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How to Earn from Nifty Future, Nifty Weekly & Monthly op |
t00051 White Belt
Joined: 11 Aug 2008 Posts: 61 Location: Tirupur
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Post: #31 Posted: Mon Jul 06, 2020 11:54 pm Post subject: |
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Strategies - A paper trading is better way to master Stock market knowledge. Everyone should do paper trading before enter the market.
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Market Outlook
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Unless Nifty cuts and stays below 10570, Nifty has fare chance to touch 11500 in just 8 days. on 17 July. AEOM
Shorterm
(Call # 1/15) July month
There is a short sell opportunity created at closing time. Expecting a small retracement tomorrow and day after tomorrow, to touch 10570. If Cuts and closes below 10570, everybody will become panic again.
Trend Strategy Calls - Based on indicators
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No Calls
Trend Lock Strategy Calls - This is totally like Lottery, no strategy involved
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No Calls
Trend Reversal Strategy Calls - Based on market observation
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July 10600 PE Buy @ 283
July 10200 PE Sell @ 143
July 10000 PE Sell @ 100
(Stoploss 3000 Rs. Position will become long, once Nifty goes below 9650). To earn 15000 Rs, we need to wait for 25 days and Nifty must expire @ 10350 . But the 3000 Rs loss will be immediate, if market goes up by 200 points. If you are a weak heartened for stop loss but a lion in observing the loss for holding positions, then trade this. This position is already in 3000 Rs loss.
or
Short Nifty @ or > 10760 pts. Stoploss 10960 pts (15000 Rs stoploss) Target 10560 pts. 15000 Rs profit can come in 5 hours from tomorrow market open. Likewise 15000 Rs loss can also come in 5 hours. If you are a lion trade this. |
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t00051 White Belt
Joined: 11 Aug 2008 Posts: 61 Location: Tirupur
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Post: #32 Posted: Tue Jul 07, 2020 5:03 pm Post subject: #1/15 July |
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Strategies - artist A paper trading is better way to master Stock market knowledge. Everyone should do paper trading before enter the market.
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Market Outlook
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Unless Nifty cuts and stays below 10650, Nifty has fare chance to touch 11500 in just 7 days. on 17 July.
Shorterm
(Call # 2/15) July month
Nifty is back to the buying trend , and unless it trades below 10670, its a buy. So call #2 is a buy 11300 CE @ 45 Rs. I know it is going to expire worthless.. But what can you do for a stoploss of 3500 Rs? You will get 1000 Rs when market moves to 10850 by next week. And it will become 3000 Rs profit when market hits 11000 (+300 points) by next week.
I told you all, I anlaysed it, you can get only 1000 Rs profit for 100 points movement when you take 3500 Rs stop loss with one month expiry contract, using any options strategy in that direction. You saw, for the Call # 1, there was 100 points down profit, and it gave 1000 Rs profit for the PUT buy&sell combination.
So basically Call #1 is a success for the players who executed for 1000 Rs profit with 3500 Rs stop loss, using option strategies. But you see, Greedy, makes us to hold to it, because your inner mind says, our calculation is correct for 100 points, but we are getting peanuts. And dont want to settle with the peanuts. Either big profit or let options to expire worthless. So the position is continuing. But what we did not realized is we also dont want risk more than 3500 Rs. 1000 Rs profit is good, but who is listening. Nobody.
(Call # 1/15) July month
There is a short sell opportunity created at closing time. Expecting a small retracement tomorrow and day after tomorrow, to touch 10570. If Cuts and closes below 10570, everybody will become panic again. _________________ Thiyagu |
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t00051 White Belt
Joined: 11 Aug 2008 Posts: 61 Location: Tirupur
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Post: #33 Posted: Thu Jul 09, 2020 12:31 pm Post subject: |
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Grinding master has to get out now and Get Ready for 100 pts up/down. I bet it is going to be up so that Call # 2 will become success. _________________ Thiyagu |
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t00051 White Belt
Joined: 11 Aug 2008 Posts: 61 Location: Tirupur
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Post: #34 Posted: Thu Jul 09, 2020 3:56 pm Post subject: |
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Market cheats for the Call #2 - The 11300 CE option is not giving 1000 Rs profit eventhough market up by 80 points. They cannot cheat for long. Market still in buy trend let us c Tomorrow. Unless market cuts below 10670, market is intact to touch 11400 by next week end. I strongly believe that. |
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t00051 White Belt
Joined: 11 Aug 2008 Posts: 61 Location: Tirupur
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Post: #35 Posted: Fri Jul 10, 2020 11:07 am Post subject: |
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Yeah, its short term sell now. we cannot say what market should do. we need to do what market does. Market is shaping up on a direction, but we dont know what the direction is. There will be major movement in coming days 1 to 3 days. We have no other choice
Call #3 Sell Nifty 10750
stoploss 10950
or Buy 10600 PE @ 162
or Buy 10600 PE @162
Sell 10200 PE @ 62
Sell 10000 PE @ 40
It will make a buy position when market is @ 9650. It will give profit only on Expiry date if the market is between 10500 to 9750. Otherwise its a matter of 3500 Rs stoploss. _________________ Thiyagu |
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Alok Tewari White Belt
Joined: 02 Oct 2006 Posts: 41
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Post: #36 Posted: Fri Jul 10, 2020 11:54 am Post subject: |
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t00051 wrote: | Yeah, its short term sell now. we cannot say what market should do. we need to do what market does. Market is shaping up on a direction, but we dont know what the direction is. There will be major movement in coming days 1 to 3 days. We have no other choice
Call #3 Sell Nifty 10750
stoploss 10950
or Buy 10600 PE @ 162
or Buy 10600 PE @162
Sell 10200 PE @ 62
Sell 10000 PE @ 40
It will make a buy position when market is @ 9650. It will give profit only on Expiry date if the market is between 10500 to 9750. Otherwise its a matter of 3500 Rs stoploss. |
So market is not touching 11400 next week ?
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t00051 White Belt
Joined: 11 Aug 2008 Posts: 61 Location: Tirupur
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Post: #37 Posted: Fri Jul 10, 2020 1:00 pm Post subject: |
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So market is not touching 11400 next week ?
[/quote]
There is only two way in market. Either goes up or comes down. Look at it. How simple is it?
I am betting on 11400, because market is not trading below either 10570 and 10670. So there is greater probability to touch 11400 after that all bears will be in fear and short covering will take to 12100.
Why we should be in hurry to say 11400 not touching unless market is below 10570? |
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t00051 White Belt
Joined: 11 Aug 2008 Posts: 61 Location: Tirupur
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Post: #38 Posted: Fri Jul 10, 2020 3:29 pm Post subject: |
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For each call I am getting 50 points to 100 points, but that is not helping to make big profit. only peanuts, so could not exit.
What can I do, market says to buy now, So now Call # 4 is a buy 11300 CE @ 35 Rs.
So now , we are simultaneously with short and long position. All because of the dead market movement in this week. Market got Corona i think. No movement. _________________ Thiyagu |
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t00051 White Belt
Joined: 11 Aug 2008 Posts: 61 Location: Tirupur
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Post: #39 Posted: Mon Jul 13, 2020 3:14 pm Post subject: |
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Market moved by 50 points to 100 points, but that is not helping to make big profit. only peanuts, so could not exit again for the Call # 4 with profit.
Market still in buy now but not moving like 500 points, cannot exit PE strategies, Cannot exit CE strategies. I dont mind of stoploss of PE and CE strategies. Only for the nifty futures traders, they have easier option to exit or not. they get 50 to 100 points for each call.
Still market is not going below 10570, until that time within this week i expect 11400. because at particular day market has to come out of this Grinding phase, and i bet it will be 11400. |
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t00051 White Belt
Joined: 11 Aug 2008 Posts: 61 Location: Tirupur
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Post: #40 Posted: Mon Jul 13, 2020 11:26 pm Post subject: |
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t00051 wrote: | Strategies - A paper trading is better way to master Stock market knowledge. Everyone should do paper trading before enter the market.
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Market Outlook
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The fact is Nifty Index is above the 50 days EMA and today it shown some negative sign. This is normal. But Sell signals started to appear and strong. No upward swing movement because market not crossed 10400 today. I believe the nifty will be in range between 9800 to 10200 for 3 more days, if not closed below 9800.
Longterm
Unless it cuts and close below the 50 days EMA (9343), and swing above 10400, the market is going to touch 10835 just in 4 days. So if we buy now @ 10000 (P.closes 10165, 10145, 10017, 10085) then stop loss is 750 points. If we sell then the stop loss will be 800 points.
Shorterm
Short term indicators are confirmed to Red and stuck to the down trend. There will be 150 to 300 points down, but that doesnot mean the bears entered. For bear it needs more than 500 points down and close below 9343 for a blood bath. Otherwise it will come again to 10200 after touching 9800 , and if not close below that.
Trend Strategy Calls - Based on indicators
---------x-------------------------------------
No Calls
Trend Lock Strategy Calls - This is totally like Lottery, no strategy involved
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Stop loss - 10000 Rs (entered @ 10000 pts )
Short 9900 11th Jun PE@ 25
Bought 9800 11th Jun PE@16
Bought 9800 11th Jun PE@16
Bought 9800 11th Jun PE@16
Trend Reversal Strategy Calls - Based on market observation
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Continue to adjust Bear put option strategies call, because there was no Trend reversal and no support for Bears.
Entry 1 -> Stop loss = 70,000 Rs (1000 pts) started when Nifty @ 9400
Bought 9600 Jun PE@ 297 - (60 rs) come out of this at 60 Rs, disappointing, now there is a huge stop loss due to two open short position. The stop loss will be 1000 pts incase market unexpectedly lower freeze tomorrow.
Short 9100 Jun PE @ 176 (94+82)
Short 9100 Jun PE @ 70
Bought 9100 11th Jun PE@10 -2 =-8
Adjust
Entry 2 -> Stop loss = 5850 Rs (78 pts) started when Nifty @ 10000
Short 9800 11th Jun PE @ 81 - 14
Short 9700 Jun PE @ 147
Short 9800 Jun PE @ 102 - 166
Short 10000 Jun PE @151
Bought 9700 11th Jun PE@57 -7.5
Bought 9700 11th Jun PE@10 - 7.5
Bought 10000 Jun PE@ 249 - 139
Bought 10100 Jun PE@ 169
Bought 10100 Jun PE@ 228
Bought 10200 Jun PE@ 222 - 278
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Basis for Trend Reversal Strategy
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1. Weakness in the Trend
2. Market Unlocked from the Trend
3. Confirmation by any Trend indicator
Enter Bull spread or Bear Spread Strategy with 5000 Rs stoploss for a 3000 Rs profit. This strategy always minimum loss and minimum profit. Good strategy for weak hearten and heart patients because less loss and less profit.
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Basis for Trend lock strategy
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Risk 5000 Rs Profit 0 Rs If no movement or opposite movement
Risk 10000 Rs Profit 0 Rs If all are against the strategy
Risk 0 Rs Profit 750 Rs If 100 Pts movement
Risk 0 Rs Profit 3000 Rs If 200 Pts movement
Risk 0 Rs Profit 5000 Rs If 300 Pts movement
examples 100 points
calls taken @ 10020 are exited @ 10120 (100 points difference, 7 days to expire)
Sold10300 2.15 @ 10020 Pts is Rs 57 - 76 @ 10123 Pts = -20 Rs
Buy 10400 2.15 @ 10020 Pts is Rs 38 - 48 @ 10123 Pts = +10 Rs
Buy 10400 2.15 @ 10020 Pts is Rs 38 - 48 @ 10123 Pts = +10 Rs
Buy 10500 2.15 @ 10020 Pts is Rs 24 - 30 @ 10123 Pts = +6 Rs
Buy 10500 2.15 @ 10020 Pts is Rs 24 - 30 @ 10123 Pts = +6 Rs
examples 200 points
calls taken @ 9930 are exited @ 10130 (200 points difference, 2 days to expire)
Sold Nifty 4th Jun 10100 Ce @ 37 -86 = -50
Buy Nifty 4th Jun 10200 Ce @ 17 -34 = +17
Buy Nifty 4th Jun 10200 Ce @ 17 -45 =+27
Buy Nifty 4th Jun 10300 Ce @ 10 -16 =+6
Buy Nifty 4th Jun 10300 Ce @ 10 -21 = +11
Buy Nifty 4th Jun 10300 Ce @ 10 -23 =+13
examples 300 points
calls taken @ 9494 are exited @ 9794 (300 points difference, 6 days to expire)
Sold 4th JUN 9700 CE 75 @35 - 173 =-138
Bought 4th JUN 9800 CE 75 @19 - 117 =+98
Bought 4th JUN 9900 CE 75 @10 - 75 =+65
Bought 4th JUN 10000 CE 75@ 6 - 45 =+39
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Basis for Trend Strategy
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1. Confirmation by any Trend indicator
Enter with stop loss (21000 Rs generally) or else you can buy an at the money CE or PE. But the premium will be huge. Market may need to move atleast 300 points to get back your premium cost itself.
Or else if you are watching market all the time, then do trading as per any trend technical indicators, without stoploss. Wrong entries by the technical indicators are the stop loss here, generally it will be 100 to 300 points. if three entries wrong, then you will lose minimum 30000 Rs. If you dont stick to the indicator, you will lose more than 1000 points in a rally.
So to follow this strategy you need to be a stubborn and unmovable force. First of all you should not read any newspapers and watch any financial news channels or websites, that is the first qualification for this strategy. See only the Trend indicator that you follow. |
I predicted 10835 on 15 June, but it came late. Now i am predicting 11400 within this week. It should come. |
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sanjayojha White Belt
Joined: 13 Nov 2013 Posts: 151
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Post: #41 Posted: Tue Jul 14, 2020 10:39 am Post subject: |
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[quote="t00051"] t00051 wrote: |
I predicted 10835 on 15 June, but it came late. Now i am predicting 11400 within this week. It should come. |
nearly 700 points in 3 days... |
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t00051 White Belt
Joined: 11 Aug 2008 Posts: 61 Location: Tirupur
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Post: #42 Posted: Tue Jul 14, 2020 2:17 pm Post subject: |
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[quote="sanjayojha"] t00051 wrote: | t00051 wrote: |
I predicted 10835 on 15 June, but it came late. Now i am predicting 11400 within this week. It should come. |
nearly 700 points in 3 days... |
yes i thought market Grinding is over and it will go to 11400. But actually now indicator is in sell from 10740 and if it is continue to below 10570, then within 3 days it will reach down 10100. All I expected is 600 points movements within this week end, as 10570 is the turning point. I dont have any worry.
Simultaneously having both ce and pe calls. so either 10100 or 11400 is good. |
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t00051 White Belt
Joined: 11 Aug 2008 Posts: 61 Location: Tirupur
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Post: #43 Posted: Thu Jul 16, 2020 6:00 pm Post subject: |
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Hmmm..okay tug of war between bears and bulls and no one won yet. all premiums are being grinded. Instead going up for 300 point and coming down for 300 points..it could have either gone up600 or go down 600 points.. ...with this peanut profits what to do.. I think it is time to start trading in nifty.. |
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t00051 White Belt
Joined: 11 Aug 2008 Posts: 61 Location: Tirupur
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Post: #44 Posted: Fri Jul 17, 2020 6:39 pm Post subject: |
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Okay got better than peanuts. Still there is unknown fear when trade in Nifty..took and carrying nifty buy, nifty pe buy for hedging, nifty ce short sell..this collective position gave better than peanuts for 100 points movement. But still some fear.. |
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t00051 White Belt
Joined: 11 Aug 2008 Posts: 61 Location: Tirupur
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Post: #45 Posted: Fri Jul 17, 2020 7:20 pm Post subject: |
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Never be in hurry. 10570 exactly was the turning point
But still predicted 11400 did not come..from 10880 market dived to 10570 and came back..so I can only hope for 11400 to come in next week.. upside 11400 is the turning point..above that 12000 coming so quick.. |
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