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Crude Oil Trader |
amitagg Black Belt
Joined: 01 Oct 2013 Posts: 4559
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Post: #601 Posted: Mon Mar 07, 2016 10:01 pm Post subject: |
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Reinstated booked at 2497 |
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amitagg Black Belt
Joined: 01 Oct 2013 Posts: 4559
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Post: #602 Posted: Mon Mar 07, 2016 10:14 pm Post subject: |
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TSL 2490 (90 points)
Balance 50 percent overall after re instalment already gave 60+10 =70 points
Can hit 2527/37/2575
Cmp 2513 |
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udaysahai White Belt
Joined: 01 Feb 2011 Posts: 105
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Post: #603 Posted: Mon Mar 07, 2016 10:16 pm Post subject: |
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Amitji,
Is NatGas a buy now? recovered from a low of 109.00, your views now.
Thanks and best regards... |
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amitagg Black Belt
Joined: 01 Oct 2013 Posts: 4559
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Post: #604 Posted: Mon Mar 07, 2016 10:24 pm Post subject: |
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amitagg wrote: | TSL 2490 (90 points)
Balance 50 percent overall after re instalment already gave 60+10 =70 points
Can hit 2527/37/2575
Cmp 2513 |
Booked 2520 (120 points)
fresh entry above 2575 sustaining |
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amitagg Black Belt
Joined: 01 Oct 2013 Posts: 4559
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Post: #605 Posted: Mon Mar 07, 2016 10:28 pm Post subject: |
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amitagg wrote: | amitagg wrote: | udaysahai wrote: | Amitji, do you have any views on Natural Gas?
thanks and best... |
I Don't trade IT
True 111 is big support and if your are long definitely go for it with risk management
It has already deceived into falling below 113-118 by a bit and hence the trap is over.... And longs can e taken ....
Just speaking from memory
After that 83-91 can be hit ....
I would go for longs and right now! With proper SL ( in absence of detailed chart reading cannot pinpoint the stop ) |
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Udai - I had mentioned now means 110
Cmp 116 cannot say bullish unless above 123 so covered 50 percent distance !?now it's your call |
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udaysahai White Belt
Joined: 01 Feb 2011 Posts: 105
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Post: #606 Posted: Mon Mar 07, 2016 11:37 pm Post subject: |
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Thanks a lot Amitji... |
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amitagg Black Belt
Joined: 01 Oct 2013 Posts: 4559
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Post: #607 Posted: Sat Apr 02, 2016 11:56 pm Post subject: |
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W pattern in crude
True but 2293-2340 is value area where retrace can go to to exit the longs.....
Cmp 2460
2502-2530-2565 resistance and 2455 ( current cmp) /2420 /2340 support
Break above 2505 while holding Friday low would mean rise to 2560
Then either it fall to target 2340--2925 as said above to breaks higher to form the W pattern.......
Can't say
Note that for Ichimoku the clouds going to vanish in next few days and a new trend shall emerge.......
The rise from lows was "corrective" but even an ABC coredtive can hold 1800-2000 etc .... In this wave down to target higher levels of 49/56 USD
It's best to trade signal to signal basis as per ur system and current trend is Down.
It may go sideways for 50-70 points first 3 days of the week and form as Narrow range and then try to break either direction....
Pivots are down
TrendlineS are not broke.n Up...... Even the most slanting one.....
So trading counter trend is futile this juncture..... Except when system as per one's own allows intra day |
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amitagg Black Belt
Joined: 01 Oct 2013 Posts: 4559
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Post: #608 Posted: Tue Apr 05, 2016 4:27 pm Post subject: |
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below 2355 will be another breakdown to target 2339/2293
otherwise "good level" now CMP 2375-80 to consolidate and give a bull pullback rise.......
its holding the "bottom" channel as of now on downtrend channel
+ holding up trendline from lows......
'in May contract
so can be sideways to 'intra up'].......
it may be in 2293-2393 range for some time.....before deciding direction.
if want to "long" as per intra system of one's own can do that after 2-3 hours if holding 2355....stop can be 2362 if buy above 2380....etc. even if trade goes.....to wait for breakdown below 2355.
it would be sideways for the day; |
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amolmails White Belt
Joined: 29 Apr 2008 Posts: 45
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Post: #609 Posted: Tue Apr 05, 2016 9:06 pm Post subject: About Crude oil |
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Amitji ; what is your view as per weekly charts ? |
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amitagg Black Belt
Joined: 01 Oct 2013 Posts: 4559
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Post: #610 Posted: Sun Apr 10, 2016 10:14 pm Post subject: |
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Crude buy 2585-75-65 tg 30 /60 points each stop 2525 ( as per system)
( may need intra day refinement)
( as per personal observation market would give profit first level then take trade on lesser position on second or choose third level)
Cluster of resistance at 2625-2650 level
Cloud vanishing level
Penetration required about 2650 to confirm bull trend
Ab=cd complete on Friday
Friday high marked resitance of downtrend channel
Friday high marked pullback to breakdown rising channel line
So critical level 2600-2650 |
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amitagg Black Belt
Joined: 01 Oct 2013 Posts: 4559
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Post: #611 Posted: Wed Apr 13, 2016 7:04 pm Post subject: |
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I wish to post some calls on a high RR (variable) and success ratio ( without elaborating more) on a different system under test ( unlike my flavour for intra day due to better price analysis and price reading of crude ; this shall be system driven and hence not for a day but longer; hence crude with often gaps will have to be lived with though hopefully in direction of open position)
While I have been doing "with some analysis" in the past just wonder if this is permissible under regulations (without analysis) ; Is there any language which can be used for that purpose:
There shall be 4-8 calls in a month: target return expectation is 150 ( to 250) plus points only.
Is it doable. For couple of months. Say just for information and journal and not actual trading ( or anything to say like that)
Regards |
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AMBY Yellow Belt
Joined: 05 Sep 2014 Posts: 503
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Post: #612 Posted: Thu Apr 14, 2016 8:44 am Post subject: |
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Good thinking, We can try your new method for positional trading. |
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amitagg Black Belt
Joined: 01 Oct 2013 Posts: 4559
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Post: #613 Posted: Fri Apr 15, 2016 9:05 pm Post subject: |
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general: crude subject to sun event should touch 2636-2618 cmp 2685
fall from ABC retrace ended at C = 39. 26/39. 4 nymex from where ending diagonal formed till 42 and today's gap down confirmed channel break. stop 2750.
big gap possible either side Monday.
[watch 2636 level ] |
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amitagg Black Belt
Joined: 01 Oct 2013 Posts: 4559
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Post: #614 Posted: Mon Apr 18, 2016 7:06 pm Post subject: |
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amitagg wrote: | general: crude subject to sun event should touch 2636-2618 cmp 2685
fall from ABC retrace ended at C = 39. 26/39. 4 nymex from where ending diagonal formed till 42 and today's gap down confirmed channel break. stop 2750.
big gap possible either side Monday.
[watch 2636 level ] |
Did that and see that from 2544 it rose but did not clear 2636 level .... Just near
For brave hearts, despite 250 point fall in 2 days .......
It's becoming "new" " add" "sell" on closing below 2620-2636 today..... Cmp 2595
So one may enter "sell" with 4 lots ( or 4x multiples ) at near closing time today, unless
- closing below 2565......or
- closing above 2613
Stop 2655 to be refine later |
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amitagg Black Belt
Joined: 01 Oct 2013 Posts: 4559
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Post: #615 Posted: Tue Apr 19, 2016 7:33 pm Post subject: |
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below trade was not triggered.
bearishness negated with move above 2720 just a while back.. no shorts now till fresh signal. if sustains 2820 may.
waiting for fresh confirmation entry. |
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