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Nifty Analysis
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Author Nifty Analysis
shashangan
Green Belt
Green Belt


Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #241   PostPosted: Wed Nov 28, 2012 8:36 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I think it will be good exit on Nifty shorts at this rate of Dow.

I was expecting a top tomorrow night for Dow.

It looks like going further down. Just pray it closes low. Dow is in a short term bear trend for now.

Expect Dec Nifty to open min around 5740-35 or lower If Dow continues.

So again I will be right, you should be able to come out with a small profit if not big.

Good luck
Gautham Shashangan
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acharyams
Yellow Belt
Yellow Belt


Joined: 04 Jul 2010
Posts: 552

Post: #242   PostPosted: Wed Nov 28, 2012 8:50 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

shashangan wrote:
I think it will be good exit on Nifty shorts at this rate of Dow.

I was expecting a top tomorrow night for Dow.

It looks like going further down. Just pray it closes low. Dow is in a short term bear trend for now.

Expect Dec Nifty to open min around 5740-35 or lower If Dow continues.

So again I will be right, you should be able to come out with a small profit if not big.

Good luck
Gautham Shashangan

joi ho. Strategy next?
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shashangan
Green Belt
Green Belt


Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #243   PostPosted: Wed Nov 28, 2012 9:10 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Hold on to celebrate. Dow has to close lower.

There should not be total recovery in Dow. Then it will be back to square one.

The trend was looking bearish, with such sharp fall, lot of stops would have got taken out. Only big players can take it up. So let's wait & watch. There is some buying happening in Dow for the moment.

Gautham Shashangan


acharyams wrote:
shashangan wrote:
I think it will be good exit on Nifty shorts at this rate of Dow.

I was expecting a top tomorrow night for Dow.

It looks like going further down. Just pray it closes low. Dow is in a short term bear trend for now.

Expect Dec Nifty to open min around 5740-35 or lower If Dow continues.

So again I will be right, you should be able to come out with a small profit if not big.

Good luck
Gautham Shashangan

joi ho. Strategy next?
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sonshu101
White Belt
White Belt


Joined: 24 Nov 2011
Posts: 79

Post: #244   PostPosted: Wed Nov 28, 2012 9:12 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I thought u were long on Nifty. and secondly now a days Nifty is not following DOW......
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shashangan
Green Belt
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #245   PostPosted: Wed Nov 28, 2012 9:29 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Hello Sonshu,

Yes I was long in Nifty for a few days, I exited @ 5717.40 (Nov).

I took a intraday short @ 5754.80 in Dec mini yesterday & recommended others we can carry the position, because it closed higher @ 5671 & our stops of 5776 didn't trigger.

I am expecting min around 5740 in Dec & possibly 5720 region before bottoming somewhere to resume the next trend.

Check the old post. Today's holiday has put us on speculating the Dow for a lower open to get a reasonable exit.

Let's see

Thanks
Gautham Shashangan

sonshu101 wrote:
I thought u were long on Nifty. and secondly now a days Nifty is not following DOW......


Call given @ 13:13 yesterday

shashangan wrote:
It's almost the top. The mkt should reverse now in few min.s 5756-57. You can short mkt & It's my gut feeling. My target of 5720 (Nov) is almost achieved predicted on Saturday.

I can be wrong.

Good luck
Gautham Shashangan
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acharyams
Yellow Belt
Yellow Belt


Joined: 04 Jul 2010
Posts: 552

Post: #246   PostPosted: Thu Nov 29, 2012 9:26 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

gm, sir
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shashangan
Green Belt
Green Belt


Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #247   PostPosted: Thu Nov 29, 2012 9:34 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Good morning,

Sorry was stuck with some work at office. It was really bad the Dow & Nasdaq recovered to close so strongly. The Dow had broken all the lows for the week & was at a weekly low & it went to break the week's high & close there.

The mkt is supposed to stop here around 5805-10 region for a small correction. But the mkt is still strong. Need to wait for a while before it consolidates to correct. 5770 in Nov achieved.

Gautham Shashangan
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acharyams
Yellow Belt
Yellow Belt


Joined: 04 Jul 2010
Posts: 552

Post: #248   PostPosted: Thu Nov 29, 2012 9:44 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

shashangan wrote:
Good morning,

Sorry was stuck with some work at office. It was really bad the Dow & Nasdaq recovered to close so strongly. The Dow had broken all the lows for the week & was at a weekly low & it went to break the week's high & close there.

The mkt is supposed to stop here around 5805-10 region for a small correction. But the mkt is still strong. Need to wait for a while before it consolidates to correct. 5770 in Nov achieved.

Gautham Shashangan

what about the carried short?
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shashangan
Green Belt
Green Belt


Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #249   PostPosted: Thu Nov 29, 2012 9:46 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

We have to wait for a pull back, which should happen, but right now the mkt is still strong. There is a correction which has to happen from here, but top is not in place as of now for intra day.

Gautham Shashangan

acharyams wrote:
shashangan wrote:
Good morning,

Sorry was stuck with some work at office. It was really bad the Dow & Nasdaq recovered to close so strongly. The Dow had broken all the lows for the week & was at a weekly low & it went to break the week's high & close there.

The mkt is supposed to stop here around 5805-10 region for a small correction. But the mkt is still strong. Need to wait for a while before it consolidates to correct. 5770 in Nov achieved.

Gautham Shashangan

what about the carried short?
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shashangan
Green Belt
Green Belt


Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #250   PostPosted: Thu Nov 29, 2012 9:52 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I think it should correct from here 5822-24 . Dont short. Just watch.

Gautham Shashangan
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acharyams
Yellow Belt
Yellow Belt


Joined: 04 Jul 2010
Posts: 552

Post: #251   PostPosted: Thu Nov 29, 2012 10:03 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

shashangan wrote:
I think it should correct from here 5822-24 . Dont short. Just watch.

Gautham Shashangan

5822 or 5722?
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vinay28
Black Belt
Black Belt


Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748

Post: #252   PostPosted: Thu Nov 29, 2012 10:07 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

acharya it's dec fut
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acharyams
Yellow Belt
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Joined: 04 Jul 2010
Posts: 552

Post: #253   PostPosted: Thu Nov 29, 2012 11:48 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

holding the short still
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shashangan
Green Belt
Green Belt


Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #254   PostPosted: Thu Nov 29, 2012 12:12 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Looks like Nifty has topped for the moment on intra day basis..

It's just unfortunate, the dow closed so strong. Anyway Dow has to top out late today evening or tomorrow according to me.

The movement upside for the day will be slow in Nifty. Shall update what to do when I get clear picture.

Gautham Shashangan

acharyams wrote:
holding the short still
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shashangan
Green Belt
Green Belt


Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #255   PostPosted: Thu Nov 29, 2012 12:31 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Dont enter any position to average. Tell me your risk capability & we will see.

Gautham Shashangan
acharyams wrote:
holding the short still
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