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Nifty Analysis
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Author Nifty Analysis
shashangan
Green Belt
Green Belt


Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #1216   PostPosted: Sun Jun 02, 2013 4:07 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Good Channasri, you have some observation which might be working. Lot of combinations work & some tools give excellent support & resistances. You need to work on it to master it.

Nobody who has taken years to learn mkt would want to reveal their secrets. Also if everybody knows one technique which works, it will stop working slowly & a new technique will develop. You need to keep working to figure out what is working.

Anyway I will share a little old technique. Try it & analyse it thoroughly. I think, It works partially. But you need to do a deep study to understand, where & how which one works.

Try Combination of 13, 36, 80, 260, 365, 480, 720 & 900 Exponential parameters. You can put all of them & test it on different time frame.

Try it on daily, hourly & 15 min charts. Some of them work on 4 hour chart too. In a running strong trend the highest or lowest Avg will act as the top & bottom of the trend many times, but the gap has to be wide.

All Exponetial - you can test other types as well. Also jumble them here there & you will find your own system which works. But these systems you need to work with stops, to avoid major hits on big moves. Anyway that's your homework to figure out, what system to develop. These parameters are my own which I tested & found to an extent working. I sometimes slightly change them to check which is applying better. So No thumb rule, you can change a bit & test your own parameters too.

Good luck
Gautham Shashangan
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jk99
White Belt
White Belt


Joined: 20 May 2013
Posts: 81

Post: #1217   PostPosted: Sun Jun 02, 2013 5:30 pm    Post subject: chart Reply with quote

sir ,i am enterested your chart study,
but i cant find ema 8 setting page,
so plz tell me how i can applied thease 8 ema setting.

regards
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channasri
Green Belt
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Joined: 01 Aug 2012
Posts: 1029

Post: #1218   PostPosted: Sun Jun 02, 2013 11:12 pm    Post subject: An observation with moving averages Reply with quote

Thanks Shashangan for the chart provided. I actually refer to 1000, 400, 200, 89, 34 kind of moving averages in EMA, SMA and WMA parameters for 5 min. T/F.

For 15 min. T/F, I consider 5, 13, 20, 34, 70 and 200. For hourly charts, I rarely go beyond 89. An observation of mine is that WMA over SMA is more reliable than EMA over SMA for a given No. of periods.

If e.g., 70EMA/70SMA is considered, suppose EMA X overs SMA and then reverses, tremendous movement is generally observed.

Best regards,
Channasri
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shashangan
Green Belt
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #1219   PostPosted: Mon Jun 03, 2013 10:24 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Mkt may be in range of 6018 & 5968 till min 11.30

Regards,
Gautham Shashangan
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pkholla
Black Belt
Black Belt


Joined: 04 Nov 2010
Posts: 2890

Post: #1220   PostPosted: Mon Jun 03, 2013 11:04 am    Post subject: Re: Hourly charts Reply with quote

channasri wrote:
My opinion is that crossover of 13EMA/36SMA gives signals 1-2 candles earlier. It is usually preceded by 36EMA/36SMA crossovers which hint at possible change in trend. Confirmation comes when both 36 MAs turn opposite and 13EMA crosses over 36SMA.

Chanasri: Your posts are fantastic. Please start you own thread so we can focus on what you are posting about crossovers in your thread AND read Gautam's Nifty analysis separately in his thread. Looking fwd!
Cheers, Prakash Holla
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vinay28
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Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748

Post: #1221   PostPosted: Mon Jun 03, 2013 11:20 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

valid suggstion prakash. this will avoid confusion with gautham's thread and we will be able to compare different aspects easily.
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shashangan
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #1222   PostPosted: Mon Jun 03, 2013 11:55 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Mkt still in range. There could be a small pull back correction to Min. 5985

6002 - 5953 could be the possible range till 1.30 pm.

Regards,
Gautham Shashangan
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shashangan
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #1223   PostPosted: Mon Jun 03, 2013 12:55 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

People holding short can again partially cover around 5952-50 & replace shorts on pull back.

Thanks
Gautham Shashangan
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shashangan
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #1224   PostPosted: Mon Jun 03, 2013 1:54 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Bank Nifty @ Tgt 1.

http://www.icharts.in/forum/download,id,15840.html

http://www.icharts.in/forum/download,id,15833.html

The previous big bear Weekly low broken briefly for now.

Mkt is not giving any correction. Hope it gives correction here from 5926 low to 5980 atleast. Not sure, just hoping. Intra day players can cover all the shorts for now & replace it higher on pull back correction.

Mkt is turning overall negative slowly. All pull backs would be sold strongly I suppose, unless somebody dares to make a massive buy to bring a short rally, quite unlikely to me.

Good luck
Gautham Shashangan
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vinay28
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Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748

Post: #1225   PostPosted: Mon Jun 03, 2013 2:32 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

12200 is crucial for banknifty I feel
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shashangan
Green Belt
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #1226   PostPosted: Mon Jun 03, 2013 10:20 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Sorry had to rush for a meeting in the afternoon.

Vinay yes it can hold around 12200. But I am wondering, will it just be for a brief intra day bounce & then come back to pierce through it for a bigger fall same day to close below & target 11670 around in subsequent days.

One possibility which I stated earlier

http://www.icharts.in/forum/download,id,15842.html

If NF crosses 5992 there is some small hope mkt may close in green possibly for a day before reversing from 6022. I doubt mkt will cross 6062 which is also a remote possible extension.

Let's see what happens tomorrow.

Good luck
Gautham Shashangan
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shashangan
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #1227   PostPosted: Tue Jun 04, 2013 9:18 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

People who covered lower can place a very small quantity of short at 5972/73 June.

New shorts may probably wait for some time & watch.

Thanks
Gautham Shashangan
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shashangan
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #1228   PostPosted: Tue Jun 04, 2013 9:53 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Add another one @ 5993 - 95.

New entrants can enter here with a stop @ 6026. Can be a little risky.

Thanks
Gautham Shashangan
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shashangan
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #1229   PostPosted: Tue Jun 04, 2013 10:42 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

NF could be in a range of 5998 - 5967 till 12pm

Regards,
Gautham Shashangan


Last edited by shashangan on Tue Jun 04, 2013 11:08 am; edited 1 time in total
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shashangan
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #1230   PostPosted: Tue Jun 04, 2013 10:50 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Place an order to partially cover @ 5974.

Thanks
Gautham Shashangan
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