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Nifty Analysis
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Author Nifty Analysis
vinay28
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Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748

Post: #541   PostPosted: Thu Dec 27, 2012 9:45 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Gautham, NS closed at 5825/80 on 29th and 30th Nov. Which one are you seeing? For today or 31st Dec?
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shashangan
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #542   PostPosted: Thu Dec 27, 2012 10:12 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

If I am not wrong NS can try 5921-26 max on the highs today & see selling to try below 5900 probably 5880 & close around 5890-99, followed by a test of around 5850 on Monday.

It's just a wild guess, I need to sit & study everything to be more accurate, just stuck with lot of work due to a couple of my staff absent for new year.

I want the mkt to close bear for today & Monday, but I am not very sure. Let's see.

Gautham Shashangan

vinay28 wrote:
Gautham, NS closed at 5825/80 on 29th and 30th Nov. Which one are you seeing? For today or 31st Dec?
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vinay28
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Post: #543   PostPosted: Thu Dec 27, 2012 10:35 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I have my own doubts about Dec closing -ve. Afterall, fund managers have to earn fat bonuses. Smile
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shashangan
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Post: #544   PostPosted: Thu Dec 27, 2012 10:42 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

There is a possibility of some buys coming in @ 5955-53 for Jan.

Let's see how far they can take it up.

Gautham Shashangan
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shashangan
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Post: #545   PostPosted: Thu Dec 27, 2012 11:06 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Bonuses depends on performance & their portfolio status, not necessary where mkt closes. If I am a Fund Manager where mkt is wont worry, How I perform with the portfolio whether mkt goes up or down is what I will look at.

Gautham Shashangan

vinay28 wrote:
I have my own doubts about Dec closing -ve. Afterall, fund managers have to earn fat bonuses. Smile
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vinay28
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Post: #546   PostPosted: Thu Dec 27, 2012 11:18 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

no Gautham, their bonuse depends on NAV by end of year.
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shashangan
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Post: #547   PostPosted: Thu Dec 27, 2012 11:28 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

True. That's the story of many fund managers in India. But a good fund manager should not hope for mkt.s to close higher for him/her to do well. That way anybody can do Portfolio mgt. What I say is a good fund manager is someone who can be consistent in all trends, whether bullish mkt or bearish mkt.

I play stocks over trend not worrying yearly close. I have been a fund manager once & the approach to my portfolio mgt is different from normal portfolio managers.

I book profits irrespective of what month or period the mkt is in. Like I have been booking my stock portfolio from Oct slowly little by little & am waiting for Feb March to book 80-90% of my stock portfolio.

How much returns you give to investors consistently is imp.t not how markets perform. So I dont believe in yearly close.

Regards,
Gautham Shashangan


vinay28 wrote:
no Gautham, their bonuse depends on NAV by end of year.
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vinay28
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Post: #548   PostPosted: Thu Dec 27, 2012 11:42 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

you are right gautham but ultimately they will decide where market will go to satisfy for their ulterior motives.
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shashangan
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Post: #549   PostPosted: Thu Dec 27, 2012 12:25 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Jan may hold here till 1 pm. The mkt will give a correction up from 5949-47 to 5960 area. Need to see if it will reverse from 5960-65 to break lows again before 2 pm.

Let's see

Gautham Shashangan
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shashangan
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Post: #550   PostPosted: Thu Dec 27, 2012 1:33 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Mkt is sideways to down till 14:30. Lower side 5935-28 area for Jan.

Gautham Shashangan
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shashangan
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Post: #551   PostPosted: Thu Dec 27, 2012 2:33 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I suspect one more low hopefully before 15:00 hrs. Not very sure though.

Gautham Shashangan

shashangan wrote:
Mkt is sideways to down till 14:30. Lower side 5935-28 area for Jan.

Gautham Shashangan
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shashangan
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Post: #552   PostPosted: Thu Dec 27, 2012 3:13 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Some profit booking of shorts & buying is happening, But near closing I dont know if the small timers have the guts & strength to buy & hold, unless big boys prefer to cover for the day

Wise thing for intra day players is, if you short cover it below 5930 to be safe.

Gautham Shashangan
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humble
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Joined: 12 Nov 2012
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Post: #553   PostPosted: Thu Dec 27, 2012 3:30 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Bought 5900 Jan Put @68 SL 65
Sold @ 78
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shashangan
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Post: #554   PostPosted: Thu Dec 27, 2012 3:31 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

So far so good. We shall see tomorrow & Monday, what happens.

I want Jan to close below 5910 on Monday. Let's see

Regards,
Gautham Shashangan
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shashangan
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Post: #555   PostPosted: Thu Dec 27, 2012 3:32 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Good humble, I am happy for you. Keep it going.

Gautham Shashangan

humble wrote:
Bought 5900 Jan Put @68 SL 65
Sold @ 78
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