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Breakout/ Breakdown Trades
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Author Breakout/ Breakdown Trades
sumesh_sol
Brown Belt
Brown Belt


Joined: 06 Jun 2010
Posts: 2344

Post: #766   PostPosted: Fri Feb 28, 2014 1:50 pm    Post subject: Bataindia..5tf Reply with quote

Bataindia..5tf
-------------

Will take long ABV 1065...SL-1053
Tgt can be 1082



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deepakms
White Belt
White Belt


Joined: 13 Aug 2009
Posts: 194

Post: #767   PostPosted: Fri Feb 28, 2014 1:55 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Sumesh..........Ktkbank sudden spurt !!......that was a good call.

Rgds
deepak
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sumesh_sol
Brown Belt
Brown Belt


Joined: 06 Jun 2010
Posts: 2344

Post: #768   PostPosted: Fri Feb 28, 2014 2:23 pm    Post subject: GAIL..5tf Reply with quote

GAIL..5tf
------------
buying abv 371.5 ..SL-368.5
Tgt -- 390



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sumesh_sol
Brown Belt
Brown Belt


Joined: 06 Jun 2010
Posts: 2344

Post: #769   PostPosted: Sat Mar 01, 2014 4:33 pm    Post subject: RELIANCE..eod Reply with quote

RELIANCE..eod
---------------
Broke down from congestion... EMAs suggest more downside... May take short on retracement on 60 tf for Tgts of 780/760 .. SL- 825



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vinst
Black Belt
Black Belt


Joined: 09 Jan 2007
Posts: 3303

Post: #770   PostPosted: Sat Mar 01, 2014 5:21 pm    Post subject: Re: RELIANCE..eod Reply with quote

sumesh_sol wrote:
RELIANCE..eod
---------------
Broke down from congestion... EMAs suggest more downside... May take short on retracement on 60 tf for Tgts of 780/760 .. SL- 825



ema's are wide apart from each other, this may turn out t be false b'down. watch next 2/3 days
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sumesh_sol
Brown Belt
Brown Belt


Joined: 06 Jun 2010
Posts: 2344

Post: #771   PostPosted: Sat Mar 01, 2014 9:44 pm    Post subject: Re: RELIANCE..eod Reply with quote

vinst wrote:
sumesh_sol wrote:
RELIANCE..eod
---------------
Broke down from congestion... EMAs suggest more downside... May take short on retracement on 60 tf for Tgts of 780/760 .. SL- 825



ema's are wide apart from each other, this may turn out t be false b'down. watch next 2/3 days


Hi Vinst , You may be correct, but I feel slopes of moving averages depends on their values.. I use 20/40/200 smas to determine trend.

Moreover, I try to understand price action in case of BO trades. Here if u notice Reliance escaped out of 900-840 range.. Then after moving in a tight range(820-800) for about 3 weeks , it closed below it. Volume was also reasonably good...All these factors prompted me to believe that it is getting weak and chances of further down is more...

Still market is supreme, we can only trade based on possibilities..

Regards,
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vinst
Black Belt
Black Belt


Joined: 09 Jan 2007
Posts: 3303

Post: #772   PostPosted: Sat Mar 01, 2014 10:33 pm    Post subject: Re: RELIANCE..eod Reply with quote

sumesh_sol wrote:
vinst wrote:
sumesh_sol wrote:
RELIANCE..eod
---------------
Broke down from congestion... EMAs suggest more downside... May take short on retracement on 60 tf for Tgts of 780/760 .. SL- 825



ema's are wide apart from each other, this may turn out t be false b'down. watch next 2/3 days


Hi Vinst , You may be correct, but I feel slopes of moving averages depends on their values.. I use 20/40/200 smas to determine trend.

Moreover, I try to understand price action in case of BO trades. Here if u notice Reliance escaped out of 900-840 range.. Then after moving in a tight range(820-800) for about 3 weeks , it closed below it. Volume was also reasonably good...All these factors prompted me to believe that it is getting weak and chances of further down is more...

Still market is supreme, we can only trade based on possibilities..

Regards,


your logic is good, of course. But still, i am biased in favour of this b'down failing.
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amitagg
Black Belt
Black Belt


Joined: 01 Oct 2013
Posts: 4559

Post: #773   PostPosted: Sun Mar 02, 2014 9:01 pm    Post subject: Re: RELIANCE..eod Reply with quote

vinst wrote:
sumesh_sol wrote:
vinst wrote:
sumesh_sol wrote:
RELIANCE..eod
---------------
Broke down from congestion... EMAs suggest more downside... May take short on retracement on 60 tf for Tgts of 780/760 .. SL- 825



ema's are wide apart from each other, this may turn out t be false b'down. watch next 2/3 days


Hi Vinst , You may be correct, but I feel slopes of moving averages depends on their values.. I use 20/40/200 smas to determine trend.

Moreover, I try to understand price action in case of BO trades. Here if u notice Reliance escaped out of 900-840 range.. Then after moving in a tight range(820-800) for about 3 weeks , it closed below it. Volume was also reasonably good...All these factors prompted me to believe that it is getting weak and chances of further down is more...

Still market is supreme, we can only trade based on possibilities..

Regards,


your logic is good, of course. But still, i am biased in favour of this b'down failing.


me too....went long around 800 on Friday and holding.....but better to not prejudge the "failure " of breakdown [over the longer run it would not pay to act on inutition that breakdown will fail though many many do...and statistically also.......so i would try to get out tomorrow morning
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sumesh_sol
Brown Belt
Brown Belt


Joined: 06 Jun 2010
Posts: 2344

Post: #774   PostPosted: Mon Mar 03, 2014 10:15 am    Post subject: Re: RELIANCE..eod Reply with quote

sumesh_sol wrote:
RELIANCE..eod
---------------
Broke down from congestion... EMAs suggest more downside... May take short on retracement on 60 tf for Tgts of 780/760 .. SL- 825


Shorting below 897 with SL- 806...
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sumesh_sol
Brown Belt
Brown Belt


Joined: 06 Jun 2010
Posts: 2344

Post: #775   PostPosted: Mon Mar 03, 2014 10:20 am    Post subject: SBIN..5tf Reply with quote

SBIN..5tf
----------
It has broken out.. Will wait for any retracement opportunity, and will go long for Tgt of 1570/1600 with suitable SL..



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pkholla
Black Belt
Black Belt


Joined: 04 Nov 2010
Posts: 2890

Post: #776   PostPosted: Mon Mar 03, 2014 10:21 am    Post subject: Re: RELIANCE..eod Reply with quote

sumesh_sol wrote:
Shorting below 897 with SL- 806...

You mean below 797? Prakash Holla
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sumesh_sol
Brown Belt
Brown Belt


Joined: 06 Jun 2010
Posts: 2344

Post: #777   PostPosted: Mon Mar 03, 2014 10:25 am    Post subject: Re: RELIANCE..eod Reply with quote

pkholla wrote:
sumesh_sol wrote:
Shorting below 897 with SL- 806...

You mean below 797? Prakash Holla


Laughing ... Haan wahi.. socha jaldi post kar dun.. if someone wants to take advantage of this... typo mistake... it IS below 797 ...
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sumesh_sol
Brown Belt
Brown Belt


Joined: 06 Jun 2010
Posts: 2344

Post: #778   PostPosted: Mon Mar 03, 2014 11:23 am    Post subject: SOBHA...5tf Reply with quote

SOBHA...15tf
------------
Buying abv 310.5.... SL-305.5....Tgts 320/330



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amitagg
Black Belt
Black Belt


Joined: 01 Oct 2013
Posts: 4559

Post: #779   PostPosted: Mon Mar 03, 2014 11:32 am    Post subject: Re: RELIANCE..eod Reply with quote

sumesh_sol wrote:
sumesh_sol wrote:
RELIANCE..eod
---------------
Broke down from congestion... EMAs suggest more downside... May take short on retracement on 60 tf for Tgts of 780/760 .. SL- 825


Shorting below 897 with SL- 806...


i have exited my long with some profit at 808.....ur trade not yet triggerred...good that shorting below breakdown level of 797 only being considered...because it can hit 812-813
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sumesh_sol
Brown Belt
Brown Belt


Joined: 06 Jun 2010
Posts: 2344

Post: #780   PostPosted: Mon Mar 03, 2014 11:34 am    Post subject: Re: RELIANCE..eod Reply with quote

amitagg wrote:
sumesh_sol wrote:
sumesh_sol wrote:
RELIANCE..eod
---------------
Broke down from congestion... EMAs suggest more downside... May take short on retracement on 60 tf for Tgts of 780/760 .. SL- 825


Shorting below 897 with SL- 806...


i have exited my long with some profit at 808.....ur trade not yet triggerred...good that shorting below breakdown level of 797 only being considered...because it can hit 812-813


Yes Amit u r absolutely correct..
I have cancelled earlier order as proper SL still not confirmed.. But I have kept one small blind short order at 815 with SL 820... Let's see...
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