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Nifty Analysis
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Author Nifty Analysis
saumya12
Brown Belt
Brown Belt


Joined: 21 Dec 2011
Posts: 1509

Post: #1396   PostPosted: Fri Aug 02, 2013 9:41 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

shashangan wrote:
Targets achieved.

Not sure if I will be there on Monday. Just had a quick glance. So thought of posting.

Like I had mentioned NF may get in to a consolidation phase. I have a small feeling. Mkt may probably bounce on Monday. Buyers may enter below 5675 for a small pull back to 5730+ region. There is a small possibility of mkt testing 5770-75 region too.

Bank Nifty may see some small short covering & profit booking from anywhere below 9850 to target 10250 possibly. 9863 is the low presently showing.

I could be wrong.

Thanks
Gautham Shashangan

Hi Gautham

Many thanks for your posts on NF and BNF analysis.

Just a query,

Do you mean the market is likely to move down first, below 5675 region, so as to enter at that level, as todays close is at 5700 OR there is a typo.

Thanks
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shashangan
Green Belt
Green Belt


Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #1397   PostPosted: Sat Aug 03, 2013 7:40 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Hello Saumya,

Yes, there is a possibility it may make one more low, not necessary though. But If you get below 5675 up to 5667 NF, probably it's a good buy for the mentioned targets.

It's just my gut feeling, mkt may try up on Monday & probably close in green also.

It may come down at the open & break low & start the up move any time after 10.30 probably. Immediate Stops could be below 5630. Let's see.


I may be wrong.

Thanks
Gautham Shashangan
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saumya12
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Joined: 21 Dec 2011
Posts: 1509

Post: #1398   PostPosted: Mon Aug 05, 2013 1:36 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Thanks Gautham
I am also of the opinion that we may see a change (upmove) at 10.25 if not any earliar.
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ritapandit25
Black Belt
Black Belt


Joined: 04 May 2013
Posts: 2926

Post: #1399   PostPosted: Tue Aug 06, 2013 8:53 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

shashangan wrote:
Rita

I feel this is a correction for the steep fall & it can top out soon & the fall will continue to 5400 / 5325 by 2nd week of August (Around 09/08/2013 - next pit stop).

There will be consolidation till max Wednesday i think, before the mkt starts taking the South ward journey again. If I am not wrong mkt top for this move would be between 5870-80 NF from where the bear trend can start.

I can be wrong. But that's what I feel for now. Let's see.

Regards,
Gautham Shashangan


Hats off Sir.Your statement given on month of June going to be True .
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shashangan
Green Belt
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #1400   PostPosted: Tue Aug 06, 2013 10:45 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Thanks Rita,

Have been continuously traveling. Just got back & a little free today. But have some personal work to finish. So shall check in detail again & update.

Anyway that was a wild guess on my own analysis & calculation just to give an idea. But I dont know if by this weekend the mkt would test those levels. Let's see.

Anyway you are also doing a good job, have been reading few of your posts. You are getting some of your calls dot on target. Keep it up & keep updating & you will become mkt's panditji.

Regards,
Gautham Shashangan
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ritapandit25
Black Belt
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Joined: 04 May 2013
Posts: 2926

Post: #1401   PostPosted: Tue Aug 06, 2013 10:56 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

shashangan wrote:
Thanks Rita,

Have been continuously traveling. Just got back & a little free today. But have some personal work to finish. So shall check in detail again & update.

Anyway that was a wild guess on my own analysis & calculation just to give an idea. But I dont know if by this weekend the mkt would test those levels. Let's see.

Anyway you are also doing a good job, have been reading few of your posts. You are getting some of your calls dot on target. Keep it up & keep updating & you will become mkt's panditji.

Regards,
Gautham Shashangan


ITS MY PLEASURE SIR, BUT I DON'T WANT TO BE"mkt's panditji". I AM A LEARNER & TO BE TREATED AS A STUDENT ONLY.

REGARDS.
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shashangan
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #1402   PostPosted: Tue Aug 06, 2013 1:39 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Rita, Every pandit was once a student. All I am saying is you are doing a good job & keep working on it to become a panditji with time.

Anyway NF 5617 - 14 could see some intra day buying for now probably. Mkt may try min 5645 around followed by 5665 around. Tight stop 5598. Safe 5585.

If anybody short can cover it to replace higher.

Regards,
Gautham Shashangan
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badri2003
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Joined: 26 Nov 2006
Posts: 143

Post: #1403   PostPosted: Tue Aug 06, 2013 2:24 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

unfortunate shashanganji. my long sl trig below 5585. waiting for the next opp.
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shashangan
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #1404   PostPosted: Tue Aug 06, 2013 11:07 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I am sorry Badri.

I generally dont say go Long if it's a bit risky & doubtful. But even other wise I go wrong many times, since I am almost always trying to pick a reversal against the running trend.

No doubt, The mkt is overall bearish & I feel NF should try min below 5460. But I am at times getting confused with intra day & short term moves & even Bank Nifty charts. Even now there is a small confusion for me that Bank Nifty has to correct above 10000 & consolidate before going lower, but the Nifty charts looks slightly different.

Anyway let's see. Hope you will recover the losses from my future calls.

Regards,
Gautham Shashangan
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badri2003
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Joined: 26 Nov 2006
Posts: 143

Post: #1405   PostPosted: Wed Aug 07, 2013 9:08 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

It's nice of you and Ok Shashanganji. We are aware of your knowledge and this happens to everybody. Please keepup the good work.
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shashangan
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #1406   PostPosted: Wed Aug 07, 2013 10:57 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I somehow still feel Bank Nifty may start going up after 1 pm from possibly around 9640-20. The present low is 9660.

Looks far but I think Min Tgt could be 10095 followed by 10140 & above.

The correction up looks more clear to me in Bank Nifty than Nifty. But if BNF pulls up, NF should also follow is what I feel.

This is my gut feeling, but looking at the strong negative sentiment, I also have some skepticism in my mind too.

Thanks
Gautham Shashangan
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shashangan
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Post: #1407   PostPosted: Wed Aug 07, 2013 2:51 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

So far so good.

If anybody did long at low levels, you can probably book partially around 5603-06 NF & BN Fut 9960-85 region.

The mkt may probably open a little higher & hold higher till noon tomorrow also possibly.

Regards
Gautham Shashangan
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shashangan
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Post: #1408   PostPosted: Thu Aug 08, 2013 12:50 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Place an order to Short NF @ 5593-96 stop 5620. Tgt Open. I could be wrong, but guessing Minimum possible 5545 before 2.45 pm, followed by 5515 & 5505.

Regards
Gautham Shashangan
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shashangan
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #1409   PostPosted: Sat Aug 10, 2013 12:00 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

shashangan wrote:
Place an order to Short NF @ 5593-96 stop 5620. Tgt Open. I could be wrong, but guessing Minimum possible 5545 before 2.45 pm, followed by 5515 & 5505.

Regards
Gautham Shashangan

I am not sure of the SBI news & impact. Without having much impact of news on mkt, I feel NF possibly could open lower & head to the targets mentioned above.

5604-07 region is the possible high in case it tries higher based on news according to me for NF. 5617-22 is a strong selling area which is the max high if extended.

For Monday above 5658 is bad (doubtful). Above 5775 would be a short term trend reversal.

NF 5556-53 may have a brief support in the down move followed by again a intermediate support around 5528.

5515 is what the min possible target which looks most likely to me followed by 5506-04.

Possible extensions can be 5494 & around 5480. Below this is doubtful for Monday. 5464-62 region followed by 5451 which is the immediate strongest support on the lower side for now.
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Spot Bank Nifty can target 9648-36 followed by 9619 on Monday. If extended 9586-76 followed by 9537-34 region could be downside. Below this is doubtful for Monday. Compared to Nifty, Bank Nifty downside percentage may be lesser for Monday. Bank Nifty can move upside more in percentage if news is in favor.

9863-67 region immediate resistance followed by 9940-50, 10060-80, 10165-80. The mkt has rock solid resistance at 10340 region. Unless mkt is able to climb above 10785 there is no risk of medium term bears.

This is a technical view. So do your own analysis. I can be wrong.

Enjoy your week end & festive season.

Good luck
Gautham Shashangan
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shashangan
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Post: #1410   PostPosted: Tue Aug 13, 2013 9:57 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Spot Bank Nifty has achieved my target mentioned between 9586-76 area. As per my time analysis which I had mentioned long back Mkt can bottom around Aug 9th is another reason to keep our eyes open. Though NF lower levels has not be achieved, we need to stay cautious of any strong pull back from now.

As per my Time Analysis it's indicating this week a possible reversal buy, so there is possibility for Nifty to bottom & pull back up & close.

Spot Bank Nifty showing possibility of pulling up to my resistances mentioned. 10060-80 region is the key.

Quote:
9863-67 region immediate resistance followed by 9940-50, 10060-80, 10165-80. The mkt has rock solid resistance at 10340 region. Unless mkt is able to climb above 10785 there is no risk of medium term bears.


So we need to be careful with Nifty as well. Stuck with some busy schedules. Not very clear but will sit & study when I get some free time & will update. Just thought will share my feeling though still not clear.

Thanks
Gautham Shashangan
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