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Nifty View - August Series
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Author Nifty View - August Series
dynamite_munda11
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Joined: 14 Nov 2010
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Post: #241   PostPosted: Wed Aug 20, 2014 9:08 am    Post subject: nifty Reply with quote

only above 7921/22/23/24/25 i would be looking at 7954/7969/8014/8044/8071/8104/8111/8141/8161/8206


let the mkt take out the lvl of 7921/7925
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vinay28
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Joined: 24 Dec 2010
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Post: #242   PostPosted: Wed Aug 20, 2014 10:51 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Gap at 7874 filled up.
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apka
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Post: #243   PostPosted: Wed Aug 20, 2014 3:42 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

bearish engulfing?
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vinay28
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Post: #244   PostPosted: Wed Aug 20, 2014 6:56 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

apka wrote:
bearish engulfing?


no apka, outside bar may be.

though gap at 7874 was filled, it closed above that and it could give some hope to bulls. However, I am not very bullish till Tuesday though I hope I am wrong.
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vinay28
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Post: #245   PostPosted: Wed Aug 20, 2014 7:58 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Nifty for Thursday (21/08/14)

Supports are at about 7855, 7828, 7767 and 7726 while resistances are at about 7908, 7925 and 7950. Four +WWs can give about 7897 (once above 7860), 7918/40 (once above 7877) and 8033 (+WWs with higher targets are not mentioned as of now). Two -WWs can give about 7768 (once below 7892) and 7682 (once below 7831) (-WWs with much lower targets are not mentioned as of now). A bullish flag can give higher level unless killed below 7805. An IHnS can give about 8030-8200 in case nifty sustains above about 7880.

Nifty reacted after making a new all time high but closed below 7900. Bulls will take hope from the fact that though gap at 7874 was filled, nifty closed above it. The -ve div on daily and weekly still persists and RSI has not gone above 67.25. However, monthly chart is still good. A close below 7822 will bring bears and a close below 7746 will be bad. Liquidity is strong and one needs to be careful. We can also see wild intraday swings as nifty is still close to all time highs.
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vinay28
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Post: #246   PostPosted: Thu Aug 21, 2014 12:10 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Long holder should be careful by eod or early tmrw. I feel market will be nervous tmrw due Jackson hole and weekend. I also feel we may see a sharp spike down on Monday before recovery.
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manojkr78
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Post: #247   PostPosted: Thu Aug 21, 2014 12:39 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Vinay,

what levels are you expecting on the downside for monday??
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vinay28
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Post: #248   PostPosted: Thu Aug 21, 2014 2:22 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

manojkr78 wrote:
Vinay,

what levels are you expecting on the downside for monday??


absolutely no idea but a close below 7822 by tmrw can be bad and a close above 7925 good.
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apka
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Post: #249   PostPosted: Thu Aug 21, 2014 2:55 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

vinay28 wrote:
Long holder should be careful by eod or early tmrw. I feel market will be nervous tmrw due Jackson hole and weekend. I also feel we may see a sharp spike down on Monday before recovery.


I've heard of this before jackson hole in relation to market, but i forget... a place of meeting in US
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vinay28
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Post: #250   PostPosted: Thu Aug 21, 2014 3:41 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

apka wrote:
vinay28 wrote:
Long holder should be careful by eod or early tmrw. I feel market will be nervous tmrw due Jackson hole and weekend. I also feel we may see a sharp spike down on Monday before recovery.


I've heard of this before jackson hole in relation to market, but i forget... a place of meeting in US


yes apka, more important than fomc.
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vinay28
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Post: #251   PostPosted: Thu Aug 21, 2014 8:31 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Nifty for Friday (22/08/14)

Supports are at about 7846, 7826 and 7776 while resistances are at about 7901, 7925, 7938, 7960 and 8081. Three +WWs can give about 7914 (once above 7849), 7952 and 7970 (+WWs with higher targets are not mentioned as of now). Two -WWs can give about 7769 (once below 7917) and 7668 (once below 7850) (-WWs with much lower targets are not mentioned as of now). A bullish flag can give higher level unless killed below 7805. An IHnS can give about 8030-8200 in case nifty sustains above about 7880.

Nifty rose a bit but closed below 7900 thereby giving hopes to bulls. Daily candle is Doji with a mild +ve div over last 2 days though the -ve div on daily and weekly over longer period still persists and RSI has not gone above 67.25. However, monthly chart is still good. Close above 7831 on Friday is good enough but a close above 7928 will be bullish. A close below 7822 will bring bears back and a close below 7746 will be bad. Market is likely to be nervous ahead of Jackson Hole meeting later at night. Liquidity is strong and one needs to be careful. We can also see wild intraday swings as nifty is still close to all time highs and next week being expiry.
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pkholla
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Joined: 04 Nov 2010
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Post: #252   PostPosted: Thu Aug 21, 2014 9:02 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

apka wrote:
I've heard of this before jackson hole in relation to market, but i forget... a place of meeting in US

Read Frederick Forsyth's 'The Icon', based in Russia. At around half way, the author describes a meeting at Jackson's Hole which brings together all the elements for an explosive 2nd half
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apka
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Post: #253   PostPosted: Fri Aug 22, 2014 9:29 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Bank Nifty new high
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dynamite_munda11
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Post: #254   PostPosted: Fri Aug 22, 2014 10:53 am    Post subject: Re: nifty Reply with quote

dynamite_munda11 wrote:
only above 7921/22/23/24/25 i would be looking at 7954/7969/8014/8044/8071/8104/8111/8141/8161/8206


let the mkt take out the lvl of 7921/7925





fifth attempt to take out 7925
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vinay28
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Post: #255   PostPosted: Fri Aug 22, 2014 10:59 am    Post subject: Re: nifty Reply with quote

dynamite_munda11 wrote:
dynamite_munda11 wrote:
only above 7921/22/23/24/25 i would be looking at 7954/7969/8014/8044/8071/8104/8111/8141/8161/8206

let the mkt take out the lvl of 7921/7925


fifth attempt to take out 7925

Smile

I feel today it may finally
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