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Nifty Analysis
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Author Nifty Analysis
shashangan
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #721   PostPosted: Fri Jan 18, 2013 9:53 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Strictly Intra day

Place an order to short Jan @ 6094-96 Stop 6116. Target open. Min possibility 6064.

Gautham Shashangan
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SP50
Brown Belt
Brown Belt


Joined: 26 Nov 2010
Posts: 1615

Post: #722   PostPosted: Fri Jan 18, 2013 2:49 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

shashangan wrote:
Strictly Intra day

Place an order to short Jan @ 6094-96 Stop 6116. Target open. Min possibility 6064.

Gautham Shashangan


Whats your take now Gautham?
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shashangan
Green Belt
Green Belt


Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #723   PostPosted: Fri Jan 18, 2013 3:52 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Hello

Am sorry was stuck with some client meeting. Could not watch the closing.

Though Jan has closed below 6076-78 region, the closing is not very convincing.

The only consolation is it has held the previous top. The mkt is not giving clear direction, at least I am not clear. But the weekly close is strong, so there is possibility of a very strong move up.

Just one last chance for bears is on Monday. It can turn a bear if mkt opens lower & closes down without filling gap or if there is a big bear candle testing 6010 or below.

I am again rushing out for a meeting, shall check & update later.

Gautham Shashangan

taxmann50 wrote:
shashangan wrote:
Strictly Intra day

Place an order to short Jan @ 6094-96 Stop 6116. Target open. Min possibility 6064.

Gautham Shashangan


Whats your take now Gautham?


Last edited by shashangan on Sat Jan 19, 2013 10:52 am; edited 2 times in total
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shashangan
Green Belt
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #724   PostPosted: Sat Jan 19, 2013 8:42 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I would be away for some time since I am traveling out. I should be back by Feb.

I shall try & update if I get time, but not sure.

Regarding mkt, The U.S mkt has closed strongly yesterday, so not sure if mkt will again open higher, but may possibly try 6057-53 near the open.

A min break of 6045 followed by 6033 will give some intra day hopes for bears.

The mkt needs to close below or make a sharp break below min 6000 to turn short term bearish.

The mkt starting to give some strong bullish indications to me with yesterday's close.

If mkt goes through 6095 & holds or makes a sharp move above or consecutive closes above, the mkt is heading to min 6185 & if that also doesn't see reversal then it may continue to top out around either 6275 or 6300.

The mkt can still trick you. So just wait for conformations to confirm the trend. Let it break 6095 & hold then buy on dips for the upper target, if not like I said before, it could be a trap. If I was there I could probably pick up the sentiment & guide, but as of now even my bearish feeling is almost in big doubt & I have become neutral to watchful.

I dont know if i will be able to update, shall try, until then, take care

Good luck & Happy trading.

Regards,
Gautham Shashangan
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vinst
Black Belt
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Joined: 09 Jan 2007
Posts: 3303

Post: #725   PostPosted: Sat Jan 19, 2013 7:27 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Gautham,

thanks for your views and have a good time while travelling (for whatever purpose).

Keep posting at your convenience.
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shashangan
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #726   PostPosted: Sat Jan 19, 2013 11:51 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Thanks Vinst,

Well I am on a business cum personal trip. I shall definitely try & update if it's possible.

Take care of yourself. I hope to come back soon.

Regards,
Gautham Shashangan

vinst wrote:
Gautham,

thanks for your views and have a good time while travelling (for whatever purpose).

Keep posting at your convenience.
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shashangan
Green Belt
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #727   PostPosted: Thu Jan 24, 2013 1:19 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Hello friends,

Just got time to have a glance of mkt.s. Not tracked mkt closely, anyway I feel Jan may try 6005 before closing if I am not wrong. 6045-50 region should see selling.

Good luck
Gautham Shashangan
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shashangan
Green Belt
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #728   PostPosted: Sun Feb 17, 2013 12:23 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Hello friends,

Just got back to Bangalore on Friday. Was away for almost a month. Could not track mkt closely, but was noticing the developments in between.

But anyway at last the correction down I have been expecting from 2 months has finally come.

Did a quick analysis.

I think the mkt can pull up a bit to correct the present down trend to 5965 region which could give some stiff resistance. If upside extends, Mkt may try around 6000 region max. Be prepared to short from around 5965 NF. When mkt gets there, I shall update the top in case I am watching the mkt. Once selling resumes mkt can target around 5745 region & 5720 if it extends a bit.

There can be intermediate pauses around 5820 & 5775.

Cautioning in Advance - Though little early to say, Be careful as mkt nears 5750 with any Short positions. People will turn bearish & give all justifications with budget for a big bear trend. The mkt will again resume uptrend to go on to break the previous highs. Min target would be 6165 by April from 5745 or a little below.


Just settling down from my trip. will take a few days. I will study the trend little more in detail slowly. Kindly do your analysis as well.
Play cautiously.

Thanks & Regards,
Gautham Shashangan


shashangan wrote:
Since I have been bearish I have been giving only sell calls continuously. Though I take risks, I was a bit tensed when mkt made the 6095 high, so held back myself to give any short calls.

For a moment with yesterday's close I was wondering will it run off. I dont mind my loss, but didnt' want to trap others who would blindly take the entry on my call. But anyway even though I was so bearish, I am holding only one mini myself, Though I thought will have 3-4 minis.

Anyway I am still not very convinced, so will wait for mkt to come down little more before I give my further view.

Thanks
Gautham Shashangan




shashangan wrote:
Mkt view on JAN 9 Though I want to restrain from giving my full view, I thought let me share it, in case I get it right, it could help you plan your trade.

Jan - If there is an up move to go back to highs, it should come from 5975 region. I feel even if it goes back it will see selling again. It may not break previous high mostly, even if it goes up. 6046-51 could be the highs & if extended it may go to 6065-70 max not beyond. There is a small possibility they can make one sharp move to confuse, not necessary, but we should be prepared, since they would nt want to give a easy ride.

If Bear resumes 5955 is the immediate target. Below 5942 stops will trigger to take it to 5905 around instantly. Though again early, guess it could possibly see some correction from here (5905 region) to 5960 min. & then a down turn to 5870.

It's an approximate picture. I could be wrong. Just taking a wild guess.

Medium term a weekly close or a sharp break below 5850 there will be heavy selling targeting 5795-75 region followed by 5700-5695 region if extended, where the trend can end.

Any sharp move or a weekly close near or above 6100 can change my view, but it's unlikely. Or any deviation from my view, i shall change this view give my new outlook in the coming days. I repeat it's a approximate picture, I can be wrong.

Good luck, Play cautiously.

Thanks
Gautham Shashangan


Last edited by shashangan on Mon Feb 18, 2013 9:21 pm; edited 11 times in total
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vinay28
Black Belt
Black Belt


Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748

Post: #729   PostPosted: Sun Feb 17, 2013 1:34 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

".....The mkt will again resume uptrend to go on to break the previous highs to target 5165 around min., by April....."

Uptrend to 5165?
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shashangan
Green Belt
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #730   PostPosted: Sun Feb 17, 2013 2:04 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Sorry corrected - 6165.

Thanks
Gautham Shashangan

vinay28 wrote:
".....The mkt will again resume uptrend to go on to break the previous highs to target 5165 around min., by April....."

Uptrend to 5165?
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shashangan
Green Belt
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #731   PostPosted: Tue Feb 19, 2013 3:22 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I think the mkt has made the top for the day. Should hold 5960 for now

Thanks
Gautham Shashangan

shashangan wrote:
Hello friends,

Just got back to Bangalore on Friday. Was away for almost a month. Could not track mkt closely, but was noticing the developments in between.

But anyway at last the correction down I have been expecting from 2 months has finally come.

Did a quick analysis.

I think the mkt can pull up a bit to correct the present down trend to 5965 region which could give some stiff resistance. If upside extends, Mkt may try around 6000 region max. Be prepared to short from around 5965 NF. When mkt gets there, I shall update the top in case I am watching the mkt. Once selling resumes mkt can target around 5745 region & 5720 if it extends a bit.

There can be intermediate pauses around 5820 & 5775.

Cautioning in Advance - Though little early to say, Be careful as mkt nears 5750 with any Short positions. People will turn bearish & give all justifications with budget for a big bear trend. The mkt will again resume uptrend to go on to break the previous highs. Min target would be 6165 by April from 5745 or a little below.


Just settling down from my trip. will take a few days. I will study the trend little more in detail slowly. Kindly do your analysis as well.
Play cautiously.

Thanks & Regards,
Gautham Shashangan
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shashangan
Green Belt
Green Belt


Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #732   PostPosted: Wed Feb 20, 2013 11:17 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I think NF 5945 on the downside & possibly up to 5975 could be the trend for now.

Regards,
Gautham Shashangan
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manojkr78
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Joined: 07 Mar 2011
Posts: 1014

Post: #733   PostPosted: Wed Feb 20, 2013 3:09 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Gautham,

Can we buy nifty for tommrrow.

Manoj
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shashangan
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #734   PostPosted: Wed Feb 20, 2013 3:12 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I would short if i get NF 5980 & above. The mkt may fall tomorrow i think, I could be wrong though. If you short you should get 5945 min. tomorrow. Could be a down turn but little early to tell for now.

thanks
Gautham Shashangan

manojkr78 wrote:
Gautham,

Can we buy nifty for tommrrow.

Manoj
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manojkr78
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Post: #735   PostPosted: Wed Feb 20, 2013 3:37 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

thanks
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