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Crude Oil Trader
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Author Crude Oil Trader
AMBY
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Joined: 05 Sep 2014
Posts: 503

Post: #481   PostPosted: Wed Nov 25, 2015 6:48 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Waiting for view.
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Rahulsharmaat
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Joined: 04 Nov 2009
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Post: #482   PostPosted: Thu Dec 10, 2015 11:46 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

As advised months back when it was 5800..that it will see 4400..3800..3200..2700..2200 n more

It's below 2500 already..

Picture baaki hae mere dost
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AMBY
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Post: #483   PostPosted: Thu Dec 10, 2015 2:30 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Thanks for update. 2guns 2guns 2guns
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amitagg
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Post: #484   PostPosted: Thu Dec 10, 2015 6:19 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Rahulsharmaat wrote:
As advised months back when it was 5800..that it will see 4400..3800..3200..2700..2200 n more

It's below 2500 already..

Picture baaki hae mere dost


Thnx 33 or 20!!!! Ha ha ha
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savepaisa
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Joined: 15 Jan 2015
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Post: #485   PostPosted: Fri Dec 11, 2015 1:01 pm    Post subject: what to do Reply with quote

i have a crude buy@2511. what to do. any suggestion
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amitagg
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Post: #486   PostPosted: Fri Dec 11, 2015 2:48 pm    Post subject: Re: what to do Reply with quote

savepaisa wrote:
i have a crude buy@2511. what to do. any suggestion


Yes exit if below 2415. If fall is very slow to 2415 exit at 2390 ( before 15-16 event)

Or exit at 2495.
Or exit at cost
( before event)

REENTRY buy above 2530 for very short term to target 2600...... Confirmed bullish above 2630

If big gap down after exit at 2425 ....... Consider re enter BUY ( not sell)
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savepaisa
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Post: #487   PostPosted: Fri Dec 11, 2015 3:24 pm    Post subject: Re: what to do Reply with quote

amitagg wrote:
savepaisa wrote:
i have a crude buy@2511. what to do. any suggestion


Yes exit if below 2415. If fall is very slow to 2415 exit at 2390 ( before 15-16 event)

Or exit at 2495.
Or exit at cost
( before event)

REENTRY buy above 2530 for very short term to target 2600...... Confirmed bullish above 2630

If big gap down after exit at 2425 ....... Consider re enter BUY ( not sell)



thanks for precise and valueable suggestion
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mukundnikam
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Joined: 19 Dec 2014
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Post: #488   PostPosted: Sat Dec 12, 2015 11:33 am    Post subject: Crude DEC 3rd week Reply with quote

Team,
as per my understanding at chart, it looks like falling wedge pattern which is ready to decide the breakout either side.

Please suggest wheather its bottom at 2320 and uptrend start or breakout below 2320.

Attaching chart for your suggestions.
Thanks
Mukund Nikam



CRUDE_FALLING_WEDGE.png
 Description:
Crude Falling Wedge pattern
 Filesize:  11.05 KB
 Viewed:  519 Time(s)

CRUDE_FALLING_WEDGE.png


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AMBY
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Post: #489   PostPosted: Sat Dec 12, 2015 11:53 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

@ mukundnikam,

Please post the chart from 01/01/2009, crude had made bottom @33.19.

Thank you posting chart in $. Smile
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mukundnikam
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Post: #490   PostPosted: Sat Dec 12, 2015 1:07 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

AMBY wrote:
@ mukundnikam,

Please post the chart from 01/01/2009, crude had made bottom @33.19.

Thank you posting chart in $. Smile



please finnd the requested chart



CRUDE_2007_to_2015.png
 Description:
 Filesize:  19.73 KB
 Viewed:  227 Time(s)

CRUDE_2007_to_2015.png


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Niftyman
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Post: #491   PostPosted: Sat Dec 12, 2015 2:36 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

IMO, as per chart of Crude Oil, any breach of 35$ and slipping to 33-32$ and no recovery, will take Crude Oil to much lower levels.
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AMBY
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Post: #492   PostPosted: Sat Dec 12, 2015 3:55 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Thanks, Smile
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amitagg
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Post: #493   PostPosted: Sat Dec 12, 2015 10:34 pm    Post subject: Re: Crude DEC 3rd week Reply with quote

mukundnikam wrote:
Team,
as per my understanding at chart, it looks like falling wedge pattern which is ready to decide the breakout either side.

Please suggest wheather its bottom at 2320 and uptrend start or breakout below 2320.

Attaching chart for your suggestions.
Thanks
Mukund Nikam


1) does his form a positive WW from here ......
1.5) BIG GANN support at 2500 level 30-60 fitter ( jan series!?)
2) does this form ENding Diagonal" ..... What for first 5 wave impulse to go long
3) Last NR 7 formed with high 2500 (dec)
4) on another count starting 3300 with top of wave say x, new bear trend started with ongoing 3rd wave so more legs to go down after 3rd completes 4th retraces and 5th goes down still
5) CRB index at below lows!? Check
6) long term trend line hits 20$ !? That's where this figure has come about in news
7) always crude hit 10 $ downside on breaking 10 pointers - 80,70,60,50,40 now so 30 target - 300-350 points
Cool nifty falling crude falling INR depreciating dollar index in multi month consolidation / uptrend!?? Check

Tricks to play:
1) to be lean first and foremost
2) to be unidirectional ( at this stage possibly ripe)
3) to let pivot and dow (and MAs let it be lagging) give confirmation
4) rampant adds when lean positions gets confirmed
5) to buy decreasing "inventory data" from hear on now; DO not sell increasing inventory data ( it appears to me to have a lag effect)
6) to move down buy levels; but buy on price confirmation ( or dabble in big price gaps down from here on) - not seen yet ..... A slow decline happening in crude..... How can it stop without creating a flutter.... That shall be a point to buy
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mukundnikam
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Joined: 19 Dec 2014
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Post: #494   PostPosted: Sun Dec 13, 2015 3:03 pm    Post subject: Re: Crude DEC 3rd week Reply with quote

Thanks Amitagg,
appreciate if you guide us with charts you are looking at. I feel that there will be bounce from 34.60 (2330) for target of 3000 or there will be breakout for the lower targets.

Please share your views.

Thanks
Mukund

amitagg wrote:
mukundnikam wrote:
Team,
as per my understanding at chart, it looks like falling wedge pattern which is ready to decide the breakout either side.

Please suggest wheather its bottom at 2320 and uptrend start or breakout below 2320.

Attaching chart for your suggestions.
Thanks
Mukund Nikam


1) does his form a positive WW from here ......
1.5) BIG GANN support at 2500 level 30-60 fitter ( jan series!?)
2) does this form ENding Diagonal" ..... What for first 5 wave impulse to go long
3) Last NR 7 formed with high 2500 (dec)
4) on another count starting 3300 with top of wave say x, new bear trend started with ongoing 3rd wave so more legs to go down after 3rd completes 4th retraces and 5th goes down still
5) CRB index at below lows!? Check
6) long term trend line hits 20$ !? That's where this figure has come about in news
7) always crude hit 10 $ downside on breaking 10 pointers - 80,70,60,50,40 now so 30 target - 300-350 points
Cool nifty falling crude falling INR depreciating dollar index in multi month consolidation / uptrend!?? Check

Tricks to play:
1) to be lean first and foremost
2) to be unidirectional ( at this stage possibly ripe)
3) to let pivot and dow (and MAs let it be lagging) give confirmation
4) rampant adds when lean positions gets confirmed
5) to buy decreasing "inventory data" from hear on now; DO not sell increasing inventory data ( it appears to me to have a lag effect)
6) to move down buy levels; but buy on price confirmation ( or dabble in big price gaps down from here on) - not seen yet ..... A slow decline happening in crude..... How can it stop without creating a flutter.... That shall be a point to buy
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amitagg
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Joined: 01 Oct 2013
Posts: 4559

Post: #495   PostPosted: Sun Dec 13, 2015 6:25 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Hi Mukundnigam

I only know one thing. My TA is inconsequential ( we most have practically very low fundamental knowledge to assimilate outcomes though we all can read some literature here and here) to the movement crude can show in testing times / major events. Hence it would not be proper to predict direction but to determine position size basis prediction of direction and price confirmation.

Let us wait for an opportune event. Just 2 days of early entry can spell misfortune ( one can argue for vice versa as well!!) Let some gaps start coming up......

Regards
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