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a layman's approach to break out and break down
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Author a layman's approach to break out and break down
sumesh_sol
Brown Belt
Brown Belt


Joined: 06 Jun 2010
Posts: 2344

Post: #1351   PostPosted: Wed Jan 12, 2011 10:49 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

sumesh_sol wrote:
casper wrote:
waiting for 5 minutes

to close the current candle

will have to face HUGE loss now


Hi Casper,

HDFC is moving in this channel (on 60 tf).. I'm just trying to give another perspective, please use your judgement...



Don't you think it is making Flag pattern and you should reverse your position upon breaking the flag.. ?
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sherbaaz
Yellow Belt
Yellow Belt


Joined: 27 May 2009
Posts: 543

Post: #1352   PostPosted: Wed Jan 12, 2011 10:49 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

sumesh_sol wrote:
casper wrote:
waiting for 5 minutes

to close the current candle

will have to face HUGE loss now


Hi Casper,

HDFC is moving in this channel (on 60 tf).. I'm just trying to give another perspective, please use your judgement...



Hi,

this is bear flag break down below the lower TL would start further down slide keeping the depth of the bear flag as tgt from breakout point.


Regards,
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Ravi_S
Yellow Belt
Yellow Belt


Joined: 15 Jun 2009
Posts: 569

Post: #1353   PostPosted: Wed Jan 12, 2011 10:51 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Sherbaaz... Bingo... Better to exit on the break of the bottom trendline... Looks like a FLAG breakdown...

Regards
Ravi

sherbaaz wrote:
sumesh_sol wrote:
casper wrote:
waiting for 5 minutes

to close the current candle

will have to face HUGE loss now


Hi Casper,

HDFC is moving in this channel (on 60 tf).. I'm just trying to give another perspective, please use your judgement...



Hi,

this is bear flag break down below the lower TL would start further down slide keeping the depth of the bear flag as tgt from breakout point.


Regards,
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casper
Green Belt
Green Belt


Joined: 02 Oct 2010
Posts: 1315

Post: #1354   PostPosted: Wed Jan 12, 2011 10:51 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

sumesh_sol wrote:
sumesh_sol wrote:
casper wrote:
waiting for 5 minutes

to close the current candle

will have to face HUGE loss now


Hi Casper,

HDFC is moving in this channel (on 60 tf).. I'm just trying to give another perspective, please use your judgement...



Don't you think it is making Flag pattern and you should reverse your position upon breaking the flag.. ?



yes sumesh bhai

sorry was busy in a call so could not see ur msg, now if it breakes i will sell

u r right
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sumesh_sol
Brown Belt
Brown Belt


Joined: 06 Jun 2010
Posts: 2344

Post: #1355   PostPosted: Wed Jan 12, 2011 11:24 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

casper wrote:
sumesh_sol wrote:
sumesh_sol wrote:
casper wrote:
waiting for 5 minutes

to close the current candle

will have to face HUGE loss now


Hi Casper,

HDFC is moving in this channel (on 60 tf).. I'm just trying to give another perspective, please use your judgement...



Don't you think it is making Flag pattern and you should reverse your position upon breaking the flag.. ?



yes sumesh bhai

sorry was busy in a call so could not see ur msg, now if it breakes i will sell

u r right


642 & 633 are weekly & monthly supports.. Just for your info.. I'm sure u might have already seen that.. Good levels to book shorts(if u have reversed and now in short position)... 633 is also 200 sma on eod...
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casper
Green Belt
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Joined: 02 Oct 2010
Posts: 1315

Post: #1356   PostPosted: Wed Jan 12, 2011 11:28 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

yes sumesh bhai, i have seen it

i see a dt in 5 min tf where 650 is supporting so will sell at break down at 650 and will try to book 645



hdfc dt 5 min.png
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hdfc dt 5 min.png


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sumesh_sol
Brown Belt
Brown Belt


Joined: 06 Jun 2010
Posts: 2344

Post: #1357   PostPosted: Wed Jan 12, 2011 12:06 pm    Post subject: TATAMTRDVR Reply with quote

TATAMTRDVR
************
has been moving in tight range .. looks strong.. 750-755 is weekly pivot.. Above that.. it can fly...



TATAMTRDVR.png
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casper
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Joined: 02 Oct 2010
Posts: 1315

Post: #1358   PostPosted: Wed Jan 12, 2011 2:02 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

tata com flag

a break and sustain above 258 can take us to 262 levels

sl bleow wekkly + monthly piv of 256 and 257

came again after loosing, lets see whts next Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy



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ali522003
White Belt
White Belt


Joined: 03 Jul 2010
Posts: 217

Post: #1359   PostPosted: Wed Jan 12, 2011 2:52 pm    Post subject: Re: TATAMTRDVR Reply with quote

sumesh_sol wrote:
TATAMTRDVR
************
has been moving in tight range .. looks strong.. 750-755 is weekly pivot.. Above that.. it can fly...


nice call sumesh bhai
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chetan83
Brown Belt
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Joined: 19 Feb 2010
Posts: 2036

Post: #1360   PostPosted: Wed Jan 12, 2011 5:07 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Hi Sumesh/Casper,

Pls throw some light on Bank Nifty. Now today i was releaved to see ICICI at 1074, still hope whether it turn green. Pls share the levels for BnF.
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singh.ravee
Yellow Belt
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Joined: 12 Aug 2010
Posts: 678

Post: #1361   PostPosted: Wed Jan 12, 2011 7:20 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

chetan83 wrote:
Hi Sumesh/Casper,

Pls throw some light on Bank Nifty. Now today i was releaved to see ICICI at 1074, still hope whether it turn green. Pls share the levels for BnF.


casper bhai,
with your kind anticipated permission, I m replying on banknifty. Smile
In eod charts, today's trade has confirmed bullish harami hence its a positive signal. Since banknifty bounced from support level, its another point favouring upmove.

cmp= 11128; some resistance is around 11140, i think we may outcome this.
11500-11600 zone is going to be a resistance zone. If passes this zone then 11900 is possible.

Had i been at ur place i would have covered my long positon around this zone on confirmed bearish candle on 60 min tf. If banknifty manages to pass this zone then reenter around 11650 for 11900.

I leave my observation for any further comments.

Thanks and Regards

ravee
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casper
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Joined: 02 Oct 2010
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Post: #1362   PostPosted: Wed Jan 12, 2011 8:55 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

adding a few points ravee Very Happy

i am happy to see bank nifty above monthly support

i see a flag is forming, when it will break out of outer trend line, it will give us a solid move i think

the break out level should be around 11500 aprx and break out target can be more than thousand points

by the way, i am not recommending it Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy

its just a description of what i see in the chart



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sherbaaz
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Joined: 27 May 2009
Posts: 543

Post: #1363   PostPosted: Wed Jan 12, 2011 9:34 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

with your kind anticipated permission, I m replying on banknifty. Smile
In eod charts, today's trade has confirmed bullish harami hence its a positive signal. Since banknifty bounced from support level, its another point favouring upmove.


Hi,

Harami is one of the weakest signals/patterns in candlesticks.

Regards,
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casper
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Joined: 02 Oct 2010
Posts: 1315

Post: #1364   PostPosted: Wed Jan 12, 2011 9:40 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

sherbaaz wrote:
with your kind anticipated permission, I m replying on banknifty. Smile
In eod charts, today's trade has confirmed bullish harami hence its a positive signal. Since banknifty bounced from support level, its another point favouring upmove.


Hi,

Harami is one of the weakest signals/patterns in candlesticks.

Regards,


yes really weakest but this time it paid off
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singh.ravee
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Joined: 12 Aug 2010
Posts: 678

Post: #1365   PostPosted: Wed Jan 12, 2011 11:15 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

sherbaaz bhai,
thank u so much for ur comments. I really appreciate your simplicity and clarity on trading. Casper knows about it(hope u remem our sb conversation).
keep sharing with us all.
rgds
ravee
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