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Nifty View - August Series |
vinay28
Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748
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Post: #301  Posted: Tue Aug 26, 2014 9:40 am Post subject: |
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| bought more 8000ce at 4.35, 10102ce of ril at 1.70 and 15900ce of BN at 20.75. |
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apka
Black Belt
Joined: 13 Dec 2011
Posts: 6137
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| Post: #302 Posted: Tue Aug 26, 2014 10:14 am Post subject: |
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| vinay28 wrote: | | apka wrote: | and now 104+ lakhs
big buyers you guys are 
Today's ATP is 19 or so and high price 29. Till expiry these will be the resistances. Above which short covering. |
apka, today ratio of 8000ce to NF was about 0.30. If nifty goes up again, this ratio will start going up till NF is well above 8030 when it will become ITM. In that case, 29 will be swept aside viciously. |
that scenario would be for 2nd half on expiry day when option premium erodes. yesterday at 7968 spot high, NF high 7979 .... 8000ce went to 29. So today say if new high comes by more 10-15 points also, we may still not see 29 being crossed on account of premium loss.
after having a strong bull run and many pull backs, writers of 8000ce are standing confident so my inclination is we will see selling pressure till expiry as many times it tries to goes up. |
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vinay28
Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748
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| Post: #303 Posted: Tue Aug 26, 2014 10:17 am Post subject: |
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| we will know the fate of nifty by eod, apka |
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apka
Black Belt
Joined: 13 Dec 2011
Posts: 6137
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| Post: #304 Posted: Tue Aug 26, 2014 10:21 am Post subject: |
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hmm... VIX also looks almost ready to breakout and go towards 19.
I've taken the other boat. Entered some 7800pe. |
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vinay28
Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748
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| Post: #305 Posted: Tue Aug 26, 2014 10:25 am Post subject: |
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| apka wrote: | hmm... VIX also looks almost ready to breakout and go towards 19.
I've taken the other boat. Entered some 7800pe. |
apka, SL trigger for longs for today are 7893/85NF and targets are 7953/64/80NF |
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apka
Black Belt
Joined: 13 Dec 2011
Posts: 6137
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| Post: #306 Posted: Tue Aug 26, 2014 10:30 am Post subject: |
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| ok noted. |
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riteshucha
Green Belt
Joined: 19 May 2012
Posts: 1292
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| Post: #307 Posted: Tue Aug 26, 2014 12:17 pm Post subject: |
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interestingly, Sept low showing is 7906.65...
| vinay28 wrote: | | riteshucha wrote: | NF yest low 7906.30 / NF today's low 7906.30
NS todays close 7906.30.. a strange coincidence... |
God is great. It shows that NF didn't break yesterday's low though NS did, which means we may just see a bit lower level tmrw also. |
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vinay28
Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748
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| Post: #308 Posted: Tue Aug 26, 2014 12:18 pm Post subject: |
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| IT and ITC are supporting as of now. Now hoping that banknifty also supports. Let's wait till 12.45. |
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vinay28
Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748
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| Post: #309 Posted: Tue Aug 26, 2014 12:51 pm Post subject: |
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| apka wrote: | hmm... VIX also looks almost ready to breakout and go towards 19.
I've taken the other boat. Entered some 7800pe. |
vix should sustain below 13.59. |
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vinay28
Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748
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| Post: #310 Posted: Tue Aug 26, 2014 1:24 pm Post subject: |
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| vinay28 wrote: | | apka wrote: | hmm... VIX also looks almost ready to breakout and go towards 19.
I've taken the other boat. Entered some 7800pe. |
apka, SL trigger for longs for today are 7893/85NF and targets are 7953/64/80NF |
intraday SL hit but a really speaking intraday short is below 7876NF while SL for positional longs is daily close below 7840NS. |
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vinay28
Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748
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| Post: #311 Posted: Tue Aug 26, 2014 1:52 pm Post subject: |
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| keep a watch on infy and banknifty. banknifty was buy around 15500 as per positional basis. |
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amitagg
Black Belt
Joined: 01 Oct 2013
Posts: 4559
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| Post: #312 Posted: Tue Aug 26, 2014 1:55 pm Post subject: |
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| vinay28 wrote: | | keep a watch on infy and banknifty. banknifty was buy around 15500 as per positional basis. |
SBI is in gap fill area daily and shall reverse fast in case of upmove short term......2460-2480 |
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vinay28
Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748
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| Post: #313 Posted: Tue Aug 26, 2014 2:02 pm Post subject: |
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| vinay28 wrote: | | keep a watch on infy and banknifty. banknifty was buy around 15500 as per positional basis. |
ril is playing some game I feel. |
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vinay28
Black Belt
Joined: 24 Dec 2010
Posts: 11748
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| Post: #314 Posted: Tue Aug 26, 2014 2:52 pm Post subject: |
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| if one is short, SL should be about 7905NS. |
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amitagg
Black Belt
Joined: 01 Oct 2013
Posts: 4559
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| Post: #315 Posted: Tue Aug 26, 2014 2:54 pm Post subject: |
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| vinay28 wrote: | | if one is short, SL should be about 7905NS. |
...as per pivot system.....above 7893+5 poins it shall trigger 30 point buying as just posted ...lets see...
effectively 'long' as per both points u mentioned and the pivot (7893 NS) |
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