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Nifty View - August Series 2013
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Author Nifty View - August Series 2013
apka
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Post: #136   PostPosted: Mon Aug 05, 2013 9:51 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

LOL 24 24
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pkholla
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Post: #137   PostPosted: Tue Aug 06, 2013 9:28 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay28 wrote:
Nifty's leg & foot pattern. Will the leg lift or will the foot slip?

Leg will move slightly sideways and up before peeing like a dog all over the place!
WOW. I didnt know there are so many patterns in NF trading. My sincere thanks to Chennai Babu and Master Vinay for opening my eyes to these wondrous sights!
I will post an elephant pattern I have discovered in recent fall of NF from 6000 level!
Prakash Holla


Last edited by pkholla on Tue Aug 06, 2013 10:55 am; edited 1 time in total
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apka
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Post: #138   PostPosted: Tue Aug 06, 2013 9:46 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

premium in PUT option is down despite VIX at above 21.

5600pe high was 93.00 when NF hit 5681 low on Friday 2-Aug-2013.

Today 5600pe high is 90.80 when NF hit 5659.25 low.
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vinay28
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Post: #139   PostPosted: Tue Aug 06, 2013 10:08 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

apka wrote:
premium in PUT option is down despite VIX at above 21.

5600pe high was 93.00 when NF hit 5681 low on Friday 2-Aug-2013.

Today 5600pe high is 90.80 when NF hit 5659.25 low.


apka, watch out for vix if it crosses 21.42 to begin with and then 21.62 and 22.11. It could be disaster then.
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Andre
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Post: #140   PostPosted: Tue Aug 06, 2013 10:09 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Isn't it a bit simplistic Apka....to compare put or call price over a period of time...because we all know in order to determine the price of option, time to expiry plays a big role...which obviously always decreases ....4 days after and 40-50 points fall may not be conclusive enough....
your views please...Apka.....

Regards,



apka wrote:
premium in PUT option is down despite VIX at above 21.

5600pe high was 93.00 when NF hit 5681 low on Friday 2-Aug-2013.

Today 5600pe high is 90.80 when NF hit 5659.25 low.
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apka
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Post: #141   PostPosted: Tue Aug 06, 2013 10:13 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Andre wrote:
Isn't it a bit simplistic Apka....to compare put or call price over a period of time...because we all know in order to determine the price of option, time to expiry plays a big role...which obviously always decreases ....4 days after and 40-50 points fall may not be conclusive enough....
your views please...Apka.....

Regards,



apka wrote:
premium in PUT option is down despite VIX at above 21.

5600pe high was 93.00 when NF hit 5681 low on Friday 2-Aug-2013.

Today 5600pe high is 90.80 when NF hit 5659.25 low.


It is not enough to consider it yet, but to observe yes. Because the difference is VIX is high and rising, we are at the beginning of a series with 18 days to go and we are making new lows everyday. Against it, the above has occurred. Therefore, notable.
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vinay28
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Post: #142   PostPosted: Tue Aug 06, 2013 10:17 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

apka wrote:
Andre wrote:
Isn't it a bit simplistic Apka....to compare put or call price over a period of time...because we all know in order to determine the price of option, time to expiry plays a big role...which obviously always decreases ....4 days after and 40-50 points fall may not be conclusive enough....
your views please...Apka.....

Regards,



apka wrote:
premium in PUT option is down despite VIX at above 21.

5600pe high was 93.00 when NF hit 5681 low on Friday 2-Aug-2013.

Today 5600pe high is 90.80 when NF hit 5659.25 low.


It is not enough to consider it yet, but to observe yes. Because the difference is VIX is high and rising, we are at the beginning of a series with 18 days to go and we are making new lows everyday. Against it, the above has occurred. Therefore, notable.


yes it is indeed notable. may be bottom is near. but vix made a high of 21.40. Shocked
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pkholla
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Post: #143   PostPosted: Tue Aug 06, 2013 10:52 am    Post subject: elephant pattern Reply with quote

I have discovered amazing similarities in the NF chart attached AND the elephant foto. Where will it bottom out? Experts like Apka, rk, vinay please clarify!
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vinay28
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Post: #144   PostPosted: Tue Aug 06, 2013 10:55 am    Post subject: Re: elephant pattern Reply with quote

pkholla wrote:
I have discovered amazing similarities in the NF chart attached AND the elephant foto. Where will it bottom out? Experts like Apka, rk, vinay please clarify!


today may be bottom if the dung beetles arrive. 24 24
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vinay28
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Post: #145   PostPosted: Tue Aug 06, 2013 10:56 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay28 wrote:
apka, watch out for vix if it crosses 21.42 to begin with and then 21.62 and 22.11. It could be disaster then.


hopefully double top at 21.42.
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vinay28
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Post: #146   PostPosted: Tue Aug 06, 2013 11:09 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay28 wrote:
vinay28 wrote:
apka, watch out for vix if it crosses 21.42 to begin with and then 21.62 and 22.11. It could be disaster then.


hopefully double top at 21.42.


crossed above 21.42. not good.
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vinay28
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Post: #147   PostPosted: Tue Aug 06, 2013 12:38 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay28 wrote:
vinay28 wrote:
vinay28 wrote:
apka, watch out for vix if it crosses 21.42 to begin with and then 21.62 and 22.11. It could be disaster then.


hopefully double top at 21.42.


crossed above 21.42. not good.


crossed 21.62 also. high 21.78.
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apka
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Post: #148   PostPosted: Tue Aug 06, 2013 2:08 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

added partly more sept 6000ce @ 39.50
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vinay28
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Post: #149   PostPosted: Tue Aug 06, 2013 2:19 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay28 wrote:
vinay28 wrote:
vinay28 wrote:
vinay28 wrote:
apka, watch out for vix if it crosses 21.42 to begin with and then 21.62 and 22.11. It could be disaster then.


hopefully double top at 21.42.


crossed above 21.42. not good.


crossed 21.62 also. high 21.78.


52 week I think. looks like 5450 will come fast unless daily close above 5570.
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vinay28
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Post: #150   PostPosted: Tue Aug 06, 2013 2:36 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

NS has fallen >11% from high. Normally it should reverse after such falls. hence short sellers should keep a good TSL.
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