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Crude Oil Trader
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Author Crude Oil Trader
amitagg
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Joined: 01 Oct 2013
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Post: #76   PostPosted: Tue Feb 10, 2015 8:58 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

3180 hit....can hit 3140-3150-3160 and bounce intra day for 'long' 20-25 pointers. BUT real support only comes at 3060 levels.......since C wave can hit that and lower....next week.

amitagg wrote:
amitagg wrote:
amitagg wrote:
CMP 3254.....

seems like a Wedge break today and minor intra wedge break can happen below 5230.......

target 3340-3248= 90 -3248=3158......some 3170/3181......

also ABC retrace possible for C on "downside".....with C starting 3340
A ending 2960
B ending 3340......

but monthly weekly shall support at 3150-3170 levels......that's what

buy lower and sell higher for THIS week.....since crude not our of woods.....


can sell 3303....stop 3322.....good RR.....

or/ and 3289....stop 3322......shall conflict with Rahul target of 3303.....

so keep 3 trades separate......


bearishness working for intra day on self trades.......Rahul can trigger way down later......Rohan waiting very closely......for initiating the downtrend trigger..... 2guns

clearly breakdown is going to come......atleast stop is 3280 now....if anyone short......

also remember "timing is important''......selling lower riskier today as already intimated unless Rohan confirms down on hourly candle....below 3240.....

so only watch intra day and play for 15-20 pointers.....
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amitagg
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Post: #77   PostPosted: Wed Feb 11, 2015 9:00 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Real support of 3030-3060 has come only gap down tomorrow shall kill this support otherwise for today it should hold - intra long at 3047-3051

amitagg wrote:
3180 hit....can hit 3140-3150-3160 and bounce intra day for 'long' 20-25 pointers. BUT real support only comes at 3060 levels.......since C wave can hit that and lower....next week.

amitagg wrote:
amitagg wrote:
amitagg wrote:
CMP 3254.....

seems like a Wedge break today and minor intra wedge break can happen below 5230.......

target 3340-3248= 90 -3248=3158......some 3170/3181......

also ABC retrace possible for C on "downside".....with C starting 3340
A ending 2960
B ending 3340......

but monthly weekly shall support at 3150-3170 levels......that's what

buy lower and sell higher for THIS week.....since crude not our of woods.....


can sell 3303....stop 3322.....good RR.....

or/ and 3289....stop 3322......shall conflict with Rahul target of 3303.....

so keep 3 trades separate......


bearishness working for intra day on self trades.......Rahul can trigger way down later......Rohan waiting very closely......for initiating the downtrend trigger..... 2guns

clearly breakdown is going to come......atleast stop is 3280 now....if anyone short......

also remember "timing is important''......selling lower riskier today as already intimated unless Rohan confirms down on hourly candle....below 3240.....

so only watch intra day and play for 15-20 pointers.....
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amitagg
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Post: #78   PostPosted: Wed Feb 11, 2015 10:57 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

As expected 3060 starting range held with a whiplash on downside and cmp 3130....... Exited intra longs at 3090 level

Now holding above 3147-3160tf alone slightly bullish...... it seems we shall make lower highs to 3260/3350 and higher lows to 2720/2960

amitagg wrote:
Real support of 3030-3060 has come only gap down tomorrow shall kill this support otherwise for today it should hold - intra long at 3047-3051

amitagg wrote:
3180 hit....can hit 3140-3150-3160 and bounce intra day for 'long' 20-25 pointers. BUT real support only comes at 3060 levels.......since C wave can hit that and lower....next week.

amitagg wrote:
amitagg wrote:
amitagg wrote:
CMP 3254.....

seems like a Wedge break today and minor intra wedge break can happen below 5230.......

target 3340-3248= 90 -3248=3158......some 3170/3181......

also ABC retrace possible for C on "downside".....with C starting 3340
A ending 2960
B ending 3340......

but monthly weekly shall support at 3150-3170 levels......that's what

buy lower and sell higher for THIS week.....since crude not our of woods.....


can sell 3303....stop 3322.....good RR.....

or/ and 3289....stop 3322......shall conflict with Rahul target of 3303.....

so keep 3 trades separate......


bearishness working for intra day on self trades.......Rahul can trigger way down later......Rohan waiting very closely......for initiating the downtrend trigger..... 2guns

clearly breakdown is going to come......atleast stop is 3280 now....if anyone short......

also remember "timing is important''......selling lower riskier today as already intimated unless Rohan confirms down on hourly candle....below 3240.....

so only watch intra day and play for 15-20 pointers.....
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amitagg
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Post: #79   PostPosted: Sun Feb 15, 2015 8:55 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Shall look to buy the highs tomorrow if sustaining above 3280 and strength above 3335...... Target 3375/3425

Aggressive SL for longs (intra day) Can be 3250/3244...... Since it can then hit 3210/3222. Aggressive means one should always buy again lower.

Bearishness only below 3207 and stops for longer term positional buys if any at 3100 only ( targeting 3430 in first shot).....3150

It is in BUY mode only. ( though below 3253/3250 is can hit 30 points down)

Declines possible ONLY due to triangle pattern leg down to confuse the Bulls....... Though it should be considered ONLY in bullish territory for the week.

Shall use above levels to execute trading plan seeing price action tomorrow.

Point is higher priced buys shall give profit after a longer time and lower priced buys shall give profit earlier....... So one can space the buys if positional ......intra strategies pays better and gives relaxing time avoiding the opening gaps

If starts closing below 3100/3060 this time...... I would assume low of 2700 shall be broken.
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amitagg
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Post: #80   PostPosted: Mon Feb 16, 2015 5:24 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

3280/3250 were mentioned below- it remained stuck here for 6 hours
3244 was mentioned below - low 3245

Now to trade Rahul above 3310 Rohan if 3325 holds Rahul below 3245
( 3212 is support and gives 30 points if 3245 goes)

Bull resistance at 3325/3337/3378...... Do not short above 3325 ( even if see a fall)

amitagg wrote:
Shall look to buy the highs tomorrow if sustaining above 3280 and strength above 3335...... Target 3375/3425

Aggressive SL for longs (intra day) Can be 3250/3244...... Since it can then hit 3210/3222. Aggressive means one should always buy again lower.

Bearishness only below 3207 and stops for longer term positional buys if any at 3100 only ( targeting 3430 in first shot).....3150

It is in BUY mode only. ( though below 3253/3250 is can hit 30 points down)

Declines possible ONLY due to triangle pattern leg down to confuse the Bulls....... Though it should be considered ONLY in bullish territory for the week.

Shall use above levels to execute trading plan seeing price action tomorrow.

Point is higher priced buys shall give profit after a longer time and lower priced buys shall give profit earlier....... So one can space the buys if positional ......intra strategies pays better and gives relaxing time avoiding the opening gaps

If starts closing below 3100/3060 this time...... I would assume low of 2700 shall be broken.
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amitagg
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Post: #81   PostPosted: Thu Feb 19, 2015 5:50 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Till data at 9/930 shorts encouraged since given sell on Rohan during mid day.

It is likely to give and profit Rahul sell also after7.
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AMBY
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Post: #82   PostPosted: Thu Feb 19, 2015 7:15 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

WHAT IS NEXT TGT IN CRUDE?
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amitagg
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Post: #83   PostPosted: Thu Feb 19, 2015 7:54 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

AMBY wrote:
WHAT IS NEXT TGT IN CRUDE?


I am somewhat unwell and just trading basis Rahul and abstract calculation of Rohan levels derived in mind

Did not charts for few days and hence cannot give targets

If positional keep trailing and downside possibilities are still much more there.
( but I am basically an intr day trader and hence cannot guide you perfect
Ly)
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amitagg
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Post: #84   PostPosted: Thu Feb 19, 2015 11:10 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Cmp a while back 3250 March

1) either 5 leg triangle of wave B ended at 3128 today to target 3583/3668 on upside ( where A=C)

This positional buy to be confirmed on move abone 3340-3350 levels on some sustenance.

2) or Island reversal to play on downside
Rohan method has not confirmed a buy still from the sell mode it entered today
Confluence of long tailed candles in 3270-3330 region Feb series meant a down reversal which has played over past 2-3 days

Current sell mode
(One can sell 3250 and 3290 with stop at 3350 positional)
With clear reversal buy in place above 3350 levels to target point 1 target above ( everything is possible in market and 5 legged triangle may become 7 legged etc to further confuse.......)

Closing weekly tomorrow below 3190 March shall tilt towards sell unless Monday and Tuesday next week are both positive.

In this scenario while up target is given as per EW could not identify the downwave projections so logically would keep downside target as 2950 levels
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AMBY
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Post: #85   PostPosted: Fri Feb 20, 2015 9:12 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

THANKS FOR FRESH UPDATE,

I AM UNABLE TO LOCATE RAHUL'S POST.
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amitagg
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Post: #86   PostPosted: Fri Feb 20, 2015 10:53 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Market is showng resilience amidst odds and given the sharp fall over past few months can continue to rise till one starts getting bullish which no one is currently - ie even very short term players......

Cmp 3280 sustenance above 3300-3340 resistance shall give a firm push on the upside again.......in meantime market shall accumulate short sellers and force a sqUee off at 3580/3660 levels.........

Best strategy is to wait out and see where the tide swings rather than trying to guess
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amitagg
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Post: #87   PostPosted: Fri Feb 20, 2015 3:10 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

amitagg wrote:
Cmp a while back 3250 March

1) either 5 leg triangle of wave B ended at 3128 today to target 3583/3668 on upside ( where A=C)

This positional buy to be confirmed on move abone 3340-3350 levels on some sustenance.

2) or Island reversal to play on downside
Rohan method has not confirmed a buy still from the sell mode it entered today
Confluence of long tailed candles in 3270-3330 region Feb series meant a down reversal which has played over past 2-3 days

Current sell mode
(One can sell 3250 and 3290 with stop at 3350 positional)
With clear reversal buy in place above 3350 levels to target point 1 target above ( everything is possible in market and 5 legged triangle may become 7 legged etc to further confuse.......)

Closing weekly tomorrow below 3190 March shall tilt towards sell unless Monday and Tuesday next week are both positive.

In this scenario while up target is given as per EW could not identify the downwave projections so logically would keep downside target as 2950 levels


Trade suggested above : second lot to be closed now 3240 ......and stop for 3250 to be revised to 3300....(for no profit / loss and let one lot run on downside.....) or breakeven if it hits 3300....... Laughing

(see how different trades makes up market.....this jells with strategy above.....but just now Chandru sell has triggered....for more downside may be)
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amitagg
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Post: #88   PostPosted: Fri Feb 20, 2015 6:37 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Today only range bound action may be and selling highs and buying lows order of day without need for placing tight stop losses.......if see profit book...... If see loss wait and book at cost later......only intra day!!!!
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amitagg
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Post: #89   PostPosted: Fri Feb 20, 2015 7:21 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

amitagg wrote:
Today only range bound action may be and selling highs and buying lows order of day without need for placing tight stop losses.......if see profit book...... If see loss wait and book at cost later......only intra day!!!!


Not trading Rahul 7 pm even if 3295 goes today
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amitagg
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Post: #90   PostPosted: Fri Feb 20, 2015 7:34 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

amitagg wrote:
amitagg wrote:
Today only range bound action may be and selling highs and buying lows order of day without need for placing tight stop losses.......if see profit book...... If see loss wait and book at cost later......only intra day!!!!


Not trading Rahul 7 pm even if 3295 goes today


As expected selling highs paid off " regularly" ..... No of trades more..... Profit margin each trade less..... Laughing

CMp 3257.....hit 3288 etc a while back only
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