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yashrahul Yellow Belt
Joined: 29 Jun 2013 Posts: 512
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Post: #466 Posted: Sun Oct 27, 2013 4:45 pm Post subject: |
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SwingTrader: u have evaded what i had asked for with some smart explanation but as you said you have made it a bit clearer and you have not confused me further...so i got what you meant |
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SwingTrader Site Admin
Joined: 11 Aug 2006 Posts: 2903 Location: Hyderabad, India
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Post: #467 Posted: Sun Oct 27, 2013 6:22 pm Post subject: |
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yashrahul wrote: | SwingTrader: u have evaded what i had asked for with some smart explanation but as you said you have made it a bit clearer and you have not confused me further...so i got what you meant |
Yashrahul,
Which question did I evade? About the support level? I answered about it below in reply to your question about it. The support level I am looking at is 6060. _________________ Srikanth Kurdukar
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yashrahul Yellow Belt
Joined: 29 Jun 2013 Posts: 512
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Post: #468 Posted: Sun Oct 27, 2013 8:52 pm Post subject: |
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SwingTrader wrote: | yashrahul wrote: | SwingTrader: u have evaded what i had asked for with some smart explanation but as you said you have made it a bit clearer and you have not confused me further...so i got what you meant |
Yashrahul,
Which question did I evade? About the support level? I answered about it below in reply to your question about it. The support level I am looking at is 6060. |
SwingTrader:Sorry, my mistake , i missed it totally and read the next answer..now i have seen it 6060 on NF to initiate a bearish trade...got the level....thanks. |
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SwingTrader Site Admin
Joined: 11 Aug 2006 Posts: 2903 Location: Hyderabad, India
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Post: #469 Posted: Mon Oct 28, 2013 8:30 pm Post subject: |
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Updated NF OTM PCR rank chart (28.10.2013)
The rank has almost hit 80%, it is current at 78%. This more or less clearly indicates a major shift of OI balance to bearish. _________________ Srikanth Kurdukar
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #470 Posted: Mon Oct 28, 2013 8:35 pm Post subject: |
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SwingTrader wrote: | Updated NF OTM PCR rank chart (28.10.2013)
The rank has almost hit 80%, it is current at 78%. This more or less clearly indicates a major shift of OI balance to bearish. |
One thought (and not an advice) is to short tmrw after open and cover on wednesday if it breaches 20% eod tmrw. Otherwise carry. |
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SwingTrader Site Admin
Joined: 11 Aug 2006 Posts: 2903 Location: Hyderabad, India
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Post: #471 Posted: Tue Oct 29, 2013 7:29 pm Post subject: |
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Updated NF OTM PCR chart (29.10.2013)
Nice rally but I am not impressed yet. I will be impressed if today's rally has an equally impressive follow through in the next 2-3 days and OTM PCR rank manages to fall below 20-30%. Until then I am still looking to short on a close below 6060*. OTM PCR rank is still above 50% which means overall OI is neutral to bearish. Of course, tomorrow's price move will be interesting to look at.
* 6060 level on NF is valid sup level only until this expiry. After that I will be looking at 6030 on Nifty spot as the sup level to break for a short position (this is until this signal gets negated by OTM PCR rank falling below 20-30% and price closing above recent high - 6256 on spot). _________________ Srikanth Kurdukar
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apka Black Belt
Joined: 13 Dec 2011 Posts: 6137
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Post: #472 Posted: Tue Oct 29, 2013 8:21 pm Post subject: |
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At month's end most of the build up OI will vanish and next month will have lower OI to start with.. wshould such OI volume shift be considered in deciding? |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #473 Posted: Tue Oct 29, 2013 8:27 pm Post subject: |
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apka wrote: | At month's end most of the build up OI will vanish and next month will have lower OI to start with.. wshould such OI volume shift be considered in deciding? |
I think ST considers OI of OTM options for all contracts including future motnhs. |
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SwingTrader Site Admin
Joined: 11 Aug 2006 Posts: 2903 Location: Hyderabad, India
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Post: #474 Posted: Tue Oct 29, 2013 9:24 pm Post subject: |
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Yes, I am taking OI of all available months.
But apka's question does raise a valid point. This is especially true in the last few days before expiry. Since OI in the current month is usually the highest, the indicator will have a bias in favor of the direction indicated by current month's OI. During the last few days this will matter the most as OI balance will suddenly change a day after expiry.
I am not sure what to do about this. I guess I will just have to be careful in taking a decision based on this indicator in the last few days before expiry. I hope it will be okay since I take the final decision based on price action itself.
Let us see... _________________ Srikanth Kurdukar
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apka Black Belt
Joined: 13 Dec 2011 Posts: 6137
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Post: #475 Posted: Tue Oct 29, 2013 10:36 pm Post subject: |
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ya.. let's see 31st Oct and 1st Nov will be interesting |
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SwingTrader Site Admin
Joined: 11 Aug 2006 Posts: 2903 Location: Hyderabad, India
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Post: #476 Posted: Wed Oct 30, 2013 7:17 pm Post subject: |
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Updated NF OTM PCR Rank chart (30.10.2013)
Rank continues to stay above 50% (currently at 57%). _________________ Srikanth Kurdukar
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acharyams Yellow Belt
Joined: 04 Jul 2010 Posts: 552
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Post: #477 Posted: Wed Oct 30, 2013 7:25 pm Post subject: |
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Till now your reading is favouring short as the rank is above 50%. Am I right? SwingTrader wrote: | Updated NF OTM PCR Rank chart (30.10.2013)
Rank continues to stay above 50% (currently at 57%). |
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SwingTrader Site Admin
Joined: 11 Aug 2006 Posts: 2903 Location: Hyderabad, India
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Post: #478 Posted: Wed Oct 30, 2013 9:51 pm Post subject: |
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acharyams wrote: | Till now your reading is favouring short as the rank is above 50%. Am I right? SwingTrader wrote: | Updated NF OTM PCR Rank chart (30.10.2013)
Rank continues to stay above 50% (currently at 57%). |
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Yes, a reading above 50% indicates that OI bias is towards a decline. I would not short until we get a break below a significant support (a daily close is required). _________________ Srikanth Kurdukar
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manojkr78 Green Belt
Joined: 07 Mar 2011 Posts: 1014
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Post: #479 Posted: Thu Oct 31, 2013 9:54 am Post subject: |
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ST,
Has the price confirmation for breakdown moved a bit up or still remains @ 6030 spot.... |
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SwingTrader Site Admin
Joined: 11 Aug 2006 Posts: 2903 Location: Hyderabad, India
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Post: #480 Posted: Thu Oct 31, 2013 10:04 am Post subject: |
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manojkr78 wrote: | ST,
Has the price confirmation for breakdown moved a bit up or still remains @ 6030 spot.... |
Given the strong uptrend, I am still going to stick with 6030 on spot as the support to watch for a break. _________________ Srikanth Kurdukar
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