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Nifty View - August Series 2013
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Author Nifty View - August Series 2013
vinay28
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Joined: 24 Dec 2010
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Post: #406   PostPosted: Mon Aug 19, 2013 2:28 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Hoping for a sharp upmove now.
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vinay28
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Post: #407   PostPosted: Mon Aug 19, 2013 2:34 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I will watch how ril moves from here on.
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ragarwal
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Joined: 16 Nov 2008
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Post: #408   PostPosted: Mon Aug 19, 2013 2:42 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

grt observation vinay 28.hopefully the market moves on frm here. Smile 2guns 2guns 2guns
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vinay28
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Post: #409   PostPosted: Mon Aug 19, 2013 2:44 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

ragarwal wrote:
grt observation vinay 28.hopefully the market moves on frm here. Smile 2guns 2guns 2guns


danke! Smile
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apka
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Post: #410   PostPosted: Mon Aug 19, 2013 3:09 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay28 wrote:
Ratio of indiavix to cboevix went way above 1.5. That is normally a sign of bottoming out. Let's see.


it's time to have new ratios, usdinr will fudge up everyone's earnings and balance sheets.
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vinay28
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Post: #411   PostPosted: Mon Aug 19, 2013 3:13 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

apka wrote:
vinay28 wrote:
Ratio of indiavix to cboevix went way above 1.5. That is normally a sign of bottoming out. Let's see.


it's time to have new ratios, usdinr will fudge up everyone's earnings and balance sheets.


it's a ratio of two vix, apka. nothing to do with $
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apka
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Post: #412   PostPosted: Mon Aug 19, 2013 3:20 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay28 wrote:
apka wrote:
vinay28 wrote:
Ratio of indiavix to cboevix went way above 1.5. That is normally a sign of bottoming out. Let's see.


it's time to have new ratios, usdinr will fudge up everyone's earnings and balance sheets.


it's a ratio of two vix, apka. nothing to do with $


what i meant was, earlier movements were linked with global falls and rise... and underlying gdp, $ rate, etc. were good. now everything is becoming adverse for indian economy and companies. so what worked earlier may actually not right now as we are delinked from global market movement right now.
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apka
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Post: #413   PostPosted: Mon Aug 19, 2013 3:32 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Vinay, capitulation level was near 5432 last time in April... if you come to know for this time...
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saurabhkurichh
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Post: #414   PostPosted: Mon Aug 19, 2013 3:43 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Would be nice to know Ramesh raja Sir's view on the nifty from a Longer term tf. It surely can be a very trustworthy view .

If someone can private message him , do let him know , that we are waiting eagerly
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tangotaurian
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Joined: 18 Oct 2007
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Post: #415   PostPosted: Mon Aug 19, 2013 4:20 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

@ saurabhkurichh -

Below is RR Sir's view got from his site. I simply copy pasted it here.

@ ST Sir - sorry for copy pasting, but thought it may be useful to everyonce. If you find it inappropriate then please delete my post.

===============================================
Nifty Future:

Nifty headed to 5000 and any bounce in market should be utilised to short and in next few days it can pullback to around 5625. So far IT and Pharma stocks along with Reliance were supporting the market from a big fall has become weak from last Friday.. Market will continue to face severe selling pressure and henceforth, bears presence will be more pronounced.
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apka
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Post: #416   PostPosted: Mon Aug 19, 2013 4:46 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

bye bye rate cuts

Quote:
Axis Bank hikes base rate by 25 bps


After a slew of monetary tightening measures that has led to a spike in short term lending rates, banks of late have started reversing the interest rate cycle from cutting to hiking. India's third largest private sector lender Axis Bank on Monday emerged as the first big bank to hike its base rate by 25 bps to 10.25 percent per annum.
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apka
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Post: #417   PostPosted: Mon Aug 19, 2013 5:24 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

from FNO and weekly charts combined, 5380 is best support on closing basis and next major daily basis support is at 5280.

5280 if comes will give minimum 60-70 points bounce. And Bank nifty fell towards close again and didn't manage to cross it's ATP intraday even though nifty did for just few minutes. So, bank nifty should go further down taking nifty down also. 8780-8820 spot comes as a very good weekly support for bank nifty and we will see a bounce there.

5400ce has added more than 200% OI in a single. So, it's next 2 days are important to see. Whether if we make new lows, but trade above today's low for most time or not.

USDINR is hampering all bullish momentum and VIX had cross 26 today. The next resistence for VIX comes near 28-28.50. Near that if it comes, we will see options profit booking.
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vinay28
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Post: #418   PostPosted: Mon Aug 19, 2013 7:12 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

apka wrote:
Vinay, capitulation level was near 5432 last time in April... if you come to know for this time...


where did you get this? I was trying to find it since yesterday. Smile
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apka
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Post: #419   PostPosted: Mon Aug 19, 2013 7:44 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay28 wrote:
apka wrote:
Vinay, capitulation level was near 5432 last time in April... if you come to know for this time...


where did you get this? I was trying to find it since yesterday. Smile


Straight from the horse's mouth, you. I also have memory like Saumya, for some things 24
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apka
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Post: #420   PostPosted: Mon Aug 19, 2013 8:02 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
India will ban the duty-free import of flat-screen televisions from 26 August, the government said in a statement on Monday, adding to a package of measures designed to prop up the rupee by stemming the flow of foreign currency out of the country.


Government officials estimated that more than 1 million television sets were brought into the country last year — many from Dubai, Thailand and Singapore — under a scheme that allowed airline passengers to bring in screens worth up to 35,000 rupees as part of their baggage allowance.

Under the new rules, passengers will have to pay a 35 percent duty and other charges, the officials said.
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