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Nifty Analysis
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Author Nifty Analysis
shashangan
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #226   PostPosted: Tue Nov 27, 2012 3:31 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

But again, Dow is also on a bull trend, it's not showing full confirmation of a top, but there is a small chance it can top out for a small correction, have to see how it closes today & tomorrow's move.

Shall update you. If you are lucky you may get even lower prices, but let's not think of that, we will look at a exit with a small profit.

Gautham Shashangan
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vinay28
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Joined: 24 Dec 2010
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Post: #227   PostPosted: Tue Nov 27, 2012 3:33 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

gautham, I presume you are talking about carrying shorts
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shashangan
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Post: #228   PostPosted: Tue Nov 27, 2012 3:35 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

There was a little doubt in my mind, Just lost the focus, shall be careful next time.

Ok enjoy your evening. Shall check the mkt later & update. I am off for now.

Thanks
Gautham Shashangan
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shashangan
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Post: #229   PostPosted: Tue Nov 27, 2012 3:37 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Yes Vinay

There is an small correction pending, just the risk is of world mkt.s. 5735 is possible i feel. Anyway shall check everything & confirm, what the possiblities are. If Dow & Nasdaq supports probably lower. Dow chart looks ok Nasdaq a little dicey. But it's early, will tell seeing in the evening.

Dont worry. Things will be fine. Bye for now

Gautham Shashangan

vinay28 wrote:
gautham, I presume you are talking about carrying shorts
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vinay28
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Post: #230   PostPosted: Tue Nov 27, 2012 3:39 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

anyway, I hedged at the end as I too feel NS may come down to about 5710 before closing above 5767. This will hopefully take care of large gap up/down opening, if any. Let's see how it works out.
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acharyams
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Post: #231   PostPosted: Tue Nov 27, 2012 8:48 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

dow down a bit
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shashangan
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Post: #232   PostPosted: Tue Nov 27, 2012 9:29 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Yes I am watching. We have to wait till closing though. I wish there was market tomorrow. There can be a small problem, if Dow closes down or bear today, it can try & recover to close bull again tomorrow.

So Nifty open on Thursday will consider Wednesday's i.e tomorrow's close which if Dow closes above will be bad.

Thursday & Friday or Monday Dow will make a good correction. The Nifty on its own for thursday, friday will look bullish. So trying to figure out. It's a total confusion to calculate the influence of currencies & other mkts on Nifty.

So best thing to do is just watch & hope for the best. I wish Dow breaks strongly below yesterday's low of 12869 & pull back at close to close a little higher & make a sharp rally tomorrow & pull back & close lower as a small bull or even a bear again. Then it would be perfect for Nifty.

Too early to say anything, but yes right now Dow looks weak & it can actually be near a short term top, but we need a move which favors friday open of Nifty. Let's see.

Gautham Shashangan

acharyams wrote:
dow down a bit


Last edited by shashangan on Tue Nov 27, 2012 9:48 pm; edited 1 time in total
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vinay28
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Post: #233   PostPosted: Tue Nov 27, 2012 9:33 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Gautham, why r u talking about friday. why not thursday when nifty opens?
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shashangan
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Post: #234   PostPosted: Tue Nov 27, 2012 9:45 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Oh I am sorry It's thursday. I was thinking today is wednesday. Hold on I am fully confused trying to calculate possiblities. The issue is tomorrow's holiday. Is there any partial mkt open tomorrow for Nifty.

Gautham Shashangan

vinay28 wrote:
Gautham, why r u talking about friday. why not thursday when nifty opens?
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shashangan
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Post: #235   PostPosted: Tue Nov 27, 2012 10:07 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

If you consider short term or based on intra day charts for Nifty on its own, a correction is definitely due to minimum 5742-40 target for Dec. It may even try around 5720 region but that could be a little far fetched for now.

Let's just stay calm & watch what happens with Dow first & also with Nifty on Thursday. I shall keep updating once I figure out clearly what can happen. Right now I am confused breaking my head of calculating possiblities. It's of no use, rather I do it tomorrow after Dow close.

We will see, but I doubt a big gap up open & even if it does it will fill the gap down before going up, so we should get our levels or nearby.

Gautham Shashangan
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acharyams
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Joined: 04 Jul 2010
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Post: #236   PostPosted: Tue Nov 27, 2012 10:39 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

thursday target 5770 is also in place,na?
missed better part
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shashangan
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Post: #237   PostPosted: Tue Nov 27, 2012 10:49 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Yes but if there was continuation then the correction would have happened. But just relax till tomorrow late evening. No point of watching Dow today & dont break your head. Forget Nifty for now & Go catch a peaceful sleep. We will find a way out.

Gautham Shashangan

acharyams wrote:
thursday target 5770 is also in place,na?
missed better part
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saumya12
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Joined: 21 Dec 2011
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Post: #238   PostPosted: Tue Nov 27, 2012 11:21 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

shashangan wrote:
We will see, but I doubt a big gap up open & even if it does it will fill the gap down before going up, so we should get our levels or nearby.
Gautham Shashangan

Hi Gautham
Which gap down you are talking of.
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shashangan
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Location: Bangalore

Post: #239   PostPosted: Tue Nov 27, 2012 11:33 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Hello Saumya,

I meant if the mkt opens 5785 eg. on thursday, it will come back to fill the gap of min 5771 today's closing. The chances of gapping up & continuing without correcting down could be remote, though a possibility.

Thanks
Gautham Shashangan

saumya12 wrote:
shashangan wrote:
We will see, but I doubt a big gap up open & even if it does it will fill the gap down before going up, so we should get our levels or nearby.
Gautham Shashangan

Hi Gautham
Which gap down you are talking of.
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vinay28
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Joined: 24 Dec 2010
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Post: #240   PostPosted: Wed Nov 28, 2012 12:10 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I think it is better to judge nifty on its own rather than on dow. May be at the most on sgxnifty but its volume is too low.
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