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Nifty analysis - Welgro corner
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Author Nifty analysis - Welgro corner
welgro
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Post: #151   PostPosted: Fri Jul 04, 2014 10:21 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

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welgro
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Post: #152   PostPosted: Fri Jul 04, 2014 11:40 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

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welgro
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Post: #153   PostPosted: Fri Jul 04, 2014 12:31 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

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welgro
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Post: #154   PostPosted: Fri Jul 04, 2014 2:51 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

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welgro
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Post: #155   PostPosted: Fri Jul 04, 2014 3:24 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote



Nifty future exited at : 7786.60 ( loss : 84 points ) Nifty 7600 put exited at 78.50 ( loss : 31.50 )

Net loss : 115 points

Now holding 7700 call option ( carry this open position).
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welgro
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Post: #156   PostPosted: Fri Jul 04, 2014 4:28 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote



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welgro
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Post: #157   PostPosted: Fri Jul 04, 2014 5:45 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

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amitagg
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Post: #158   PostPosted: Fri Jul 04, 2014 6:46 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

welgro wrote:


Nifty future exited at : 7786.60 ( loss : 84 points ) Nifty 7600 put exited at 78.50 ( loss : 31.50 )

Net loss : 115 points

Now holding 7700 call option ( carry this open position).


when yesterdays 8000 call was showing bullish to you...and 8100 being written with added OI...why the positioal short trade.... 7625 is all up for positional longs....may be now 7760
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welgro
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Post: #159   PostPosted: Fri Jul 04, 2014 7:11 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

amitagg wrote:
welgro wrote:


Nifty future exited at : 7786.60 ( loss : 84 points ) Nifty 7600 put exited at 78.50 ( loss : 31.50 )

Net loss : 115 points

Now holding 7700 call option ( carry this open position).


when yesterdays 8000 call was showing bullish to you...and 8100 being written with added OI...why the positioal short trade.... 7625 is all up for positional longs....may be now 7760


i cannot get you..kindly ask your doubts when you watch today's my all posts.
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amitagg
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Post: #160   PostPosted: Fri Jul 04, 2014 7:23 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

welgro wrote:
amitagg wrote:
welgro wrote:


Nifty future exited at : 7786.60 ( loss : 84 points ) Nifty 7600 put exited at 78.50 ( loss : 31.50 )

Net loss : 115 points

Now holding 7700 call option ( carry this open position).


when yesterdays 8000 call was showing bullish to you...and 8100 being written with added OI...why the positioal short trade.... 7625 is all up for positional longs....may be now 7760


i cannot get you..kindly ask your doubts when you watch today's my all posts.


yes just want to understand whether option OI is really helping in planning the trade....was Option data suggesting bearishness today.....
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welgro
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Post: #161   PostPosted: Fri Jul 04, 2014 8:30 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

OI was not a primary tool for take decisions. It’s a big supportive tool with following charts movements.

Today morning 10:21 i have expected 7676 level is short entry (BOF)

I have already prepared this short entry in my morning post itself (7.02 Am)

Well I shorted at 12.20 as well updated my future entry positions.

After my short entry nifty future made low 7683.00 (12.20 pm)

But the problem is lower time frame second swing low breaks with very low volume 7676.75 (I has fixed "something wrong" about down move)

Then I have updated (14:51) if stop loss hit, hold 7000 call option for recover hedge loss.

{When you see this update you have a one big doubt. Welgro, once you noted something going wrong in your position, then why you not exit and continually holding short.}

After a long experience I mentally prepared once I fix my entry and stop loss, whatever been happen follow levels. (My trade ends with loss but I can analyse next movement without stress)
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mikky
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Post: #162   PostPosted: Fri Jul 04, 2014 9:30 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Appreciate the honesty and clear analysis. This is the sign of seasoned trader.
Rarely seen your trades hitting stop loss.

Keep it up Welgro!!!
welgro wrote:
OI was not a primary tool for take decisions. It’s a big supportive tool with following charts movements.

Today morning 10:21 i have expected 7676 level is short entry (BOF)

I have already prepared this short entry in my morning post itself (7.02 Am)

Well I shorted at 12.20 as well updated my future entry positions.

After my short entry nifty future made low 7683.00 (12.20 pm)

But the problem is lower time frame second swing low breaks with very low volume 7676.75 (I has fixed "something wrong" about down move)

Then I have updated (14:51) if stop loss hit, hold 7000 call option for recover hedge loss.

{When you see this update you have a one big doubt. Welgro, once you noted something going wrong in your position, then why you not exit and continually holding short.}

After a long experience I mentally prepared once I fix my entry and stop loss, whatever been happen follow levels. (My trade ends with loss but I can analyse next movement without stress)
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amitagg
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Post: #163   PostPosted: Fri Jul 04, 2014 10:21 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

absolutely nothing better......

i) also learned that u can manage this "following level" mentally when ur position is managed and not over leveraged and entries have higher RR......

ii) in your case, since you plan entry immediate the "breakout" [ some like RR Sir as people call...i joined late..]...specifally remarked in Jt's thread that only on retrace of breakout
mikky wrote:
ied to "breakout failure entry trade" also?

iii) .....infact greater losses are had in seeing a "breakout failure fail" then a "breakout fail"..........

[quote="mikky"]Appreciate the honesty and clear analysis. This is the sign of seasoned trader.
Rarely seen your trades hitting stop loss.

Keep it up Welgro!!!
welgro wrote:
OI was not a primary tool for take decisions. It’s a big supportive tool with following charts movements.

Today morning 10:21 i have expected 7676 level is short entry (BOF)

I have already prepared this short entry in my morning post itself (7.02 Am)

Well I shorted at 12.20 as well updated my future entry positions.

After my short entry nifty future made low 7683.00 (12.20 pm)

But the problem is lower time frame second swing low breaks with very low volume 7676.75 (I has fixed "something wrong" about down move)

Then I have updated (14:51) if stop loss hit, hold 7000 call option for recover hedge loss.

{When you see this update you have a one big doubt. Welgro, once you noted something going wrong in your position, then why you not exit and continually holding short.}

After a long experience I mentally prepared once I fix my entry and stop loss, whatever been happen follow levels. (My trade ends with loss but I can analyse next movement without stress)
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welgro
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Joined: 24 Sep 2012
Posts: 1784

Post: #164   PostPosted: Fri Jul 04, 2014 10:38 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

[quote="amitagg"]absolutely nothing better......

i) also learned that u can manage this "following level" mentally when ur position is managed and not over leveraged and entries have higher RR......

ii) in your case, since you plan entry immediate the "breakout" [ some like RR Sir as people call...i joined late..]...specifally remarked in Jt's thread that only on retrace of breakout
mikky wrote:
ied to "breakout failure entry trade" also?

iii) .....infact greater losses are had in seeing a "breakout failure fail" then a "breakout fail"..........



Still i am not get any clear message in your update. nospam
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welgro
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Joined: 24 Sep 2012
Posts: 1784

Post: #165   PostPosted: Sun Jul 06, 2014 8:49 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Nifty's intraday range on union budget day



Highest +ve in % : IN 2001 budget day range is 67.65 trading ended that day at 4.13% gain.

Highest -ve in % : In 2009 budget day range is 346.10 trading ended that day at -6.21%.
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