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Nifty Analysis
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Author Nifty Analysis
shashangan
Green Belt
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #751   PostPosted: Mon Feb 25, 2013 3:29 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Near 5820 area had to give support, so 5822 low justified. The mkt definitely is trying to confuse both bulls & bears.
According to me for now mkt is sideways to down for a while. 5841 is the min. target which may hold for some time possibly.

Regards,
Gautham Shashangan

shashangan wrote:
NF - There could be some selling from around 5870-74 region.

Expecting 5820 by Monday hopefully. I could be wrong though.

Stops may be above 5894. Play minimum, play cautiously.

I think 12110 could be shorted in Bank Nifty for now. Not sure of Stop, May be just above 12170. I dont have good charts for Bank Nifty. The price is showing around 12095 now.

Thanks
Gautham Shashangan
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shashangan
Green Belt
Green Belt


Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #752   PostPosted: Mon Feb 25, 2013 3:38 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Oops! So hectic at office didn't realise Mkt is closed. Was wondering why mkt not moving.

Sorry

Regards,
Gautham Shashangan
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SP50
Brown Belt
Brown Belt


Joined: 26 Nov 2010
Posts: 1615

Post: #753   PostPosted: Mon Feb 25, 2013 4:18 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

shashangan wrote:
Oops! So hectic at office didn't realise Mkt is closed. Was wondering why mkt not moving.

Sorry

Regards,
Gautham Shashangan


Hi Gautham,
Nice to see your views after a while. How are things shaping up for the budget which is on expiry this Feb series.
Regards,
T Laughing
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shashangan
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #754   PostPosted: Mon Feb 25, 2013 5:37 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I am not sure about the movements on budget news. The next few moves can be erratic. They can try to trap both short & long Intra day players to make a good Tandoori fry of them.

Though my targets are little lower, technically according to me it's indicating very near bottom & reversal any moment. It's possibly going to take a turn for a massive run up to 6165 / 6200 area by April.

It's better not to carry shorts overnight from here. Better to wait for down move & Buy on dips & hold on to Longs patiently. But Play with discipline, play minimum. Dont panic on dips, it will recover & 5970-85 area would be the first target non stop on reversal. You can also buy 6100 & 6200 calls when its falling & near support, if you want to play my game. Also I would buy any gap down opening at the opening Bell. (New Low).

But again it's my view, do your own analysis, I can be wrong too.

Regards,
Gautham Shashangan
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shashangan
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #755   PostPosted: Tue Feb 26, 2013 9:30 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

The mkt is sideways to down till min 10.

Regards,
Gautham Shashangan
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shashangan
Green Belt
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #756   PostPosted: Tue Feb 26, 2013 10:02 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

You can place an order to Buy @ 5809-06 for now. Intra day players can stay out who can't risk.

Medium to Long term players Buy intra day new low in the March contract.

I dont know budget wild moves & stops. People who can risk can enter.

Bank NIfty - 11900-890 Buy.

Regards,
Gautham Shashangan


Last edited by shashangan on Wed Feb 27, 2013 12:47 pm; edited 1 time in total
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shashangan
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #757   PostPosted: Tue Feb 26, 2013 12:28 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Bought March @ 5833.60 & added one more @ 5821.10.

Bought 6100 March call @ 21.60
Bought 6200 April Call @ 28.70

Intra day players can buy @ 5821-15 with stop 5797 March.

Play Minimum, Play Cautious. Do your Analysis. Good luck.

Regards,
Gautham Shashangan
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Vikas91
White Belt
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Joined: 28 Nov 2012
Posts: 140

Post: #758   PostPosted: Tue Feb 26, 2013 3:18 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

shashangan wrote:
Bought March @ 5833.60 & added one more @ 5821.10.

Bought 6100 March call @ 21.60
Bought 6200 April Call @ 28.70

Intra day players can buy @ 5821-15 with stop 5797 March.

Play Minimum, Play Cautious. Do your Analysis. Good luck.

Regards,
Gautham Shashangan


March NF at 5786 what is the SL for positional
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shashangan
Green Belt
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #759   PostPosted: Tue Feb 26, 2013 3:28 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Almost all my Targets Predicted is Achieved. Most Analysts would be giving sell calls now. Just I was waiting for one Monthly bear close to start buying, which is happening for Feb month.

Though I expected mkt to test these levels quite some time ago, Today I bought a little early because I have been a bear for last few months & it has been a test of patience. I was also irritated around 6050-6100 area when I was short around 6065 & mkt was trying to confuse. So I took my entry & didn't see it for a month almost. Possibly must be the very few persons saying with authority that the mkt will go on to break the new highs again. But like I had mentioned I feel mkt is just around a bottom to reverse. I will am patient & dont see any reason to panic as of now. But as usual I mention, I can be wrong.

But let's see if I come right. My buys are long term, since I am going out of town on 28th afternoon for a week, so didnt want to miss this move. I dont want to get confused or irritated, so feel good I am going out of town, since it will get on my nerves If I watch the mkt from here continuously.

Well again I say, it's my analysis, dont confuse your reading with mine. Stick to what you believe. Good luck

Thanks
Gautham Shashangan


Last edited by shashangan on Wed Feb 27, 2013 11:25 am; edited 1 time in total
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shashangan
Green Belt
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #760   PostPosted: Tue Feb 26, 2013 3:53 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Play Minimum. If you have buys near or below 5800 March, no need to panic. Have patience. Don't average. Keep 100-150 points buffer & forget it. Dont watch mkt if you tend to exit with small profit.

The target according to me is 6165 / 6200 by April 2013. If there is any deviation in the mkt & my view shall update.

I am confident, But do your analysis, since the profits you make from my calls would be yours so would be the losses.


Thanks & Good luck
Gautham Shashangan


Last edited by shashangan on Wed Feb 27, 2013 11:39 am; edited 5 times in total
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shashangan
Green Belt
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #761   PostPosted: Tue Feb 26, 2013 10:18 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Hello Vikas,

Sorry didn't see your msg. For short term 5740 could be stop loss. For long term 100-150 points you should have cushion, since it's a 400 point up move I am expecting.

Good luck
Gautham Shashangan

Vikas91 wrote:

March NF at 5786 what is the SL for positional
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shashangan
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #762   PostPosted: Wed Feb 27, 2013 11:21 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Feb Tested 5748- Last target also achieved. Waiting for my move. Hope I come right. Good luck.

Regards,
Gautham Shashangan

shashangan wrote:
Almost all my Targets Predicted is Achieved. Most Analysts would be giving sell calls now. Just I was waiting for one Monthly bear close to start buying, which is happening for Feb month.

Though I expected mkt to test these levels quite some time ago, Today I bought a little early because I have been a bear for last few months & it has been a test of patience. I was also irritated around 6050-6100 area when I was short around 6065 & mkt was trying to confuse. So I took my entry & didn't see it for a month almost. Possibly must be the very few persons saying with authority that the mkt will go on to break the new highs again. But like I had mentioned I feel mkt is just around a bottom to reverse. I will am patient & dont see any reason to panic as of now. But as usual I mention, I can be wrong.

But let's see if I come right. My buys are long term, since I am going out of town on 28th afternoon for a week, so didnt want to miss this move. I dont want to get confused or irritated, so feel good I am going out of town, since it will get on my nerves If I watch the mkt from here continuously.

Well again I say, it's my analysis, dont confuse your reading with mine. Stick to what you believe. Good luck

Thanks
Gautham Shashangan

shashangan wrote:
Bought March @ 5833.60 & added one more @ 5821.10.

Bought 6100 March call @ 21.60
Bought 6200 April Call @ 28.70

Intra day players can buy @ 5821-15 with stop 5797 March.

Play Minimum, Play Cautious. Do your Analysis. Good luck.

Regards,
Gautham Shashangan


shashangan wrote:
Call on 21st Jan -Closing 12055.50

If I am not wrong 11895-860 area is the immediate target followed by 11510.

Upside 12280 - 12300 area should see some stiff resistance if it pulls back, possibly the area to short.

Thanks
Gautham Shashangan


shashangan wrote:
Call given on Feb 17th
Hello friends,

Just got back to Bangalore on Friday. Was away for almost a month. Could not track mkt closely, but was noticing the developments in between.

But anyway at last the correction down I have been expecting from 2 months has finally come.

Did a quick analysis.

I think the mkt can pull up a bit to correct the present down trend to 5965 region which could give some stiff resistance. If upside extends, Mkt may try around 6000 region max. Be prepared to short from around 5965 NF. When mkt gets there, I shall update the top in case I am watching the mkt. Once selling resumes mkt can target around 5745 region & 5720 if it extends a bit.

There can be intermediate pauses around 5820 & 5775.

Cautioning in Advance - Though little early to say, Be careful as mkt nears 5750 with any Short positions. People will turn bearish & give all justifications with budget for a big bear trend. The mkt will again resume uptrend to go on to break the previous highs. Min target would be 6165 by April from 5745 or a little below.


Just settling down from my trip. will take a few days. I will study the trend little more in detail slowly. Kindly do your analysis as well.
Play cautiously.

Thanks & Regards,
Gautham Shashangan


shashangan wrote:
Since I have been bearish I have been giving only sell calls continuously. Though I take risks, I was a bit tensed when mkt made the 6095 high, so held back myself to give any short calls.

For a moment with yesterday's close I was wondering will it run off. I dont mind my loss, but didnt' want to trap others who would blindly take the entry on my call. But anyway even though I was so bearish, I am holding only one mini myself, Though I thought will have 3-4 minis.

Anyway I am still not very convinced, so will wait for mkt to come down little more before I give my further view.

Thanks
Gautham Shashangan




shashangan wrote:
Mkt view on JAN 9 Though I want to restrain from giving my full view, I thought let me share it, in case I get it right, it could help you plan your trade.

Jan - If there is an up move to go back to highs, it should come from 5975 region. I feel even if it goes back it will see selling again. It may not break previous high mostly, even if it goes up. 6046-51 could be the highs & if extended it may go to 6065-70 max not beyond. There is a small possibility they can make one sharp move to confuse, not necessary, but we should be prepared, since they would nt want to give a easy ride.

If Bear resumes 5955 is the immediate target. Below 5942 stops will trigger to take it to 5905 around instantly. Though again early, guess it could possibly see some correction from here (5905 region) to 5960 min. & then a down turn to 5870.

It's an approximate picture. I could be wrong. Just taking a wild guess.

Medium term a weekly close or a sharp break below 5850 there will be heavy selling targeting 5795-75 region followed by 5700-5695 region if extended, where the trend can end.

Any sharp move or a weekly close near or above 6100 can change my view, but it's unlikely. Or any deviation from my view, i shall change this view give my new outlook in the coming days. I repeat it's a approximate picture, I can be wrong.

Good luck, Play cautiously.

Thanks
Gautham Shashangan
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shashangan
Green Belt
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #763   PostPosted: Wed Feb 27, 2013 12:36 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

There is a small possibility of a small intra day correction here form 5823+ area for March.

Gautham Shashangan
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shashangan
Green Belt
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #764   PostPosted: Wed Feb 27, 2013 1:24 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Gaadi ruk ruk ke jaayege. Lekin Upar.

Ek aur correction around 5835 se, slightly bigger than previous, but intraday. Say 15-20 points roughly from the high. It can hold for a little while i think, It's intra day, so not very sure. Overall up

Regards,
Gautham Shashangan
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shashangan
Green Belt
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Joined: 12 Jun 2007
Posts: 1321
Location: Bangalore

Post: #765   PostPosted: Wed Feb 27, 2013 1:46 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Intra day players can place an order to book their March Longs around 5842-46 region. Others can book partial profit to replace lower. There can be a small correction & mkt may hold the high for an hour at least. I could be wrong though

I have booked my 5833.60 buy @ 5842.90. I will replace it again a little lower if i get. Holding 5821.10 Long term.

Good luck
Gautham Shashangan

shashangan wrote:
Bought March @ 5833.60 & added one more @ 5821.10.

Bought 6100 March call @ 21.60
Bought 6200 April Call @ 28.70

Intra day players can buy @ 5821-15 with stop 5797 March.

Play Minimum, Play Cautious. Do your Analysis. Good luck.

Regards,
Gautham Shashangan


shashangan wrote:
Play Minimum. If you have buys near or below 5800 March, no need to panic. Have patience. Don't average. Keep 100-150 points buffer & forget it. Dont watch mkt if you tend to exit with small profit.

The target according to me is 6165 / 6200 by April 2013. If there is any deviation in the mkt & my view shall update.

I am confident, But do your analysis, since the profits you make from my calls would be yours so would be the losses.


Thanks & Good luck
Gautham Shashangan
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