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a layman's approach to break out and break down
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Author a layman's approach to break out and break down
vishytns
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Joined: 26 Nov 2009
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Post: #886   PostPosted: Fri Dec 24, 2010 8:44 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Casper/Sumesh,
Check wipro, DT is information. Please check the chart and comment.
My observation
1. You have 34 ema in 60tf for support, just below the break down line. If 34 ema is broken hourly, then we could see levels of weekly pivot (LOC) = 462, which is actually just above target of break down line
2. Stop loss would be hourly close above Weekly S1 (484).

Casper,
Your observation on BB.
Vishy



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casper
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Post: #887   PostPosted: Fri Dec 24, 2010 9:18 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

hi vishy,

thanks, u saved my day. i could not find any set up so far. but now with ur findings, it seems that we dont need to find any further

LT= right now weekly r1 is supporting is at 1921. we can sell below this level and with a intra target of 1870.1835, as per eod chart,1915 is the lower bb, so we need to be watchful here

WIPRO= yes ur observation is totally right according to me

ACC= again u r right anna. nothing to say abt bb, it is almost at higher bb, in case of bd, bb will not be a problem


BPCL= intead of 680, wait for a break below 676



overall, i am still not satisfied, bcoz the DT of NIFTY sumesh already posted is still valid and the problems of a free fall i mean supports to that DT what i posted, that is also valid, seems to me that another 3rd class day on its way


what a 3rd class charts we have. all ascending triangles got bearish macd and all descending triangle got strong supports. i think we need immediate breaks, or else it will be better to watch you tube than trade in intra day
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sumesh_sol
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Post: #888   PostPosted: Fri Dec 24, 2010 9:41 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

casper wrote:
deepakms wrote:
hi Sumesh/Casper,

pls give ur views of IBREALEST ......on 60Tf looks bearish ,but a BUY on macd on the daily.


thnx/rgds
deeppak


hiii deepak.

check the macd histogram in eod. its buy in eod but histogram is very thin, it looks like with another red candle, this macd will turn to be bearish one. so that does not matter much.

again, around 120. we got weekly r2, it is also possible to go down up to 120 then getting the support, start moving up..

again. the stock is also at the lower level of bolinger band, hence it will get solid support around this zone and wont go down much

besides.rsi is making divergence, though not very noticeable, still some divergence, bullish divergence is here

i am not sure if it qualifies as NVK, but due to that divergence. we can expect some upward movements


over all, the chance of going up is seems to be higher, now if this stock qualifies as nvk in eod, then it will surely go up

and among us,only sumesh can confirm whether this is nvk or not


sumesh ji, Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy , brother, plz shed some light here


Hi Deepak,

Casper has explained perfectly about IBReal...

It is surely an NVk and looks like hitting 150 & 160 in coming days...
You can enter long bindaas with a stoploss of say around 5 rs... (LTP 128.5), so it is a very good risk/reward ratio trade... A close above 137 will add to its strength..

-Sumesh
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singh.ravee
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Post: #889   PostPosted: Sat Dec 25, 2010 10:04 am    Post subject: tata motors Reply with quote

Hello casper,
I wish u and all users of icharts a merry XMas.
I am attaching daily chart of Tata Motors
1. I could see an ascending triangle in formation.
2. As the triangle is progressing the volumes are diminishing.
3. The sell signal on MACD signifies current down move.
4. It is expected that this current down move will touch Upward slanting trendline around 1280. If it bounce from this level, it will be another confirmaiton of ascending triangle.
5. If current downtrend finds support around these level of 1280 on intraday basis then one can go long from these levels for an initial target of 1350+.

Kindly share your perspective on the same.

Thanks and Regards

Ravee



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casper
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Post: #890   PostPosted: Sat Dec 25, 2010 11:21 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

hiii raveee. merry christmas to u and to all my brothers/sisters of i chart


ur interpretation of tata motors is absolutely right. i am adding just three points.

1.during every pattern formation, we will see the volume is decreasing. infact this is one of the basic criteria of pattern validation. due to indecision among the players it happens. we call it resting phase or consolidation. u can also refer it as accumulation phase, as at this moment only informed buyers or strong hands will accumulate this stock. u and me will wait for a bo, as our holding strength and money management capacity is much much lower than those peoples

2 the slopping trend line is supported by 34 ema. thats why the chance of providing support is much greater than any ordinary sloping trend line

so we can surely expect that price will get considerable support from here and will go to our 1st target 1350, and then will provide the bo

3.finally, for players like us, i would say buying here is not very advisable, let it take support at 34ema or slopping tl (even intra day support will also do) and with a formation of green candle (even a 60 min green candle with added volume) , we can buy it for 1350
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pinak_k
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Post: #891   PostPosted: Sat Dec 25, 2010 4:31 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Please do see Orchid Chemicals. Yesterday's close indicates it may be ready to go up.

Pinak
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casper
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Post: #892   PostPosted: Sat Dec 25, 2010 6:13 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

pinak_k wrote:
Please do see Orchid Chemicals. Yesterday's close indicates it may be ready to go up.

Pinak


hi pinak, according to me, it has already broken out but without the increment in volume,(that is a concern)

now if u r already holding this, watch out the share around 397 level, being monthly pivot can can resist the movement

if u r yet to take a position here, plz watch if the stock sustains above this level for at least 1 hr, i repeat, at least 1hr, then u can buy with a green candle targeting 320 in coming days
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mrvishal_g
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Post: #893   PostPosted: Sat Dec 25, 2010 9:00 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Hi Casper,Sumesh, Vishy, Girish and all friends and iChart team
I wish to all a Merry Chrismas, may God give you everything, you desire. Laughing
Casper
Please comment on:
Uflex 201…..i am seeing a Flag (bullish).Vol is also decreasing according to pattern formation and was lowest on Friday. MACD is bullish while RSI is flat. BO can come or Monday or Tuesday positively. Target can be 240-250 in coming days. Resistance may be a 218-220 level due to EMA(34 & 89)after that 250 will be there easily and fast.

Siemens 809.5………..AT BO . Also on Friday it break 34 EMA , 89 EMA and BB. No major resistance upto 840. MACD and RSI are bullish.

AEOM Vishal
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aromal
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Post: #894   PostPosted: Sun Dec 26, 2010 7:15 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

mrvishal_g wrote:
Hi Casper,Sumesh, Vishy, Girish and all friends and iChart team
I wish to all a Merry Chrismas, may God give you everything, you desire. Laughing
Casper
Please comment on:
Uflex 201…..i am seeing a Flag (bullish).Vol is also decreasing according to pattern formation and was lowest on Friday. MACD is bullish while RSI is flat. BO can come or Monday or Tuesday positively. Target can be 240-250 in coming days. Resistance may be a 218-220 level due to EMA(34 & 89)after that 250 will be there easily and fast.

Siemens 809.5………..AT BO . Also on Friday it break 34 EMA , 89 EMA and BB. No major resistance upto 840. MACD and RSI are bullish.

AEOM Vishal
star breakout above 440????? artist


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casper
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Post: #895   PostPosted: Sun Dec 26, 2010 9:24 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

hii vishal and aromal. good morning ,

here is the results Very Happy

1. SIEMENS:- already broken out, target 839,850.860

2.star:- it will be broken out above 440, and target could be 458.475

3.ulex:- r u talking about this flag vishal? its not very composed one. let us wait for a break out to take a position here



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aromal
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Post: #896   PostPosted: Sun Dec 26, 2010 11:47 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

casper wrote:
hii vishal and aromal. good morning ,

here is the results Very Happy

1. SIEMENS:- already broken out, target 839,850.860

2.star:- it will be broken out above 440, and target could be 458.475

3.ulex:- r u talking about this flag vishal? its not very composed one. let us wait for a break out to take a position here
AEOM thanks casper ji
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mrvishal_g
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Post: #897   PostPosted: Sun Dec 26, 2010 5:46 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

aromal wrote:
casper wrote:
hii vishal and aromal. good morning ,

here is the results Very Happy

1. SIEMENS:- already broken out, target 839,850.860

2.star:- it will be broken out above 440, and target could be 458.475

3.ulex:- r u talking about this flag vishal? its not very composed one. let us wait for a break out to take a position here
AEOM thanks casper ji

I am talkin abt the small flag on EOD. Chart attach for reffence.
Vishal



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casper
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Post: #898   PostPosted: Sun Dec 26, 2010 6:01 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

hi vishal, i think it is forming, will take some time to form properly, however just above the possible bo level, both the emas are present, over all does not look very promising

honestly,cant show a proper reason but the set up looks so weak to me
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sherbaaz
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Post: #899   PostPosted: Sun Dec 26, 2010 6:13 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

mrvishal_g wrote:
aromal wrote:
casper wrote:
hii vishal and aromal. good morning ,

here is the results Very Happy

1. SIEMENS:- already broken out, target 839,850.860

2.star:- it will be broken out above 440, and target could be 458.475

3.ulex:- r u talking about this flag vishal? its not very composed one. let us wait for a break out to take a position here
AEOM thanks casper ji

I am talkin abt the small flag on EOD. Chart attach for reffence.
Vishal



Hi,

The slope of the flag is the problem it should be more downward sloped.

regards,
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casper
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Post: #900   PostPosted: Sun Dec 26, 2010 6:21 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Very Happy right sherbaz bhai

vishal, instead of uflex, try balramchin

at, already broken out, i expect it to touch 90-92 within a couple of days.



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