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From which Method early trend change should get found |
Moving Averages |
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16% |
[ 31 ] |
Indicators |
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11% |
[ 22 ] |
Candelstics |
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33% |
[ 63 ] |
Mov Avg with Indicators |
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21% |
[ 40 ] |
Breakout Trading |
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17% |
[ 34 ] |
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Total Votes : 190 |
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How to catch early TREND REVERSAL |
vikasdangri83 White Belt
Joined: 03 Nov 2010 Posts: 27
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Post: #61 Posted: Thu Feb 20, 2014 10:36 am Post subject: |
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sir what value we take for haikin ashi chart. for daily chart and hourly chart. |
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systrader White Belt
Joined: 25 Apr 2013 Posts: 129
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Post: #62 Posted: Thu Feb 20, 2014 8:13 pm Post subject: Strategy #1 |
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STRATEGY 1 Day Trading Breakout
No matter if the market is trending or aimlessly floating sideways, there will always be breakouts in the morning. A breakout is defined when a stock gaps up or down on high volume first thing on the open. These types of moves are almost always related to a news event.
Day Trading Breakout Rules
1. Stock gaps up or down on high volume.
2. Wait for a trading range to develop between 9:30 and 9:50.
3. Buy or sell short the breakout of the morning range high/low sometime between 9:50 am and 10:10 am.
4. Have a predetermined profit target for your position. Your profit target should be in alignment with the volatility of the stock.
5. You must have a stop loss order. Stop is a maximum of 2% and look to exit trades if they are not profitable once the 11 am time strikes.
6. You may be thinking what’s up with the time references? Day trading is fast, so you only have a set amount of time to capitalize on each trade. At 11 am the number of participants in the market drops off dramatically and you will find it very difficult to trade breakouts. So, get in and out in a hurry; time is not on your side.
Trader Profile – Day Trading Breakout
1. Expects quick returns
2. Perceives volatility as their friend
3. Able to make trading decisions in a matter of seconds
4. Less concerned with riding the trend and more attracted to making quick profits before the trend reverses course
Thanks
@SYSTRADER
Last edited by systrader on Mon Feb 24, 2014 8:27 pm; edited 2 times in total |
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sambhaji_t White Belt
Joined: 31 Mar 2008 Posts: 135
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Post: #63 Posted: Thu Feb 20, 2014 9:01 pm Post subject: Re: Strategy #1 |
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[quote="systrader"]#1 Day Trading Breakout
Thanks for starting such valuable training. |
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systrader White Belt
Joined: 25 Apr 2013 Posts: 129
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Post: #64 Posted: Fri Feb 21, 2014 1:16 pm Post subject: Re: Strategy #1 |
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[quote="sambhaji_t"] systrader wrote: | #1 Day Trading Breakout
Thanks for starting such valuable training. |
WELCOME
@SYSTRADER |
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systrader White Belt
Joined: 25 Apr 2013 Posts: 129
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Post: #65 Posted: Fri Feb 21, 2014 6:45 pm Post subject: Re: Strategy #1 |
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systrader wrote: | #1 Day Trading Breakout
No matter if the market is trending or aimlessly floating sideways, there will always be breakouts in the morning. A breakout is defined when a stock gaps up or down on high volume first thing on the open. These types of moves are almost always related to a news event.
Day Trading Breakout Rules
Stock gaps up or down on high volume.
Wait for a trading range to develop between 9:30 and 9:50.
Buy or sell short the breakout of the morning range high/low sometime between 9:50 am and 10:10 am.
Have a predetermined profit target for your position. Your profit target should be in alignment with the volatility of the stock.
You must have a stop loss order. Stop is a maximum of 2% and look to exit trades if they are not profitable once the 11 am time strikes.
You may be thinking what’s up with the time references? Day trading is fast, so you only have a set amount of time to capitalize on each trade. At 11 am the number of participants in the market drops off dramatically and you will find it very difficult to trade breakouts. So, get in and out in a hurry; time is not on your side.
Trader Profile – Day Trading Breakout
Expects quick returns
Perceives volatility as their friend
Able to make trading decisions in a matter of seconds
Less concerned with riding the trend and more attracted to making quick profits before the trend reverses course
Thanks
@SYSTRADER |
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systrader White Belt
Joined: 25 Apr 2013 Posts: 129
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Post: #66 Posted: Mon Feb 24, 2014 8:14 pm Post subject: Strategy #2 |
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STRATEGY 2 Fade the Breakout
Your ability to accurately pre-screen a breakout will determine how often the stock will continue in the direction of the primary trend. I have been able to successfully introduce the concept of volatility into my trading system which has greatly increased my overall win rate.
If you are just buying and selling any and every breakout, then your success rate will likely land around 50%. So, the takeaway from this statistic is there are just as many failing breakouts as ones that will continue trending.
I’m a firm believer you should profit off of the failed breakout attempts as well.
Fade the breakout rules
1. Stock gaps up or down on high volume.
2. Wait for a trading range to develop between 9:30 and 9:45.
3. If the stock gaps up, the first 15-minute range high cannot be breached. Conversely, if the stock gaps down, the first 15-minute range low cannot be breached.
4. Buy or sell the break of the trading range between 9:45 and 10:10 in the opposite direction of the gap.
5. The profit target is the closure of the gap.
6. Stop loss is below the high or low of the morning range, depending on the direction of the gap.
Trader Profile – Fade the breakout
Expects quick returns
1. Perceives Volatility as their friend
2. Able to make trading decisions in a matter of seconds
3. Enjoys the idea of going counter to the trend
4. Loves to punish other traders that jump in a trade too soon.
Thanks
@SYSTRADER |
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systrader White Belt
Joined: 25 Apr 2013 Posts: 129
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Post: #67 Posted: Thu Feb 27, 2014 7:35 pm Post subject: Re: Strategy #2 |
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systrader wrote: | STRATEGY 2 Fade the Breakout
Your ability to accurately pre-screen a breakout will determine how often the stock will continue in the direction of the primary trend. I have been able to successfully introduce the concept of volatility into my trading system which has greatly increased my overall win rate.
If you are just buying and selling any and every breakout, then your success rate will likely land around 50%. So, the takeaway from this statistic is there are just as many failing breakouts as ones that will continue trending.
I’m a firm believer you should profit off of the failed breakout attempts as well.
Fade the breakout rules
1. Stock gaps up or down on high volume.
2. Wait for a trading range to develop between 9:30 and 9:45.
3. If the stock gaps up, the first 15-minute range high cannot be breached. Conversely, if the stock gaps down, the first 15-minute range low cannot be breached.
4. Buy or sell the break of the trading range between 9:45 and 10:10 in the opposite direction of the gap.
5. The profit target is the closure of the gap.
6. Stop loss is below the high or low of the morning range, depending on the direction of the gap.
Trader Profile – Fade the breakout
Expects quick returns
1. Perceives Volatility as their friend
2. Able to make trading decisions in a matter of seconds
3. Enjoys the idea of going counter to the trend
4. Loves to punish other traders that jump in a trade too soon.
Thanks
@SYSTRADER |
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systrader White Belt
Joined: 25 Apr 2013 Posts: 129
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Post: #68 Posted: Sun Mar 02, 2014 7:50 pm Post subject: Strategy #3 |
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STRATEGY 3 Trading Ranges
Believe it or not, there are trading ranges that can develop intraday. It’s hard for people to think of day trading in terms of ranges, because most people assume day trading is some wild man’s game with flashing lights bouncing off the screen.
I personally could not make money trading ranges. It’s not that ranges don’t work; they just didn’t work for me. The slowness of the moves and the fact I had to trade with larger sums of money to achieve the same profits made me uneasy. I would close trades well before they had time to develop. You may not have these issues, so review the trading range rules and see if you have found a match for your trading style.
Trading Ranges Rules
1. Stocks volume should be light compared to the morning’s trading volume.
2. Identify a discernible high low range between 9:30 am and 11:00 am. 3. This may not always correlate to the high low of the day; just make sure you have identified the primary range.
4. Range should be a minimum of 1% from high to low. This will give you enough profit to cover commissions and the inherit risk that comes with any trade.
5. Open new positions between 11:00 am and 2:00 pm.
6. Buy the low of the range and sell the high of the range.
7. Profit target is again the high and low of the range.
8. Stop Loss is relative to the size of the range. A rule of thumb is you do not want to see the range exceeded by .20% of its value. So, if a range is 2%, you do not want to see the stock move out of the range by more than .4%.
Trader Profile – Ranges
1. Slow to react
2. Likes to perform thorough analysis over the course of a few minutes to a few hours
3. Views volatility as unwanted risk
4. Seeks to limit risk by placing tight stops
5. Gravitates towards a clear trading channel versus sloping lines and other geometric shapes
6. Is okay with placing multiple trades for the same stock
With Thanks
@SYSTRADER(Happy Trading) |
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systrader White Belt
Joined: 25 Apr 2013 Posts: 129
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Post: #69 Posted: Wed Mar 05, 2014 8:11 pm Post subject: Re: Strategy #3 |
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systrader wrote: | STRATEGY 3 Trading Ranges
Believe it or not, there are trading ranges that can develop intraday. It’s hard for people to think of day trading in terms of ranges, because most people assume day trading is some wild man’s game with flashing lights bouncing off the screen.
I personally could not make money trading ranges. It’s not that ranges don’t work; they just didn’t work for me. The slowness of the moves and the fact I had to trade with larger sums of money to achieve the same profits made me uneasy. I would close trades well before they had time to develop. You may not have these issues, so review the trading range rules and see if you have found a match for your trading style.
Trading Ranges Rules
1. Stocks volume should be light compared to the morning’s trading volume.
2. Identify a discernible high low range between 9:30 am and 11:00 am. 3. This may not always correlate to the high low of the day; just make sure you have identified the primary range.
4. Range should be a minimum of 1% from high to low. This will give you enough profit to cover commissions and the inherit risk that comes with any trade.
5. Open new positions between 11:00 am and 2:00 pm.
6. Buy the low of the range and sell the high of the range.
7. Profit target is again the high and low of the range.
8. Stop Loss is relative to the size of the range. A rule of thumb is you do not want to see the range exceeded by .20% of its value. So, if a range is 2%, you do not want to see the stock move out of the range by more than .4%.
Trader Profile – Ranges
1. Slow to react
2. Likes to perform thorough analysis over the course of a few minutes to a few hours
3. Views volatility as unwanted risk
4. Seeks to limit risk by placing tight stops
5. Gravitates towards a clear trading channel versus sloping lines and other geometric shapes
6. Is okay with placing multiple trades for the same stock
With Thanks
@SYSTRADER(Happy Trading) |
Are the articles prooving benificial to any one or worthless ???????? |
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drsureshbs White Belt
Joined: 22 Oct 2008 Posts: 58
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Post: #70 Posted: Thu Mar 06, 2014 1:13 am Post subject: |
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Pl carry on. very informative |
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systrader White Belt
Joined: 25 Apr 2013 Posts: 129
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Post: #71 Posted: Wed Mar 19, 2014 10:14 pm Post subject: Strategy #4 |
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STRATEGY 4 Late Day Breakout
At the end of the day around 2 pm the volatility picks up again in the market. This is where traders return from lunch and are looking to enter or close positions in preparation for the next trading day. This is a great trading opportunity for active traders as the high low ranges set earlier in the day are breached.
Again, I only trade the mornings, largely because I will over trade if given the opportunity, but if you are a volatility trader after 2 pm is when you can get back into the game.
Late Day Breakout Rules
1. The stock exceeds the morning range with an increase in volume after 2 pm.
2. The stock is able to clear the range by .2%.
3. Profit target is the size of the move that preceded the trading range.
4. Stop loss is the middle of the range. This would imply the stock failed on the breakout attempt and is now falling back inside of the range from the morning.
Trader Profile – Late Day Breakout
1. Slow to react
2. Likes to perform thorough analysis over the course of a few minutes to a few hours
3. Likes volatility
4. Enjoys riding the trend into the close.
With Thanks
@SYSTRADER(Happy Trading) |
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systrader White Belt
Joined: 25 Apr 2013 Posts: 129
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Post: #72 Posted: Sat Mar 22, 2014 10:06 am Post subject: Re: Strategy #4 |
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systrader wrote: | STRATEGY 4 Late Day Breakout
At the end of the day around 2 pm the volatility picks up again in the market. This is where traders return from lunch and are looking to enter or close positions in preparation for the next trading day. This is a great trading opportunity for active traders as the high low ranges set earlier in the day are breached.
Again, I only trade the mornings, largely because I will over trade if given the opportunity, but if you are a volatility trader after 2 pm is when you can get back into the game.
Late Day Breakout Rules
1. The stock exceeds the morning range with an increase in volume after 2 pm.
2. The stock is able to clear the range by .2%.
3. Profit target is the size of the move that preceded the trading range.
4. Stop loss is the middle of the range. This would imply the stock failed on the breakout attempt and is now falling back inside of the range from the morning.
Trader Profile – Late Day Breakout
1. Slow to react
2. Likes to perform thorough analysis over the course of a few minutes to a few hours
3. Likes volatility
4. Enjoys riding the trend into the close.
With Thanks
@SYSTRADER(Happy Trading) |
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chandrujimrc Brown Belt
Joined: 21 Apr 2009 Posts: 1683
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Post: #73 Posted: Sat Mar 22, 2014 12:53 pm Post subject: |
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Dear systrader,
Post: #32 PostPosted: 12 Feb 2014 21:44 Post subject: Signal that works in every market Reply with quote
The AUROPHARMA perfect Sell @ 508 for TGT of 490
The only signal that works in Each and Every Market whether Trending or Range bound(Trading) with high Degree of Success Probability
Sir, pl explain how did you have decided to sell @ 508 for tgt of 490. |
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chetan83 Brown Belt
Joined: 19 Feb 2010 Posts: 2036
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Post: #74 Posted: Sat Mar 22, 2014 1:23 pm Post subject: |
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Hi,
please share live trading set-up daily, so that users can compare the result...
Regards,
Chetan. |
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systrader White Belt
Joined: 25 Apr 2013 Posts: 129
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Post: #75 Posted: Mon Mar 31, 2014 8:59 pm Post subject: Strategy #5 |
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STRATEGY 5 Trading the Flag
A flag is a classic technical analysis pattern that predates anyone reading this article. If you are unfamiliar with the pattern it’s a sloping rectangular formation that occurs after a strong move. The primary characteristics of the formation are an increase in volume with a sharp price move. The stock then begins to consolidate in a range pattern that goes counter to the trend and volume completely dries up.
While I do not trade flags, I do like the fact the formation is soundly based on price and volume principles.
Flag Rules
1. Stock needs to breakout with high volume
2. A sloping rectangular range will develop with a minimum of 4 candlesticks
3. Open new positions on a breakout above or below the range
4. The profit target is the same length of the move that preceded the flag formation
5. Stops should be placed below the low of the range if going long and above the high of the range if going short
Trader Profile – Flags
1. Less concerned with a particular time of day and more focused on trading the setup
2. Likes to see a number of inside bars and consolidation patterns before a continuation move
3. Enjoys riding the primary trend to profits, regardless if this takes a few minutes or a few hours
4. Only looking to trade a stock once, in order to reap the rewards of the next major move
With Thanks
@SYSTRADER(Happy Trading) |
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