| View previous topic :: View next topic |
| Author |
AJAYHKAUL blog |
pkholla
Black Belt
Joined: 04 Nov 2010
Posts: 2890
|
Post: #286  Posted: Mon Feb 27, 2012 8:38 pm Post subject: |
 |
|
Vinay/ AjayKaul: There is war fever again in US and this time Iran is the bunny rabbit.
Something from archives: 6 months before George Bush Jr's Iraq war, The Economist magazine, UK, analyzed Crude Oil prices and found that futures for April 1 - 15 showed very high premiums forming a plateau! They rightly guessed that this included hazard premium during war. Almost to the day, George Bush Jr's Iraq war lasted Apr 1-15 !!! Shows the extremely good intelligence network of oil cos. and the extremely good analytic skills of Economist team. We expect similar gems from resident experts Vinay and Ajay! Rgds Prakash Holla |
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
|
|
|
vinay28
Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748
|
| Post: #287 Posted: Mon Feb 27, 2012 8:58 pm Post subject: |
|
|
I am no expert holla. But you are right about your post, except that I feel oil price is STILL not discounting war premium (risk) but only insurance premium (risk).
US has already declared that iran is not developing nuclear weapon. That means war is still some time away, if at all. May be after july/aug.
Last edited by vinay28 on Tue Feb 28, 2012 8:25 am; edited 1 time in total |
|
| Back to top |
|
|
ajayhkaul
Yellow Belt
Joined: 18 Jun 2009
Posts: 866
|
| Post: #288 Posted: Tue Feb 28, 2012 3:08 am Post subject: |
|
|
| pkholla wrote: | Vinay/ AjayKaul: There is war fever again in US and this time Iran is the bunny rabbit.
Something from archives: 6 months before George Bush Jr's Iraq war, The Economist magazine, UK, analyzed Crude Oil prices and found that futures for April 1 - 15 showed very high premiums forming a plateau! They rightly guessed that this included hazard premium during war. Almost to the day, George Bush Jr's Iraq war lasted Apr 1-15 !!! Shows the extremely good intelligence network of oil cos. and the extremely good analytic skills of Economist team. We expect similar gems from resident experts Vinay and Ajay! Rgds Prakash Holla |
We try to do our best .... and we look forward to your valuable inputs too , pkholla |
|
| Back to top |
|
|
vinay28
Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748
|
| Post: #289 Posted: Tue Feb 28, 2012 8:27 am Post subject: |
|
|
| There was a slip in my earlier post. I have now corrected it. |
|
| Back to top |
|
|
ajayhkaul
Yellow Belt
Joined: 18 Jun 2009
Posts: 866
|
| Post: #290 Posted: Tue Feb 28, 2012 11:01 am Post subject: |
|
|
| PHONEIX wrote: | | AJAYHKAUL wrote: | Guys , but don't be surprised if they come back for seconds....  |
You are Fantabolous, I was reading your blog, Keep it up. |
They are back for second helping ! enjoy the ride . |
|
| Back to top |
|
|
psalm
Black Belt
Joined: 12 Nov 2011
Posts: 5368
|
| Post: #291 Posted: Tue Feb 28, 2012 11:23 am Post subject: |
|
|
| AJAYHKAUL wrote: | | PHONEIX wrote: | | AJAYHKAUL wrote: | | Guys , but don't be surprised if they come back for seconds.... |
You are Fantabolous, I was reading your blog, Keep it up. |
They are back for second helping ! enjoy the ride . |
Yup...look like that way, Ajay....I was expecting the market to close around 5220 levels by tomorrow (month end)....the probability of that event appears low now.....though cant rule out... |
|
| Back to top |
|
|
vinay28
Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748
|
| Post: #292 Posted: Tue Feb 28, 2012 11:32 am Post subject: |
|
|
| vatsa, your wish may be fulfilled! |
|
| Back to top |
|
|
psalm
Black Belt
Joined: 12 Nov 2011
Posts: 5368
|
| Post: #293 Posted: Tue Feb 28, 2012 11:34 am Post subject: |
|
|
| vinay28 wrote: | | vatsa, your wish may be fulfilled! |
 |
|
| Back to top |
|
|
vinay28
Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748
|
| Post: #294 Posted: Tue Feb 28, 2012 1:05 pm Post subject: |
|
|
| obama says oil prices are going up due to speculative trading. will he ban it like he banned f&o trading in 2008? |
|
| Back to top |
|
|
ajayhkaul
Yellow Belt
Joined: 18 Jun 2009
Posts: 866
|
| Post: #295 Posted: Tue Feb 28, 2012 1:20 pm Post subject: |
|
|
Yup...look like that way, Ajay....I was expecting the market to close around 5220 levels by tomorrow (month end)....the probability of that event appears low now.....though cant rule out...
what is this about month end , psalm? |
|
| Back to top |
|
|
ajayhkaul
Yellow Belt
Joined: 18 Jun 2009
Posts: 866
|
| Post: #296 Posted: Tue Feb 28, 2012 1:21 pm Post subject: |
|
|
Yup...look like that way, Ajay....I was expecting the market to close around 5220 levels by tomorrow (month end)....the probability of that event appears low now.....though cant rule out...
what is this about month end specifically, psalm? |
|
| Back to top |
|
|
psalm
Black Belt
Joined: 12 Nov 2011
Posts: 5368
|
| Post: #297 Posted: Tue Feb 28, 2012 1:47 pm Post subject: |
|
|
| AJAYHKAUL wrote: | Yup...look like that way, Ajay....I was expecting the market to close around 5220 levels by tomorrow (month end)....the probability of that event appears low now.....though cant rule out...
what is this about month end specifically, psalm? |
I was just speculating about the month end adjustments...from the key players.......technical..... |
|
| Back to top |
|
|
vinay28
Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748
|
| Post: #298 Posted: Tue Feb 28, 2012 2:02 pm Post subject: |
|
|
| important day tmrw from "A" point of view |
|
| Back to top |
|
|
ajayhkaul
Yellow Belt
Joined: 18 Jun 2009
Posts: 866
|
| Post: #299 Posted: Tue Feb 28, 2012 2:29 pm Post subject: |
|
|
They broke the 5400 level of my picture of the 'W'.
We need a few closes above 5400 so lets see how much force comes in now.
Yesterdays candle has been pierced already and looks like will remain that way till EOD.
The IPOs are surely happening and the markets have to remain conducive for the retail segment ...finally retail has to be left holding the baby( babies?!) |
|
| Back to top |
|
|
ajayhkaul
Yellow Belt
Joined: 18 Jun 2009
Posts: 866
|
| Post: #300 Posted: Wed Feb 29, 2012 9:20 am Post subject: |
|
|
| AJAYHKAUL wrote: | They broke the 5400 level of my picture of the 'W'.
We need a few closes above 5400 so lets see how much force comes in now.
Yesterdays candle has been pierced already and looks like will remain that way till EOD.
The IPOs are surely happening and the markets have to remain conducive for the retail segment ...finally retail has to be left holding the baby( babies?!) |
Looks like the bulldozers are back.. early morning!
Is this run going to be a blow off top ? |
|
| Back to top |
|
|
|
FAQ
Search
Memberlist
Usergroups
Register
Profile
Log in to check your private messages
Log in
