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Nifty Analysis
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Author Nifty Analysis
shashangan
Green Belt
Green Belt


Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #1576   PostPosted: Mon Sep 23, 2013 10:29 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

If you dont want to risk, Cover Shorts for now @ 5953-51 Sept. There could be some correction possibly.

Regards,
Gautham Shashangan
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shashangan
Green Belt
Green Belt


Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #1577   PostPosted: Mon Sep 23, 2013 12:16 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

There is a small possibility mkt may reverse from 5911-09 (Sept) levels.

Regards,
Gautham Shashangan
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pkholla
Black Belt
Black Belt


Joined: 04 Nov 2010
Posts: 2890

Post: #1578   PostPosted: Mon Sep 23, 2013 1:01 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

shashangan wrote:
There is a small possibility mkt may reverse from 5911-09 (Sept) levels. Regards, Gautham Shashangan

Gautam: If u dont mind my invading your domain, going by Al Brooks' advice, better to be careful going counter trend on a strong trend day
Already, in 5 min TF candles, NF has tried 3 times (0930, 1130, 1150) and failed to go CT and recently has again gone CT to touch 20 ema at 1254. Lets see if you are right this time!
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shashangan
Green Belt
Green Belt


Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #1579   PostPosted: Mon Sep 23, 2013 1:09 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Thanks Prakash,

You are right, But that's how I trade.

Book partial profits around 5929 if you long, if NF struggles to climb here, it can come back for one more stop hunt around 5895.

Thanks
Gautham Shashangan

shashangan wrote:
There is a small possibility mkt may reverse from 5911-09 (Sept) levels.

Regards,
Gautham Shashangan
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pkholla
Black Belt
Black Belt


Joined: 04 Nov 2010
Posts: 2890

Post: #1580   PostPosted: Mon Sep 23, 2013 1:15 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

shashangan wrote:
Thanks Prakash, But that's how I trade.
Book partial profits around 5929, if it struggles to climb it can come back for one more stop hunt around 5895.
Thanks Gautham Shashangan

No need to reply! Thanks, Gautham, for the tip. Regards, Prakash Holla
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shashangan
Green Belt
Green Belt


Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #1581   PostPosted: Mon Sep 23, 2013 1:57 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Buy from 5895-93 Sept with stop 5840

Regards,
Gautham Shashangan
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shashangan
Green Belt
Green Belt


Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #1582   PostPosted: Mon Sep 23, 2013 2:50 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

If you want to be safe, Pull up stop to break even, it's your call where to place stop & where to exit.

Min Tgt 5935, Possible 5949-54, close 75% EOD.

Break of 5926 more buying will come in hopefully.

Thanks
Gautham Shashangan
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shashangan
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #1583   PostPosted: Mon Sep 23, 2013 6:53 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Hello Prakash,

I understand your concern. I appreciate it.

But I am so used to trading against the trend, It is very hard for me to enter a running trend, once I miss the bottom or high.

I was stuck with a few things, so didn't get time to figure out your analysis. Also I update a couple of other places, & few people on chat & my work, so it's at times hectic to handle all.

I said that's how I trade, since that's actually how I am used to trading & I think even you know, I always try to pick the top or bottom.

I was just trying to understand what you were saying now, since I just got to check your view. So Kindly, No offense. You & everybody is always welcome to share your views, since it gives me a chance to look into your mind too.

Regards,
Gautham Shashangan

pkholla wrote:
shashangan wrote:
Thanks Prakash, But that's how I trade.
Book partial profits around 5929, if it struggles to climb it can come back for one more stop hunt around 5895.
Thanks Gautham Shashangan

No need to reply! Thanks, Gautham, for the tip. Regards, Prakash Holla
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amitagg
Black Belt
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Joined: 01 Oct 2013
Posts: 4559

Post: #1584   PostPosted: Mon Sep 23, 2013 7:02 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

True after observing markets year on year we get to know specific points for reversal even intra day in a countertrend trade.....

ihave that mentality also....but it has lead me to take higher risks and smaller profits ...and also averaging..

i am trying to change my psychology to capture the main "day trend" for larger profits.......

pls note that markets NEAR ALWAYS fall from morning to end in case of a gradual decline without significant pubbbacks...........hence earlier i used to enter countertrend trades during the day.s

PLEASE NOTE: since this is fact that such trades should PREFERABLY be taken near 3.00 pm or so or or later... and profits can come next day...
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pkholla
Black Belt
Black Belt


Joined: 04 Nov 2010
Posts: 2890

Post: #1585   PostPosted: Mon Sep 23, 2013 7:14 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

shashangan wrote:
It is very hard for me to enter a running trend, once I miss the bottom or high.

Gautham: We learn by sharing. Thanks for the post.
You can enter a strong trend once you miss the start. Al Brooks says we can wait for a counter trend and enter when that CT fails. Also convenient to place a stop loss just beyond the extreme of the CT. Today in 2/3 places, NF went long back to 20 ema in 5min TF candles, and you could have placed a short where the candles touched the 20 ema and fell back. (I have noticed a major reversal point in NF is a pair of opposite twins, candles which are equal in size, green>>red indicating short and vice versa. Of course, this strategy requires you to be in front of the screen 0915-1530!
Regards, Prakash Holla
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shashangan
Green Belt
Green Belt


Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #1586   PostPosted: Mon Sep 23, 2013 7:41 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Mkt looks possibly near term bearish, but not yet, very clear to me.

If Sept gets to 5952-54 it is a level to watch, where shorts can enter. There is a small possibility for an upper extension to 5988-93 (early to confirm).

Expect minimum 5903 on the lows. A break of 5887 & 5865 can trigger strong selling possibly to 5812-09 followed by 5777-72 region.

Upper Resistance is 6018-22. A break of 6048 will bring the bulls back to fight. A strong break or close above 6060 will give the bulls an upper hand.

Good luck
Gautham Shashangan
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arvindeept
White Belt
White Belt


Joined: 25 Jun 2012
Posts: 107

Post: #1587   PostPosted: Mon Sep 23, 2013 9:19 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

arvindeept wrote:
nifty 15 min chart for next week EW projection


5th don done donna done don...........now 2 tan tana tan up for 6100
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shashangan
Green Belt
Green Belt


Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #1588   PostPosted: Wed Sep 25, 2013 1:04 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Place an order to Buy Sept 5823-20 with stop 5746. Min Intra day Tgt 5848 & 5863-66.

If mkt move is strong & sharp expect 5900-03 followed by 5954 & 5975 tomorrow, if the pull back is strong. I repeat, only if the move up is strong & if it breaks 5878

If you can risk a little more Buy Sept 5800 (around 51.50) or Sept 5900 call (near or below 13) Near today's low.

Regards,
Gautham Shashangan


Last edited by shashangan on Wed Sep 25, 2013 1:26 pm; edited 3 times in total
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amitagg
Black Belt
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Joined: 01 Oct 2013
Posts: 4559

Post: #1589   PostPosted: Wed Sep 25, 2013 1:12 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

yes done. market can touch 5805 ..ie break low and then go up for few points.....
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shashangan
Green Belt
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #1590   PostPosted: Wed Sep 25, 2013 2:57 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Book Partial profit @ 5895-99 & scale up your stop & hold rest.

Regards,
Gautham Shashangan

shashangan wrote:
Place an order to Buy Sept 5823-20 with stop 5746. Min Intra day Tgt 5848 & 5863-66.

If mkt move is strong & sharp expect 5900-03 followed by 5954 & 5975 tomorrow, if the pull back is strong. I repeat, only if the move up is strong & if it breaks 5878

If you can risk a little more Buy Sept 5800 (around 51.50) or Sept 5900 call (near or below 13) Near today's low.

Regards,
Gautham Shashangan
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