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Crude Oil Trader
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Author Crude Oil Trader
amitagg
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Post: #316   PostPosted: Mon Sep 07, 2015 1:29 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

crude oil is a buy above 3150 for target 3196/3215/3350
intra day it may still be a buy above 3120 for 3148
if falls; let is fall and do not short today
risky buts at cmp 3060 with strict 3038 stop can be had since mode is Buy.........

can change to sell later today / possible tomorrow if remains below 3040.
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AMBY
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Post: #317   PostPosted: Mon Sep 07, 2015 2:39 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

THANKS FOR GUIDANCE.
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AMBY
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Post: #318   PostPosted: Tue Sep 08, 2015 9:41 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

WHAT IS NEXT MOVE IN CRUDE?
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amitagg
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Post: #319   PostPosted: Tue Sep 08, 2015 11:35 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

AMBY wrote:
WHAT IS NEXT MOVE IN CRUDE?


crude is up on weekly and monthly timeframes..... this is a retrace


but as per we up move as I mentioned before in thread though started with 5 wave impulse did not give a clear bull like EW pattern till recent high of 3260

below cmp 2970 it can hit 2890/2850/2790...

for me it is Confirmed bear mode only below 2790. this level shall change after a week or two

intra bullish only above 3115.


so somewhat indecisive as of now..... as per system it Is sell with stop 3020 cmp. problem is
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amitagg
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Post: #320   PostPosted: Thu Sep 10, 2015 4:38 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

neither moving above 3100 or below 2880 (earlier2790)
crude going to give 200 -300 point move expected 1-2 days
I am getting bearish...... cmp 2970 confirmation below 2880
can short below 2945 and I shall add below 2920.
it me not touch then there shall be no trade. data today.
upward spike above 3020 can be tricky
I give buy sell when there is conviction which is lacking due to sideways action. hence watching.

on the whole this weekly closing below 2980 will mean bearishness next week.......
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AMBY
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Post: #321   PostPosted: Thu Sep 10, 2015 5:52 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

CRUDE IS CONFUSING. CAN YOU SUGGEST LEVELS IN $.
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amitagg
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Post: #322   PostPosted: Thu Sep 10, 2015 11:04 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

AMBY wrote:
CRUDE IS CONFUSING. CAN YOU SUGGEST LEVELS IN $.


I had mentioned 2945 is below post. it reversed from 2943. scratched.

above 2996/3020 its been bullish.

why mcx works just fine.

43-/44 support holding can hit 53/54.

today it moved in blocks of 55 - 2925/2980/3035 then 3065. failed 3090. retraced to 3035 and held stop of 55/2-3035 = 3008
cmp 3040.... can hit 3090 -3035+55

there were fibo confluence zones.....

wave count is not supporting bullish wave structure but you may be aware that even bear. wxy or double combo x eVe retracenents can give huge spikes.

a triangle formationnunderway and needs to break
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AMBY
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Post: #323   PostPosted: Fri Sep 11, 2015 8:31 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

THANKS FOR CLARIFICATION IN DETAIL.


I M WATCHING CRUDE CHARTS IN $, INR FLUCTUATE MORE AND MANY TIMES CRUDE IS MANIPULATED IN INR.

2guns 2guns 2guns
artist
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AMBY
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Post: #324   PostPosted: Fri Sep 11, 2015 9:58 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I AM POSTING A MAIL I HAVE RECD. :
"Crude - Wave b down started, 61.8% is at 42.56 as key level and support range and once wave b ends, wave c=a should target 54.20$ on the way up."

CAN YOU EXPLAIN TO ME?
THANKS.
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amitagg
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Post: #325   PostPosted: Fri Sep 11, 2015 11:39 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

AMBY wrote:
I AM POSTING A MAIL I HAVE RECD. :
"Crude - Wave b down started, 61.8% is at 42.56 as key level and support range and once wave b ends, wave c=a should target 54.20$ on the way up."

CAN YOU EXPLAIN TO ME?
THANKS.


exactly what I mentioned in below post....43/44 to 53/54.......
also that uptick is not giving 5-wave bull sequences..........

retrace happens in ABC fashion A 3-B3- C5 ......variations are possible for triangle in B etc. we may be in B currently therefore.....I have also mentioned "triangle" in below wave.
bull happens in 1-2-3-4-5.....waves......

curiously your mail u have received ties up with my analysis...........
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AMBY
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Post: #326   PostPosted: Fri Sep 11, 2015 2:05 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

THANKS FOR REPLAY, HOW TO FORWARD MAIL TO YOU?
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AMBY
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Post: #327   PostPosted: Tue Sep 15, 2015 5:02 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

CRUDE HAS FORMED TRIANGLE FORMATION ON EOD BASIS ?
ANY SUGGESTIONS?
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amitagg
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Post: #328   PostPosted: Tue Sep 15, 2015 9:26 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

AMBY wrote:
CRUDE HAS FORMED TRIANGLE FORMATION ON EOD BASIS ?
ANY SUGGESTIONS?


It has not broken 2880 more still 2790.... So analysis remains same..... Confirmation above 3100....aggressive buy abov 3020.....

Rigs going down.... Rate hike may NOT come.....etc etc

Triangle is formed in B wave ... C has to go up.....

All analysis is analysis only.....let some move happen
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AMBY
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Post: #329   PostPosted: Tue Sep 15, 2015 10:15 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

THANKS FOR CLARIFICATION.
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amitagg
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Post: #330   PostPosted: Wed Sep 16, 2015 1:19 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

amitagg wrote:
AMBY wrote:
CRUDE HAS FORMED TRIANGLE FORMATION ON EOD BASIS ?
ANY SUGGESTIONS?


It has not broken 2880 more still 2790.... So analysis remains same..... Confirmation above 3100....aggressive buy abov 3020.....

Rigs going down.... Rate hike may NOT come.....etc etc

Triangle is formed in B wave ... C has to go up.....

All analysis is analysis only.....let some move happen


High 3014.... But note that Oct is 3050...already! ( except very short tf bollinger play trade crude positional only)

Date today to support the uptrend ........
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