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Nifty Futures only - AA |
EssJay White Belt
Joined: 05 Sep 2012 Posts: 270
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Post: #61 Posted: Mon Feb 08, 2016 8:56 am Post subject: |
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[quote="amitagg"]7616 buy did not trigger (7606 high)
Which month's futures are these? |
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amitagg Black Belt
Joined: 01 Oct 2013 Posts: 4559
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Post: #62 Posted: Mon Feb 08, 2016 5:06 pm Post subject: |
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Only spot levels posted... Don't go by thread name...
Not a single losing week ( in system) since start of thread but trades won't be here always in current "corrective" mode nifty is "since 9100"
General comments
Posted yesterday also no trade as many would have whipsawed today as well
7250 should hold this month - I have sold 7300 put today at end
Gann price time square has happened already...... Nifty cannot be sideways now if breaks 7250...... 6800 would come in no time... Forgetting 7100 etc or any other level therefore.......irrespective of any harmonic target.....
As mentioned elsewhere current long term C wave ended 5119....
If 7200 goes, then new C shall be formed little lower. Followed by ferocious bull in terms of price
BUT time always more important than price
So for that can't say STILL whether grind will continue for 2-3 years or this would be the end......... |
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AMBY Yellow Belt
Joined: 05 Sep 2014 Posts: 503
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Post: #63 Posted: Tue Feb 09, 2016 8:55 am Post subject: |
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thanks. |
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amitagg Black Belt
Joined: 01 Oct 2013 Posts: 4559
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Post: #64 Posted: Sat Feb 13, 2016 8:24 pm Post subject: |
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amitagg wrote: | Only spot levels posted... Don't go by thread name...
Not a single losing week ( in system) since start of thread but trades won't be here always in current "corrective" mode nifty is "since 9100"
General comments
Posted yesterday also no trade as many would have whipsawed today as well
7250 should hold this month - I have sold 7300 put today at end
Gann price time square has happened already...... Nifty cannot be sideways now if breaks 7250...... 6800 would come in no time... Forgetting 7100 etc or any other level therefore.......irrespective of any harmonic target.....
As mentioned elsewhere current long term C wave ended 5119....
If 7200 goes, then new C shall be formed little lower. Followed by ferocious bull in terms of price
BUT time always more important than price
So for that can't say STILL whether grind will continue for 2-3 years or this would be the end......... |
Below 7250 out of 450 points 375 points came in no time.......in analysis
Now since bottom shall Be ABOVE 6400 ...... It can either consolidate IN 6400-6875 OR become bull ONLY after 7400 ( in longer time frames)
So stop for weekly or daily shorts when it would get bullish ONLY is 7120 NS
Below that can play BEAR easily.... Despite any spikes up vertical or otherwise |
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amitagg Black Belt
Joined: 01 Oct 2013 Posts: 4559
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Post: #65 Posted: Sat Feb 13, 2016 8:40 pm Post subject: |
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While it is better to trade Option on sell side in week befor expiry, NS levels are below
WEEK 12 : trade 6 below ( current strike rate 5/5)
Short 7026/7053
stop 7110 ( system) or 7075 ( analysis)
Target 6996 (analysis) / 6981 (system) / 6951 (system)
Result calc to be based on future trades posted above
( or selling feb 6900 call 168 , stop 198...... Remember to Reenter below 192 if SL hits goes to and above 213 ) target 139/ 123/ 108... It opens and sustains above 168 for first 15 mins no trade till 163 goes. Trade 3 lots.
This is level based on closings. Not for trade but analysis since cannot update live based on changes in IVs etc.... Expect fall in IVs for next two weeks. |
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amitagg Black Belt
Joined: 01 Oct 2013 Posts: 4559
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Post: #66 Posted: Fri Feb 19, 2016 8:12 pm Post subject: |
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It was most interesting week. Shall update later.
System worked in itself
- trade posted below did not trigger on first instance since moved above stop level on opening
- reversal trade did meet target on bull side ( did not trade as mentioned earlier in thread as well since want perfection in such system and max probability ratio given limited RR
- sell trigger in. Mid week worked and gave the first target 6981 ( did not trade since the bull reversal had kicked and it was coming back)
- again buy reversal would have worked for same level or point target ( but did not trade)
So watch mode.
Considering the above while strictly one trade posted gave the results not adding any points on conservative basis |
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yousaidit White Belt
Joined: 08 Jan 2015 Posts: 42
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Post: #67 Posted: Sat Feb 20, 2016 12:27 am Post subject: |
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amit pls respond to the pm i sent u |
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amitagg Black Belt
Joined: 01 Oct 2013 Posts: 4559
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Post: #68 Posted: Sun Feb 21, 2016 7:13 pm Post subject: |
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Week 13: trade 6 (5/5)
Buy NS 7180 / 7165 stop 7125 target 7225 / 7250
Rgs |
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amitagg Black Belt
Joined: 01 Oct 2013 Posts: 4559
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Post: #69 Posted: Thu Feb 25, 2016 11:01 am Post subject: |
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amitagg wrote: | Week 13: trade 6 (5/5)
Buy NS 7180 / 7165 stop 7125 target 7225 / 7250
Rgs |
Long SL hit
( reversal target hit) - did not trade |
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amitagg Black Belt
Joined: 01 Oct 2013 Posts: 4559
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Post: #70 Posted: Sat Mar 05, 2016 5:32 pm Post subject: |
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Need to update
Week 13: 5/6 first loss
Week 14 : shall post tomorrow |
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amitagg Black Belt
Joined: 01 Oct 2013 Posts: 4559
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Post: #71 Posted: Mon Mar 07, 2016 1:46 pm Post subject: |
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NS likely to top out at 7600 levels
Or move to 7740-7840
Then fall to 7250 ...... Don't know whether 7740/7840 shall be hit but 7250 should be hit again
Cmp 7500
On monthly forewarning that we may have sideways ranges - NOTE this comment for next few months ..... Between 6400-8100 and not moving beyond IT for many many months
This is based on longer trendline violation and longer action between no of months in uptrend, downtrend - witnessed already and so now sideways pending |
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AMBY Yellow Belt
Joined: 05 Sep 2014 Posts: 503
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Post: #72 Posted: Mon Mar 07, 2016 3:50 pm Post subject: |
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Thanks, |
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amitagg Black Belt
Joined: 01 Oct 2013 Posts: 4559
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Post: #73 Posted: Sun Apr 10, 2016 10:16 pm Post subject: |
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Sell 7585 stop 7645 target 7525 NS ( this is not a recommendation to trade)
Early reversal on stopping shorts at 7630/7645
Otherwise sell most systems
Waiting for one more to give a sell to confirmation
Break below 7510 to target 7405 straight ( no false breakdown expected ) if that happens |
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amitagg Black Belt
Joined: 01 Oct 2013 Posts: 4559
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Post: #74 Posted: Mon Apr 11, 2016 3:42 pm Post subject: |
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amitagg wrote: | Sell 7585 stop 7645 target 7525 NS ( this is not a recommendation to trade)
Early reversal on stopping shorts at 7630/7645
Otherwise sell most systems
Waiting for one more to give a sell to confirmation
Break below 7510 to target 7405 straight ( no false breakdown expected ) if that happens |
I have been using this with a filter which worked today
( have not been taking SAR trades although that also seems to work)
Also 7510 was protected |
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amitagg Black Belt
Joined: 01 Oct 2013 Posts: 4559
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Post: #75 Posted: Sun Apr 17, 2016 11:27 pm Post subject: |
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Time price square date on 11/16/27 april and would expect top here in 7900-8000 with max 8100 ( 30 filter)
Range of 9119 to 6825 squared with date
8600 down wave squared
One more method
Trade on price confirmation |
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