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SwingTrader Site Admin
Joined: 11 Aug 2006 Posts: 2903 Location: Hyderabad, India
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Post: #1141 Posted: Fri Jan 10, 2020 10:17 pm Post subject: |
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NSE Breadth Oscillator as on 10th Jan 2020
Breadth continues to be very strong. Both medium term & long term oscillators showing strength. Long term oscillator nearing zero after a long time. If it can cross above zero and stay that way then it could be very positive for the market.
FYI : Long term oscillator dropped below zero (long term bearish) in Mar 2018, it went up and hit zero in May last wk / Jun 1st wk 2019 for 4-5 days and went back down. _________________ Srikanth Kurdukar
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SwingTrader Site Admin
Joined: 11 Aug 2006 Posts: 2903 Location: Hyderabad, India
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Post: #1142 Posted: Tue Jan 14, 2020 9:20 am Post subject: |
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NSE Breadth Oscillator as on 13th Jan 2020
Long term breadth about to hit & cross the zero barrier. This is happening after a long time. We could see a pullback / consolidation, but as long as LT breadth hovers around this level and does not fall back down below -40, we will be fine. LT breadth improving this well indicates many mid & small cap stocks rallying, which was long due. _________________ Srikanth Kurdukar
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SwingTrader Site Admin
Joined: 11 Aug 2006 Posts: 2903 Location: Hyderabad, India
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Post: #1143 Posted: Wed Jan 15, 2020 1:24 pm Post subject: |
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NSE Breadth Oscillator as on 14th Jan 2020
Long term breadth oscillator has shot up above zero after a long time. It declined below zero in Mar 2018, it has taken almost 2 yrs for breadth to recover. Things are looking positive as of now. A pullback / consolidation could be a good buying opportunity as long as LT breadth holds above zero.
*** NO RECOMMENDATIONS HERE, EVERYTHING JUST FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE *** _________________ Srikanth Kurdukar
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SwingTrader Site Admin
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Post: #1144 Posted: Fri Jan 24, 2020 9:08 am Post subject: |
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NSE Market Breadth Oscillator as on 23rd Jan 2020
Just what I wanted to see. As market pulls back, short term breadth declining but long term breadth holding well above zero. Medium term breadth too is holding up but could decline if market continues down. If long term breadth continues to hold above zero through the market pullback we could see continued rally. _________________ Srikanth Kurdukar
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SwingTrader Site Admin
Joined: 11 Aug 2006 Posts: 2903 Location: Hyderabad, India
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Post: #1145 Posted: Sun Jan 26, 2020 9:37 pm Post subject: |
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NSE Breadth Oscillator as on 24th Jan 2020
Look at the long term & medium term oscillators, they are moving up strongly as short term breadth declines. Very positive for medium-to-long term IMHO. _________________ Srikanth Kurdukar
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Sun08 White Belt
Joined: 21 Aug 2017 Posts: 478
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Post: #1146 Posted: Sat Feb 01, 2020 3:53 pm Post subject: |
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important to see what your charts suggest after today's fall. I am expecting a very sharp rise now onwards but not sure at all. |
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SwingTrader Site Admin
Joined: 11 Aug 2006 Posts: 2903 Location: Hyderabad, India
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Post: #1147 Posted: Sun Feb 02, 2020 11:34 am Post subject: |
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Sun08 wrote: | important to see what your charts suggest after today's fall. I am expecting a very sharp rise now onwards but not sure at all. |
NSE Breadth Oscillator as on 1st FEB 2020
I am still quite comfortable with my bullish view. Both intermediate term (IT) and long term breadth (LT) are holding up well as short term breadth, understandably, declines fast below zero. Next few days will confirm this view if both LT & IT breadth hold above zero. LT will be the most important one, it should not decline below zero, IT could decline below zero if market keeps going down some more. _________________ Srikanth Kurdukar
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SwingTrader Site Admin
Joined: 11 Aug 2006 Posts: 2903 Location: Hyderabad, India
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Post: #1148 Posted: Sat Feb 22, 2020 8:56 am Post subject: |
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NSE Breadth Oscillator as on 20th FEB 2020
Long term breadth continues to remain comfortably above 0 thus maintaining bullish bias. Next couple of weeks are crucial. If LT breadth holds above 0 then we could see a good move up. _________________ Srikanth Kurdukar
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SwingTrader Site Admin
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Post: #1149 Posted: Sat Feb 22, 2020 11:03 am Post subject: Udpate to index rolling returns charts |
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Here is an update to the index rolling returns chart I had posted in Jun 2019:
Below are rolling returns for NIFTY 500, Midcap & Smallcap indexes. All three indexes have recovered well since the last update due to mid & small stocks rallying recently. The pessimism has decreased recently but too much optimism is also absent, which is good. Mid & Small cap stocks could continue to outperform large caps in the near future.
Observations : Yearly rolling returns (green line) falling below Quarterly returns (red line) and either of these being near or below zero seems to indicate significant under performance and could lead to out performance once these indexes recover (which seems to have happened now). NIFTY500 rolling returns had gone below since mid 2018 and went down to -10% where as mid rolling returns fellow to -20% & small cap rolling returns fell to around -30% indicating great under performance. Now out performance seems to have started (vs large caps).
*** THERE ARE NOT RECOMMENDATIONS, THESE ARE JUST MY VIEWS AND COULD BE WRONG. TAKE YOUR OWN DECISIONS AFTER CAREFUL STUDY / CONSIDERATION *** _________________ Srikanth Kurdukar
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SwingTrader Site Admin
Joined: 11 Aug 2006 Posts: 2903 Location: Hyderabad, India
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Post: #1150 Posted: Tue Feb 25, 2020 7:57 pm Post subject: |
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NSE Breadth Oscillator as on 25th FEB 2020
Long term breadth hanging in there above zero as short & medium term oscillators race to the bottom. Keeping fingers crossed and expecting LT oscillator to hold above zero. This will keep the bias bullish. _________________ Srikanth Kurdukar
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SwingTrader Site Admin
Joined: 11 Aug 2006 Posts: 2903 Location: Hyderabad, India
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Post: #1151 Posted: Sun Mar 01, 2020 6:11 pm Post subject: |
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NSE Breadth Oscillator as of 28th FEB 2020
All bullish bias that was there is gone now, long term oscillator plunges below zero. _________________ Srikanth Kurdukar
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chetan83 Brown Belt
Joined: 19 Feb 2010 Posts: 2036
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Post: #1152 Posted: Sun Mar 01, 2020 6:38 pm Post subject: |
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SwingTrader wrote: | NSE Breadth Oscillator as of 28th FEB 2020
All bullish bias that was there is gone now, long term oscillator plunges below zero. |
Hello sir,
Can we have these chart on weekly data please,
Regards,
Chetan Kumar. |
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SwingTrader Site Admin
Joined: 11 Aug 2006 Posts: 2903 Location: Hyderabad, India
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Post: #1153 Posted: Sun Mar 01, 2020 9:06 pm Post subject: |
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chetan83 wrote: |
Hello sir,
Can we have these chart on weekly data please,
Regards,
Chetan Kumar. |
I will have to build weekly data. Someone else also had asked about this. Let me see if I can build it. But I feel signals could get more delayed if weekly is used. Not sure though....have to check.
For daily I use 200, 50 & 13 SMA for long, medium & short term oscillators. For weekly if I use 40, 10 and 3 then the oscillators would be approx the same. Do you have any suggestions related to this or what would you like to see? _________________ Srikanth Kurdukar
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chetan83 Brown Belt
Joined: 19 Feb 2010 Posts: 2036
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Post: #1154 Posted: Sat Mar 14, 2020 10:23 pm Post subject: |
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SwingTrader wrote: | chetan83 wrote: |
Hello sir,
Can we have these chart on weekly data please,
Regards,
Chetan Kumar. |
I will have to build weekly data. Someone else also had asked about this. Let me see if I can build it. But I feel signals could get more delayed if weekly is used. Not sure though....have to check.
For daily I use 200, 50 & 13 SMA for long, medium & short term oscillators. For weekly if I use 40, 10 and 3 then the oscillators would be approx the same. Do you have any suggestions related to this or what would you like to see? |
You are correct sir, above weekly parameters must hold good. |
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chetan83 Brown Belt
Joined: 19 Feb 2010 Posts: 2036
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Post: #1155 Posted: Sat Mar 14, 2020 10:27 pm Post subject: |
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SwingTrader wrote: | NSE Breadth Oscillator as of 28th FEB 2020
All bullish bias that was there is gone now, long term oscillator plunges below zero. |
Dear Sir,
waiting for your update on breath oscillator.
regards,
Chetan. |
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