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Diagonal Spreads - Discussion, Q&A, etc |
Gemini White Belt
Joined: 28 Apr 2009 Posts: 166
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Post: #151 Posted: Wed Jan 22, 2014 3:48 pm Post subject: |
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Dear ST,
Hello. Thanks for your patest post on selection of diagonal.
Today, NS closed just above the indicator that I use and turned bullish. However, considering 6363 NS as major res, I have decided to continue my bearish daigonal ( 63P March + 61P Feb). Loss is ~ 6%.
To protect against gap up / wild upswing, have added 63 Jan calls. I know that it is not part of diagonal set-up, but thought of sharing with you.
Happy Trading ! |
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SwingTrader Site Admin
Joined: 11 Aug 2006 Posts: 2903 Location: Hyderabad, India
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Post: #152 Posted: Wed Jan 22, 2014 6:28 pm Post subject: |
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Gemini wrote: | Dear ST,
Hello. Thanks for your patest post on selection of diagonal.
Today, NS closed just above the indicator that I use and turned bullish. However, considering 6363 NS as major res, I have decided to continue my bearish daigonal ( 63P March + 61P Feb). Loss is ~ 6%.
To protect against gap up / wild upswing, have added 63 Jan calls. I know that it is not part of diagonal set-up, but thought of sharing with you.
Happy Trading ! |
Thanks for sharing. Here are few suggestions:
- Your short triggered on 17th and a buy was triggered today. For trading diagonals the signals must not trigger this frequently. This is important as diagonals require time to work.
- For future trades, try and keep long ITM (especially you are nervous and might think of hedging if trade goes against you). Your long was ATM/OTM (based on FEB or MAR NF price)
- Don't hedge a diagonal unless it is part of a well thought out plan. Diagonals have built in hedge anyway - time decay. Just give it time to work.
I would also strongly advise monitoring ITM, ATM & OTM diagonals on paper, updated each day, to get a feel of how the P/L changes as price moves. Doing this for 2-3 months gives you valuable insights into trading & managing diagonals. _________________ Srikanth Kurdukar
@SwingTrader |
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Gemini White Belt
Joined: 28 Apr 2009 Posts: 166
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Post: #153 Posted: Wed Jan 22, 2014 7:31 pm Post subject: |
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Dear ST,
Sincere thanks. Excellent observations / suggestions. Will keep sharing as I manage few more such trades on this journey.
Idea of monitoring daily P/L on paper for several combination is great. Let me implement the same and share !
I hope to have fewer signals with the indicator that I have chosen. (Will also think through any other indicator which is can be effectively used only on daily TF as ant other TF is difficult for me to track)
Happy Trading ! |
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Gemini White Belt
Joined: 28 Apr 2009 Posts: 166
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Post: #154 Posted: Wed Jan 29, 2014 1:12 pm Post subject: |
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Dear ST,
Update on my bearish diagonal position:
I continued to hold the same (as I mentioned earlier, due to nearby resistance) and got benefitted ! ( My idea of hedge through 63C was bad and I got hurt, luckily not too much !).
I have moved my position from March 63P + Feb 61P to March 62P + Feb 60P. Current SL for this is NS going above 6174, after ~ 2.30 pm.
Thanks. |
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SwingTrader Site Admin
Joined: 11 Aug 2006 Posts: 2903 Location: Hyderabad, India
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Post: #155 Posted: Wed Jan 29, 2014 2:02 pm Post subject: |
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Gemini wrote: | Dear ST,
Update on my bearish diagonal position:
I continued to hold the same (as I mentioned earlier, due to nearby resistance) and got benefitted ! ( My idea of hedge through 63C was bad and I got hurt, luckily not too much !).
I have moved my position from March 63P + Feb 61P to March 62P + Feb 60P. Current SL for this is NS going above 6174, after ~ 2.30 pm.
Thanks. |
You are free to manage the diagonal as you wish but I feel 63-61 was a good position to hold as the diagonal had almost gone fully ITM.
Good luck! _________________ Srikanth Kurdukar
@SwingTrader |
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UMESH0909 White Belt
Joined: 02 Jul 2013 Posts: 139
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Post: #156 Posted: Wed Jan 29, 2014 2:33 pm Post subject: |
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Dear ST sir,
This( what Gemini did) kind of diagonal shift is closing one diagonal and initiating another diagonal, am I correct?
Should one do this kind of shift as it is similar diagonal to the original diagonal(means put was earlier also and in the changed one too)
Thanks,
Last edited by UMESH0909 on Wed Jan 29, 2014 2:48 pm; edited 1 time in total |
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UMESH0909 White Belt
Joined: 02 Jul 2013 Posts: 139
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Post: #157 Posted: Wed Jan 29, 2014 2:44 pm Post subject: |
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Dear ST sir,
As I am new to technical as well as trading. I might be wrong thats why the clarification needed.
I was just checking the the 60 min time frame and 13EMA and 89 EMA crossover. IF just after the crossover if I initiate the diagonal and after the another crossover or expiry (3 days before) close the diagonal. I find that if within 2-3 days there was not huge movement or a crossover. then there was 6-10% profit.
Am I missing something? please clarify.
Thanks |
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SwingTrader Site Admin
Joined: 11 Aug 2006 Posts: 2903 Location: Hyderabad, India
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Post: #158 Posted: Wed Jan 29, 2014 5:00 pm Post subject: |
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UMESH0909 wrote: | Dear ST sir,
This( what Gemini did) kind of diagonal shift is closing one diagonal and initiating another diagonal, am I correct?
Should one do this kind of shift as it is similar diagonal to the original diagonal(means put was earlier also and in the changed one too)
Thanks, |
No, it is not advisable to shift a diagonal. When you shift a diagonal, you are initiating a new trade that will be vulnerable to sudden reverse movement. The previous diagonal would actually better placed to absorb the reverse movement.
If a diagonal is profitable, you can close the short option and short another option closer to the long strike. This will protect part of the profits. _________________ Srikanth Kurdukar
@SwingTrader |
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SwingTrader Site Admin
Joined: 11 Aug 2006 Posts: 2903 Location: Hyderabad, India
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Post: #159 Posted: Wed Jan 29, 2014 5:06 pm Post subject: |
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UMESH0909 wrote: | Dear ST sir,
As I am new to technical as well as trading. I might be wrong thats why the clarification needed.
I was just checking the the 60 min time frame and 13EMA and 89 EMA crossover. IF just after the crossover if I initiate the diagonal and after the another crossover or expiry (3 days before) close the diagonal. I find that if within 2-3 days there was not huge movement or a crossover. then there was 6-10% profit.
Am I missing something? please clarify.
Thanks |
Please give me an exact example...just the dates that you looked at and I will check and let you know.
Opening and closing diagonals on each crossover is something that I have not checked. It could work, I am not sure. I will check and post later over the weekend if I find anything interesting. _________________ Srikanth Kurdukar
@SwingTrader |
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Gemini White Belt
Joined: 28 Apr 2009 Posts: 166
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Post: #160 Posted: Wed Jan 29, 2014 6:22 pm Post subject: |
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Dear ST,
Thanks for your inputs. (Also Covered in response to Umesh's query).
Q1 : Let us say, I was holding 63+61. To protect profit, do you advise to cover 61 and short 62 ? In that case, 62 will be ITM, limiting future profit ! (May be I have not understood well).
Q2: Per my understanding, when you say OTM, ATM, ITM, you refer only to the long strike price, right ? or you indent to have both strike proce ITM ?
Please respond at your convenience. This my my learning phase !
Happy Trading ! |
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SwingTrader Site Admin
Joined: 11 Aug 2006 Posts: 2903 Location: Hyderabad, India
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Post: #161 Posted: Wed Jan 29, 2014 6:37 pm Post subject: |
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Gemini wrote: | Dear ST,
Thanks for your inputs. (Also Covered in response to Umesh's query).
Q1 : Let us say, I was holding 63+61. To protect profit, do you advise to cover 61 and short 62 ? In that case, 62 will be ITM, limiting future profit ! (May be I have not understood well).
Q2: Per my understanding, when you say OTM, ATM, ITM, you refer only to the long strike price, right ? or you indent to have both strike proce ITM ?
Please respond at your convenience. This my my learning phase !
Happy Trading ! |
I think it is a trade off between protecting profits vs repositioning to capture more probable profits (if trend continues). But this exposes one to significant losses if price reverses immediately (the original diagonal if left alone would have been in a better position to handle the reversal). So it is going to be the trader's decision. There is no wrong or right here.
In most cases to capture profits from continuing trend I prefer to add additional diagonal instead of adjusting the profitable diagonal. But in case expiry nears then I close the short and short a nearer option to the long strike to protect profits. I don't do this often, I do it just in case I have a strong conviction of trend continuing until expiry or at least staying sideways. _________________ Srikanth Kurdukar
@SwingTrader |
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Gemini White Belt
Joined: 28 Apr 2009 Posts: 166
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Post: #162 Posted: Thu Jan 30, 2014 6:26 pm Post subject: |
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Dear ST,
Now I understand your suggestion of "covering the short and shorting a nearer option" !
Today, gap down opening gave me an opportunity to carry out that adjustment. I covered by Feb 60P short and initiated fresh short of Feb 61P (and pocked profit) , while maintaining March 62P as long. I expect market to be green for a few days ( price is near support, near BB(20) low and also made a nice PIN bar today). I expect to gain on Feb short and at the same time, maintain bearish outlook till I get buy signal ( current SL 6139).
Happy Trading ! |
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drsuhask White Belt
Joined: 09 Dec 2009 Posts: 9
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Post: #163 Posted: Mon Feb 03, 2014 10:12 pm Post subject: New bearish trade. |
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Dear ST Sir,
This is for my learning. I read all posts again from beginning of this thread. According to your recent updates in TA for this diagonal trade, there should be bullish or bearish cross-over of 13/233 EMA first followed by closing of nifty above or below the major pivot. Please let me know whether the bearish trade has initiated on 28/01/2014 and whether we have got fresh entry today.
Also I studied your excel-sheet. In it , I found that if the spread is costing us less than 100 rupee or more than 200 rupee , we had loss in majority of incidences. But if the spread is costing us more than & around 100 rupee, we had maximum profit. Please let me know the profit or loss is related to initial cost of the spread.
Dr.Suhas Kothavale. |
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SwingTrader Site Admin
Joined: 11 Aug 2006 Posts: 2903 Location: Hyderabad, India
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Post: #164 Posted: Tue Feb 04, 2014 9:49 am Post subject: Re: New bearish trade. |
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drsuhask wrote: | Dear ST Sir,
This is for my learning. I read all posts again from beginning of this thread. According to your recent updates in TA for this diagonal trade, there should be bullish or bearish cross-over of 13/233 EMA first followed by closing of nifty above or below the major pivot. Please let me know whether the bearish trade has initiated on 28/01/2014 and whether we have got fresh entry today.
Also I studied your excel-sheet. In it , I found that if the spread is costing us less than 100 rupee or more than 200 rupee , we had loss in majority of incidences. But if the spread is costing us more than & around 100 rupee, we had maximum profit. Please let me know the profit or loss is related to initial cost of the spread.
Dr.Suhas Kothavale. |
Yes, bearish trade triggered on 28th at market close (based on NS) so one could have initiated the trade on 29th.
I don't think the cost of the spread matters at all. What significantly matters is, if your position is OTM or ITM-OTM or ITM. Most of the time I initiate ITM-OTM (ITM long and OTM short). P/L will completely depend on what the price does after you initiate the position. If your position is ITM-OTM or ITM then you will profit in case of sideways to up move (for bullish trades and vice versa for bearish trades). _________________ Srikanth Kurdukar
@SwingTrader |
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shekharinvest Yellow Belt
Joined: 21 Dec 2007 Posts: 549
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Post: #165 Posted: Fri Feb 07, 2014 10:05 am Post subject: |
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The diagonals do have an edge over verticals but what I have observed, since the beginning of the thread by ST, in diagonals liquidity is a huge problem even in NIFTY and also spreads (ask/bid) are huge when there are sufficient orders which eats away some of the profits say 5 to 10 rs on each leg.
Posted below is the scrshot of 6300 & 6200 PE for march series on Friday Feb 07, 2014 at 9:35 AM NS 6070. Those who are in bearish position since Jan 29 they will find that there are virtually not takers for the given strike if one wishes to square off the position. Note the last traded price on 6300 PE is 290 and there is only one order at the given moment at 242. The situation would have been worse on tuesday when NIFTY was about 5950.
I agree that as per setup there is no reason to close the position but some would like to book partially.
ST your comments and experience would be highly appreciated.
SHEKHAR |
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