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Nifty Analysis |
shashangan Green Belt
Joined: 12 Jun 2007 Posts: 1321 Location: Bangalore
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Post: #241 Posted: Wed Nov 28, 2012 8:36 pm Post subject: |
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I think it will be good exit on Nifty shorts at this rate of Dow.
I was expecting a top tomorrow night for Dow.
It looks like going further down. Just pray it closes low. Dow is in a short term bear trend for now.
Expect Dec Nifty to open min around 5740-35 or lower If Dow continues.
So again I will be right, you should be able to come out with a small profit if not big.
Good luck
Gautham Shashangan |
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acharyams Yellow Belt
Joined: 04 Jul 2010 Posts: 552
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Post: #242 Posted: Wed Nov 28, 2012 8:50 pm Post subject: |
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shashangan wrote: | I think it will be good exit on Nifty shorts at this rate of Dow.
I was expecting a top tomorrow night for Dow.
It looks like going further down. Just pray it closes low. Dow is in a short term bear trend for now.
Expect Dec Nifty to open min around 5740-35 or lower If Dow continues.
So again I will be right, you should be able to come out with a small profit if not big.
Good luck
Gautham Shashangan |
joi ho. Strategy next? |
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shashangan Green Belt
Joined: 12 Jun 2007 Posts: 1321 Location: Bangalore
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Post: #243 Posted: Wed Nov 28, 2012 9:10 pm Post subject: |
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Hold on to celebrate. Dow has to close lower.
There should not be total recovery in Dow. Then it will be back to square one.
The trend was looking bearish, with such sharp fall, lot of stops would have got taken out. Only big players can take it up. So let's wait & watch. There is some buying happening in Dow for the moment.
Gautham Shashangan
acharyams wrote: | shashangan wrote: | I think it will be good exit on Nifty shorts at this rate of Dow.
I was expecting a top tomorrow night for Dow.
It looks like going further down. Just pray it closes low. Dow is in a short term bear trend for now.
Expect Dec Nifty to open min around 5740-35 or lower If Dow continues.
So again I will be right, you should be able to come out with a small profit if not big.
Good luck
Gautham Shashangan |
joi ho. Strategy next? |
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sonshu101 White Belt
Joined: 24 Nov 2011 Posts: 79
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Post: #244 Posted: Wed Nov 28, 2012 9:12 pm Post subject: |
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I thought u were long on Nifty. and secondly now a days Nifty is not following DOW...... |
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shashangan Green Belt
Joined: 12 Jun 2007 Posts: 1321 Location: Bangalore
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Post: #245 Posted: Wed Nov 28, 2012 9:29 pm Post subject: |
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Hello Sonshu,
Yes I was long in Nifty for a few days, I exited @ 5717.40 (Nov).
I took a intraday short @ 5754.80 in Dec mini yesterday & recommended others we can carry the position, because it closed higher @ 5671 & our stops of 5776 didn't trigger.
I am expecting min around 5740 in Dec & possibly 5720 region before bottoming somewhere to resume the next trend.
Check the old post. Today's holiday has put us on speculating the Dow for a lower open to get a reasonable exit.
Let's see
Thanks
Gautham Shashangan
sonshu101 wrote: | I thought u were long on Nifty. and secondly now a days Nifty is not following DOW...... |
Call given @ 13:13 yesterday
shashangan wrote: | It's almost the top. The mkt should reverse now in few min.s 5756-57. You can short mkt & It's my gut feeling. My target of 5720 (Nov) is almost achieved predicted on Saturday.
I can be wrong.
Good luck
Gautham Shashangan |
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acharyams Yellow Belt
Joined: 04 Jul 2010 Posts: 552
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Post: #246 Posted: Thu Nov 29, 2012 9:26 am Post subject: |
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gm, sir |
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shashangan Green Belt
Joined: 12 Jun 2007 Posts: 1321 Location: Bangalore
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Post: #247 Posted: Thu Nov 29, 2012 9:34 am Post subject: |
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Good morning,
Sorry was stuck with some work at office. It was really bad the Dow & Nasdaq recovered to close so strongly. The Dow had broken all the lows for the week & was at a weekly low & it went to break the week's high & close there.
The mkt is supposed to stop here around 5805-10 region for a small correction. But the mkt is still strong. Need to wait for a while before it consolidates to correct. 5770 in Nov achieved.
Gautham Shashangan |
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acharyams Yellow Belt
Joined: 04 Jul 2010 Posts: 552
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Post: #248 Posted: Thu Nov 29, 2012 9:44 am Post subject: |
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shashangan wrote: | Good morning,
Sorry was stuck with some work at office. It was really bad the Dow & Nasdaq recovered to close so strongly. The Dow had broken all the lows for the week & was at a weekly low & it went to break the week's high & close there.
The mkt is supposed to stop here around 5805-10 region for a small correction. But the mkt is still strong. Need to wait for a while before it consolidates to correct. 5770 in Nov achieved.
Gautham Shashangan |
what about the carried short? |
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shashangan Green Belt
Joined: 12 Jun 2007 Posts: 1321 Location: Bangalore
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Post: #249 Posted: Thu Nov 29, 2012 9:46 am Post subject: |
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We have to wait for a pull back, which should happen, but right now the mkt is still strong. There is a correction which has to happen from here, but top is not in place as of now for intra day.
Gautham Shashangan
acharyams wrote: | shashangan wrote: | Good morning,
Sorry was stuck with some work at office. It was really bad the Dow & Nasdaq recovered to close so strongly. The Dow had broken all the lows for the week & was at a weekly low & it went to break the week's high & close there.
The mkt is supposed to stop here around 5805-10 region for a small correction. But the mkt is still strong. Need to wait for a while before it consolidates to correct. 5770 in Nov achieved.
Gautham Shashangan |
what about the carried short? |
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shashangan Green Belt
Joined: 12 Jun 2007 Posts: 1321 Location: Bangalore
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Post: #250 Posted: Thu Nov 29, 2012 9:52 am Post subject: |
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I think it should correct from here 5822-24 . Dont short. Just watch.
Gautham Shashangan |
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acharyams Yellow Belt
Joined: 04 Jul 2010 Posts: 552
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Post: #251 Posted: Thu Nov 29, 2012 10:03 am Post subject: |
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shashangan wrote: | I think it should correct from here 5822-24 . Dont short. Just watch.
Gautham Shashangan |
5822 or 5722? |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #252 Posted: Thu Nov 29, 2012 10:07 am Post subject: |
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acharya it's dec fut |
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acharyams Yellow Belt
Joined: 04 Jul 2010 Posts: 552
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Post: #253 Posted: Thu Nov 29, 2012 11:48 am Post subject: |
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holding the short still |
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shashangan Green Belt
Joined: 12 Jun 2007 Posts: 1321 Location: Bangalore
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Post: #254 Posted: Thu Nov 29, 2012 12:12 pm Post subject: |
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Looks like Nifty has topped for the moment on intra day basis..
It's just unfortunate, the dow closed so strong. Anyway Dow has to top out late today evening or tomorrow according to me.
The movement upside for the day will be slow in Nifty. Shall update what to do when I get clear picture.
Gautham Shashangan
acharyams wrote: | holding the short still |
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shashangan Green Belt
Joined: 12 Jun 2007 Posts: 1321 Location: Bangalore
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Post: #255 Posted: Thu Nov 29, 2012 12:31 pm Post subject: |
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Dont enter any position to average. Tell me your risk capability & we will see.
Gautham Shashangan
acharyams wrote: | holding the short still |
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