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Analysing NF using iCharts levels - Aug 2011 |
guru.july White Belt
Joined: 13 Jul 2010 Posts: 82
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Post: #106 Posted: Thu Aug 18, 2011 11:44 am Post subject: |
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SwingTrader wrote: | S3 hit....it is important level. If it holds we can see a move up to S1 where there will be stiff resistance (BEAR-S1 key sup/res band). Below S3....S4 is important as previous sharp down move on 09.08.2011 ended around there. Below S4 we have serious trouble |
ST, I can see a divergence here with price down and rsi and stoch up. From here it's a up move. |
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SwingTrader Site Admin
Joined: 11 Aug 2006 Posts: 2903 Location: Hyderabad, India
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Post: #107 Posted: Thu Aug 18, 2011 11:51 am Post subject: |
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guru.july wrote: | SwingTrader wrote: | S3 hit....it is important level. If it holds we can see a move up to S1 where there will be stiff resistance (BEAR-S1 key sup/res band). Below S3....S4 is important as previous sharp down move on 09.08.2011 ended around there. Below S4 we have serious trouble |
ST, I can see a divergence here with price down and rsi and stoch up. From here it's a up move. |
It is possible. As I said S3 is important level and NF is unable to break it cleanly at the moment....an up move may be possible now. A confirmation could be a close above the recent important swing high of 5011.70 (important in terms of short-term). A close above S2 will make it very clear. Above S2 we can see S1 & BEAR between which we have serious resistance.
Let us see.... _________________ Srikanth Kurdukar
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SwingTrader Site Admin
Joined: 11 Aug 2006 Posts: 2903 Location: Hyderabad, India
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Post: #108 Posted: Thu Aug 18, 2011 12:02 pm Post subject: |
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BTW don't go long based on divergence without confirmation by price itself. Divergence is valid only on confirmation by price. At the moment the trend is down...a reversal may be possible only on confirmation by a break above a recent swing high. If S3 breaks we may see S4 quickly. _________________ Srikanth Kurdukar
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #109 Posted: Thu Aug 18, 2011 12:02 pm Post subject: |
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Dear ST
You mentioned "close above". Is it not enough for it to cross above 5011.60 and S2 for intraday view? |
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SwingTrader Site Admin
Joined: 11 Aug 2006 Posts: 2903 Location: Hyderabad, India
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Post: #110 Posted: Thu Aug 18, 2011 12:04 pm Post subject: |
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vinay28 wrote: | Dear ST
You mentioned "close above". Is it not enough for it to cross above 5011.60 and S2 for intraday view? |
I said "close" above to avoid false/spike moves. It is a just my preference. _________________ Srikanth Kurdukar
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guru.july White Belt
Joined: 13 Jul 2010 Posts: 82
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Post: #111 Posted: Thu Aug 18, 2011 12:07 pm Post subject: |
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It just demolished S3.. |
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SwingTrader Site Admin
Joined: 11 Aug 2006 Posts: 2903 Location: Hyderabad, India
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Post: #112 Posted: Thu Aug 18, 2011 1:02 pm Post subject: |
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If NF breaks above 4997.45 (a short-term swing high) then we may test S2 (until S2 we have some resistance). If we manage to clear S2 we may quickly see S1 & BEAR where there is major resistance. Do note that if one takes a long trade above 4997.45 the SL is a bit far (below the recent low - 4967). Below 4967 and mainly S4 we have major trouble. _________________ Srikanth Kurdukar
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SwingTrader Site Admin
Joined: 11 Aug 2006 Posts: 2903 Location: Hyderabad, India
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Post: #113 Posted: Fri Aug 19, 2011 9:31 am Post subject: |
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NF at R3 which is an important level. If we are to reverse then it can be from here....so watch the price action here. If R3 does not stop the fall then obviously more down... _________________ Srikanth Kurdukar
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #114 Posted: Fri Aug 19, 2011 9:35 am Post subject: |
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R3 is 5018? |
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guru.july White Belt
Joined: 13 Jul 2010 Posts: 82
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Post: #115 Posted: Fri Aug 19, 2011 9:37 am Post subject: |
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Should be S3... |
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guru.july White Belt
Joined: 13 Jul 2010 Posts: 82
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Post: #116 Posted: Fri Aug 19, 2011 9:43 am Post subject: |
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Hi ST.. NF is between S2 and S3.. Please advice |
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SwingTrader Site Admin
Joined: 11 Aug 2006 Posts: 2903 Location: Hyderabad, India
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Post: #117 Posted: Fri Aug 19, 2011 9:44 am Post subject: |
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SwingTrader wrote: | NF at R3 which is an important level. If we are to reverse then it can be from here....so watch the price action here. If R3 does not stop the fall then obviously more down... |
Sorry....I mean S3 - which is 4859 (not R3). _________________ Srikanth Kurdukar
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SwingTrader Site Admin
Joined: 11 Aug 2006 Posts: 2903 Location: Hyderabad, India
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Post: #118 Posted: Fri Aug 19, 2011 9:47 am Post subject: |
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Watch price action around S2...if NF clears S2 and goes above it then we may see BEAR-S1 range. _________________ Srikanth Kurdukar
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SwingTrader Site Admin
Joined: 11 Aug 2006 Posts: 2903 Location: Hyderabad, India
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Post: #119 Posted: Fri Aug 19, 2011 9:49 am Post subject: |
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A reversal down from S2 may take us below S3....Watch the price action around EMA 13 on 5 mins and S2....it will give clues to near term direction. _________________ Srikanth Kurdukar
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SwingTrader Site Admin
Joined: 11 Aug 2006 Posts: 2903 Location: Hyderabad, India
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Post: #120 Posted: Fri Aug 19, 2011 9:56 am Post subject: |
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The 9:50 bar high 4890.85 is a short-term swing high. If NF breaks above this and also clears EMA 13 we could see an up move soon. S1 would be the near-term target, later probably BEAR. BEAR-S1 will provide stiff resistance in case of any up move. _________________ Srikanth Kurdukar
@SwingTrader |
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