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Breakout/ Breakdown Trades
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Author Breakout/ Breakdown Trades
chrome
Yellow Belt
Yellow Belt


Joined: 28 Dec 2009
Posts: 645

Post: #721   PostPosted: Sat Nov 03, 2012 2:06 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Crude Oil: 85$ support broken yesterday and closed below it. Worrying factor here..Inverse H/S pattern clearly visible which looks to break till $78 as 1st target. (EOD daily chart attached)

In MCX : 4500 is the very long term channel support and break below this will lead to panic sell in crude oil, however, it is oversold at CMP around 4600 and may give a spike bounce back. (Weekly and daily charts attached)

PS : Crude break-down will help equity markets to gain.
rgds



Crude EOD in dollar.png
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crude weekly since 2009 lows.png
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crude historical.jpg
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Rahulsharmaat
Black Belt
Black Belt


Joined: 04 Nov 2009
Posts: 2766

Post: #722   PostPosted: Sat Nov 03, 2012 2:13 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Isnt it H&S-- in stead of Inverse H&S

and if we connect 83.60 area to these day low--- thats neck line--

height is 16 points almost--- so 68 should be target
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chrome
Yellow Belt
Yellow Belt


Joined: 28 Dec 2009
Posts: 645

Post: #723   PostPosted: Sat Nov 03, 2012 2:29 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

yes this is h&s...my mistake !!!!


Rahulsharmaat wrote:
Isnt it H&S-- in stead of Inverse H&S

and if we connect 83.60 area to these day low--- thats neck line--

height is 16 points almost--- so 68 should be target
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NittinP
White Belt
White Belt


Joined: 23 Sep 2012
Posts: 48

Post: #724   PostPosted: Sat Nov 03, 2012 2:52 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Hi Chrome/RS,

Will it have any effect/impact on base metals??

Is there any relation of price movement of Crude oil that too with base metals including silver??

Any thought..

Thanks and regards,

NP
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Rahulsharmaat
Black Belt
Black Belt


Joined: 04 Nov 2009
Posts: 2766

Post: #725   PostPosted: Sat Nov 03, 2012 3:25 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

For me all this is due to next week impact of US election---

Bulls are killed almost--

On thrusday-- Silver and gold both broke 10 day trading range on higher side-- giving indication of a rally-- and people who were trapped on higher levels-- averaged -- and this sudden fall have killed them---

I was also holding Silver from 61700--- and gold from 32000 almost
had to exit yesterday at 59500-- and 31900----

so what i feel is -- If Obama comes-- these may see more fall--- as hope of further recovery hope---


On weekley chart-- gold from 1550--till 1800--in last 5 months--corrected 50%-- support lies around friday low--- if breaks can see 1630--1610

silver may see 56--55 area once again---
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vinay28
Black Belt
Black Belt


Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748

Post: #726   PostPosted: Sat Nov 03, 2012 9:27 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

as per my feeling, buy gold if obama wins
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chrome
Yellow Belt
Yellow Belt


Joined: 28 Dec 2009
Posts: 645

Post: #727   PostPosted: Wed Nov 07, 2012 9:41 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

as projected, mcx crude oil spiked from 4600 levels till 4830 and then its back to near 4600 today...

now breakdown below 4600 will be a decisive breakdown for crude oil..

rgds


chrome wrote:
Crude Oil: 85$ support broken yesterday and closed below it. Worrying factor here..Inverse H/S pattern clearly visible which looks to break till $78 as 1st target. (EOD daily chart attached)

In MCX : 4500 is the very long term channel support and break below this will lead to panic sell in crude oil, however, it is oversold at CMP around 4600 and may give a spike bounce back. (Weekly and daily charts attached)

PS : Crude break-down will help equity markets to gain.
rgds
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umesh1
Brown Belt
Brown Belt


Joined: 24 Nov 2008
Posts: 1974

Post: #728   PostPosted: Thu Nov 08, 2012 10:15 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

chrome wrote:
as projected, mcx crude oil spiked from 4600 levels till 4830 and then its back to near 4600 today...

now breakdown below 4600 will be a decisive breakdown for crude oil..

rgds


chrome wrote:
Crude Oil: 85$ support broken yesterday and closed below it. Worrying factor here..Inverse H/S pattern clearly visible which looks to break till $78 as 1st target. (EOD daily chart attached)

In MCX : 4500 is the very long term channel support and break below this will lead to panic sell in crude oil, however, it is oversold at CMP around 4600 and may give a spike bounce back. (Weekly and daily charts attached)

PS : Crude break-down will help equity markets to gain.
rgds

Chrome
I repeat Keep it up with your valuable inputs
Cheers
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prst
White Belt
White Belt


Joined: 24 Sep 2011
Posts: 87

Post: #729   PostPosted: Sat Nov 10, 2012 9:11 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

is it a valid breakout on idea daily charts?
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chrome
Yellow Belt
Yellow Belt


Joined: 28 Dec 2009
Posts: 645

Post: #730   PostPosted: Sat Nov 10, 2012 9:32 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

till a closing below 88...it is..

prst wrote:
is it a valid breakout on idea daily charts?
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chrome
Yellow Belt
Yellow Belt


Joined: 28 Dec 2009
Posts: 645

Post: #731   PostPosted: Wed Dec 05, 2012 11:44 am    Post subject: jpassociate Reply with quote

Long term view on JPassociate Wink


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apka
Black Belt
Black Belt


Joined: 13 Dec 2011
Posts: 6137

Post: #732   PostPosted: Wed Dec 05, 2012 12:01 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I love JP Very Happy
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SP50
Brown Belt
Brown Belt


Joined: 26 Nov 2010
Posts: 1615

Post: #733   PostPosted: Wed Dec 05, 2012 12:05 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

apka wrote:
I love JP Very Happy



If market sustains above 6000 for 3months I am looking at Min target of 180 on JP Laughing
but the flip side if market corrects and goes to 5400-5200 level again JP has 65 and below written all over it
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vinay28
Black Belt
Black Belt


Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748

Post: #734   PostPosted: Wed Dec 05, 2012 12:07 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

one of the biggest chor management
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SP50
Brown Belt
Brown Belt


Joined: 26 Nov 2010
Posts: 1615

Post: #735   PostPosted: Wed Dec 05, 2012 12:10 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay28 wrote:
one of the biggest chor management


Without doubt but FII love this scrip like anything, it would have become a Suzlon last year but got saved because of some big interest,
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