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Nifty View - August Series 2013 |
apka Black Belt
Joined: 13 Dec 2011 Posts: 6137
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Post: #136 Posted: Mon Aug 05, 2013 9:51 pm Post subject: |
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LOL |
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pkholla Black Belt
Joined: 04 Nov 2010 Posts: 2890
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Post: #137 Posted: Tue Aug 06, 2013 9:28 am Post subject: |
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vinay28 wrote: | Nifty's leg & foot pattern. Will the leg lift or will the foot slip? |
Leg will move slightly sideways and up before peeing like a dog all over the place!
WOW. I didnt know there are so many patterns in NF trading. My sincere thanks to Chennai Babu and Master Vinay for opening my eyes to these wondrous sights!
I will post an elephant pattern I have discovered in recent fall of NF from 6000 level!
Prakash Holla
Last edited by pkholla on Tue Aug 06, 2013 10:55 am; edited 1 time in total |
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apka Black Belt
Joined: 13 Dec 2011 Posts: 6137
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Post: #138 Posted: Tue Aug 06, 2013 9:46 am Post subject: |
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premium in PUT option is down despite VIX at above 21.
5600pe high was 93.00 when NF hit 5681 low on Friday 2-Aug-2013.
Today 5600pe high is 90.80 when NF hit 5659.25 low. |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #139 Posted: Tue Aug 06, 2013 10:08 am Post subject: |
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apka wrote: | premium in PUT option is down despite VIX at above 21.
5600pe high was 93.00 when NF hit 5681 low on Friday 2-Aug-2013.
Today 5600pe high is 90.80 when NF hit 5659.25 low. |
apka, watch out for vix if it crosses 21.42 to begin with and then 21.62 and 22.11. It could be disaster then. |
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Andre White Belt
Joined: 06 Jun 2012 Posts: 220
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Post: #140 Posted: Tue Aug 06, 2013 10:09 am Post subject: |
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Isn't it a bit simplistic Apka....to compare put or call price over a period of time...because we all know in order to determine the price of option, time to expiry plays a big role...which obviously always decreases ....4 days after and 40-50 points fall may not be conclusive enough....
your views please...Apka.....
Regards,
apka wrote: | premium in PUT option is down despite VIX at above 21.
5600pe high was 93.00 when NF hit 5681 low on Friday 2-Aug-2013.
Today 5600pe high is 90.80 when NF hit 5659.25 low. |
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apka Black Belt
Joined: 13 Dec 2011 Posts: 6137
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Post: #141 Posted: Tue Aug 06, 2013 10:13 am Post subject: |
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Andre wrote: | Isn't it a bit simplistic Apka....to compare put or call price over a period of time...because we all know in order to determine the price of option, time to expiry plays a big role...which obviously always decreases ....4 days after and 40-50 points fall may not be conclusive enough....
your views please...Apka.....
Regards,
apka wrote: | premium in PUT option is down despite VIX at above 21.
5600pe high was 93.00 when NF hit 5681 low on Friday 2-Aug-2013.
Today 5600pe high is 90.80 when NF hit 5659.25 low. |
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It is not enough to consider it yet, but to observe yes. Because the difference is VIX is high and rising, we are at the beginning of a series with 18 days to go and we are making new lows everyday. Against it, the above has occurred. Therefore, notable. |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #142 Posted: Tue Aug 06, 2013 10:17 am Post subject: |
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apka wrote: | Andre wrote: | Isn't it a bit simplistic Apka....to compare put or call price over a period of time...because we all know in order to determine the price of option, time to expiry plays a big role...which obviously always decreases ....4 days after and 40-50 points fall may not be conclusive enough....
your views please...Apka.....
Regards,
apka wrote: | premium in PUT option is down despite VIX at above 21.
5600pe high was 93.00 when NF hit 5681 low on Friday 2-Aug-2013.
Today 5600pe high is 90.80 when NF hit 5659.25 low. |
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It is not enough to consider it yet, but to observe yes. Because the difference is VIX is high and rising, we are at the beginning of a series with 18 days to go and we are making new lows everyday. Against it, the above has occurred. Therefore, notable. |
yes it is indeed notable. may be bottom is near. but vix made a high of 21.40. |
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pkholla Black Belt
Joined: 04 Nov 2010 Posts: 2890
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Post: #143 Posted: Tue Aug 06, 2013 10:52 am Post subject: elephant pattern |
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I have discovered amazing similarities in the NF chart attached AND the elephant foto. Where will it bottom out? Experts like Apka, rk, vinay please clarify! |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #144 Posted: Tue Aug 06, 2013 10:55 am Post subject: Re: elephant pattern |
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pkholla wrote: | I have discovered amazing similarities in the NF chart attached AND the elephant foto. Where will it bottom out? Experts like Apka, rk, vinay please clarify! |
today may be bottom if the dung beetles arrive. |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #145 Posted: Tue Aug 06, 2013 10:56 am Post subject: |
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vinay28 wrote: | apka, watch out for vix if it crosses 21.42 to begin with and then 21.62 and 22.11. It could be disaster then. |
hopefully double top at 21.42. |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #146 Posted: Tue Aug 06, 2013 11:09 am Post subject: |
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vinay28 wrote: | vinay28 wrote: | apka, watch out for vix if it crosses 21.42 to begin with and then 21.62 and 22.11. It could be disaster then. |
hopefully double top at 21.42. |
crossed above 21.42. not good. |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #147 Posted: Tue Aug 06, 2013 12:38 pm Post subject: |
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vinay28 wrote: | vinay28 wrote: | vinay28 wrote: | apka, watch out for vix if it crosses 21.42 to begin with and then 21.62 and 22.11. It could be disaster then. |
hopefully double top at 21.42. |
crossed above 21.42. not good. |
crossed 21.62 also. high 21.78. |
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apka Black Belt
Joined: 13 Dec 2011 Posts: 6137
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Post: #148 Posted: Tue Aug 06, 2013 2:08 pm Post subject: |
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added partly more sept 6000ce @ 39.50 |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #149 Posted: Tue Aug 06, 2013 2:19 pm Post subject: |
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vinay28 wrote: | vinay28 wrote: | vinay28 wrote: | vinay28 wrote: | apka, watch out for vix if it crosses 21.42 to begin with and then 21.62 and 22.11. It could be disaster then. |
hopefully double top at 21.42. |
crossed above 21.42. not good. |
crossed 21.62 also. high 21.78. |
52 week I think. looks like 5450 will come fast unless daily close above 5570. |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #150 Posted: Tue Aug 06, 2013 2:36 pm Post subject: |
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NS has fallen >11% from high. Normally it should reverse after such falls. hence short sellers should keep a good TSL. |
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