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Nifty Investments
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Author Nifty Investments
apka
Black Belt
Black Belt


Joined: 13 Dec 2011
Posts: 6137

Post: #346   PostPosted: Sat Apr 28, 2018 1:29 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

1) Shoppers Stop Limited cmp 575-580... trgt 640-650 in 1-2 months.

2) Bank of Maharashtra cmp 13-14.... 2 possible targets immediate medium term 17-18... If things get better keep holding for long term. Not expecting it to go below 10-11.

Thesis on Bank of Maharashtra:

The immediate target is based on technicals. It's highly oversold and has been building good positive divergence that can give upto 20% upside atleast.

I found it to be the only PSU bank nearing single digits and has been taking a beating since 2010 from near 90s levels. It has broken it's 2009-2009 lows as well which was near 20.

It's one of the banks placed under PCA by RBI for having high no of NPAs. It's already beaten from 40s in the recent weeks to to near 12-13 levels and is trading at less than 50% of it's price to book value. Board is going to consider qrtly results on May 4 and also dividend. It hasn't paid any divided since 2015. So it's likely things may improve for it. If not then RBI's resolution would be to have it merged with some other bank.

Remembering how Bank of Rajasthan when merged with ICICI returned 2-3 times of its trading price before the merger happened.

All in all the scope of loss in this seems limited and that's why I would be taking a position in this.

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Disclaimer: Anything posted by me related to the stocks / indices are just my personal views and observations that are open for discussion. They maybe what I have traded, but neither of them are a recommendation nor a tip nor an advice. So if anyone feels enticed, get an opinion from registered SEBI analyst to make your trading decisions.
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apka
Black Belt
Black Belt


Joined: 13 Dec 2011
Posts: 6137

Post: #347   PostPosted: Mon Apr 30, 2018 9:40 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

SBIN cmp 247..... Will cross 270 in May / June series.... I don't see it breaking 230. But if it does then last stop 222.

PSU Banks shall start reversing and consolidating from this series I feel.

--------------------------------------------------
Disclaimer: Anything posted by me related to the stocks / indices are just my personal views and observations that are open for discussion. They maybe what I have traded, but neither of them are a recommendation nor a tip nor an advice. So if anyone feels enticed, get an opinion from registered SEBI analyst to make your trading decisions.
--------------------------------------------------
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apka
Black Belt
Black Belt


Joined: 13 Dec 2011
Posts: 6137

Post: #348   PostPosted: Mon Apr 30, 2018 9:43 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Kotak Bank cmp 1205.... It has a good resistence at 1230-35.. and it will declare results today... Just for intraday one can short near (if it comes) 1230 with small SL for trgt 10-15 points.

--------------------------------------------------
Disclaimer: Anything posted by me related to the stocks / indices are just my personal views and observations that are open for discussion. They maybe what I have traded, but neither of them are a recommendation nor a tip nor an advice. So if anyone feels enticed, get an opinion from registered SEBI analyst to make your trading decisions.
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apka
Black Belt
Black Belt


Joined: 13 Dec 2011
Posts: 6137

Post: #349   PostPosted: Wed May 02, 2018 10:22 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

If Banknifty spot breaks 25470 then expecting 200 point fall to 25270.

--------------------------------------------------
Disclaimer: Anything posted by me related to the stocks / indices are just my personal views and observations that are open for discussion. They maybe what I have traded, but neither of them are a recommendation nor a tip nor an advice. So if anyone feels enticed, get an opinion from registered SEBI analyst to make your trading decisions.
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ca.krishna
White Belt
White Belt


Joined: 17 Sep 2013
Posts: 158

Post: #350   PostPosted: Fri May 04, 2018 2:30 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Hi Apka Ji,

VIX is again rising and come above 13...seems may series is going to be volatile unlike April.

Regards,
Krishna
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apka
Black Belt
Black Belt


Joined: 13 Dec 2011
Posts: 6137

Post: #351   PostPosted: Fri May 04, 2018 2:32 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

ca.krishna wrote:
Hi Apka Ji,

VIX is again rising and come above 13...seems may series is going to be volatile unlike April.

Regards,
Krishna


Sure, because Karanataka elections are in May. Post this event, VIX will again settle.. anyway close to 13 is also acceptable.
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apka
Black Belt
Black Belt


Joined: 13 Dec 2011
Posts: 6137

Post: #352   PostPosted: Fri May 04, 2018 2:34 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

apka wrote:
Bank of Maharashtra cmp 13-14.... 2 possible targets immediate medium term 17-18... If things get better keep holding for long term. Not expecting it to go below 10-11.

Thesis on Bank of Maharashtra:

The immediate target is based on technicals. It's highly oversold and has been building good positive divergence that can give upto 20% upside atleast.

I found it to be the only PSU bank nearing single digits and has been taking a beating since 2010 from near 90s levels. It has broken it's 2009-2009 lows as well which was near 20.

It's one of the banks placed under PCA by RBI for having high no of NPAs. It's already beaten from 40s in the recent weeks to to near 12-13 levels and is trading at less than 50% of it's price to book value. Board is going to consider qrtly results on May 4 and also dividend. It hasn't paid any divided since 2015. So it's likely things may improve for it. If not then RBI's resolution would be to have it merged with some other bank.

Remembering how Bank of Rajasthan when merged with ICICI returned 2-3 times of its trading price before the merger happened.

All in all the scope of loss in this seems limited and that's why I would be taking a position in this.



High today crossed 15. Results are much better than earlier. Loss reduced by a significant percentage.

--------------------------------------------------
Disclaimer: Anything posted by me related to the stocks / indices are just my personal views and observations that are open for discussion. They maybe what I have traded, but neither of them are a recommendation nor a tip nor an advice. So if anyone feels enticed, get an opinion from registered SEBI analyst to make your trading decisions.
--------------------------------------------------
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ca.krishna
White Belt
White Belt


Joined: 17 Sep 2013
Posts: 158

Post: #353   PostPosted: Fri May 04, 2018 2:34 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

apka wrote:
ca.krishna wrote:
Hi Apka Ji,

VIX is again rising and come above 13...seems may series is going to be volatile unlike April.

Regards,
Krishna


Sure, because Karanataka elections are in May. Post this event, VIX will again settle.. anyway close to 13 is also acceptable.


Sahi Hai Very Happy
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ca.krishna
White Belt
White Belt


Joined: 17 Sep 2013
Posts: 158

Post: #354   PostPosted: Fri May 04, 2018 3:16 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Hi Apkaji,

Request your quick view on nifty and bank nifty for next week. I am seeing a -WW on 15 minutes, hourly and 4 hours chart on bank nifty, is it correct or not I don't know.

Regards,
Krishna
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apka
Black Belt
Black Belt


Joined: 13 Dec 2011
Posts: 6137

Post: #355   PostPosted: Fri May 04, 2018 8:58 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Next week I'm expecting 26150 and in May or June series 26550-650
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apka
Black Belt
Black Belt


Joined: 13 Dec 2011
Posts: 6137

Post: #356   PostPosted: Fri May 04, 2018 10:37 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

ca.krishna wrote:
Hi Apkaji,

Request your quick view on nifty and bank nifty for next week. I am seeing a -WW on 15 minutes, hourly and 4 hours chart on bank nifty, is it correct or not I don't know.

Regards,
Krishna


I don't see it
Post your chart.
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ca.krishna
White Belt
White Belt


Joined: 17 Sep 2013
Posts: 158

Post: #357   PostPosted: Sat May 05, 2018 10:54 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Apka Ji,

Please see the attachment and correct me if i am wrong

Regards,
Krishna
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apka
Black Belt
Black Belt


Joined: 13 Dec 2011
Posts: 6137

Post: #358   PostPosted: Sat May 05, 2018 11:03 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

seems valid
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acharyams
Yellow Belt
Yellow Belt


Joined: 04 Jul 2010
Posts: 552

Post: #359   PostPosted: Sat May 05, 2018 1:40 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Shall I buy WEBELSOLAR @ cmp for long term investment?
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apka
Black Belt
Black Belt


Joined: 13 Dec 2011
Posts: 6137

Post: #360   PostPosted: Sat May 05, 2018 1:47 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

What all you know about it first share then I'll do my reading and share what I think.
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