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shashangan Green Belt
Joined: 12 Jun 2007 Posts: 1321 Location: Bangalore
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Post: #301 Posted: Fri Dec 07, 2012 9:08 am Post subject: |
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Dec likely to open around 5980-75.
I think you can sell @ open between 5979-85 with stop @ 6012.
Min Target should be 5950. Possible targets 5934, 5916, 5898 & 5860.
It can be risky. Play mini. Do your analysis. I can be wrong.
Gautham Shashangan |
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shashangan Green Belt
Joined: 12 Jun 2007 Posts: 1321 Location: Bangalore
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Post: #302 Posted: Fri Dec 07, 2012 9:33 am Post subject: |
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It's just my gut feeling there has to be a bear close.
I shall update the trend & exit once it gives a clear picture.
Thanks & Good luck
Gautham Shashangan |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #303 Posted: Fri Dec 07, 2012 9:35 am Post subject: |
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"there has to be a bear close"
meaning cover shorts? |
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shashangan Green Belt
Joined: 12 Jun 2007 Posts: 1321 Location: Bangalore
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Post: #304 Posted: Fri Dec 07, 2012 10:13 am Post subject: |
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A close lower with a bear candle. Meaning for today as per open it has to close below 5979.
vinay28 wrote: | "there has to be a bear close"
meaning cover shorts? |
Last edited by shashangan on Fri Dec 07, 2012 10:31 am; edited 1 time in total |
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shashangan Green Belt
Joined: 12 Jun 2007 Posts: 1321 Location: Bangalore
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Post: #305 Posted: Fri Dec 07, 2012 10:15 am Post subject: |
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You can partially Place an order to Buy Dec @ 5945-42
shashangan wrote: | Dec likely to open around 5980-75.
I think you can sell @ open between 5979-85 with stop @ 6012.
Min Target should be 5950. Possible targets 5934, 5916, 5898 & 5860.
It can be risky. Play mini. Do your analysis. I can be wrong.
Gautham Shashangan |
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shashangan Green Belt
Joined: 12 Jun 2007 Posts: 1321 Location: Bangalore
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Post: #306 Posted: Fri Dec 07, 2012 10:52 am Post subject: |
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Morning shorts can exit @ 5960-57 & replace it higher again later.
There may be one more try near the highs 5979+ & should not cross max 5990.
People who didnt short can short above 5979 with stop 6003
On the lower side target is 5945-40 could be after 12 pm I think.
Mkt will be in the range of 5985-5934 till 1300 hrs.
Gautham Shashangan |
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shashangan Green Belt
Joined: 12 Jun 2007 Posts: 1321 Location: Bangalore
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Post: #307 Posted: Fri Dec 07, 2012 11:59 am Post subject: |
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Mkt Projection upto Feb March.
There is a possibility of a short term top for a deep correction again. I think Mkt may possibly head down again for December. Still early, But I shall confirm it soon. Just stay cautious with huge long positions.
Gautham Shashangan
Last edited by shashangan on Fri Dec 07, 2012 12:11 pm; edited 2 times in total |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #308 Posted: Fri Dec 07, 2012 12:08 pm Post subject: |
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Gautham, is it not possible that 6150 can happen in dec itself? |
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shashangan Green Belt
Joined: 12 Jun 2007 Posts: 1321 Location: Bangalore
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Post: #309 Posted: Fri Dec 07, 2012 12:14 pm Post subject: |
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I am not sure yet. Just starting to feel mkt possibly may give a sudden fall. But it's still a feeling. Let me see how it behaves today (weekly close) & Monday. I may be wrong. Just keep small longs in case I am right you are not caught off guard.
Gautham Shashangan
vinay28 wrote: | Gautham, is it not possible that 6150 can happen in dec itself? |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #310 Posted: Fri Dec 07, 2012 12:20 pm Post subject: |
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only worry is if today closes below 5942NS or appx. 5984NF |
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shashangan Green Belt
Joined: 12 Jun 2007 Posts: 1321 Location: Bangalore
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Post: #311 Posted: Fri Dec 07, 2012 12:26 pm Post subject: |
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Generally before a big reversal move, it does lot of natak, like yesterday it was supposed to close lower. Breaking low & high on same day is to confuse people.
From my past experience you need to keep a close watch what the big sharks are upto. So cautioning. Mkt is holding high possibly to trap people reading a strong weekly close near the highs. If there is a sharp fall post 2pm today, there is some indication. But I am having small confusions, so let me wait to confirm.
Dont blame me. I can be wrong. I am trying to read minds of big boys, I still need to understand & confirm the sentiment.
Gautham Shashangan |
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shashangan Green Belt
Joined: 12 Jun 2007 Posts: 1321 Location: Bangalore
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Post: #312 Posted: Fri Dec 07, 2012 12:37 pm Post subject: |
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I have a strong feeling it will, but how much lower is what the mystery for now. But I again say It's my gut feeling I can be wrong.
Gautham Shashangan
vinay28 wrote: | only worry is if today closes below 5942NS or appx. 5984NF |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #313 Posted: Fri Dec 07, 2012 12:40 pm Post subject: |
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true. for me post 1.30 pm is crucial. if it falls good before that, it may go up. |
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shashangan Green Belt
Joined: 12 Jun 2007 Posts: 1321 Location: Bangalore
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Post: #314 Posted: Fri Dec 07, 2012 12:48 pm Post subject: |
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yes, I think they will possibly try breaking today's high after 1.30 to make people rush to cover shorts & reverse to long thinking it's going to be a strong weekly close & then the sharp fall would follow the trap, is the picture in my mind. I mention again, dont get carried away with my views, since my thinking is mostly different from others, so it's not necessary I should be right.
Gautham Shashangan
vinay28 wrote: | true. for me post 1.30 pm is crucial. if it falls good before that, it may go up. |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #315 Posted: Fri Dec 07, 2012 12:53 pm Post subject: |
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late fall is what I thought yesterday but it fooled us. Can't fight liquidity and that's why I am bullish ready to buy at lower levels. |
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