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AMBY Yellow Belt
Joined: 05 Sep 2014 Posts: 503
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Post: #196 Posted: Fri Apr 17, 2015 9:48 pm Post subject: THANKS. |
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You have simplified whole strategy,
3450-3580 (April).....are buy above and sell below levels......for 250-300 point move.
it means whichever side it breakout
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amitagg Black Belt
Joined: 01 Oct 2013 Posts: 4559
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Post: #197 Posted: Tue Apr 21, 2015 6:46 pm Post subject: |
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To follow up on previous post, As per price , it hit 3426 and then 3577 ( just 3 shy) so short SL have not been triggered. April
Closing above 3669 May today will mean bull to be confirmed if above 3750......
Seem longs can be trapped around 3700-3750 if unable to pierce
Short below 3590 critical level sustaining.......
Curren intra / short term mode : Sideways
One short fervour below 3450 (3590 ie yesterday's low of 3575) has been given.....
If big players going bearish.... This is excellent risk reward for sell
But data likely to be again positive meaning more confusion .... Difficult to enter into more than intra day timeframe trades..... |
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AMBY Yellow Belt
Joined: 05 Sep 2014 Posts: 503
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Post: #198 Posted: Tue Apr 21, 2015 8:16 pm Post subject: |
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THANKS FOR UPDATE. |
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amitagg Black Belt
Joined: 01 Oct 2013 Posts: 4559
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Post: #199 Posted: Wed Apr 22, 2015 11:19 am Post subject: |
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amitagg wrote: | To follow up on previous post, As per price , it hit 3426 and then 3577 ( just 3 shy) so short SL have not been triggered. April
Closing above 3669 May today will mean bull to be confirmed if above 3750......
Seem longs can be trapped around 3700-3750 if unable to pierce
Short below 3590 critical level sustaining.......
Curren intra / short term mode : Sideways
One short fervour below 3450 (3590 ie yesterday's low of 3575) has been given.....
If big players going bearish.... This is excellent risk reward for sell
But data likely to be again positive meaning more confusion .... Difficult to enter into more than intra day timeframe trades..... |
short continues.....failed to short yesterday at 3585 since was out.....
shorted in morning at 3540.....conservative stop 3680.... aggressive stop 3600 with power to short again on reversal down.......it can rise intra day to 3675 today easily....it should fall to 3513 as first support.....(likely to break 3526-30).......
(positional) bear confirmation for me shall come below 3510-3515 only sustaining below one hr............
support....3490....then 3460 final target 3430.
data can play spoilsport....and shorts like me can be trampled....if big players keeping it down in morning for shorts to enter since data likely to be positive again in evening....... |
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amitagg Black Belt
Joined: 01 Oct 2013 Posts: 4559
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Post: #200 Posted: Wed Apr 22, 2015 12:19 pm Post subject: |
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If evening inventory data is bad, market shall fall through 3400-3425..........and would not give a positive whipsaw upside....... Which is used to do some weeks back despite poor data.......,
Anything above 5 M surge would mean a precipitous fall........
Cmp 3535 |
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amitagg Black Belt
Joined: 01 Oct 2013 Posts: 4559
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Post: #201 Posted: Wed Apr 22, 2015 12:55 pm Post subject: |
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for intra day today......
sell mode if below 3585........sell higher levels....with stop 3630....
buy mode above 3615........
profit booking.....3470/3497/3445.......if below 3513....as mentioned below in previous posts this low 3513 has still not been taken out......for shorts to be careful......
(positional sell if any, SL is 3665)......
if sustains below 3555, 3565, 3575.........means selling emerging and then these levels should be considered "top" of range......to target lower 3400 levels.....minimum. |
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amitagg Black Belt
Joined: 01 Oct 2013 Posts: 4559
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Post: #202 Posted: Wed Apr 22, 2015 9:28 pm Post subject: |
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Intra stop worked. Now c m p 3565. Exit shorts
positional too bear not confirmed below 3513.
Bull cleared 5 points intra till pivot but not confirmed
trend is UP till moves down.. or sideways 3490-3710 for larger time frame.
Unable to count bullish waves..... only a b c X a b c formations still...... but closing above 3570 can still hit upper range.
Data just as expected app 5 M HENCE no breakout |
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amitagg Black Belt
Joined: 01 Oct 2013 Posts: 4559
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Post: #203 Posted: Wed Apr 22, 2015 9:30 pm Post subject: |
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All in all no trade which is also good till trend clears OR resumes. |
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AMBY Yellow Belt
Joined: 05 Sep 2014 Posts: 503
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Post: #204 Posted: Tue Apr 28, 2015 6:04 pm Post subject: |
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CRUDE IS CONSOLIDATING ?
ANY UPDATE?
THANKS, |
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amitagg Black Belt
Joined: 01 Oct 2013 Posts: 4559
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Post: #205 Posted: Sun May 03, 2015 4:20 pm Post subject: |
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Double bottom and 2X wave count for 5th of 3rd wave in progress hits 64 USD
1.618 hits 60.7
High has been 59.9
64 is preferred target.....
(BOF possible with high remaining at 59.9)........
Trade : Can "sell" 3970 June if see this level easily for 100-200 more points......at first hit......
Since 3rd a 4th decline shall ensue AFTER the above targets...... Counter rally to this 4th down shall determine 3rd was bear wave rally or if 5th shall form to start a new bull market from lows of 43........... |
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AMBY Yellow Belt
Joined: 05 Sep 2014 Posts: 503
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Post: #206 Posted: Wed May 06, 2015 9:02 am Post subject: |
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THANKS FOR UPDATE, |
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amitagg Black Belt
Joined: 01 Oct 2013 Posts: 4559
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Post: #207 Posted: Tue May 19, 2015 9:19 pm Post subject: |
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amitagg wrote: | Double bottom and 2X wave count for 5th of 3rd wave in progress hits 64 USD
1.618 hits 60.7
High has been 59.9
64 is preferred target.....
(BOF possible with high remaining at 59.9)........
Trade : Can "sell" 3970 June if see this level easily for 100-200 more points......at first hit......
Since 3rd a 4th decline shall ensue AFTER the above targets...... Counter rally to this 4th down shall determine 3rd was bear wave rally or if 5th shall form to start a new bull market from lows of 43........... |
Analysis still holds...... 4th in progress OR 1st of new bear wave.......abc formation....... Today triangle formation was ruled out.......
Support 3657-3718..........
Trend down on all timeframes
Cmp was 3764 few minutes back..........
Since overall supply glut though 64 not touched exactly possible targets having been met of double bottom visualised when it was 45 approx.....
Rahul is returning profits combined with 30tf 64 ema strategy........
Data coming positive regularly which creates a bull ripple.......
Till pivots down, "sell on rise" ..... Now resting at weekly supports of 3724/3763.........
Bull trade at lows of 3718..... Piecemeal (risky) or above 3860-70 except snipe....... Prefer going with trend ......which is down... But has played out |
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AMBY Yellow Belt
Joined: 05 Sep 2014 Posts: 503
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Post: #208 Posted: Thu May 21, 2015 7:22 pm Post subject: |
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THANKS FOR YOUR COMMENT ON 19/05/2015.
WTI CRUDE HIGH ON 06/05/2015 @ 62.57, NEXT LOWER HIGH O 13/05/205 61.83..
ANY SUGGESTION,
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amitagg Black Belt
Joined: 01 Oct 2013 Posts: 4559
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Post: #209 Posted: Thu May 21, 2015 7:39 pm Post subject: |
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No since price action continuously changes Prognosis and removes alternate EW counts. It's buy sell that matters not prediction since I cannot always follow my prognosis also.... Since it may be for longer tf than what I usually trade
Have been shorting twice thrice in 3795 region and booked.
Again shorted 3850 stop 3880......risky can hit
Basis sell on rise anticipation in previous mail...... |
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amitagg Black Belt
Joined: 01 Oct 2013 Posts: 4559
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Post: #210 Posted: Thu May 21, 2015 8:23 pm Post subject: |
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amitagg wrote: | No since price action continuously changes Prognosis and removes alternate EW counts. It's buy sell that matters not prediction since I cannot always follow my prognosis also.... Since it may be for longer tf than what I usually trade
Have been shorting twice thrice in 3795 region and booked.
Again shorted 3850 stop 3880......risky can hit
Basis sell on rise anticipation in previous mail...... |
exited 3865....preparing for bull break. after 8.30 if 8.30 high broken///3893 next resistance...... |
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