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shashangan Green Belt
Joined: 12 Jun 2007 Posts: 1321 Location: Bangalore
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Post: #496 Posted: Fri Dec 21, 2012 1:00 pm Post subject: |
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It's 1 pm now. So they tried a dip they could not fish many stops.
So we are entering the drama time. Being Friday I think we probably could expect some movements till 2.45 pm. Because many would have now cut their longs & booked losses or reversed their positions to short.
Let's see.
Gautham Shashangan |
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humble White Belt
Joined: 12 Nov 2012 Posts: 29
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Post: #497 Posted: Fri Dec 21, 2012 2:47 pm Post subject: |
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shashangan wrote: | It's 1 pm now. So they tried a dip they could not fish many stops.
So we are entering the drama time. Being Friday I think we probably could expect some movements till 2.45 pm. Because many would have now cut their longs & booked losses or reversed their positions to short.
Let's see.
Gautham Shashangan |
Placed Tight SL 5877.05 For a Target 5838 |
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shashangan Green Belt
Joined: 12 Jun 2007 Posts: 1321 Location: Bangalore
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Post: #498 Posted: Fri Dec 21, 2012 2:55 pm Post subject: |
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Good luck,
for now there is a war going on below 5866. As of now punters are winning in the hammering.
holding my breath & watching
Gautham Shashangan
humble wrote: |
Placed Tight SL 5877.05 For a Target 5838 |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #499 Posted: Fri Dec 21, 2012 2:59 pm Post subject: |
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Gautham, I feel till NF doesn't close below 5851 or worst case 5835, uptrend is intact. |
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shashangan Green Belt
Joined: 12 Jun 2007 Posts: 1321 Location: Bangalore
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Post: #500 Posted: Fri Dec 21, 2012 3:01 pm Post subject: |
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Let's see, it's another half an hour, There could be buy back around 5850 NF
Gautham Shashangan
vinay28 wrote: | Gautham, I feel till NF doesn't close below 5851 or worst case 5835, uptrend is intact. |
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shashangan Green Belt
Joined: 12 Jun 2007 Posts: 1321 Location: Bangalore
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Post: #501 Posted: Fri Dec 21, 2012 3:01 pm Post subject: |
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Intra day players cover Dec shorts at 5848 just to be safe. The punters guns are getting empty there could be a pull back.
Gautham Shashangan |
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shashangan Green Belt
Joined: 12 Jun 2007 Posts: 1321 Location: Bangalore
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Post: #502 Posted: Fri Dec 21, 2012 3:32 pm Post subject: |
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Bingo!
Another action packed day.
God bless my Annadata Nifty. So far so good. We shall see tomorrow.
Shall update if i get any cues.
Regards,
Gautham Shashangan |
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humble White Belt
Joined: 12 Nov 2012 Posts: 29
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Post: #503 Posted: Fri Dec 21, 2012 3:34 pm Post subject: |
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Placed Tight SL 5877.05 For a Target 5838 [/quote]
Covered @ 5850 |
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bugs3003 White Belt
Joined: 22 May 2012 Posts: 109
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Post: #504 Posted: Fri Dec 21, 2012 3:42 pm Post subject: |
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Wonderful day and thank you Gautam sir for the guidance today during each of the phases.
By just following your threads and understanding the situation presented by you, I am able to follow much better risk mgmt than i was a few weeks back
shashangan wrote: | Bingo!
Another action packed day.
God bless my Annadata Nifty. So far so good. We shall see tomorrow.
Shall update if i get any cues.
Regards,
Gautham Shashangan |
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shashangan Green Belt
Joined: 12 Jun 2007 Posts: 1321 Location: Bangalore
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Post: #505 Posted: Fri Dec 21, 2012 4:24 pm Post subject: |
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Good going Humble. Am happy for you.
Thanks
Gautham Shashangan
humble wrote: | Placed Tight SL 5877.05 For a Target 5838 |
Covered @ 5850 [/quote] |
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shashangan Green Belt
Joined: 12 Jun 2007 Posts: 1321 Location: Bangalore
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Post: #506 Posted: Fri Dec 21, 2012 4:27 pm Post subject: |
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The mkt is broken & closed below a Major TL which it had tried several times. Check the daily chart TL drawn around 5866. It broke that TL on Monday when it tried around 5840, but pulled back totally confusing many people.
So today it has closed below 5866, which has weakened the trend & also making the weekly a bear close. There is no major support if you look back between TL 5866 & 5817. So fall can be big with only small intra day corrections possibly heading to 5782 & 5750 area subsequently after probably a small recovery from 5817.
Before turning up for the target around 6200, though little early to guage an extension to 5680-55 area cannot be ruled out on the lower side. It will unfold in due course based on the strength of the selling sentiment as mkt dips down.
The week's weak close indicates a bear close possibility on December monthly charts, which I have been telling for some time now
The first resistance area is 5866 -72 area. There can be a pull back possibly between 5885-93 area. Selling should start from around this area. If there is an extension, it may try 5900. According to me, a move above 5918 is most unlikely.
Only a sharp rally through 5930 or close a above 5925 is trend reversal.
Check the weekly projection chart I have attached. It's a rough picture of the movements. It need not be accurate nor correct. It's a estimate. I can go totally wrong though. So do your own analysis as well.
The charts are self explanatory. I have given all the explanation, which many analysts wont disclose. Anyway I hope it helps.
My best wishes for the festive season.
Gautham Shashangan
acharyams wrote: | shashangan wrote: | Nifty Daily chart Analysis.
I have made a quick projection. Hope It's right.
I can be wrong though. Let's see.
Good luck. Enjoy the weekend & the festive eve.
Gautham Shashangan |
Please discuss a bit on the attached chart. |
Last edited by shashangan on Sat Dec 22, 2012 11:36 am; edited 14 times in total |
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shashangan Green Belt
Joined: 12 Jun 2007 Posts: 1321 Location: Bangalore
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Post: #507 Posted: Fri Dec 21, 2012 5:30 pm Post subject: |
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Great Bugs & thank you.
That's nice of you.
Hope you do well in future as well
Have a wonderful weekend.
Gautham Shashangan
bugs3003 wrote: | Wonderful day and thank you Gautam sir for the guidance today during each of the phases.
By just following your threads and understanding the situation presented by you, I am able to follow much better risk mgmt than i was a few weeks back
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acharyams Yellow Belt
Joined: 04 Jul 2010 Posts: 552
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Post: #508 Posted: Fri Dec 21, 2012 6:26 pm Post subject: |
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shashangan wrote: | Nifty Daily chart Analysis.
I have made a quick projection. Hope It's right.
I can be wrong though. Let's see.
Good luck. Enjoy the weekend & the festive eve.
Gautham Shashangan |
Please discuss a bit on the attached chart.
Sir,
One observation:
29th November high of Nf was 5838 and and December Series Low is 5838.
Does it mean we are not going to break 5838 in rest of the days of December expiry?
May sound silly, still a similarity. How do you see? |
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shashangan Green Belt
Joined: 12 Jun 2007 Posts: 1321 Location: Bangalore
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Post: #509 Posted: Fri Dec 21, 2012 6:56 pm Post subject: |
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Go through the chart below. I have updated it.
Thanks
Gautham Shashangan
acharyams wrote: |
Please discuss a bit on the attached chart.
Sir,
One observation:
29th November high of Nf was 5838 and and December Series Low is 5838.
Does it mean we are not going to break 5838 in rest of the days of December expiry?
May sound silly, still a similarity. How do you see? |
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shashangan Green Belt
Joined: 12 Jun 2007 Posts: 1321 Location: Bangalore
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Post: #510 Posted: Mon Dec 24, 2012 8:59 am Post subject: |
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I am extremely sorry. I apologise.
That was for Jan futures not Dec. Got confused with the U.S curb mkt.s
But anyway the entries I mentioned will apply for Jan. So it's fine.
Thanks
Gautham Shashangan
Merry Christmas to all.
Christmas is probably bringing some good luck for longs.
Can anybody tell me, which days are mkt closed.
I cant figure out what's wrong. But NF may open right above all the Levels I mentioned on Friday.
Dec likely to open between 5920-30.
I was expecting a possibility of a higher open max 5880, but not so much.
5851 close & 5920+ open is 70 points, that's manipulation. Opens are not in our control.
Anyway let's see how it will go.
High Risk Opening trade - Place an order to short Dec @ 5939-47 stop 5973
Min Targets - 5912/5900. I shall update the other possibilities later.
Regards,
Gautham Shashangan
Last edited by shashangan on Mon Dec 24, 2012 9:19 am; edited 2 times in total |
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