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SwingTrader Site Admin
Joined: 11 Aug 2006 Posts: 2903 Location: Hyderabad, India
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Post: #151 Posted: Sun Oct 14, 2012 7:33 pm Post subject: |
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vinay28 wrote: | aah, this surely gives a better indication |
Yeah and credit goes to you for giving the idea for this indicator.
Based on this chart I think if we see one or two more strong down days in the next few days then the further pullback/correction scenario may play out but at the same time nothing stops the market from taking off from here to the upside for one more rally leg. _________________ Srikanth Kurdukar
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #152 Posted: Sun Oct 14, 2012 7:41 pm Post subject: |
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thanks St, though at that time it was a wild thought, just trying to find different ways to judge market mood. But I feel market is still in a mood to deceive, may be to eat away option premiums, which means it will go up and down with a -ve slope for some days before it suddenly starts opening gap down on many days. |
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p_wangdu White Belt
Joined: 30 Apr 2012 Posts: 126
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Post: #153 Posted: Sun Oct 14, 2012 7:44 pm Post subject: |
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thank you for much defined and refine chart st sirji. |
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SwingTrader Site Admin
Joined: 11 Aug 2006 Posts: 2903 Location: Hyderabad, India
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Post: #154 Posted: Sun Oct 14, 2012 9:05 pm Post subject: |
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p_wangdu wrote: | thank you for much defined and refine chart st sirji. |
Thanks _________________ Srikanth Kurdukar
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NittinP White Belt
Joined: 23 Sep 2012 Posts: 48
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Post: #155 Posted: Sun Oct 14, 2012 9:08 pm Post subject: |
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Hi ST, P_Wangdu,
On some website, I saw sentiment in terms of percentage. Example: 80% market participant think market is bullish...sort of... I am unable to recall that blog.
Whenever this sentiment crosses 90%, its time to be cautious... That what I read on that blog.. I hope I will find that blog.
Just food for thought..
Thanks,
NP |
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SwingTrader Site Admin
Joined: 11 Aug 2006 Posts: 2903 Location: Hyderabad, India
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Post: #156 Posted: Sun Oct 14, 2012 9:15 pm Post subject: |
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NittinP wrote: | Hi ST, P_Wangdu,
On some website, I saw sentiment in terms of percentage. Example: 80% market participant think market is bullish...sort of... I am unable to recall that blog.
Whenever this sentiment crosses 90%, its time to be cautious... That what I read on that blog.. I hope I will find that blog.
Just food for thought..
Thanks,
NP |
The long term sentiment chart that I am posting (see in my post below) is based on percentage (see left side y-axis). The most popular sentiment chart based on percentage is the "Bullish %" chart that is based on PNF chart bullish/bearish stats (% of stocks that currently have bullish PNF signal). We don't have it yet on our website here but plan to generate it in the near future. The long term sentiment I am computing is based on similar idea. _________________ Srikanth Kurdukar
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SwingTrader Site Admin
Joined: 11 Aug 2006 Posts: 2903 Location: Hyderabad, India
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Post: #157 Posted: Mon Oct 15, 2012 7:34 pm Post subject: |
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Another chart from me for those who are interested
NSE market breadth - long vs medium term. Well....my definitions of long & medium are 50 days & 13 days respectively Basically this chart shows net status of all NSE stocks based on their technicals. For example : If the long term line is above 80% then 80% of stocks are displaying bullish technical characterstics (nothing fancy....something like their short-term moving average being above long-term moving average). If the long term line is around say -60% then it means 60% of stocks have strongly bearish technicals.
I am posting this as the medium term line has just gone negative. I hope the long term line follows and give me an opportunity to add to my longs _________________ Srikanth Kurdukar
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #158 Posted: Mon Oct 15, 2012 9:40 pm Post subject: |
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Looks like it's a matter of 2-3 weeks.
I intend to go long by 8th Nov based on my "A" if all aspects turn out according to my study ...... so far they have. Sorry for digression, ST. |
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smartcancerian Yellow Belt
Joined: 07 Apr 2010 Posts: 542
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Post: #159 Posted: Tue Oct 16, 2012 7:54 am Post subject: |
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[/quote]I am posting this as the medium term line has just gone negative. I hope the long term line follows and give me an opportunity to add to my longs [/quote]
Hello ST sir..
I could not collect the Meaning of above statement..?? when long term also follows to -ve medium term..why adding to longs.(or are u referring more longs/adds in puts).. |
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SwingTrader Site Admin
Joined: 11 Aug 2006 Posts: 2903 Location: Hyderabad, India
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Post: #160 Posted: Tue Oct 16, 2012 9:34 am Post subject: |
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smartcancerian wrote: |
Hello ST sir..
I could not collect the Meaning of above statement..?? when long term also follows to -ve medium term..why adding to longs.(or are u referring more longs/adds in puts).. |
Sorry for the confusion. Actually I am holding stocks and want to add on to those positions and I am hoping we get the sort of pullback we had in August (shallow pullback in the context of an uptrend). See the pullback we got in Aug, the long term line turned negative but pullback was not too deep. I am hoping we get a similar pullback now. _________________ Srikanth Kurdukar
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SwingTrader Site Admin
Joined: 11 Aug 2006 Posts: 2903 Location: Hyderabad, India
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Post: #161 Posted: Tue Oct 16, 2012 9:35 am Post subject: |
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vinay28 wrote: | Looks like it's a matter of 2-3 weeks.
I intend to go long by 8th Nov based on my "A" if all aspects turn out according to my study ...... so far they have. Sorry for digression, ST. |
Any special astro formation on Nov 8th? _________________ Srikanth Kurdukar
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #162 Posted: Tue Oct 16, 2012 11:31 am Post subject: |
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saturn rises on 9th |
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SwingTrader Site Admin
Joined: 11 Aug 2006 Posts: 2903 Location: Hyderabad, India
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Post: #163 Posted: Tue Oct 16, 2012 12:52 pm Post subject: |
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nita wrote: | zee ltd looks good at cmp of 194.50 |
I am removing the messages. Please post in relevant forum (see "Stocks" forum under "Markets" forum section). _________________ Srikanth Kurdukar
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SwingTrader Site Admin
Joined: 11 Aug 2006 Posts: 2903 Location: Hyderabad, India
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Post: #164 Posted: Tue Oct 16, 2012 6:54 pm Post subject: |
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Options sentiment has given a sell signal. I am not sure what kind of correction we will see here but around 2:30 when it was clear that NF was breaking down I bought a small position of put debit spreads (NOV 5700-5500). This will also hedge my stock positions partially. _________________ Srikanth Kurdukar
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #165 Posted: Tue Oct 16, 2012 7:29 pm Post subject: |
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"............ but around 2:30 ............"
It looks like you are watching option sentiment regularly intraday. If so, good since market is giving sharp and sudden swings. As long as it happens intraday fine but when it happens due to gap up/down opening, it is scary. |
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