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Nifty Analysis
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Author Nifty Analysis
shashangan
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #271   PostPosted: Mon Dec 03, 2012 9:09 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Dec Nifty opening around 5915-20

Gautham Shashangan
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shashangan
Green Belt
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #272   PostPosted: Mon Dec 03, 2012 11:20 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Dec Nifty could trade sideways to down till 12.30 - 1 pm before seeing some buying to go on again to break the highs.

The mkt may top out around 5937- 5947 max & can get into a correction tomorrow by the open. The min target would be around 5860-55 area.

I am stepping out of office now. I clarify, It's still a early guess. I shall confirm the same after the close.

Thanks
Gautham Shashangan
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shashangan
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #273   PostPosted: Mon Dec 03, 2012 2:06 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Strictly Intra day - Buy Dec 5896-92 with a tight stop 5882. Target 5935+. If target not achieved & in profit near closing, exit longs to be safe.

Gautham Shashangan
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shashangan
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #274   PostPosted: Tue Dec 04, 2012 8:45 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Dec Nifty likely to open around 5895

Gautham Shashangan
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shashangan
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #275   PostPosted: Tue Dec 04, 2012 10:50 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

There is probably one high pending which it could not complete yesterday.

That should be the reason Nifty opened marginally lower compared to the big fall in Dow & Nasdaq.

But Nifty is at a short term top. Though there is a possibility of a new high. I think, It may remain flat to bearish for next two days.

Again I mention it's a guess, I shall update when I find any confirm entry or direction.

Gautham Shashangan
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shashangan
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #276   PostPosted: Tue Dec 04, 2012 2:00 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Though there was a buy I didnt want to recommend intra day buys.

The mkt may try min around 5923-25 in Dec before consolidating to reverse lower to around 5845 levels before Thursday afternoon hopefully.

Preferably longs can exit to buy back lower. Shorts can be taken with stops at the high.

Shall confirm the precise level of entry if I get the signal .

Gautham Shashangan
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vinay28
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Joined: 24 Dec 2010
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Post: #277   PostPosted: Tue Dec 04, 2012 2:12 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

".....before Thursday afternoon....."

agreed. And then only one way up? Smile
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shashangan
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Post: #278   PostPosted: Tue Dec 04, 2012 2:51 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Yes possible Vinay, but dont be over ambitious, Stay cautious.

There is a small confusion even I am having. I dont know if the mkt would surprise everybody by a sudden break down also below 5610 & 5550.

Though it's just a feeling, for now I am just playing the near term trend. I am not ruling out any surprises. So be prepared, It's not to confuse you or others, at times your sixth sense is right, so mentioning it. Will confirm If I get any hints.

Gautham Shashangan


vinay28 wrote:
".....before Thursday afternoon....."

agreed. And then only one way up? Smile
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vinay28
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Post: #279   PostPosted: Tue Dec 04, 2012 2:55 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

not sixth sense gautham. Just the liquidity flooding effect
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shashangan
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
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Location: Bangalore

Post: #280   PostPosted: Tue Dec 04, 2012 3:06 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

True, when there is panic then the effect is there. I am going by the saying, trying to play the Devil's Advocate.

Try to think what could be going on the minds of the top Technical Analysts & Fund Mangers. So I play exactly what they want to play.

There is definitely some confusion on the charts for me. Anyway let's wait & watch. Best thing to do is stay protected & play with a helmet when you see danger. If you dont benefit, atleast you dont get hurt.

Gautham Shashangan


vinay28 wrote:
not sixth sense gautham. Just the liquidity flooding effect
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SP50
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Joined: 26 Nov 2010
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Post: #281   PostPosted: Tue Dec 04, 2012 3:08 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

shashangan wrote:
True, when there is panic then the effect is there. I am going by the saying, trying to play the Devil's Advocate.

Try to think what could be going on the minds of the top Technical Analysts & Fund Mangers. So I play exactly what they want to play.

There is definitely some confusion on the charts for me. Anyway let's wait & watch. Best thing to do is stay protected & play with a helmet when you see danger. If you dont benefit, atleast you dont get hurt.

Gautham Shashangan


vinay28 wrote:
not sixth sense gautham. Just the liquidity flooding effect



Gautham in this scenario can you suggest a good option trade combination for nifty?
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shashangan
Green Belt
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #282   PostPosted: Tue Dec 04, 2012 3:21 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Hmm the Call buys would be expensive to take a protection now. Buying Puts may be dicey if the trend doesn't turn bearish, since I wont buy until I feel the mkt will definitely go down.

Some strategies are not disclosed. Generally people who know to play options wont share it. Anyway I Have sent you a pvt msg on one possible strategy. Check your inbox Taxman

Gautham Shashangan


Last edited by shashangan on Tue Dec 04, 2012 3:38 pm; edited 1 time in total
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shashangan
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Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #283   PostPosted: Tue Dec 04, 2012 3:23 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

You can place an order to Short Nifty or preferably Mini @ 5927-30. You cant place a stop since it's closing.

Only people who can risk enter.

Gautham Shashangan
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shashangan
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #284   PostPosted: Wed Dec 05, 2012 8:59 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Dec Nifty likely to open around 5945-50.

Short Sell the mkt @ open. 5930-65 is opening range. Around 5880 can be expected today hopefully.

I can be wrong. Do your own analysis.

Gautham Shashangan
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shashangan
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #285   PostPosted: Thu Dec 06, 2012 8:59 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Dec Nifty likely to open around 5945-50. Same open like yesterday, Same view.

Gautham Shashangan
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