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Nifty Analysis |
MILANCHN White Belt
Joined: 12 Mar 2009 Posts: 105
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Post: #1111 Posted: Tue May 14, 2013 12:48 pm Post subject: NIFTY |
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Shahshangan-
me from Kochi-
is it market related-training programe ? |
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shashangan Green Belt
Joined: 12 Jun 2007 Posts: 1321 Location: Bangalore
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Post: #1112 Posted: Tue May 14, 2013 12:51 pm Post subject: |
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Hey Milan
Not really. I am training TVS Motors. I am a certified Product trainer for TVS Motors. I am training them on bikes & sales related.
I think the program is at their Edapally office. I must be staying at Kaloor Gokulam Park. Not sure, Will know by evening.
Thanks
Gautham Shashangan |
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beowulf White Belt
Joined: 18 Aug 2010 Posts: 163
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Post: #1113 Posted: Tue May 14, 2013 12:57 pm Post subject: |
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Hi Gautham,
Thanks for the great numbers (as always)...nifty flirting with 6000 but trending down...
Would you recommend going short at these levels...
Have a successful trip...
Beo |
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shashangan Green Belt
Joined: 12 Jun 2007 Posts: 1321 Location: Bangalore
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Post: #1114 Posted: Tue May 14, 2013 1:01 pm Post subject: |
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Beo, You can try with tight stop if you want, 6021 or 26 stop.
I normally enter at high or low, dont enter in between.
But it's gone through intra day 6009 so can fall
Thanks for your wishes
Gautham Shashangan |
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shashangan Green Belt
Joined: 12 Jun 2007 Posts: 1321 Location: Bangalore
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Post: #1115 Posted: Tue May 14, 2013 1:28 pm Post subject: |
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Good luck Enjoy your week ahead.
Happy Trading.
See you next week friends,
Thanks & Regards,
Gautham Shashangan |
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satishkadam Yellow Belt
Joined: 01 Apr 2010 Posts: 805
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Post: #1116 Posted: Wed May 15, 2013 3:38 pm Post subject: |
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shashangan wrote: | That's right Satish. It was also giving some small indications.
I hope nobody got trapped on the wrong long side. Nifty May (- 131 points) The closing is pretty bad on daily basis.
The previous week's candle 70% is covered by today's bear. Need to see what they do in next 2-3 days.
Immediate resistance would be at 6024. They can again try & confuse with some erratic movements. But in any case, for now I feel 6058, may be level people could enter short if they get it back there.
I am leaving to kochi by noon tomorrow & wont be there for the week.
6078
6058
6049
6027
6015
NF Support
5963
5934
5919 Sloping variable *
5893 *
5869
5852
5844
Thanks
Gautham Shashangan |
Gautham,
Today it has closed @ higher level.
Whats your view on NF and BNF now.
Your valuable commented.... please.
Thanks
Satish Kadam |
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shashangan Green Belt
Joined: 12 Jun 2007 Posts: 1321 Location: Bangalore
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Post: #1117 Posted: Fri May 17, 2013 11:49 am Post subject: |
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For now 6146-6200 Range for May. Mkt may start up movement again probably after 1.30 pm today.
Stops below 6080.
Thanks
Gautham Shashangan |
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rsnerella White Belt
Joined: 30 Jul 2008 Posts: 153
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Post: #1118 Posted: Fri May 17, 2013 12:29 pm Post subject: Nifty Analysis |
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Do you mean entire may with in this range?
shashangan wrote: | For now 6146-6200 Range for May. Mkt may start up movement again probably after 1.30 pm today.
Stops below 6080.
Thanks
Gautham Shashangan |
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shashangan Green Belt
Joined: 12 Jun 2007 Posts: 1321 Location: Bangalore
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Post: #1119 Posted: Fri May 17, 2013 5:53 pm Post subject: |
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I am sorry, I didn't mention stop for the short I recommended. 6078 the next resistance I had mentioned or 6103 above should have been stop.
I shall try & be there & update mkt from Monday.
Thanks
Gautham Shashangan
satishkadam wrote: | shashangan wrote: | That's right Satish. It was also giving some small indications.
I hope nobody got trapped on the wrong long side. Nifty May (- 131 points) The closing is pretty bad on daily basis.
The previous week's candle 70% is covered by today's bear. Need to see what they do in next 2-3 days.
Immediate resistance would be at 6024. They can again try & confuse with some erratic movements. But in any case, for now I feel 6058, may be level people could enter short if they get it back there.
I am leaving to kochi by noon tomorrow & wont be there for the week.
6078
6058
6049
6027
6015
NF Support
5963
5934
5919 Sloping variable *
5893 *
5869
5852
5844
Thanks
Gautham Shashangan |
Gautham,
Today it has closed @ higher level.
Whats your view on NF and BNF now.
Your valuable commented.... please.
Thanks
Satish Kadam |
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chennuru White Belt
Joined: 07 Jan 2011 Posts: 93
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Post: #1120 Posted: Sat May 18, 2013 12:01 am Post subject: |
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Nifty Fibano levels |
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shashangan Green Belt
Joined: 12 Jun 2007 Posts: 1321 Location: Bangalore
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Post: #1121 Posted: Sat May 18, 2013 12:34 am Post subject: |
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Hi Chennuru,
It's nice to see your views. Kindly also mention entry exit & stop also along with your views & projections.
Thanks
Gautham Shashangan |
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shashangan Green Belt
Joined: 12 Jun 2007 Posts: 1321 Location: Bangalore
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Post: #1122 Posted: Sat May 18, 2013 12:00 pm Post subject: |
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Positional longs need to keep a watch from 6203 - 6231 NF on Monday. I suspect a fall or a correction again.
Minimum target could be 6142-38.
Clear most of your stock portfolio. I remind again, the mkt is nearing a overall top for a major Reversal. Keep small exposures & dont carry long positions. The fall to follow will target minimum around 5400. Stay cautious.
Play minimum. Wait for highs to short than going long. Keep very thin long positions & If you long make sure to play with stops.
Shall update the entry & my view as it's clear.
Kindly do your own analysis also. I can be wrong.
Thanks
Gautham Shashangan
Last edited by shashangan on Sat May 18, 2013 6:37 pm; edited 1 time in total |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #1123 Posted: Sat May 18, 2013 12:07 pm Post subject: |
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shashangan wrote: | Positional longs need to keep a watch from 6203 - 6227 NF on Monday. I suspect a fall or a correction again.
Minimum target could be 6142-38.
Clear most of your stock portfolio. I remind again, the mkt is nearing a overall top for a major Reversal. Keep small exposures & dont carry long positions. The fall to follow will target minimum around 5400. Stay cautious.
Play minimum. Wait for highs to short than going long. Keep very thin long positions & If you long make sure to play with stops.
Shall update the entry & my view as it's clear.
Kindly do your own analysis also. I can be wrong.
Thanks
Gautham Shashangan |
So gautham, you are not thinking about a new all time high soon at all? |
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shashangan Green Belt
Joined: 12 Jun 2007 Posts: 1321 Location: Bangalore
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Post: #1124 Posted: Sat May 18, 2013 1:10 pm Post subject: |
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Well Vinay, it can happen if there are extensions.
NF 6270-80 region is the T/L resistance.
There can be a lot of profit booking.
Yes punters would want to send out the short term bears who would start entering from 6265, so they may push it up a bit to do some fishing of stops.
But the mkt is at the top. I doubt if they would have the guts to risk beyond 6300-10. This should be the actual target.
Generally if there is some mischief they want to do, to break this mindset of many people is by taking it beyond the T/L, the other is to sell off before it reaches the T/L. I can feel the latter for Monday. So I am mentioning stay cautious. It's not necessary it has to happen.
Keep in mind the mkt has moved up continuously for 5 weeks & If it reaches 6280-6300 it's 800+points up move. So according to me the mkt should not cross 6300/ 6315. Around that is the worst if it extends. 6300 would be a great short for medium to long term. Extensions are little difficult to get it pin point right. It may extend more. But I am giving my view what I feel possible. Do your own analysis too.
I may change my mind seeing the move later. But as of now I dont feel mkt has possibility to touch 6400+. These are just guessing based on my analysis. I can be wrong.
Thanks
Gautham Shashangan
Last edited by shashangan on Sat May 18, 2013 3:09 pm; edited 1 time in total |
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channasri Green Belt
Joined: 01 Aug 2012 Posts: 1029
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Post: #1125 Posted: Sat May 18, 2013 1:55 pm Post subject: Wave counts for discussion |
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I have posted some wave counts for Nifty spot in the paragraphs below. Request experts to correct me if I am wrong.
Wave 1 from 23-12-2011 (4531) to 24-2-2012 (5630) = 1099 points
Wave 2 from 24-2-2012 (5630) to 8-6-2012 (4770) = 860 points (78.3%
of Wave 1)
Wave 3 from 8-6-2013 (4770) to 1-2-2013 (6112) = 1342 points (122.1%
of Wave 1)
Wave 4 from 1-2-2013 (6112) to 12-4-2013 (5477) = 635 points (47.3%
of Wave 3) but breached Wave 1 territory.
Wave 5 is in progress since 12-4-2013.
Since Wave 3 cannot be the shortest, the highest level for Nifty spot can be 6819 i.e., 5477 + 1342 (length of Wave 3). The Fibonacci levels will thus come at 5786 (23%) - DONE, 5987 (38%) - DONE, 6148 (50%) - DONE, 6306 (61.2%) - PENDING, 6551 (80%) - PENDING.
The Wave 4 above has breached Wave 1. This should not happen. Hence, the alternative view is that we are still in WAVE 3 (if 6112 mentioned above is Sub Wave 3 of Wave 3 and 5477 is end of Sub Wave 4 of Wave 3). If so, end of this Sub Wave 5 will be marked by a huge Wave 4 all the way down. That should lead to a huge Wave 5 taking Nifty Spot beyond 7000.
My personal view is that crossing 6306 itself is tough for the May series. Let's wait and see. Market's verdict is final.
Regards,
channasri[/b] |
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