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FNO Analysis |
vinay28
Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010
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Post: #31  Posted: Mon Mar 18, 2013 2:57 pm Post subject: |
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wow, what an fno analysis!  |
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skd2012
Yellow Belt
Joined: 03 Oct 2012
Posts: 948
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| Post: #32 Posted: Mon Mar 18, 2013 3:12 pm Post subject: |
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| sw_das wrote: | | apka wrote: | | build up in fno is suggesting 5850 spot should come intraday. 5825 now. |
Good one apka. I feel it will close flat on intraday (5850 NF around or a bit lower). May be higher level tomorrow. But hope it does not get dragged to 5800 today towards the close  |
It has come down in expected line.. 
Not 100% sure, but good chance of gap up tomorrow!!
But my guess is no rate cut tomorrow. |
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vinay28
Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748
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| Post: #33 Posted: Mon Mar 18, 2013 3:14 pm Post subject: |
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and I am thinking about gap down open tmrw. I have hedged already after booking half of my calls. Still it's 2:1 ratio in favour of CEs, which I am not very happy about. So gap up open will be better for me.
Last edited by vinay28 on Mon Mar 18, 2013 3:17 pm; edited 1 time in total |
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skd2012
Yellow Belt
Joined: 03 Oct 2012
Posts: 948
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| Post: #34 Posted: Mon Mar 18, 2013 3:17 pm Post subject: |
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I think we will gap up due to Asia tomorrow. May touch 5900 around...but not 100% sure...
but intra might be down....
Yes better to be hedged...
There will be severe contraction of option value after RBI policy....so be bit careful with option buy side
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apka
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Joined: 13 Dec 2011
Posts: 6137
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| Post: #35 Posted: Mon Mar 18, 2013 3:19 pm Post subject: |
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| vinay28 wrote: | | and I am thinking about gap down oen tmrw. I have hedged already after booking half of my calls. Still it's 2:1 ratio in favour of CEs, which I am not very happy about |
didnt get the 2:1 thing? |
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vinay28
Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748
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| Post: #36 Posted: Mon Mar 18, 2013 3:20 pm Post subject: |
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my CEs are double that of my PEs.
Gap down tmrw because asia will be donw since dow fut are 1% down |
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rk_a2003
Black Belt
Joined: 21 Jan 2010
Posts: 2734
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| Post: #37 Posted: Mon Mar 18, 2013 3:21 pm Post subject: |
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| vinay28 wrote: | | and I am thinking about gap down oen tmrw. I have hedged already after booking half of my calls. Still it's 2:1 ratio in favour of CEs, which I am not very happy about |
What is Cyprus cascading effect?not yet clear, once that is cleared then possible way of world markets can be guessed atleast in short term.Cyprus is a tyny country but I think it's like Mauritius of Europe.
Europe and US are recovering with a hope that the cascading effect is going to be minimum.Who knows?! |
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SP50
Brown Belt
Joined: 26 Nov 2010
Posts: 1615
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| Post: #38 Posted: Mon Mar 18, 2013 3:32 pm Post subject: |
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| rk_a2003 wrote: | | vinay28 wrote: | | and I am thinking about gap down oen tmrw. I have hedged already after booking half of my calls. Still it's 2:1 ratio in favour of CEs, which I am not very happy about |
What is Cyprus cascading effect?not yet clear, once that is cleared then possible way of world markets can be guessed atleast in short term.Cyprus is a tyny country but I think it's like Mauritius of Europe.
Europe and US are recovering with a hope that the cascading effect is going to be minimum.Who knows?! |
Cyprus issue is just a pin in the haystack 
Unless most of the black money lies there |
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saumya12
Brown Belt
Joined: 21 Dec 2011
Posts: 1509
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| Post: #39 Posted: Mon Mar 18, 2013 9:49 pm Post subject: |
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Today an NR7 day.
A big range (100-150 points) is possible tomorrow. |
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apka
Black Belt
Joined: 13 Dec 2011
Posts: 6137
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| Post: #40 Posted: Mon Mar 18, 2013 9:58 pm Post subject: |
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| Saumya, this NR7 thing is happening quite often these days. Since we have not been able to breach earlier high and are testing level near 6000 and falling again and again, is it indicative of anything from forthcoming trend's point of view? |
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vinay28
Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748
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| Post: #41 Posted: Mon Mar 18, 2013 10:13 pm Post subject: |
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| apka, just see today's candle of nifty, bank nifty, some private banks and also some other stocks. A big move is likely, even on +ve side. |
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apka
Black Belt
Joined: 13 Dec 2011
Posts: 6137
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| Post: #42 Posted: Mon Mar 18, 2013 10:17 pm Post subject: |
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| vinay28 wrote: | | apka, just see today's candle of nifty, bank nifty, some private banks and also some other stocks. A big move is likely, even on +ve side. |
ok will check. SBIN indicators are suggesting upmove with 2290-2300 being resistence, if it crosses then I guess market is in for upside. |
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vinay28
Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748
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| Post: #43 Posted: Mon Mar 18, 2013 10:18 pm Post subject: |
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| yes even LT is different |
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skd2012
Yellow Belt
Joined: 03 Oct 2012
Posts: 948
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| Post: #44 Posted: Tue Mar 19, 2013 9:28 am Post subject: |
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| sw_das wrote: |
There will be severe contraction of option value after RBI policy....so be bit careful with option buy side
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Look at contraction in 5800 PE and 5900 CE. Almost -15% in opening itself!! |
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skd2012
Yellow Belt
Joined: 03 Oct 2012
Posts: 948
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| Post: #45 Posted: Tue Mar 19, 2013 10:36 am Post subject: |
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| apka, your F&O analysis at this moment? |
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