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Delta Phenonmenon |
opportunist
White Belt
Joined: 27 Apr 2010
Posts: 356
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Post: #16  Posted: Wed Feb 23, 2011 7:18 pm Post subject: Disclaimer |
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| No guarantee is given regarding the above prediction and anybody including myself and icharts management take NO responsibility for any trades undertaken based on the comments made herein. |
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opportunist
White Belt
Joined: 27 Apr 2010
Posts: 356
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| Post: #17 Posted: Fri Feb 25, 2011 10:24 am Post subject: silver today |
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| Second point (bottom) formed in silver. (warned before that the bottom will be short and quick in this bullish market). Now since point 3 (top) MUST form on or before 5th March 2011 I feel that by 5th March the market should top. Implication - Can go long till 3/4 March at least |
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opportunist
White Belt
Joined: 27 Apr 2010
Posts: 356
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| Post: #18 Posted: Wed Mar 02, 2011 1:16 pm Post subject: Nifty |
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| Guessing the next peak (point 2) ...should be BEFORE 5th March as per Delta. Since 5th March is not a trading day...likely to be on 4th March. This means that 7th March should see bears returning. |
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opportunist
White Belt
Joined: 27 Apr 2010
Posts: 356
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| Post: #19 Posted: Tue Mar 08, 2011 8:23 am Post subject: Half Moons too! |
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First things first - Prediction of 4th March as the local top (point 2) turns out as accurately as envisaged.
Many have asked what is the utility when the timing of other points are not predictable accurately. Attached chart tries to break that puzzle by introducing the half moon as a possible way out. |
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opportunist
White Belt
Joined: 27 Apr 2010
Posts: 356
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| Post: #20 Posted: Mon Mar 14, 2011 9:08 am Post subject: Prediction for 14th March 2011 |
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Full, New and half Moon Days are usual turning points as per Fig 1. That way 13th March 2011 is a half moon and since it is sunday, the next day, that is 14th March 11 shud be a turning point. Since last turning point was a high (9th March), this should be a low.
Having said that, there exists some bullish trend as exemplified in Chaikin money flow diagream in Fig.2. So doji or long tail on a green candle could result in the day.
However, the second nuclear explosion at Japan may have a negative effect on the market mood. |
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opportunist
White Belt
Joined: 27 Apr 2010
Posts: 356
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| Post: #21 Posted: Sun May 08, 2011 10:38 pm Post subject: Delta prediction for May |
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The markets are rising from 6th May 2011 onwards. On or after 11th May market will peak. It will then bottom out and start rising before 17th May.
This means between 11th May and 17th May we will see a peak and a bottom.
Market will keep rising on or before full moon on 17th May and will peak between 17th May and 25th May.
So one can go long till 11th May. Between 11th and 17th you may see a peak and a bottom and hence play accordingly. Also once it peaks on or after 17th May, short it till it reverses. |
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johnbest
White Belt
Joined: 10 Sep 2007
Posts: 7
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| Post: #22 Posted: Sun May 15, 2011 9:13 am Post subject: |
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Dear,
I hv seen all of your posts.. I mean Delta Phenomenon.  . And hv some questions for you -
1. As quoted (rather directly from his website)
Delta timing is a tool used to define momentum and future direction for any market.
By studying the unique price patterns of a market, a statistical formula is created called a solution.
Each market, like a fingerprint, has its own unique solution.
These solutions are created for specific time frames. The time frames and solutions were first developed by Welles Wilder and Jim Sloman in 1984. They include a 4-day cycle, a 4-month cycle, a 1-year cycle, a 4-year cycle and finally, a 19-year cycle.
So you get, in all 5 delta time frame... Right?
And yours are quite different from these...Right?
Could you elaborate more on your time frames?
I am not criticizing you and your efforts...  Just wanna know about it.
Have a nice day
John Best |
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vinay28
Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748
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| Post: #23 Posted: Sun May 15, 2011 11:41 am Post subject: |
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| I am confused too. In the month of May, Nifty bottom was on on 5th and 12th May and it rose sharply on 13th. Will it then continue to rise till 25th? |
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amitt29
White Belt
Joined: 28 Oct 2006
Posts: 2
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| Post: #24 Posted: Sun May 15, 2011 6:48 pm Post subject: |
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| New moon ke din log pagal ho jaate hain.hence lunar and lunacy. |
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opportunist
White Belt
Joined: 27 Apr 2010
Posts: 356
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| Post: #25 Posted: Sun May 15, 2011 10:45 pm Post subject: |
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| johnbest wrote: | Dear,
I hv seen all of your posts.. I mean Delta Phenomenon. . And hv some questions for you -
1. As quoted (rather directly from his website)
Delta timing is a tool used to define momentum and future direction for any market.
By studying the unique price patterns of a market, a statistical formula is created called a solution.
Each market, like a fingerprint, has its own unique solution.
These solutions are created for specific time frames. The time frames and solutions were first developed by Welles Wilder and Jim Sloman in 1984. They include a 4-day cycle, a 4-month cycle, a 1-year cycle, a 4-year cycle and finally, a 19-year cycle.
So you get, in all 5 delta time frame... Right?
And yours are quite different from these...Right?
Could you elaborate more on your time frames?
I am not criticizing you and your efforts... Just wanna know about it.
Have a nice day
John Best |
Mr. Best ,
Thanks for your interest. I am a novice in this field. Inspired by Wilder's book I tried to apply it on Nifty, merely trying to find a correlation in the alternate peaks and bottom vis-a-vis the period between the new moons (a 4 week cycle). So all my efforts are pretty much summarised in the graphs in my preceding post. I have not tried the 4 day, 4 month, 1 yr and 19 yr cycles. But since you mentioned them I may try to do some analysis on the 4 day and 4 month cycle as that may be useful to swing traders.
However, what I am really interested is to find out intraday applications of Delta phenomenon as most of the subscribers here are day traders. If you have any idea regarding the same kindly enlighten us.
Regards,
Opportunist |
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johnbest
White Belt
Joined: 10 Sep 2007
Posts: 7
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| Post: #26 Posted: Mon May 16, 2011 9:43 pm Post subject: hello |
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Dear,
Your efforts are quite marvelous... no doubt.
I am also new to Delta just have completed reading the book.
What I suggest is that, instead of applying to 4-day time frame, a 4 month time frame would do best... initially. And after having proficiency in 4 month time frame, we can jump to 4 day TF.
Another important factor of doing this will be ... the day traders wont loose.
Have a nice day
John Best |
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johnbest
White Belt
Joined: 10 Sep 2007
Posts: 7
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| Post: #27 Posted: Tue May 17, 2011 9:12 am Post subject: |
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DEAR
do you have the STUDY GUIDE for the same book?
I tried to find it but was unable to get...
Have a nice day
John Best |
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opportunist
White Belt
Joined: 27 Apr 2010
Posts: 356
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| Post: #28 Posted: Tue May 17, 2011 10:48 am Post subject: |
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| johnbest wrote: | DEAR
do you have the STUDY GUIDE for the same book?
I tried to find it but was unable to get...
Have a nice day
John Best |
Mr. Best,
I don't have any such guide. The language of the book is quite arcane I must admit, and deciphering it is the primary challenge to anyone trying to gain out of the knowledge contained in the book.
Regards,
Opportunist |
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johnbest
White Belt
Joined: 10 Sep 2007
Posts: 7
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| Post: #29 Posted: Tue May 17, 2011 11:10 am Post subject: |
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hmmm... right said.
I am trying to get that study guide. will let you know..
have a nice day
Jbest |
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singh.ravee
Yellow Belt
Joined: 12 Aug 2010
Posts: 678
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| Post: #30 Posted: Sat May 28, 2011 9:41 pm Post subject: |
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Hello everybody,
this study was forwarded to my by a friend. as its based upon lunar cycles, i thought that it will be of some interest to all those, who trade using lunar cycles.
thanks and regards
ravee |
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