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a layman's approach to break out and break down
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Author a layman's approach to break out and break down
ravionlinek
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Post: #586   PostPosted: Fri Dec 03, 2010 11:14 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Casper just chek Ntpc last 5 days chart is there Head and Shoulders Top (Reversal)
pattern lookalike 182 is neck line............ Question
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casper
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Post: #587   PostPosted: Fri Dec 03, 2010 11:26 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

girishhu1 wrote:
girishhu1 wrote:
hello casperji,
i m enclosing chart of abg shipyard. if u could read the high tight flag pattern described in 'encyclopedia of chart patterns', you can c all the identification points in this chart also, except that the stock retraced upto 38% instead of 20% prescribed in the book.can u confirm and comment, pl
regards,
girish

hi casperji,
abg shipyard is in strong uptrend.i am holding call option of 460. target estimated are 550-600. it has easily overcome pivot at 439 and still moving up. after coming out of flag it had given a pullback from 450 to 382 levels.next week target can be achieved.the pattern is described in encyclopedia of chart patterns and similar pattern is under development in alok. kindly check and confirm
regards,
girish Arrow




yes girish bhai, u r right again Very Happy

its a bullish flag in eod chart of aloke textiles

the bo point will e around 29-30 and we can target 37-38 at least



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casper
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Post: #588   PostPosted: Fri Dec 03, 2010 11:31 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

ravionlinek wrote:
Casper just chek Ntpc last 5 days chart is there Head and Shoulders Top (Reversal)
pattern lookalike 182 is neck line............ Question


bullish eye hit ravi bhai clap2

a break below 180 will confirm the formation, but we have to be careful at the weekly pivot at 180, it will choke the downfall for sometime atleast

when it is also broken. u can add more shorts



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ravionlinek
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Post: #589   PostPosted: Fri Dec 03, 2010 11:57 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Thanxxxxx

will wait 4 it
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casper
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Post: #590   PostPosted: Fri Dec 03, 2010 12:02 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

casper wrote:
ravionlinek wrote:
Casper just chek Ntpc last 5 days chart is there Head and Shoulders Top (Reversal)
pattern lookalike 182 is neck line............ Question


bullish eye hit ravi bhai clap2

a break below 180 will confirm the formation, but we have to be careful at the weekly pivot at 180, it will choke the downfall for sometime atleast

when it is also broken. u can add more shorts


sorry made a mistake!!!

breaking below 182 will confirm the pattern but below 180 u can add more shorts
i wrote both number as 180,
sorry for confusion
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ravionlinek
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Post: #591   PostPosted: Fri Dec 03, 2010 12:17 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

casper wrote:
casper wrote:
ravionlinek wrote:
Casper just chek Ntpc last 5 days chart is there Head and Shoulders Top (Reversal)
pattern lookalike 182 is neck line............ Question


bullish eye hit ravi bhai clap2

a break below 180 will confirm the formation, but we have to be careful at the weekly pivot at 180, it will choke the downfall for sometime atleast

when it is also broken. u can add more shorts


sorry made a mistake!!!

breaking below 182 will confirm the pattern but below 180 u can add more shorts
i wrote both number as 180,
sorry for confusion

...................................................................................................
Its ok sir
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ragarwal
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Post: #592   PostPosted: Fri Dec 03, 2010 12:18 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

dear casper cn u tell me wat can b d possible trgets fr gspl in d near term.
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casper
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Post: #593   PostPosted: Fri Dec 03, 2010 12:30 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

ragarwal wrote:
dear casper cn u tell me wat can b d possible trgets fr gspl in d near term.



its forming a descending triangle in eod chart. price will oscillate between upper and lower tl for sometime now

then it may give a break down from 105 level, roughly target will be around 80



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vrushabh123
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Post: #594   PostPosted: Fri Dec 03, 2010 1:54 pm    Post subject: hii casper.. Reply with quote

i just saw ur post for ABG n ALOK...its a diff type of flad na..can u pl explain abt it also how to calculate tgt for it.. In EOD for ALOK its a small flag formed but every candle higher than the previous..u to know abt it..n u talked abt some encyclopedia...is it on icharts or some other site..pl tell wanna read too..it will be of great help...

THANKS...
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vrushabh123
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Post: #595   PostPosted: Fri Dec 03, 2010 3:34 pm    Post subject: hii Reply with quote

and pl see EOD of orient abrassive is it S.T a perfect and BO has occured at 37..tgt for which comes 49..hope i m right..
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casper
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Post: #596   PostPosted: Fri Dec 03, 2010 4:13 pm    Post subject: Re: hii casper.. Reply with quote

vrushabh123 wrote:
i just saw ur post for ABG n ALOK...its a diff type of flad na..can u pl explain abt it also how to calculate tgt for it.. In EOD for ALOK its a small flag formed but every candle higher than the previous..u to know abt it..n u talked abt some encyclopedia...is it on icharts or some other site..pl tell wanna read too..it will be of great help...

THANKS...


1. for calculating a flag or pennant target u have to draw a line from the top part of the pattern up to the immediate resistance/support it has broken,
its known a s flag pole

then u have to project the flag pole form break out or break down point
that should be ur rough target. plz see the aloke chart i posted for girish bhaiya for an example

2.the encyclopedia we are talking abot is a book written by thomas bulkowasky . he is an international "guru" of pattern trading,
his personal home page is http://www.thepatternsite.com/
his book is available for free(!!!!!!!) in various sites which i cant not name here Very Happy
in fact i wrote about his site only after st sir's permission in which he wrote to vishy tht pattern site link is okey. or else i wont dare to post this link also Very Happy

anyway, his site also contains various informations about the patterns and if u want to get a free copy(????!!!!) of his book then just search it in google
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casper
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Post: #597   PostPosted: Fri Dec 03, 2010 4:24 pm    Post subject: Re: hii Reply with quote

vrushabh123 wrote:
and pl see EOD of orient abrassive is it S.T a perfect and BO has occured at 37..tgt for which comes 49..hope i m right..


yes u r right, but its more of a pennant than a sym. tri as it has formed over a smaller time, but personally i dont like this chart, seems to me too much volatile
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girishhu1
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Post: #598   PostPosted: Fri Dec 03, 2010 7:19 pm    Post subject: Re: hii casper.. Reply with quote

casper wrote:
vrushabh123 wrote:
i just saw ur post for ABG n ALOK...its a diff type of flad na..can u pl explain abt it also how to calculate tgt for it.. In EOD for ALOK its a small flag formed but every candle higher than the previous..u to know abt it..n u talked abt some encyclopedia...is it on icharts or some other site..pl tell wanna read too..it will be of great help...

THANKS...


1. for calculating a flag or pennant target u have to draw a line from the top part of the pattern up to the immediate resistance/support it has broken,
its known a s flag pole

then u have to project the flag pole form break out or break down point
that should be ur rough target. plz see the aloke chart i posted for girish bhaiya for an example

2.the encyclopedia we are talking abot is a book written by thomas bulkowasky . he is an international "guru" of pattern trading,
his personal home page is http://www.thepatternsite.com/
his book is available for free(!!!!!!!) in various sites which i cant not name here Very Happy
in fact i wrote about his site only after st sir's permission in which he wrote to vishy tht pattern site link is okey. or else i wont dare to post this link also Very Happy

anyway, his site also contains various informations about the patterns and if u want to get a free copy(????!!!!) of his book then just search it in google

hi casperji/vrushabh,
just a little additional info.
htf discovered by o;neil.
first condition for this pattern is stock should have moved up by 100% in last months.
casperji, pl note the rule for fixing targets.
measure the rise leading to the flag and project half of it upward, using the flag low.
this is one of the most reliable patterns having failure rate less than 10% and avg rise about > 69%. and rated no 1among all patterns by bulkowsky.
other details can be found on sites.
regards,
girish
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sumesh_sol
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Post: #599   PostPosted: Fri Dec 03, 2010 8:39 pm    Post subject: GPIL : DAILY.... Reply with quote

Here is a Ascending pattern in GPIL (daily chart)... Today it saw huge volume, so chances are it may blast on monday if breaks out (above 195)

RSI Buy mode, MACD still not in buy zone but turning up !!

Target could be 210..may be in 2-3 days depending on mkt momentum...


-Sumesh



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spurt
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Post: #600   PostPosted: Fri Dec 03, 2010 9:07 pm    Post subject: GPIL Target and Dena Bank Reply with quote

Hi Sumesh,

Thanks ! How did you calculate the target for 2-3 of 210 can you please help explain thanks.

Can you check the Dena Bank,, I believe its showing a downtrend.
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