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Meaning of NR7 pattern ! |
Pats White Belt
Joined: 08 Sep 2013 Posts: 407
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Post: #196 Posted: Sun Oct 21, 2018 10:37 am Post subject: |
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For some days, I would like to adopt sell on rise policy in Nfty and BN , if last 2 wks high is not violated on upper side.
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...For my long term portfolio on Buy and Forget basis , following stocks look good - if corrects to following buy lvls for 40% plus returns in next 2 yrs :
1) Maruti cp=6756 , Buy lvl 4500 plus/minus.
2) EicherMot cp=21625,
Buy lvl 14500
3) HeroMoto cp= 2712 , Buy lvl 1800
4) TCS cp= 1929 , Buy lvl 1400 .
5) RIL cp= 1148, Buy lvl 800 .
6) KotakBank cp= 1178 , Buy lvl 800 .
7) HDFCbank cp= 1974 , Buy lvl 1100 .
* For Education Purpose only * |
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Pats White Belt
Joined: 08 Sep 2013 Posts: 407
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Post: #197 Posted: Mon Oct 22, 2018 11:10 am Post subject: |
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Nfty and BN *Sell on Rise* policy worked perfectly today morning. May try again same policy at higher lvl, with proper SL.
Quote: | ..Posted: 21 Oct 2018
:For some days, I would like to adopt sell on rise policy in Nfty and BN , if last 2 wks high is not violated on upper side. |
AmbujaCem curPrice around 212. If unable to sustain at higher lvls, a dip towards 205 and below posible.
* For Education Purpose only * |
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Pats White Belt
Joined: 08 Sep 2013 Posts: 407
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Post: #198 Posted: Mon Oct 22, 2018 2:21 pm Post subject: |
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AmbujaCem todays low till now is 205.25** .
Quote: | ...AmbujaCem curPrice around 212. If unable to sustain at higher lvls, a dip towards 205** and below posible.
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As expected , Nfty and BN slipped from higher lvls. |
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Pats White Belt
Joined: 08 Sep 2013 Posts: 407
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Post: #199 Posted: Tue Oct 23, 2018 1:33 pm Post subject: |
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..ICICIbank curPrice around 324.
If support around 318 remains intact, then 332 plus posible.
Nfty around 10105** . Booked all shorts in Nfty and BN.
Quote: |
Posted: Fri Oct 19, 201
Nfty today slipped below 10300.
Next immd sup around 10138 **.
BN is hovering around 25000 to 25300 range. Next immd sup around 24677.
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Pats White Belt
Joined: 08 Sep 2013 Posts: 407
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Post: #200 Posted: Wed Oct 24, 2018 7:36 am Post subject: |
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Nfty last cl 10146 ...
BN last cl 24972 .
For bulls 10350 to 10400 and 25500 to 26000 are attractive zones for coming days. ...
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Pats White Belt
Joined: 08 Sep 2013 Posts: 407
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Post: #201 Posted: Thu Oct 25, 2018 11:14 am Post subject: |
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Nfty around 10105. BN around 24800.
If BN reverses up, BN 01Nov18 expiry 25700CE is just around 40.
Just an observation !
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Pats White Belt
Joined: 08 Sep 2013 Posts: 407
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Post: #202 Posted: Fri Oct 26, 2018 9:39 pm Post subject: |
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BN 24372 , Nfty 10014
Quote: | ..Posted: Fri Oct 19, 2018
....Nfty today slipped below 10300.
Next immd sup around 10138.
BN is hovering around 25000 to 25300 range. Next immd sup around 24677.
...Also , If this bounce does not happen , then next dnside fibo lvl is much deeper at 9856. . |
BN and Nfty both below supports.. But this dnmove from around 11200 lvl is fierce and sharp ... timewise.
... If Upmove starts, that may be also equally sharp and quick, without any notice.
Generally such sharp moves leads towards mean point of last 3 mnths mean avrg.
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Pats White Belt
Joined: 08 Sep 2013 Posts: 407
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Post: #203 Posted: Sat Oct 27, 2018 3:02 pm Post subject: |
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Yearly statistics and unbiased view :
* 1 Yr wkly chart Atached *
Nfty last cl 10030.
. On wkly charts in last 12mnths , Nov-Dec2017 low was around 10000 , then again Mar-Apr17 low around 10000 and now yet again Dec18-Jan19 posible low may be around 10000.
History repeats itself !
.... So if market has factored-in all negatives like global trade war, Fed rate hikes, recession, high crude, INR depriciation, 2018 state and 2019 union elections, bank NPAs , negative corporate results, global warming, psunamis and natural disasters, posible wars and attacks etc etc ,
... *THEN ONLY* the broad Nfty range for some wks should be at LBBand 9888* to MBBand at 10456** plus/minus 65 pts. . If this does not happens :
.. *ELSE* again dnward momentum towards 9700 , 9500 , 9233 with approx 200 pts small bounces in-btwn.
.. If 9465 breaks then ultimate sup is around 9200 plus/ minus 30 pts, from where a posible Nfty journey towards 12333 may start !
...By the way, last 3 mnts Nfty returns are minus 10 % , but last 1 yr returns are only minus 1 % ... not much change on yrly basis for an INVESTOR !
... I have lots of NftyBEES baught around avg 370 and BankBEES at avg 1135 - a 2008 purchase. Power of compounding !
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Pats White Belt
Joined: 08 Sep 2013 Posts: 407
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Post: #204 Posted: Fri Nov 02, 2018 2:08 pm Post subject: |
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Nfty curPrice 10603
1) 10710* to 10005 in 7 sessions
2) 10005 to 10587 till now in 5 session
... with posiblity towards resi at recent high 10710* and 10841 prv gap. After resi lvls , un-chartered moves upside posible
Quote: | ..Posted: Fri Oct 26, 2018
BN and Nfty both below supports..
But this dnmove from around 11200 lvl is fierce and sharp ... timewise.
... If Upmove starts, that may be also equally sharp and quick, without any notice. Generally such sharp moves leads towards mean point of last 3 mnths mean avrg. . | ...
*IF* unable to sustain cur momentum then a fast slide towards 21DMA 10365 and below posible from resi lvls or below .
... Booked all long positions in Nfty and Stock specific CEs. ... Baught puts in some stocks in small qty.
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Pats White Belt
Joined: 08 Sep 2013 Posts: 407
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Post: #205 Posted: Sun Nov 04, 2018 9:34 am Post subject: |
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Low risk option strategy , I adopt sometime by Option Buying only :
I wanted to buy L&T puts as I was expecting some correction before price goes up. .
.. 1) On 29Oct I baught LT 1160 PEs at 12.70 .
.. But since I wanted to protect the capital , in case of some surprise up-swing in the market :
2) On 29Oct I also baught low priced LT 1400 CEs at 2.70
.. So my L&T PE - CE total combo cost was 15.55*. Later on 01st Nov , I managed to sell 1400 CEs at 28.35** ( high was around 33 ) . Profit of 12.80*** per lot ( 28.35 minus 15.55 ) .
So 12.80 into 375 lotsize equals 4800 profit per lot. .
.... I am still holding LT 1160 PEs curPrice is 2 , which is completely free-of-cost. If by chance, this option price appriciates to 5 / 10 / 15, that may be a Bonus on my trade.
.. Same method , I applied to Titan options , and got good profits. Still holding Titan PEs free-of-cost.
Note : This strategy does not involve Option Selling , which involves large margin and high risk , so is safe and low cost for a common retail investor.
.. Best suited in the early days of a new series , as premium erosion in options is less.
*** For Education Purpose Only *** |
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Pats White Belt
Joined: 08 Sep 2013 Posts: 407
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Post: #206 Posted: Mon Nov 05, 2018 2:17 pm Post subject: |
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Only 3 working days this werk including today due to holidays.
Not sure abt support, but best trade setup for Option Writers to keep market range-bound to eat-up premiums.
... Just an observation ! |
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Pats White Belt
Joined: 08 Sep 2013 Posts: 407
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Post: #207 Posted: Tue Nov 06, 2018 8:46 am Post subject: |
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Nfty lastCl 10524.
For next few days :
*Attached Chart* shows resi around 10588 , 10622.
Breakout zone 10710.
Sup at 10364 and 10200.
Breakdown zone 10004.
* For Education Purpose only *
Last edited by Pats on Tue Nov 06, 2018 8:49 am; edited 1 time in total |
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Pats White Belt
Joined: 08 Sep 2013 Posts: 407
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Post: #208 Posted: Tue Nov 06, 2018 8:48 am Post subject: |
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BN last cl 25732.
* Attached Chart * shows resi around 25865 and 25940.
Breakout zone 26233.
Sup at 25465 and 25333.
Bteakdown zone 24965.
* For Education Purpose only * |
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Pats White Belt
Joined: 08 Sep 2013 Posts: 407
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Post: #209 Posted: Thu Nov 08, 2018 8:16 am Post subject: |
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Sanwaria last cl 11.10.
.*Attached Wkly Chart * shows
upside is capped btw 14 to 16 and lower side btw 8 to 10 , with dnward slopping trajectory and swinging around central blue line.
.. Unless 22.40 to 25.70 is not crossed convingsingly , not much hope.
.... I dont have this stock in my portfolio, posted this view in response for my good friend UmeshSri and all !
... * For Education Purpose only * |
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Pats White Belt
Joined: 08 Sep 2013 Posts: 407
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Post: #210 Posted: Fri Nov 09, 2018 12:38 pm Post subject: |
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Tijaria curPrice 25.50 .
. Made high of 25.50 in this week.
Booked full profit at 23 2 days back... approx 125 % profit in 3 mnths.
Not bad !
But exited Refex without much profit.
Quote: | ... Posted on : Aug 10, 2018
Some below 100 stocks with increased volumes and good posible upside in 3-6 mnths TF:
1) Calsoft CPr 40, 2-mnth low 30.
2) Indswftlab CPr 90, 2-mnth low 80.
3) Tijaria CPr 11.60, 2-mnth low 8.
4) Refex CPr 16, 2-mnth low 12.
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Currtly short in BN with proper SL |
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