Would it not taste one's patience. Just wondering! Some 6 moths stretches can show loss. 2ndly if traded with 50% of capital initially, then it can show 1/2 capital if started in wrong time. But long run it shows profit though.
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satishkadam
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Joined: 01 Apr 2010
Posts: 805

Post: #179   PostPosted: Thu Jan 17, 2013 8:59 pm    Post subject: Re: Updated backtest till 30.11.2012 Reply with quote

galrani wrote:
The updated backtest is attached till 30.11.2012 for both Bank nifty and Nifty futures.

The system has given 74K Rs per bank nifty lot for 2012 till November.

For Nifty the returns is 31K for 2012

Cheers
Shiva


Galrani,

Is there a way to avoid Intraday Whips loss. which is eating up 1/2 the profit made....

Thanks
Satish Kadam
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galrani
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Joined: 23 Oct 2011
Posts: 93

Post: #180   PostPosted: Fri Jan 18, 2013 9:54 pm    Post subject: Re: Updated backtest till 30.11.2012 Reply with quote

Intraday whipsaws are part of the game.

You cannot avoid losses in any trading strategy. You can only minimize the impact.

I agree the whipsaws are hurting in the past few months but waiting for this to give way to a good trend that will make up for these losses.

I am ok to trade my system as it is as I have enough conviction in it/

For others I have few suggestions to explore

Try using a filter like ADX or some Trend determining indicator that will help you in determining when a trend is existing and when the market is rangebound

Try using additional filter of 5 day high / low to widen your stops and thus your exits.

Remember these measures will make you avoid the whips but also will result in getting entries into giant trend later by one or two days. (in giant trends the first two days in Bank nifty will give nearly 500 points )

Its your call

Cheers
Shiva

satishkadam wrote:
galrani wrote:
The updated backtest is attached till 30.11.2012 for both Bank nifty and Nifty futures.

The system has given 74K Rs per bank nifty lot for 2012 till November.

For Nifty the returns is 31K for 2012

Cheers
Shiva


Galrani,

Is there a way to avoid Intraday Whips loss. which is eating up 1/2 the profit made....

Thanks
Satish Kadam
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