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Is this where Nifty is headed? |
opportunist White Belt
Joined: 27 Apr 2010 Posts: 356
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Post: #1 Posted: Mon Jun 27, 2011 4:01 pm Post subject: Is this where Nifty is headed? |
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We can expect 5682 soon probably by the end of this week. |
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singh.ravee Yellow Belt
Joined: 12 Aug 2010 Posts: 678
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Post: #2 Posted: Mon Jun 27, 2011 5:25 pm Post subject: |
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rgds
ravee |
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grizzlybull White Belt
Joined: 26 Sep 2010 Posts: 80
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Post: #3 Posted: Mon Jun 27, 2011 10:14 pm Post subject: |
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agreed. |
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sunrays White Belt
Joined: 19 Dec 2009 Posts: 71
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Post: #4 Posted: Mon Jun 27, 2011 10:32 pm Post subject: |
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5740 is the number guysss...lets rock and have some beer if nifty hits that level |
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grizzlybull White Belt
Joined: 26 Sep 2010 Posts: 80
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Post: #5 Posted: Tue Jun 28, 2011 10:02 am Post subject: |
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sunrays wrote: | 5740 is the number guysss...lets rock and have some beer if nifty hits that level |
yuck, I don't like beer I like diet pepsi.
Anyway, nifty has bounced off 5190 levels agin, what if we are in a range and it breaks 5950? where are we headed then? 6300 or more? |
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opportunist White Belt
Joined: 27 Apr 2010 Posts: 356
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Post: #6 Posted: Fri Jul 01, 2011 10:54 am Post subject: |
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The forecast turned out to be quite accurate! TA zindabad
Regards,
Opportunist |
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grizzlybull White Belt
Joined: 26 Sep 2010 Posts: 80
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Post: #7 Posted: Fri Jul 01, 2011 12:35 pm Post subject: |
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opportunist wrote: | The forecast turned out to be quite accurate! TA zindabad
Regards,
Opportunist |
I guessed it would go up to between 5700 to 5800 and decline.
although it's gone down today, I wouldn't exit right now. what about you? |
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opportunist White Belt
Joined: 27 Apr 2010 Posts: 356
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Post: #8 Posted: Fri Jul 01, 2011 2:23 pm Post subject: |
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I am sticking to my analysis and shorting...nifty is following a declining triangle in the last one year...it should now fall ... and if it goes below 5129 then all hell breaks loose 8O |
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grizzlybull White Belt
Joined: 26 Sep 2010 Posts: 80
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Post: #9 Posted: Fri Jul 01, 2011 2:37 pm Post subject: |
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opportunist wrote: | I am sticking to my analysis and shorting...nifty is following a declining triangle in the last one year...it should now fall ... and if it goes below 5129 then all hell breaks loose 8O |
to me it still looks more like a wedge than a triangle. Plus what about the volumes? |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #10 Posted: Fri Jul 01, 2011 3:28 pm Post subject: |
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for the next few days, I feel one should go long |
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grizzlybull White Belt
Joined: 26 Sep 2010 Posts: 80
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Post: #11 Posted: Fri Jul 01, 2011 4:42 pm Post subject: |
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vinay28 wrote: | for the next few days, I feel one should go long |
But why though? |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #12 Posted: Fri Jul 01, 2011 8:20 pm Post subject: |
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First of all, after going from 5185 to 5702, market has to react some way but hasn't given sell signals yet. I understand that it will happen only if NF goes below 5590 but I am no expert in this.
Secondly, I understand, SGX nifty for July traded a few days ago at a peak of 5734 and this may happen next week itself.
I also feel that after that market will go down as much as 10-20 % upto Sept./Nov aftewr that. So July will still be bad. |
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beowulf White Belt
Joined: 18 Aug 2010 Posts: 163
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Post: #13 Posted: Sat Jul 02, 2011 1:36 am Post subject: |
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NIfty has to cross and close above 5647 and 5660 in the next 2-3 of trading sessions, else it can fall to 5600 and then 5570.
The short term trend still remains positive unless Nifty breaks 5481.
Comments welcome...
Beo |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #14 Posted: Sat Jul 02, 2011 12:40 pm Post subject: |
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As per 55 sma basis explained by chirag vyas and which seems to work excellently for medium to long term, Nifty has to go below appx. 5510 first and then NOT close above 5540 the next day. It then becomes a sell.
As per symmetrical triangle concept, nifty has to go below 5460 to indicate major reaction.
Having said this, I am not going to be long after it reaches 5734 unless it closes for three days above 5700. |
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opportunist White Belt
Joined: 27 Apr 2010 Posts: 356
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Post: #15 Posted: Wed Jul 06, 2011 8:57 am Post subject: |
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The declining triangle pattern seems to be followed with text book precision. Nifty heading for a big fall once it closes below 5213 may be to 4500 levels. |
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