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Market Sentiment
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Author Market Sentiment
ca.krishna
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Joined: 17 Sep 2013
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Post: #796   PostPosted: Wed May 16, 2018 4:26 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

SwingTrader wrote:
singh.ravee wrote:
SwingTrader wrote:
Market indexes too clearly indicate poor breadth. Only NIFTY is up in the last two weeks, CNX500, CNXMIDCAP & CNXSMALLCAP are all down.


Sir,
GM and greetings !
Can you pls share how many min trading sessions are required for breadth to improve.
Pls share your observation
Regards
ravee


Very difficult to predict that. For long term the long term breadth is obviously very important but that takes lot of time to turn positive. I keep a close eye on medium term as it gives quicker picture but it still lags. Even the medium term breadth could lag as much as 3-4 weeks, especially when market turns bullish. The medium term is lot faster and sometimes even leads market declines.


Hi ST,

What is the level of medium and long term indicator after today's closing.. I hope medium would have also come down below 0. Long term was already below 0.

Thanks
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singh.ravee
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Post: #797   PostPosted: Wed May 16, 2018 6:29 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

SwingTrader wrote:


Very difficult to predict that. For long term the long term breadth is obviously very important but that takes lot of time to turn positive. I keep a close eye on medium term as it gives quicker picture but it still lags. Even the medium term breadth could lag as much as 3-4 weeks, especially when market turns bullish. The medium term is lot faster and sometimes even leads market declines.


many thanks sir Smile
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SwingTrader
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Post: #798   PostPosted: Sat May 19, 2018 10:04 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

NSE Market Breadth Oscillator as on 18.05.2018

The deterioration in breadth continues but this week largecaps also declined. They were holding well until 11th / last friday whereas mid/small had declined significantly since end of last month.

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apka
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Post: #799   PostPosted: Sat May 19, 2018 8:09 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Great..! now it's clear we will go much further down and your charts certainly gave the clue in advance.
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Sun08
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Post: #800   PostPosted: Tue May 22, 2018 8:20 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Sun08 wrote:
Sun08 wrote:
Sun08 wrote:
....
I think we will have to wait till after 17/4. till friday the 13th I am bullish as of now.


Till 13th it went fine. near eod yesterday, I got the feel that it may react so have closed my longs near EOD. will watch today's move and decide.


today was as expected. now to see how far it goes. I guess worst case 10300. monthly (27/04) close above 10300 must to go long again.


13th turned out to be highest close. let's see how low it goes but I feel market breadth and sentiment should improve soon. If not, then pain for some more months.
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Post: #801   PostPosted: Tue May 22, 2018 6:59 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

apka wrote:
Great..! now it's clear we will go much further down and your charts certainly gave the clue in advance.


hmm....looks like that. One question....do you invest for long term? If yes, how are you approaching it at the moment?

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Post: #802   PostPosted: Tue May 22, 2018 7:02 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Sun08 wrote:

...
...
...

13th turned out to be highest close. let's see how low it goes but I feel market breadth and sentiment should improve soon. If not, then pain for some more months.


For many stocks it looks like more pain is yet to come. I would be comfortable if largecaps correct a bit too. If not price correction, atleast time correction.

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Srikanth Kurdukar
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Post: #803   PostPosted: Tue May 22, 2018 7:26 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

NSE Breadth Oscillator as on 22nd May 2018

Breadth continues to be very negative...

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Srikanth Kurdukar
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Sun08
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Post: #804   PostPosted: Tue May 22, 2018 8:19 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

SwingTrader wrote:
For many stocks it looks like more pain is yet to come. I would be comfortable if largecaps correct a bit too. If not price correction, atleast time correction.


very true but I feel while large caps will tank, many mid/small caps will make a bottom soon. Not confident though.
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apka
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Post: #805   PostPosted: Wed May 23, 2018 5:38 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

SwingTrader wrote:
apka wrote:
Great..! now it's clear we will go much further down and your charts certainly gave the clue in advance.


hmm....looks like that. One question....do you invest for long term? If yes, how are you approaching it at the moment?


Good question... Sorry for the late reply, was busy watching the market Very Happy ... Sometimes the price is not right, sometimes the amount I want to invest from my side is short...

So I have made a strategy for myself, i.e., whatever trading profit I earn, if the amount is small then I purchase stocks which I like + Bluechip... qty 1-10 whatever I can with the entire profit same day... If the profit is more than avg i buy more qtys on that day or withdraw some. This way I don't panic that I am at a loss. Because I didn't put my own source of income to invest. Maybe if market falls 20-25% then i'll invest from my own.

My target is to keep making daily profit in trading and keep accumulating atleast 2-3 qtys of any scrips I keep a watch on for long term and not bother about the price fluctuations. This way, I can end up with decent qtys in a year or 2 without doing investment from my income sources.

For this.. I am keeping a horizon of 10-15-20 years in mind with the assumption market will be much better than today, so not worried about price changes right now.
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Sun08
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Post: #806   PostPosted: Fri May 25, 2018 11:43 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

ST, pl post market breadth, particularly mid/small caps if possible, after EOD data.
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SwingTrader
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Post: #807   PostPosted: Fri May 25, 2018 7:33 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

apka wrote:
SwingTrader wrote:
apka wrote:
Great..! now it's clear we will go much further down and your charts certainly gave the clue in advance.


hmm....looks like that. One question....do you invest for long term? If yes, how are you approaching it at the moment?


Good question... Sorry for the late reply, was busy watching the market Very Happy ... Sometimes the price is not right, sometimes the amount I want to invest from my side is short...

So I have made a strategy for myself, i.e., whatever trading profit I earn, if the amount is small then I purchase stocks which I like + Bluechip... qty 1-10 whatever I can with the entire profit same day... If the profit is more than avg i buy more qtys on that day or withdraw some. This way I don't panic that I am at a loss. Because I didn't put my own source of income to invest. Maybe if market falls 20-25% then i'll invest from my own.

My target is to keep making daily profit in trading and keep accumulating atleast 2-3 qtys of any scrips I keep a watch on for long term and not bother about the price fluctuations. This way, I can end up with decent qtys in a year or 2 without doing investment from my income sources.

For this.. I am keeping a horizon of 10-15-20 years in mind with the assumption market will be much better than today, so not worried about price changes right now.


Thanks for the reply.

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SwingTrader
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Post: #808   PostPosted: Fri May 25, 2018 7:34 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Sun08 wrote:
ST, pl post market breadth, particularly mid/small caps if possible, after EOD data.


Yes, this is long pending. I need to build data for this. I will see what I can do.

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Post: #809   PostPosted: Fri May 25, 2018 7:38 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

NSE Breadth Oscillator as on 25th May 2018

This is for the whole market (all NSE stocks). I will see if I can compute data post largecap & mid/small cap separately.

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Sun08
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Post: #810   PostPosted: Fri May 25, 2018 8:26 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

SwingTrader wrote:
NSE Breadth Oscillator as on 25th May 2018

This is for the whole market (all NSE stocks). I will see if I can compute data post largecap & mid/small cap separately.


tks
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