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Nifty View - April 2013
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Author Nifty View - April 2013
vinay28
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Post: #421   PostPosted: Fri Apr 12, 2013 1:32 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

chandrujimrc wrote:
Dear vinay, mkt 80 points down but India VIX flat?


chandru, vix made a high about 17.26 since nifty opened gap down. It is falling since then and cmp is about 16.89. But pcr was up at 0.93 eod yesterday as compared to 0.88/0.83 in last two days. Hence the big fall. If vix and pcr fall intraday, I feel nifty will recover from here as it has already gone over 90 below yesterday's high.
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apka
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Post: #422   PostPosted: Fri Apr 12, 2013 1:41 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay28 wrote:
apka, Infy May at discount to Infy April - indicating further fall in Infosys.

But I am long and I added a bit more now. I won't rule out 5605NF today but 5575NF looks more likely. NS must close above 5551 today, preferably much more. for today 5494 is SL I feel.


yes me too watching that level. spot bounced there today (showing as low) which was previous lowest close level (9/4/2013).

yesterday calls had shedded in good numbers 10 lakh shares each in 5700ce and 5800ce. today 5600ce has added back 15 lakh shares for now and puts are shedding OI. there is no clarity still. girl
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vinay28
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Post: #423   PostPosted: Fri Apr 12, 2013 1:47 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

apka wrote:
vinay28 wrote:
apka, Infy May at discount to Infy April - indicating further fall in Infosys.

But I am long and I added a bit more now. I won't rule out 5605NF today but 5575NF looks more likely. NS must close above 5551 today, preferably much more. for today 5494 is SL I feel.


yes me too watching that level. spot bounced there today (showing as low) which was previous lowest close level (9/4/2013).

yesterday calls had shedded in good numbers 10 lakh shares each in 5700ce and 5800ce. today 5600ce has added back 15 lakh shares for now and puts are shedding OI. there is no clarity still. girl


it bounced the moment I posted. Smile
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vinay28
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Post: #424   PostPosted: Fri Apr 12, 2013 2:16 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay28 wrote:
chandrujimrc wrote:
Dear vinay, mkt 80 points down but India VIX flat?


chandru, vix made a high about 17.26 since nifty opened gap down. It is falling since then and cmp is about 16.89. But pcr was up at 0.93 eod yesterday as compared to 0.88/0.83 in last two days. Hence the big fall. If vix and pcr fall intraday, I feel nifty will recover from here as it has already gone over 90 below yesterday's high.


vix new low 16.40
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chandrujimrc
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Post: #425   PostPosted: Fri Apr 12, 2013 2:26 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Thank you vinay.
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apka
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Post: #426   PostPosted: Fri Apr 12, 2013 2:33 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay28 wrote:
vix new low 16.40


vinay, this is the only thing that's a bit of bother to me for continuing upside ahead even as per your long term daily chart. VIX has risen to complete it's chart setup yet...
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vinay28
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Post: #427   PostPosted: Fri Apr 12, 2013 2:43 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

apka wrote:
vinay28 wrote:
vix new low 16.40


vinay, this is the only thing that's a bit of bother to me for continuing upside ahead even as per your long term daily chart. VIX has risen to complete it's chart setup yet...


which one? the one with +WW? as long as 17.84 is not broken, I feel no need to worry. However, it is in an uptrend. Note that nifty CAN go up with increasing vix in initial stages, often upto 20. It's just that intraday moves are violent and hence best to go by "daily close" based SLs.

It made another low of 16.33 and is falling.
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apka
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Post: #428   PostPosted: Fri Apr 12, 2013 2:47 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay28 wrote:
apka wrote:
vinay28 wrote:
vix new low 16.40


vinay, this is the only thing that's a bit of bother to me for continuing upside ahead even as per your long term daily chart. VIX has risen to complete it's chart setup yet...


which one? the one with +WW? as long as 17.84 is not broken, I feel no need to worry. However, it is in an uptrend. Note that nifty CAN go up with increasing vix in initial stages, often upto 20. It's just that intraday moves are violent and hence best to go by "daily close" based SLs.

It made another low of 16.33 and is falling.


ok. gotcha.

typo: i meant VIX hasn't Smile
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apka
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Post: #429   PostPosted: Fri Apr 12, 2013 2:49 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

the damn typos always happen in the words where meanings can change
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skd2012
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Post: #430   PostPosted: Fri Apr 12, 2013 2:50 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

When NF tried to go up for a few days....global markets has started showing red and again CE is adding OI today....someday it will do surprise short vering ......it may not be today...
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vinay28
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Post: #431   PostPosted: Fri Apr 12, 2013 2:52 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

apka wrote:
the damn typos always happen in the words where meanings can change


It was infy which pushed nifty down and vix too rose and can go to 16.80 before hopefully reacting.
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apka
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Post: #432   PostPosted: Fri Apr 12, 2013 3:00 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay28 wrote:
apka wrote:
the damn typos always happen in the words where meanings can change


It was infy which pushed nifty down and vix too rose and can go to 16.80 before hopefully reacting.


CNX IT now -840 points... -12% .. this is just 24 .. its a slap in the face of INFY being a investors stock.
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vinay28
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Post: #433   PostPosted: Fri Apr 12, 2013 3:05 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

apka wrote:
vinay28 wrote:
apka wrote:
the damn typos always happen in the words where meanings can change


It was infy which pushed nifty down and vix too rose and can go to 16.80 before hopefully reacting.


CNX IT now -840 points... -12% .. this is just 24 .. its a slap in the face of INFY being a investors stock.


I had posted a year ago that it was shibulal who looks useless as a leader to me and should be sacked. Their credibility is at rock bottom.
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apka
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Post: #434   PostPosted: Fri Apr 12, 2013 3:14 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay28 wrote:
apka wrote:
CNX IT now -840 points... -12% .. this is just 24 .. its a slap in the face of INFY being a investors stock.


I had posted a year ago that it was shibulal who looks useless as a leader to me and should be sacked. Their credibility is at rock bottom.


exactly what i wanted to discuss.

its been top stock and company for years so its salvaging these brutal falls somehow. any other stock would have become penny by now.

but how many more such quarters can it keep surviving? already its become dull to trade inbetween quarters unlike earlier as if regular trading in it has lost the charm..
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vinay28
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Post: #435   PostPosted: Fri Apr 12, 2013 3:18 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

daily and weekly candles could be doji and/or inverted hammer
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