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My Nifty View and Trades |
Sun08
White Belt
Joined: 21 Aug 2017
Posts: 478
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Post: #166  Posted: Sun Feb 17, 2019 6:20 pm Post subject: |
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| I have gone long on Friday. May be risky but I feel it's worth it. |
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Sun08
White Belt
Joined: 21 Aug 2017
Posts: 478
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| Post: #167 Posted: Wed Mar 06, 2019 8:44 pm Post subject: |
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An update of post on 04/02 (will July '18 repeat?)
BTW, I have sold all my index and RIL calls today. |
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Sun08
White Belt
Joined: 21 Aug 2017
Posts: 478
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| Post: #168 Posted: Tue Mar 12, 2019 2:36 pm Post subject: |
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| couldn't get time to update. after my last post, I went long and have booked again. |
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Sun08
White Belt
Joined: 21 Aug 2017
Posts: 478
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| Post: #169 Posted: Sun Mar 17, 2019 12:00 pm Post subject: |
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| An update of post on 04/02 (will July '18 repeat?) |
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Sun08
White Belt
Joined: 21 Aug 2017
Posts: 478
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| Post: #170 Posted: Mon Mar 25, 2019 8:17 am Post subject: |
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| 3 month bond yield crossed over 10 year yield in US on Friday 22/03, first time since 2007 crash. Hence, caution advised. |
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Sun08
White Belt
Joined: 21 Aug 2017
Posts: 478
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| Post: #171 Posted: Wed Apr 24, 2019 8:57 pm Post subject: |
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An update of post on 04/02/19 in which I had asked "will July '18 repeat?"
It did repeat perfectly.
Now the question is "will Sept '18 repeat?" |
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Sun08
White Belt
Joined: 21 Aug 2017
Posts: 478
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| Post: #172 Posted: Tue Jun 18, 2019 6:27 pm Post subject: |
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Posting after almost 2 months.
Nifty is crucially poised. Even if it does reverse from here, it may go back to 11900/12100, probably former but bank nifty will underperform nifty. But after that, I feel, much more pain awaits bulls and investors as nifty is likely to tank viciously, perhaps breaking 11000 in 2 months from now, say, end august. |
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Sun08
White Belt
Joined: 21 Aug 2017
Posts: 478
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| Post: #173 Posted: Thu Jun 20, 2019 7:43 pm Post subject: |
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| Sun08 wrote: | Posting after almost 2 months.
Nifty is crucially poised. Even if it does reverse from here, it may go back to 11900/12100, probably former but bank nifty will underperform nifty. But after that, I feel, much more pain awaits bulls and investors as nifty is likely to tank viciously, perhaps breaking 11000 in 2 months from now, say, end august. |
so far so good. this "V" shaped recovery can fizzle out. Caution advised. Bullish only if sustains above 12100. |
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Sun08
White Belt
Joined: 21 Aug 2017
Posts: 478
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| Post: #174 Posted: Wed Jul 31, 2019 3:59 am Post subject: |
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I feel a vicious reversal soon can not be ruled out. Last straw is about 10771, still about 300 away.
sorry for a post after a lone time. been away for a while. |
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pkholla
Black Belt
Joined: 04 Nov 2010
Posts: 2890
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| Post: #175 Posted: Thu Aug 01, 2019 9:46 am Post subject: |
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| Sun08 wrote: | I feel a vicious reversal soon can not be ruled out. Last straw is about 10771, still about 300 away.
sorry for a post after a lone time. been away for a while. |
No problemo, Senor Sol!
Nothing much happening anyway
I myself absent from my thread as trades are few and scarce
Why use the word VICIOUS? And what is the trigger for the reversal you are talking about?
Economy not doing so well BUT dividends coming steadily so many companies are chugging along at steady speed
Cheers, Prakash Holla |
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chetan83
Brown Belt
Joined: 19 Feb 2010
Posts: 2036
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| Post: #176 Posted: Thu Aug 01, 2019 12:36 pm Post subject: |
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| Sun08 wrote: | Posting after almost 2 months.
Nifty is crucially poised. Even if it does reverse from here, it may go back to 11900/12100, probably former but bank nifty will underperform nifty. But after that, I feel, much more pain awaits bulls and investors as nifty is likely to tank viciously, perhaps breaking 11000 in 2 months from now, say, end august. |
target done in July end, in only 1 month....can we expect some pullback from 61.8% fibo at 10800 in nifty. |
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Sun08
White Belt
Joined: 21 Aug 2017
Posts: 478
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| Post: #177 Posted: Tue Aug 06, 2019 9:06 pm Post subject: |
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| chetan83 wrote: | | target done in July end, in only 1 month....can we expect some pullback from 61.8% fibo at 10800 in nifty. |
sorry, saw your message just now. I did mention that we may see a reversal soon. Also, Friday low was about 10782. if 10771 is hit, then we may see much lower levels e.g. about 10200/9500, no matter whatever the recovery after hitting 10771.
if global situation also worsens, all hell may break loose, giving much lower levels by april/may'20, which are best not mentioned now, being speculative. |
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Sun08
White Belt
Joined: 21 Aug 2017
Posts: 478
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| Post: #178 Posted: Tue Aug 06, 2019 9:11 pm Post subject: |
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| pkholla wrote: | ………….Why use the word VICIOUS? And what is the trigger for the reversal you are talking about?
Economy not doing so well BUT dividends coming steadily so many companies are chugging along at steady speed
Cheers, Prakash Holla |
if it's just a major technical correction, 10771 should not be hit. valuations are very cheap and strong buying may emerge as a long term investment. one can never predict the whims and fancies of the firangis. but I would rather grab good mid/small cap scrips than large cap. |
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pkholla
Black Belt
Joined: 04 Nov 2010
Posts: 2890
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| Post: #179 Posted: Wed Aug 07, 2019 2:18 pm Post subject: |
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Sol: you may be right. IF finmin Nirmala quickly addresses concerns of Firangis about super tax (there's talk of ordinance to address the issue)
AND with positive effect of Kashmir capture
THEN the sharp reversal you talk about can happen. We should be prepared for it
Cheers, Prakash Holla |
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Sun08
White Belt
Joined: 21 Aug 2017
Posts: 478
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| Post: #180 Posted: Fri Aug 23, 2019 6:32 pm Post subject: |
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| Sun08 wrote: | | if it's just a major technical correction, 10771 should not be hit. valuations are very cheap and strong buying may emerge as a long term investment. one can never predict the whims and fancies of the firangis. but I would rather grab good mid/small cap scrips than large cap. |
10771 was taken out. so after a technical reversal of perhaps a few hundred points, we may see fresh down move, targets being 10288/9561/9110. I don't intend to spread panic as such lower levels may not come. let's go step by step. EPA is latest by May 2020. |
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