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Market Sentiment
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Author Market Sentiment
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Post: #571   PostPosted: Fri Dec 06, 2013 8:56 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Updated NF OTM PCR Rank Chart (05.12.2013)

Rank at 34.30% - bullish bias. As long as NS can stay above 6230 (on a daily closing basis) I think things could remain bullish. Options sentiment too confirming the bullish bias.

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Post: #572   PostPosted: Mon Dec 09, 2013 7:16 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Updated NF OTM PCR Rank & Options Sentiment charts (09.12.2013)

Rank is down to 21.10%. I could not post the charts on Friday. The rank on friday was 21.20%. Not much change since friday but bias is near bullish extreme.

Options sentiment confirms the same.

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Post: #573   PostPosted: Fri Dec 13, 2013 7:59 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Updated NF OTM PCR Rank, Options Sentiment and Market Breadth charts (13.12.2013)

Rank at 70% so bearish bias is in place but options sentiment is not yet indicating any serious down move. Time to watch closely.

Market breadth indicating just a pullback. Unless medium term breadth breaks down seriously, this could only be a temporary pullback.

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vinay28
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Post: #574   PostPosted: Fri Dec 13, 2013 8:02 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

SwingTrader wrote:
Updated NF OTM PCR Rank, Options Sentiment and Market Breadth charts (13.12.2013)

Rank at 70% so bearish bias is in place but options sentiment is not yet indicating any serious down move. Time to watch closely.

Market breadth indicating just a pullback. Unless medium term breadth breaks down seriously, this could only be a temporary pullback.


bearish bias not convincing in spite of 250 fall
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Post: #575   PostPosted: Sun Dec 22, 2013 8:02 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Updated OTM PCR Rank, Options Sentiment & Market Breadth charts (20.12.2013)

Bullish bias indicated by both OTM PCR rank and options sentiment charts. Long term breadth too strong (long & intermediate). Short term breadth turning up too.

I think rank signal confirmed by significant options sentiment reading only would indicate any significant. We have not seen this recently. Options sentiment has not hit even the first bearish signal line recently (blue line - 1st line in the top bands).

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Post: #576   PostPosted: Sun Dec 29, 2013 6:26 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Updated OTM PCR rank, options sentiment and market breadth charts (27.12.2013)

Bullishness everywhere. Nothing else to say. There doesn't seem to be a point in searching for weakness anymore. These charts would be worth to look at once weakness creeps in. I don't see that at the moment.

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Post: #577   PostPosted: Sun Dec 29, 2013 6:43 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

SwingTrader wrote:
Updated OTM PCR rank, options sentiment and market breadth charts (27.12.2013)

Bullishness everywhere. Nothing else to say. There doesn't seem to be a point in searching for weakness anymore. These charts would be worth to look at once weakness creeps in. I don't see that at the moment.


sometimes that is when one needs to be alert. Long term sentiment needs to be watched now.
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Post: #578   PostPosted: Sun Dec 29, 2013 8:18 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay28 wrote:


sometimes that is when one needs to be alert. Long term sentiment needs to be watched now.


Yes, true...

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Post: #579   PostPosted: Sat Jan 04, 2014 10:53 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Updated OTM PCR rank, options sentiment & market breadth charts (03.01.2014)

OTM PCR rank is above 50% indicating bearish bias but options sentiment has not yet indicated sufficient downside bias to take action.

Market breadth remains extremely strong.

The probability of pullback remains high but bias still is bullish. 6130 on NS is crucial, if that breaks on a daily closing basis we could see a decent pullback.

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Post: #580   PostPosted: Thu Jan 09, 2014 9:44 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Updated NSE OTM PCR Rank & NSE Options Sentiment charts (09.01.2014)

Significant change in both the charts. Rank has shot up above 80% and options sentiment showing strong movement towards the first upper bands which could confirm a sell signal.

The next 2-3 trading sessions can be crucial....or maybe tomorrow itself?

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Post: #581   PostPosted: Fri Jan 10, 2014 8:13 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

next couple of days crucial I guess.
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Post: #582   PostPosted: Fri Jan 10, 2014 9:49 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Updated NSE OTM PCR Rank and NSE Options Sentiment charts (10.01.2014)

Rank has shot up above 90% after a long time. Last time it was above 90% was during the Jul-Aug 2013 correction. Options sentiment too at highest bearish levels since late Aug 2013. Rank has given a sell that will be confirmed if NS gives a daily close below 6130. Options sentiment too needs to confirm a sell by hitting the first bearish band above.

Early next week should make things clear.

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Post: #583   PostPosted: Sat Jan 11, 2014 11:02 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

rank should remain above 70 for a few days for further fall.
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Post: #584   PostPosted: Sat Jan 11, 2014 11:56 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

ST and Vinay,

The rank has crossed up 80-90%, but VIX has fallen to near a very low value of 15. How should we value the strength of rank cross in such a case? Does it get less...
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Post: #585   PostPosted: Sat Jan 11, 2014 12:12 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

apka wrote:
ST and Vinay,

The rank has crossed up 80-90%, but VIX has fallen to near a very low value of 15. How should we value the strength of rank cross in such a case? Does it get less...


apka, when vix is so low, with my limited knwoledge, I would have thought options are being bought and not written. But in any case, ST's rank is for OTM options only and not all.

I grant you one thing though. Comparison of present rank vis-a-vis nifty should be done with similar low vix period of oct'12 onwards. I had posted this earlier too. If I do that, I am not still convinced that we should see a big fall like july-aug soon as ST has opined. That's why I posted today that rank should remain above 70 (after having crossed 90% after a long time) for at least a few days for further sizeable fall. May be we will know by end of next week.
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