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shashangan Green Belt
Joined: 12 Jun 2007 Posts: 1321 Location: Bangalore
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Post: #1576 Posted: Mon Sep 23, 2013 10:29 am Post subject: |
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If you dont want to risk, Cover Shorts for now @ 5953-51 Sept. There could be some correction possibly.
Regards,
Gautham Shashangan |
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shashangan Green Belt
Joined: 12 Jun 2007 Posts: 1321 Location: Bangalore
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Post: #1577 Posted: Mon Sep 23, 2013 12:16 pm Post subject: |
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There is a small possibility mkt may reverse from 5911-09 (Sept) levels.
Regards,
Gautham Shashangan |
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pkholla Black Belt
Joined: 04 Nov 2010 Posts: 2890
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Post: #1578 Posted: Mon Sep 23, 2013 1:01 pm Post subject: |
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shashangan wrote: | There is a small possibility mkt may reverse from 5911-09 (Sept) levels. Regards, Gautham Shashangan |
Gautam: If u dont mind my invading your domain, going by Al Brooks' advice, better to be careful going counter trend on a strong trend day
Already, in 5 min TF candles, NF has tried 3 times (0930, 1130, 1150) and failed to go CT and recently has again gone CT to touch 20 ema at 1254. Lets see if you are right this time! |
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shashangan Green Belt
Joined: 12 Jun 2007 Posts: 1321 Location: Bangalore
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Post: #1579 Posted: Mon Sep 23, 2013 1:09 pm Post subject: |
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Thanks Prakash,
You are right, But that's how I trade.
Book partial profits around 5929 if you long, if NF struggles to climb here, it can come back for one more stop hunt around 5895.
Thanks
Gautham Shashangan
shashangan wrote: | There is a small possibility mkt may reverse from 5911-09 (Sept) levels.
Regards,
Gautham Shashangan |
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pkholla Black Belt
Joined: 04 Nov 2010 Posts: 2890
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Post: #1580 Posted: Mon Sep 23, 2013 1:15 pm Post subject: |
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shashangan wrote: | Thanks Prakash, But that's how I trade.
Book partial profits around 5929, if it struggles to climb it can come back for one more stop hunt around 5895.
Thanks Gautham Shashangan |
No need to reply! Thanks, Gautham, for the tip. Regards, Prakash Holla |
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shashangan Green Belt
Joined: 12 Jun 2007 Posts: 1321 Location: Bangalore
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Post: #1581 Posted: Mon Sep 23, 2013 1:57 pm Post subject: |
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Buy from 5895-93 Sept with stop 5840
Regards,
Gautham Shashangan |
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shashangan Green Belt
Joined: 12 Jun 2007 Posts: 1321 Location: Bangalore
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Post: #1582 Posted: Mon Sep 23, 2013 2:50 pm Post subject: |
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If you want to be safe, Pull up stop to break even, it's your call where to place stop & where to exit.
Min Tgt 5935, Possible 5949-54, close 75% EOD.
Break of 5926 more buying will come in hopefully.
Thanks
Gautham Shashangan |
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shashangan Green Belt
Joined: 12 Jun 2007 Posts: 1321 Location: Bangalore
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Post: #1583 Posted: Mon Sep 23, 2013 6:53 pm Post subject: |
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Hello Prakash,
I understand your concern. I appreciate it.
But I am so used to trading against the trend, It is very hard for me to enter a running trend, once I miss the bottom or high.
I was stuck with a few things, so didn't get time to figure out your analysis. Also I update a couple of other places, & few people on chat & my work, so it's at times hectic to handle all.
I said that's how I trade, since that's actually how I am used to trading & I think even you know, I always try to pick the top or bottom.
I was just trying to understand what you were saying now, since I just got to check your view. So Kindly, No offense. You & everybody is always welcome to share your views, since it gives me a chance to look into your mind too.
Regards,
Gautham Shashangan
pkholla wrote: | shashangan wrote: | Thanks Prakash, But that's how I trade.
Book partial profits around 5929, if it struggles to climb it can come back for one more stop hunt around 5895.
Thanks Gautham Shashangan |
No need to reply! Thanks, Gautham, for the tip. Regards, Prakash Holla |
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amitagg Black Belt
Joined: 01 Oct 2013 Posts: 4559
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Post: #1584 Posted: Mon Sep 23, 2013 7:02 pm Post subject: |
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True after observing markets year on year we get to know specific points for reversal even intra day in a countertrend trade.....
ihave that mentality also....but it has lead me to take higher risks and smaller profits ...and also averaging..
i am trying to change my psychology to capture the main "day trend" for larger profits.......
pls note that markets NEAR ALWAYS fall from morning to end in case of a gradual decline without significant pubbbacks...........hence earlier i used to enter countertrend trades during the day.s
PLEASE NOTE: since this is fact that such trades should PREFERABLY be taken near 3.00 pm or so or or later... and profits can come next day... |
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pkholla Black Belt
Joined: 04 Nov 2010 Posts: 2890
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Post: #1585 Posted: Mon Sep 23, 2013 7:14 pm Post subject: |
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shashangan wrote: | It is very hard for me to enter a running trend, once I miss the bottom or high. |
Gautham: We learn by sharing. Thanks for the post.
You can enter a strong trend once you miss the start. Al Brooks says we can wait for a counter trend and enter when that CT fails. Also convenient to place a stop loss just beyond the extreme of the CT. Today in 2/3 places, NF went long back to 20 ema in 5min TF candles, and you could have placed a short where the candles touched the 20 ema and fell back. (I have noticed a major reversal point in NF is a pair of opposite twins, candles which are equal in size, green>>red indicating short and vice versa. Of course, this strategy requires you to be in front of the screen 0915-1530!
Regards, Prakash Holla |
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shashangan Green Belt
Joined: 12 Jun 2007 Posts: 1321 Location: Bangalore
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Post: #1586 Posted: Mon Sep 23, 2013 7:41 pm Post subject: |
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Mkt looks possibly near term bearish, but not yet, very clear to me.
If Sept gets to 5952-54 it is a level to watch, where shorts can enter. There is a small possibility for an upper extension to 5988-93 (early to confirm).
Expect minimum 5903 on the lows. A break of 5887 & 5865 can trigger strong selling possibly to 5812-09 followed by 5777-72 region.
Upper Resistance is 6018-22. A break of 6048 will bring the bulls back to fight. A strong break or close above 6060 will give the bulls an upper hand.
Good luck
Gautham Shashangan |
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arvindeept White Belt
Joined: 25 Jun 2012 Posts: 107
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Post: #1587 Posted: Mon Sep 23, 2013 9:19 pm Post subject: |
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arvindeept wrote: | nifty 15 min chart for next week EW projection |
5th don done donna done don...........now 2 tan tana tan up for 6100 |
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shashangan Green Belt
Joined: 12 Jun 2007 Posts: 1321 Location: Bangalore
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Post: #1588 Posted: Wed Sep 25, 2013 1:04 pm Post subject: |
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Place an order to Buy Sept 5823-20 with stop 5746. Min Intra day Tgt 5848 & 5863-66.
If mkt move is strong & sharp expect 5900-03 followed by 5954 & 5975 tomorrow, if the pull back is strong. I repeat, only if the move up is strong & if it breaks 5878
If you can risk a little more Buy Sept 5800 (around 51.50) or Sept 5900 call (near or below 13) Near today's low.
Regards,
Gautham Shashangan
Last edited by shashangan on Wed Sep 25, 2013 1:26 pm; edited 3 times in total |
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amitagg Black Belt
Joined: 01 Oct 2013 Posts: 4559
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Post: #1589 Posted: Wed Sep 25, 2013 1:12 pm Post subject: |
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yes done. market can touch 5805 ..ie break low and then go up for few points..... |
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shashangan Green Belt
Joined: 12 Jun 2007 Posts: 1321 Location: Bangalore
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Post: #1590 Posted: Wed Sep 25, 2013 2:57 pm Post subject: |
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Book Partial profit @ 5895-99 & scale up your stop & hold rest.
Regards,
Gautham Shashangan
shashangan wrote: | Place an order to Buy Sept 5823-20 with stop 5746. Min Intra day Tgt 5848 & 5863-66.
If mkt move is strong & sharp expect 5900-03 followed by 5954 & 5975 tomorrow, if the pull back is strong. I repeat, only if the move up is strong & if it breaks 5878
If you can risk a little more Buy Sept 5800 (around 51.50) or Sept 5900 call (near or below 13) Near today's low.
Regards,
Gautham Shashangan |
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