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Nifty Analysis
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Author Nifty Analysis
shashangan
Green Belt
Green Belt


Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #676   PostPosted: Mon Jan 14, 2013 3:16 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

It can possibly go through my stop Satish, It did reverse from 6045, but It didnt' see sufficient selling continue, so that top is over. Check my previous post. But my target lower should achieve according to me. Around 6065-68 is the next top & I feel it's near a major top.

I apologise, I shall be little more careful next time.

Thanks
Gautham Shashangan

satishkadam wrote:
vinay28 wrote:
sold longs again and shorted a bit


Near SL as per Gautham
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vinay28
Black Belt
Black Belt


Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748

Post: #677   PostPosted: Mon Jan 14, 2013 3:26 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I think 6077NF is possible
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shashangan
Green Belt
Green Belt


Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #678   PostPosted: Mon Jan 14, 2013 3:26 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I have another sell order for mini @ 6065.80. I am feeling it's a good sell.

But I may be wrong.

Gautham Shashangan
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skd2012
Yellow Belt
Yellow Belt


Joined: 03 Oct 2012
Posts: 948

Post: #679   PostPosted: Mon Jan 14, 2013 3:28 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I am extremely sorry. posted in wrong thread...please excuse me..
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shashangan
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #680   PostPosted: Mon Jan 14, 2013 3:37 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Hmm, you may be right, but my gut feeling I am going with my strategy.

This was my target to sell at the 1st time anyway, so i have sold, I am holding 2 mini shorts now, if it opens higher I will decide & short one more, if i feel it doesn't look risky.

Like you bought at low close on Friday I am shorting @ high close today & that too a new high in future. I didnt want to miss a sell @ 6065, since that was part of my actual strategy. Well there is risk, but that's how mkt is.

Like I had mentioned, they could try breaking the high once to trap the people who went short till Friday & holding. Most of the shorts would have panicked & cut their positions & reversed to long above 6045. So that's the picture I am still believing. & they did confuse me in picking the 6045 top & went to break the highs. So it's a psychological possibility to trigger shorts to bail them out & turn them to long. And hitting the 6065 target near closing so nobody would take a short position at closing. Hoping I will not go wrong. we will see.

Gautham Shashangan

vinay28 wrote:
I think 6077NF is possible


Last edited by shashangan on Mon Jan 14, 2013 3:47 pm; edited 5 times in total
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shashangan
Green Belt
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #681   PostPosted: Mon Jan 14, 2013 3:38 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

It's ok Das, No problem

Gautham Shashangan

sw_das wrote:
I am extremely sorry. posted in wrong thread...please excuse me..
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vinay28
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Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748

Post: #682   PostPosted: Mon Jan 14, 2013 6:29 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

gautham, I closed my longs and shorted at the end becaue I feel it may go down and/or be flat and volatile tmrw and on wednesday. BUT I also feel that it may be that last fall in Jan.
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shashangan
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #683   PostPosted: Mon Jan 14, 2013 6:36 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Well to be honest, I am also nervous, because the weekly chart looks dangerous as per the present state, though it's still Monday & the candle is not complete.

It's just my gut feeling, Like I had mentioned before they can take the mkt up to break the highs just to confuse. So I am hoping it's right.

If you have sufficient back up, even if it goes up, I think it will definitely give a correction to exit. So we can always exit on the dip even if it closes strong tomorrow.

It's purely a gut feeling entry. Few technicals are looking otherwise, Let's hope for the best. Dont worry, the mkt is for the brave hearts. When you hold such positions not to panic or get emotional, only one thing you need to remember is, not to average at any cost.

Gautham Shashangan

vinay28 wrote:
gautham, I closed my longs and shorted at the end becaue I feel it may go down and/or be flat and volatile tmrw and on wednesday. BUT I also feel that it may be that last fall in Jan.
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apka
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Joined: 13 Dec 2011
Posts: 6137

Post: #684   PostPosted: Mon Jan 14, 2013 6:47 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay28 wrote:
gautham, I closed my longs and shorted at the end becaue I feel it may go down and/or be flat and volatile tmrw and on wednesday. BUT I also feel that it may be that last fall in Jan.


would mean break of 12 year dec/jan theory ermm
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vinay28
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Post: #685   PostPosted: Mon Jan 14, 2013 6:53 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

apka, have you forgotten that market broke quite a few age old sentiments in 2012? Smile
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apka
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Joined: 13 Dec 2011
Posts: 6137

Post: #686   PostPosted: Mon Jan 14, 2013 7:04 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay28 wrote:
apka, have you forgotten that market broke quite a few age old sentiments in 2012? Smile


alas, nope Neutral
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shashangan
Green Belt
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #687   PostPosted: Mon Jan 14, 2013 7:11 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Apka, I will also check the previous few years behavior around Dec Jan & also give my view in a few hours. I am stuck up with some work now. I may not be there tomorrow beyond 10 am, since I am supposed to conduct a training, so preparing for it with some ppt,s & videos.

Thanks
Gautham Shashangan

apka wrote:
vinay28 wrote:
apka, have you forgotten that market broke quite a few age old sentiments in 2012? Smile


alas, nope Neutral
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shashangan
Green Belt
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #688   PostPosted: Mon Jan 14, 2013 10:54 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

1992 - 2012 - Twenty years - All January month open high low close. It's just for reference.

Gautham Shashangan
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skd2012
Yellow Belt
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Joined: 03 Oct 2012
Posts: 948

Post: #689   PostPosted: Tue Jan 15, 2013 7:24 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Can you check this, what is the probability of a correction combining January, February.? It may be interesting to know.

Though history is one thing and current situation might be another one!

regards
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vinay28
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Joined: 24 Dec 2010
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Post: #690   PostPosted: Tue Jan 15, 2013 7:51 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Interesting to see identical green and red candles.
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