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Nifty View - August Series |
dynamite_munda11 Yellow Belt
Joined: 14 Nov 2010 Posts: 681
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Post: #241 Posted: Wed Aug 20, 2014 9:08 am Post subject: nifty |
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only above 7921/22/23/24/25 i would be looking at 7954/7969/8014/8044/8071/8104/8111/8141/8161/8206
let the mkt take out the lvl of 7921/7925 |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #242 Posted: Wed Aug 20, 2014 10:51 am Post subject: |
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Gap at 7874 filled up. |
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apka Black Belt
Joined: 13 Dec 2011 Posts: 6137
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Post: #243 Posted: Wed Aug 20, 2014 3:42 pm Post subject: |
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bearish engulfing? |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #244 Posted: Wed Aug 20, 2014 6:56 pm Post subject: |
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apka wrote: | bearish engulfing? |
no apka, outside bar may be.
though gap at 7874 was filled, it closed above that and it could give some hope to bulls. However, I am not very bullish till Tuesday though I hope I am wrong. |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #245 Posted: Wed Aug 20, 2014 7:58 pm Post subject: |
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Nifty for Thursday (21/08/14)
Supports are at about 7855, 7828, 7767 and 7726 while resistances are at about 7908, 7925 and 7950. Four +WWs can give about 7897 (once above 7860), 7918/40 (once above 7877) and 8033 (+WWs with higher targets are not mentioned as of now). Two -WWs can give about 7768 (once below 7892) and 7682 (once below 7831) (-WWs with much lower targets are not mentioned as of now). A bullish flag can give higher level unless killed below 7805. An IHnS can give about 8030-8200 in case nifty sustains above about 7880.
Nifty reacted after making a new all time high but closed below 7900. Bulls will take hope from the fact that though gap at 7874 was filled, nifty closed above it. The -ve div on daily and weekly still persists and RSI has not gone above 67.25. However, monthly chart is still good. A close below 7822 will bring bears and a close below 7746 will be bad. Liquidity is strong and one needs to be careful. We can also see wild intraday swings as nifty is still close to all time highs. |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #246 Posted: Thu Aug 21, 2014 12:10 pm Post subject: |
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Long holder should be careful by eod or early tmrw. I feel market will be nervous tmrw due Jackson hole and weekend. I also feel we may see a sharp spike down on Monday before recovery. |
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manojkr78 Green Belt
Joined: 07 Mar 2011 Posts: 1014
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Post: #247 Posted: Thu Aug 21, 2014 12:39 pm Post subject: |
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Vinay,
what levels are you expecting on the downside for monday?? |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #248 Posted: Thu Aug 21, 2014 2:22 pm Post subject: |
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manojkr78 wrote: | Vinay,
what levels are you expecting on the downside for monday?? |
absolutely no idea but a close below 7822 by tmrw can be bad and a close above 7925 good. |
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apka Black Belt
Joined: 13 Dec 2011 Posts: 6137
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Post: #249 Posted: Thu Aug 21, 2014 2:55 pm Post subject: |
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vinay28 wrote: | Long holder should be careful by eod or early tmrw. I feel market will be nervous tmrw due Jackson hole and weekend. I also feel we may see a sharp spike down on Monday before recovery. |
I've heard of this before jackson hole in relation to market, but i forget... a place of meeting in US |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #250 Posted: Thu Aug 21, 2014 3:41 pm Post subject: |
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apka wrote: | vinay28 wrote: | Long holder should be careful by eod or early tmrw. I feel market will be nervous tmrw due Jackson hole and weekend. I also feel we may see a sharp spike down on Monday before recovery. |
I've heard of this before jackson hole in relation to market, but i forget... a place of meeting in US |
yes apka, more important than fomc. |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #251 Posted: Thu Aug 21, 2014 8:31 pm Post subject: |
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Nifty for Friday (22/08/14)
Supports are at about 7846, 7826 and 7776 while resistances are at about 7901, 7925, 7938, 7960 and 8081. Three +WWs can give about 7914 (once above 7849), 7952 and 7970 (+WWs with higher targets are not mentioned as of now). Two -WWs can give about 7769 (once below 7917) and 7668 (once below 7850) (-WWs with much lower targets are not mentioned as of now). A bullish flag can give higher level unless killed below 7805. An IHnS can give about 8030-8200 in case nifty sustains above about 7880.
Nifty rose a bit but closed below 7900 thereby giving hopes to bulls. Daily candle is Doji with a mild +ve div over last 2 days though the -ve div on daily and weekly over longer period still persists and RSI has not gone above 67.25. However, monthly chart is still good. Close above 7831 on Friday is good enough but a close above 7928 will be bullish. A close below 7822 will bring bears back and a close below 7746 will be bad. Market is likely to be nervous ahead of Jackson Hole meeting later at night. Liquidity is strong and one needs to be careful. We can also see wild intraday swings as nifty is still close to all time highs and next week being expiry. |
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pkholla Black Belt
Joined: 04 Nov 2010 Posts: 2890
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Post: #252 Posted: Thu Aug 21, 2014 9:02 pm Post subject: |
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apka wrote: | I've heard of this before jackson hole in relation to market, but i forget... a place of meeting in US |
Read Frederick Forsyth's 'The Icon', based in Russia. At around half way, the author describes a meeting at Jackson's Hole which brings together all the elements for an explosive 2nd half |
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apka Black Belt
Joined: 13 Dec 2011 Posts: 6137
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Post: #253 Posted: Fri Aug 22, 2014 9:29 am Post subject: |
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Bank Nifty new high |
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dynamite_munda11 Yellow Belt
Joined: 14 Nov 2010 Posts: 681
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Post: #254 Posted: Fri Aug 22, 2014 10:53 am Post subject: Re: nifty |
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dynamite_munda11 wrote: | only above 7921/22/23/24/25 i would be looking at 7954/7969/8014/8044/8071/8104/8111/8141/8161/8206
let the mkt take out the lvl of 7921/7925 |
fifth attempt to take out 7925 |
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vinay28 Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010 Posts: 11748
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Post: #255 Posted: Fri Aug 22, 2014 10:59 am Post subject: Re: nifty |
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dynamite_munda11 wrote: | dynamite_munda11 wrote: | only above 7921/22/23/24/25 i would be looking at 7954/7969/8014/8044/8071/8104/8111/8141/8161/8206
let the mkt take out the lvl of 7921/7925 |
fifth attempt to take out 7925 |
I feel today it may finally |
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