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Crude Oil Trader
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Author Crude Oil Trader
amitagg
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Post: #601   PostPosted: Mon Mar 07, 2016 10:01 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Reinstated booked at 2497
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amitagg
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Post: #602   PostPosted: Mon Mar 07, 2016 10:14 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

TSL 2490 (90 points)
Balance 50 percent overall after re instalment already gave 60+10 =70 points

Can hit 2527/37/2575
Cmp 2513
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udaysahai
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Post: #603   PostPosted: Mon Mar 07, 2016 10:16 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Amitji,
Is NatGas a buy now? recovered from a low of 109.00, your views now.
Thanks and best regards...
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amitagg
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Post: #604   PostPosted: Mon Mar 07, 2016 10:24 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

amitagg wrote:
TSL 2490 (90 points)
Balance 50 percent overall after re instalment already gave 60+10 =70 points

Can hit 2527/37/2575
Cmp 2513


Booked 2520 (120 points)
fresh entry above 2575 sustaining Laughing
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amitagg
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Post: #605   PostPosted: Mon Mar 07, 2016 10:28 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

amitagg wrote:
amitagg wrote:
udaysahai wrote:
Amitji, do you have any views on Natural Gas?
thanks and best...


I Don't trade IT

True 111 is big support and if your are long definitely go for it with risk management

It has already deceived into falling below 113-118 by a bit and hence the trap is over.... And longs can e taken ....

Just speaking from memory

After that 83-91 can be hit ....

I would go for longs and right now! With proper SL ( in absence of detailed chart reading cannot pinpoint the stop )


Udai - I had mentioned now means 110
Cmp 116 cannot say bullish unless above 123 so covered 50 percent distance !?now it's your call
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udaysahai
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Post: #606   PostPosted: Mon Mar 07, 2016 11:37 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Thanks a lot Amitji...
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amitagg
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Post: #607   PostPosted: Sat Apr 02, 2016 11:56 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

W pattern in crude

True but 2293-2340 is value area where retrace can go to to exit the longs.....
Cmp 2460

2502-2530-2565 resistance and 2455 ( current cmp) /2420 /2340 support

Break above 2505 while holding Friday low would mean rise to 2560

Then either it fall to target 2340--2925 as said above to breaks higher to form the W pattern.......

Can't say

Note that for Ichimoku the clouds going to vanish in next few days and a new trend shall emerge.......

The rise from lows was "corrective" but even an ABC coredtive can hold 1800-2000 etc .... In this wave down to target higher levels of 49/56 USD

It's best to trade signal to signal basis as per ur system and current trend is Down.

It may go sideways for 50-70 points first 3 days of the week and form as Narrow range and then try to break either direction....

Pivots are down

TrendlineS are not broke.n Up...... Even the most slanting one.....
So trading counter trend is futile this juncture..... Except when system as per one's own allows intra day
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amitagg
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Post: #608   PostPosted: Tue Apr 05, 2016 4:27 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

below 2355 will be another breakdown to target 2339/2293
otherwise "good level" now CMP 2375-80 to consolidate and give a bull pullback rise.......

its holding the "bottom" channel as of now on downtrend channel

+ holding up trendline from lows......

'in May contract

so can be sideways to 'intra up'].......

it may be in 2293-2393 range for some time.....before deciding direction.

if want to "long" as per intra system of one's own can do that after 2-3 hours if holding 2355....stop can be 2362 if buy above 2380....etc. even if trade goes.....to wait for breakdown below 2355.

it would be sideways for the day;
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amolmails
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Post: #609   PostPosted: Tue Apr 05, 2016 9:06 pm    Post subject: About Crude oil Reply with quote

Amitji ; what is your view as per weekly charts ?
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amitagg
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Post: #610   PostPosted: Sun Apr 10, 2016 10:14 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Crude buy 2585-75-65 tg 30 /60 points each stop 2525 ( as per system)
( may need intra day refinement)
( as per personal observation market would give profit first level then take trade on lesser position on second or choose third level)

Cluster of resistance at 2625-2650 level

Cloud vanishing level
Penetration required about 2650 to confirm bull trend

Ab=cd complete on Friday
Friday high marked resitance of downtrend channel
Friday high marked pullback to breakdown rising channel line

So critical level 2600-2650
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amitagg
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Post: #611   PostPosted: Wed Apr 13, 2016 7:04 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I wish to post some calls on a high RR (variable) and success ratio ( without elaborating more) on a different system under test ( unlike my flavour for intra day due to better price analysis and price reading of crude ; this shall be system driven and hence not for a day but longer; hence crude with often gaps will have to be lived with though hopefully in direction of open position)

While I have been doing "with some analysis" in the past just wonder if this is permissible under regulations (without analysis) ; Is there any language which can be used for that purpose:

There shall be 4-8 calls in a month: target return expectation is 150 ( to 250) plus points only.

Is it doable. For couple of months. Say just for information and journal and not actual trading ( or anything to say like that)

Regards
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AMBY
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Post: #612   PostPosted: Thu Apr 14, 2016 8:44 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Good thinking, We can try your new method for positional trading. 2guns
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amitagg
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Post: #613   PostPosted: Fri Apr 15, 2016 9:05 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

general: crude subject to sun event should touch 2636-2618 cmp 2685

fall from ABC retrace ended at C = 39. 26/39. 4 nymex from where ending diagonal formed till 42 and today's gap down confirmed channel break. stop 2750.

big gap possible either side Monday.

[watch 2636 level ]
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amitagg
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Post: #614   PostPosted: Mon Apr 18, 2016 7:06 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

amitagg wrote:
general: crude subject to sun event should touch 2636-2618 cmp 2685

fall from ABC retrace ended at C = 39. 26/39. 4 nymex from where ending diagonal formed till 42 and today's gap down confirmed channel break. stop 2750.

big gap possible either side Monday.

[watch 2636 level ]



Did that Laughing and see that from 2544 it rose but did not clear 2636 level .... Just near Laughing

For brave hearts, despite 250 point fall in 2 days .......
It's becoming "new" " add" "sell" on closing below 2620-2636 today..... Cmp 2595

So one may enter "sell" with 4 lots ( or 4x multiples ) at near closing time today, unless
- closing below 2565......or
- closing above 2613

Stop 2655 to be refine later
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amitagg
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Post: #615   PostPosted: Tue Apr 19, 2016 7:33 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

below trade was not triggered.
bearishness negated with move above 2720 just a while back.. no shorts now till fresh signal. if sustains 2820 may.
waiting for fresh confirmation entry.
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