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Nifty Analysis
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Author Nifty Analysis
shashangan
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #301   PostPosted: Fri Dec 07, 2012 9:08 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Dec likely to open around 5980-75.

I think you can sell @ open between 5979-85 with stop @ 6012.

Min Target should be 5950. Possible targets 5934, 5916, 5898 & 5860.

It can be risky. Play mini. Do your analysis. I can be wrong.

Gautham Shashangan
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shashangan
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #302   PostPosted: Fri Dec 07, 2012 9:33 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

It's just my gut feeling there has to be a bear close.

I shall update the trend & exit once it gives a clear picture.

Thanks & Good luck
Gautham Shashangan
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vinay28
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Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748

Post: #303   PostPosted: Fri Dec 07, 2012 9:35 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

"there has to be a bear close"

meaning cover shorts?
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shashangan
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #304   PostPosted: Fri Dec 07, 2012 10:13 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

A close lower with a bear candle. Meaning for today as per open it has to close below 5979.

vinay28 wrote:
"there has to be a bear close"

meaning cover shorts?


Last edited by shashangan on Fri Dec 07, 2012 10:31 am; edited 1 time in total
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shashangan
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #305   PostPosted: Fri Dec 07, 2012 10:15 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

You can partially Place an order to Buy Dec @ 5945-42

shashangan wrote:
Dec likely to open around 5980-75.

I think you can sell @ open between 5979-85 with stop @ 6012.

Min Target should be 5950. Possible targets 5934, 5916, 5898 & 5860.

It can be risky. Play mini. Do your analysis. I can be wrong.

Gautham Shashangan
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shashangan
Green Belt
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #306   PostPosted: Fri Dec 07, 2012 10:52 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Morning shorts can exit @ 5960-57 & replace it higher again later.

There may be one more try near the highs 5979+ & should not cross max 5990.

People who didnt short can short above 5979 with stop 6003

On the lower side target is 5945-40 could be after 12 pm I think.

Mkt will be in the range of 5985-5934 till 1300 hrs.

Gautham Shashangan
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shashangan
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #307   PostPosted: Fri Dec 07, 2012 11:59 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Mkt Projection upto Feb March.

There is a possibility of a short term top for a deep correction again. I think Mkt may possibly head down again for December. Still early, But I shall confirm it soon. Just stay cautious with huge long positions.

Gautham Shashangan


Last edited by shashangan on Fri Dec 07, 2012 12:11 pm; edited 2 times in total
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vinay28
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Post: #308   PostPosted: Fri Dec 07, 2012 12:08 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Gautham, is it not possible that 6150 can happen in dec itself?
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shashangan
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Location: Bangalore

Post: #309   PostPosted: Fri Dec 07, 2012 12:14 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I am not sure yet. Just starting to feel mkt possibly may give a sudden fall. But it's still a feeling. Let me see how it behaves today (weekly close) & Monday. I may be wrong. Just keep small longs in case I am right you are not caught off guard.

Gautham Shashangan

vinay28 wrote:
Gautham, is it not possible that 6150 can happen in dec itself?
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vinay28
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Post: #310   PostPosted: Fri Dec 07, 2012 12:20 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

only worry is if today closes below 5942NS or appx. 5984NF
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shashangan
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #311   PostPosted: Fri Dec 07, 2012 12:26 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Generally before a big reversal move, it does lot of natak, like yesterday it was supposed to close lower. Breaking low & high on same day is to confuse people.

From my past experience you need to keep a close watch what the big sharks are upto. So cautioning. Mkt is holding high possibly to trap people reading a strong weekly close near the highs. If there is a sharp fall post 2pm today, there is some indication. But I am having small confusions, so let me wait to confirm.

Dont blame me. I can be wrong. I am trying to read minds of big boys, I still need to understand & confirm the sentiment.

Gautham Shashangan
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shashangan
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #312   PostPosted: Fri Dec 07, 2012 12:37 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I have a strong feeling it will, but how much lower is what the mystery for now. But I again say It's my gut feeling I can be wrong.

Gautham Shashangan
vinay28 wrote:
only worry is if today closes below 5942NS or appx. 5984NF
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vinay28
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Post: #313   PostPosted: Fri Dec 07, 2012 12:40 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

true. for me post 1.30 pm is crucial. if it falls good before that, it may go up.
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shashangan
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Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #314   PostPosted: Fri Dec 07, 2012 12:48 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

yes, I think they will possibly try breaking today's high after 1.30 to make people rush to cover shorts & reverse to long thinking it's going to be a strong weekly close & then the sharp fall would follow the trap, is the picture in my mind. I mention again, dont get carried away with my views, since my thinking is mostly different from others, so it's not necessary I should be right.

Gautham Shashangan

vinay28 wrote:
true. for me post 1.30 pm is crucial. if it falls good before that, it may go up.
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vinay28
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Post: #315   PostPosted: Fri Dec 07, 2012 12:53 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

late fall is what I thought yesterday but it fooled us. Can't fight liquidity and that's why I am bullish ready to buy at lower levels.
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