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Nifty Analysis
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Author Nifty Analysis
vinay28
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Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748

Post: #1171   PostPosted: Thu May 23, 2013 12:18 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

shashangan wrote:
Vinay,

Like I had mentioned if a fall comes, it's a confusion. I am still wondering has it made a top.

The break of the previous week is not good for bulls. But anyway after the Monday fall I did expect mkt will remain uncertain till wednesday or thursday & was thinking it will make a huge surge towards thursday close that's today & again break the high by tomorrow close & make the weekly close green.

But I don't know if it's going to happen. That would be a move like what you were expecting. I have not traded for some time & have no positions & I am just quietly watching. Just waiting for some clear direction.

For now mkt is looking still down atleast till 2.30.

Thanks
Gautham Shashangan


rightly said gautham but I doubt it will break the high by tmrw. But next week is another game. As long as it doesn't break 5970 by tmrw, it won't be a bearish engulfing candle on weekly chart. Also, VIX may react from its today's high of 19.17.
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shashangan
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #1172   PostPosted: Thu May 23, 2013 1:37 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Mkt can test the support around 5964-61 NF around 2 - 2.15 pm & pull back to around 6025 probably by 2.45 pm.

I can be wrong. A move below 5930 will be bad. Play cautiously.

Regards
Gautham Shashangan
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chennuru
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Joined: 07 Jan 2011
Posts: 93

Post: #1173   PostPosted: Fri May 24, 2013 6:57 pm    Post subject: divergence in nifty Reply with quote

nifty divergence trade in daily charts, my view still another 150 points down sid
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taruj
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Joined: 20 Apr 2011
Posts: 260

Post: #1174   PostPosted: Fri May 24, 2013 9:22 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

HI Chen: saw your SB Post.

I am not very good at TA, but you may be right. just like my mentor (who also is bad at TA) said: hope you are prepared for that eventuality in case it doesnt go the way you thought it would.

Also, like Veera Dada (veerappan) says: throw your mind out of the window and follow your plan.

Maybe sharad sir can value add.

my best wishes to you. thumbup
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vinay28
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Joined: 24 Dec 2010
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Post: #1175   PostPosted: Fri May 24, 2013 9:40 pm    Post subject: Re: divergence in nifty Reply with quote

chennuru wrote:
nifty divergence trade in daily charts, my view still another 150 points down sid


there is a mild +ve div on daily.
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shashangan
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Post: #1176   PostPosted: Mon May 27, 2013 10:08 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Had a very busy weekend, could not update.

But anyway mkt has not broken 5930 & has achieved 6025. Let's see what happens now. It's consolidating I suppose.

NF may be in the range of 6030 - 6003 till 11.15 before taking new direction, if I am not wrong. Shall update again a little later.

Regards,
Gautham Shashangan
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shashangan
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Post: #1177   PostPosted: Mon May 27, 2013 12:31 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

NF may take a turn up to 6037+ approx possibly from around 6003-6000.

Break below 5977 could slow down.

Regards,
Gautham Shashangan
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shashangan
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Post: #1178   PostPosted: Mon May 27, 2013 4:44 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Longs need to keep a watch around (May) 6116 - 6120 region. The mkt might take a reversal for a huge fall.

Just a caution. I may be wrong. Let's see what happens till May expiry.

Good luck
Gautham Shashangan
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shashangan
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Post: #1179   PostPosted: Mon May 27, 2013 6:43 pm    Post subject: Re: divergence in nifty Reply with quote

Where is your stop Chennuru. How do you see the mkt now.

chennuru wrote:
nifty divergence trade in daily charts, my view still another 150 points down sid


taruj wrote:
HI Chen: saw your SB Post.

I am not very good at TA, but you may be right. just like my mentor (who also is bad at TA) said: hope you are prepared for that eventuality in case it doesnt go the way you thought it would.

Also, like Veera Dada (veerappan) says: throw your mind out of the window and follow your plan.

Maybe sharad sir can value add.

my best wishes to you. thumbup


Thanks
Gautham Shashangan
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shashangan
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Post: #1180   PostPosted: Tue May 28, 2013 10:20 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Cautiously Play minimum. Can be risky.

Place an order to Short June @ 6134+ with stop 6162. (or May 6115+ stop 6149) Target open

Thanks
Gautham Shashangan
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shashangan
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Post: #1181   PostPosted: Tue May 28, 2013 11:47 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

NF May might again see a short selling from 6073 region. Need to see how the selling pressure is going to be.

Regards,
Gautham Shashangan
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shashangan
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Post: #1182   PostPosted: Tue May 28, 2013 12:06 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I feel mkt is turned a bit bearish for now. But If May breaks 6092 it may try & go back to break high to try & fish out some stops before again reversing.

Thanks
Gautham Shashangan
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shashangan
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Post: #1183   PostPosted: Tue May 28, 2013 2:17 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Place an order to Short May @ 6129-31 stop 6161 Possible Target 6038 (or)

June 6149-52 with stop 6181. Possible Target 6058

Regards,
Gautham Shashangan
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shashangan
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Post: #1184   PostPosted: Tue May 28, 2013 2:53 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

If short, you can partially cover @ 6080-79 May & 6102-01 June & move your stop to cost for the other entry.

If there is sudden strong sell off it can take it down to my other targets. Stay cautious, there can be swings as it's near closing. For intra day, If May doesn't cross 6111 for now it's good for bears.

Thanks
Gautham Shashangan
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shashangan
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Post: #1185   PostPosted: Tue May 28, 2013 3:05 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Place an order to Short May @ 6124-26 stop 6161 or Tight stop 6139(Risky) Possible Target 6038 (or)

June 6144-47 with stop 6181 or Tight stop 6159(Risky). Possible Target 6058.

Dont play without stops. Intra day players should cover positions by close if you dont want to risk & not to enter after 15:22.

Regards,
Gautham Shashangan
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