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Author Individual Stocks
riteshucha
Green Belt
Green Belt


Joined: 19 May 2012
Posts: 1292

Post: #4351   PostPosted: Wed Apr 16, 2014 2:50 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

infy OI up 20%.. price down 3%... isnt it huge short build up.. or am i reading it wrong...

vinya ur take...
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vinay28
Black Belt
Black Belt


Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748

Post: #4352   PostPosted: Wed Apr 16, 2014 2:55 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

riteshucha wrote:
infy OI up 20%.. price down 3%... isnt it huge short build up.. or am i reading it wrong...

vinya ur take...


conflicting views among FIIs. I had posted levels of <3000 and 2600. Don't know what will actually happen. May be TCS will disappoint and then all IT will suffer.
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amitagg
Black Belt
Black Belt


Joined: 01 Oct 2013
Posts: 4559

Post: #4353   PostPosted: Wed Apr 16, 2014 2:57 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay28 wrote:
riteshucha wrote:
infy OI up 20%.. price down 3%... isnt it huge short build up.. or am i reading it wrong...

vinya ur take...


conflicting views among FIIs. I had posted levels of <3000 and 2600. Don't know what will actually happen. May be TCS will disappoint and then all IT will suffer.


just a novice in fundamentals but TCS - had it disappointed before....it always stands out....
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amitagg
Black Belt
Black Belt


Joined: 01 Oct 2013
Posts: 4559

Post: #4354   PostPosted: Fri Apr 18, 2014 2:29 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

apollo tyres now 173....one - never short a 'parablic move' two, short only based on Dow / break of trendline and unsucessful retest........its though said that parabolic moves can be one way down when they break.......

amitagg wrote:
rk_a2003 wrote:
amitagg wrote:
rk_a2003 wrote:
Apollotyre is a sell with a stop loss of 167 for a target of 155.cash levels.


since last posted few days back, it shall not given up even an "inch"...and today also strict SL would have been hit.......reentries and reentries in an ever lasting bull trend.......and all thru the human mind wants to trade countertrend.....

now now may give way down......yes...but after bruises to not so savvy traders.....experts like you can still manage the risk.....


Oh! Amit.We are not trading it intraday the stop loss is not yet hit .They are always on EOD(candle close) basis. I am well in position.my intraday SL is just above 170.

As you said trading corrections in an uptrend is not an easy task.May be I should stop trading corrections in rampant bullish stocks like Apollotyre. Even yesterday down move is not so convincing Smile

How ever now it appears for me that this market is buy and hold market; keeping our SL at far away supports. It's not a trading market bull and bear traders both are getting whipsawed.


Right..just asuggestion...my trading over the last month or so found that "bull traders" were not whipsawed...even from 6760 when first hit....

So also may be over the few months bulls may not be whipsawed unlike bears (next 2-3 weeks price action may turn s exception to overall bull market that shall continue election or no election and whether the IIP is what and what...that's how the early bull markets are built as they say...)

So wide stops for longs and narrow fo shorts should be ideal over the next few months and in fact years....to have postive expectancy over a significant volume of trades....
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rk_a2003
Black Belt
Black Belt


Joined: 21 Jan 2010
Posts: 2734

Post: #4355   PostPosted: Fri Apr 18, 2014 2:54 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

amitagg wrote:
apollo tyres now 173....one - never short a 'parablic move' two, short only based on Dow / break of trendline and unsucessful retest........its though said that parabolic moves can be one way down when they break.......

amitagg wrote:
rk_a2003 wrote:
amitagg wrote:
rk_a2003 wrote:
Apollotyre is a sell with a stop loss of 167 for a target of 155.cash levels.


since last posted few days back, it shall not given up even an "inch"...and today also strict SL would have been hit.......reentries and reentries in an ever lasting bull trend.......and all thru the human mind wants to trade countertrend.....

now now may give way down......yes...but after bruises to not so savvy traders.....experts like you can still manage the risk.....


Oh! Amit.We are not trading it intraday the stop loss is not yet hit .They are always on EOD(candle close) basis. I am well in position.my intraday SL is just above 170.

As you said trading corrections in an uptrend is not an easy task.May be I should stop trading corrections in rampant bullish stocks like Apollotyre. Even yesterday down move is not so convincing Smile

How ever now it appears for me that this market is buy and hold market; keeping our SL at far away supports. It's not a trading market bull and bear traders both are getting whipsawed.


Right..just asuggestion...my trading over the last month or so found that "bull traders" were not whipsawed...even from 6760 when first hit....

So also may be over the few months bulls may not be whipsawed unlike bears (next 2-3 weeks price action may turn s exception to overall bull market that shall continue election or no election and whether the IIP is what and what...that's how the early bull markets are built as they say...)

So wide stops for longs and narrow fo shorts should be ideal over the next few months and in fact years....to have postive expectancy over a significant volume of trades....


Yes, you are right. The day before down move gave a chance for a trailing SL at cost.....otherwise it would have been a massacre. 24
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amitagg
Black Belt
Black Belt


Joined: 01 Oct 2013
Posts: 4559

Post: #4356   PostPosted: Fri Apr 18, 2014 9:08 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

rk_a2003 wrote:
amitagg wrote:
apollo tyres now 173....one - never short a 'parablic move' two, short only based on Dow / break of trendline and unsucessful retest........its though said that parabolic moves can be one way down when they break.......

amitagg wrote:
rk_a2003 wrote:
amitagg wrote:
rk_a2003 wrote:
Apollotyre is a sell with a stop loss of 167 for a target of 155.cash levels.


since last posted few days back, it shall not given up even an "inch"...and today also strict SL would have been hit.......reentries and reentries in an ever lasting bull trend.......and all thru the human mind wants to trade countertrend.....

now now may give way down......yes...but after bruises to not so savvy traders.....experts like you can still manage the risk.....


Oh! Amit.We are not trading it intraday the stop loss is not yet hit .They are always on EOD(candle close) basis. I am well in position.my intraday SL is just above 170.

As you said trading corrections in an uptrend is not an easy task.May be I should stop trading corrections in rampant bullish stocks like Apollotyre. Even yesterday down move is not so convincing Smile

How ever now it appears for me that this market is buy and hold market; keeping our SL at far away supports. It's not a trading market bull and bear traders both are getting whipsawed.


Right..just asuggestion...my trading over the last month or so found that "bull traders" were not whipsawed...even from 6760 when first hit....

So also may be over the few months bulls may not be whipsawed unlike bears (next 2-3 weeks price action may turn s exception to overall bull market that shall continue election or no election and whether the IIP is what and what...that's how the early bull markets are built as they say...)

So wide stops for longs and narrow fo shorts should be ideal over the next few months and in fact years....to have postive expectancy over a significant volume of trades....


Yes, you are right. The day before down move gave a chance for a trailing SL at cost.....otherwise it would have been a massacre. 24


this is most important ..."market / price is right"........u taught me this. Laughing
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saumya12
Brown Belt
Brown Belt


Joined: 21 Dec 2011
Posts: 1509

Post: #4357   PostPosted: Sat Apr 19, 2014 7:38 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

saumya12 wrote:
ULTRACEMCO
Is it possible to touch a level around 2000

Any comments Laughing

This post was made on 23.2.14, when Ultracemco was at 1800
And I hoped that we can see 2000 levels in 2-3 months.
But it met 2000 in just 10 trading days on 10.3.14.

And it did not stop here and made a high of 2280 on 11.4.14. in just 33 trading days.

I have observed that ULTRACEMO may be on the upmove again and if keeps its upmove intact then we can see a level of 2300/10 and 2330/40 in near future.
LTP 2216

Use SL/TSL (with initial SL at 2200/2190 and using TSL after 2245/50)
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pkholla
Black Belt
Black Belt


Joined: 04 Nov 2010
Posts: 2890

Post: #4358   PostPosted: Sat Apr 19, 2014 9:41 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

saumya12 wrote:
saumya12 wrote:
ULTRACEMCO Is it possible to touch a level around 2000 Any comments Laughing

But it met 2000 in just 10 trading days on 10.3.14. And it did not stop here and made a high of 2280 on 11.4.14. in just 33 trading days.

Saumya's magic touch! Badly needed. Now that you are back ... looking fwd to more such stock predictions
Prakash Holla
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vinay28
Black Belt
Black Belt


Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748

Post: #4359   PostPosted: Sun Apr 20, 2014 7:34 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I had suggested to buy MCX around 450-70 but I wonder if anyone bought. I won't remind again. CMP 590.
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anuptiwari
White Belt
White Belt


Joined: 04 May 2010
Posts: 22

Post: #4360   PostPosted: Mon Apr 21, 2014 7:57 am    Post subject: any comments on yes bank saumya Reply with quote

Dear Saumya

Need your views on yes bank



saumya12 wrote:
saumya12 wrote:
ULTRACEMCO
Is it possible to touch a level around 2000

Any comments Laughing

This post was made on 23.2.14, when Ultracemco was at 1800
And I hoped that we can see 2000 levels in 2-3 months.
But it met 2000 in just 10 trading days on 10.3.14.

And it did not stop here and made a high of 2280 on 11.4.14. in just 33 trading days.

I have observed that ULTRACEMO may be on the upmove again and if keeps its upmove intact then we can see a level of 2300/10 and 2330/40 in near future.
LTP 2216

Use SL/TSL (with initial SL at 2200/2190 and using TSL after 2245/50)
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saumya12
Brown Belt
Brown Belt


Joined: 21 Dec 2011
Posts: 1509

Post: #4361   PostPosted: Mon Apr 21, 2014 8:23 pm    Post subject: Re: any comments on yes bank saumya Reply with quote

anuptiwari wrote:
Dear Saumya

Need your views on yes bank

Sorry Anup
I do not have IEOD data of YesBank.

But
It looks that YesBank is on the upmove and can move to 455.
But if it crosses and remains above 460 then may reach 475 and then 500 or so

But, do your own analysis before taking any position.

Use proper SL/TSL
Take care
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gopalaga
White Belt
White Belt


Joined: 07 Apr 2014
Posts: 134

Post: #4362   PostPosted: Tue Apr 22, 2014 10:22 am    Post subject: ICICI Reply with quote

Dear Saumyaji,

It would be grateful to know your views on ICICIBank.
I am long in ICICI at current price of 1285.

Thanks.
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vinay28
Black Belt
Black Belt


Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748

Post: #4363   PostPosted: Tue Apr 22, 2014 10:43 am    Post subject: Re: ICICI Reply with quote

gopalaga wrote:
Dear Saumyaji,

It would be grateful to know your views on ICICIBank.
I am long in ICICI at current price of 1285.

Thanks.


if it is for 2-3 months, it will go up a lot.
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gopalaga
White Belt
White Belt


Joined: 07 Apr 2014
Posts: 134

Post: #4364   PostPosted: Tue Apr 22, 2014 10:47 am    Post subject: Re: ICICI Reply with quote

vinay28 wrote:
gopalaga wrote:
Dear Saumyaji,

It would be grateful to know your views on ICICIBank.
I am long in ICICI at current price of 1285.

Thanks.


if it is for 2-3 months, it will go up a lot.


Thank You, Vinayji.
I was perhaps looking for a swing target of 1310-20.
But now will hold it for positional trade.
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vinay28
Black Belt
Black Belt


Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748

Post: #4365   PostPosted: Tue Apr 22, 2014 10:51 am    Post subject: Re: ICICI Reply with quote

gopalaga wrote:
vinay28 wrote:
gopalaga wrote:
Dear Saumyaji,

It would be grateful to know your views on ICICIBank.
I am long in ICICI at current price of 1285.

Thanks.


if it is for 2-3 months, it will go up a lot.


Thank You, Vinayji.
I was perhaps looking for a swing target of 1310-20.
But now will hold it for positional trade.


if it goes up till 12/5, get out once. remember, it will be a highly volatile month with history of plus/minus 10% circuit.
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