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Nifty View - By Welgro |
welgro
Brown Belt
Joined: 24 Sep 2012
Posts: 1784
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Post: #31  Posted: Wed Jul 24, 2013 2:15 pm Post subject: WEEKLY CHART ANALYSIS |
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WEEKLY CHART ANALYSIS
BANKNIFTY LONG TERM VIEW :-
Already we mentioned banknifty down side target 9150,
Now some important support seen at 10400 level
banknifty if trade and hold below this level then ????
yessss... Banknifty Downside target 3399 |
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welgro
Brown Belt
Joined: 24 Sep 2012
Posts: 1784
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| Post: #32 Posted: Wed Jul 24, 2013 2:17 pm Post subject: Re: BANKNIFTY FUTURE UPDATE 23.07.13 |
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| bharatpatel wrote: |
pls visit another thread named " nifty view - july 2013 " where i have posted bank nifty levels as per my system. nifty also took support at 5970. |
ya..i watched.... Good work.. keep rock... all the best... |
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bharatpatel
White Belt
Joined: 26 Oct 2011
Posts: 401
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| Post: #33 Posted: Wed Jul 24, 2013 2:40 pm Post subject: Re: NIFTY FUTURE ANALYSIS 23/JUL/2013 |
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| welgro wrote: | Last chance for bulls ???? yes
Nifty future now takes good support at positive breakout neckline
once if hold above the trend line means bull run will be continue...
One who hold longs keep stoploss at our trading support level |
Nice analysis pls keep updating
Regards. |
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welgro
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Joined: 24 Sep 2012
Posts: 1784
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| Post: #34 Posted: Wed Jul 24, 2013 9:08 pm Post subject: BANKNIFTY FUTURE UPDATE 25.07.13 |
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| BANKNIFTY FUTURE UPDATE 25.07.13 |
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welgro
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Posts: 1784
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| Post: #35 Posted: Wed Jul 24, 2013 10:36 pm Post subject: Nirvana Analysis 24.07.2013 :- |
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Nirvana Analysis 24.07.2013 :-
Updates after market hours :
glossary
Nifty gaped down below PDL. IR formed. Shorted on the BPB of IR low.Broke BRN even though it gave support for a while. Rest of the day Nifty traded in a 20 point range.Skipped TST of LOD and BOF of BRN as I could not find a favourable entry point..
Thanks to : Nirvana |
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welgro
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Joined: 24 Sep 2012
Posts: 1784
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| Post: #36 Posted: Thu Jul 25, 2013 6:48 am Post subject: NIFTY FUTURE ANALYSIS 25/JUL/2013 |
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| Nifty futures Bearish wolf wave pattern target : 5600 ???? |
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welgro
Brown Belt
Joined: 24 Sep 2012
Posts: 1784
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| Post: #37 Posted: Thu Jul 25, 2013 9:27 pm Post subject: NIFTY FUTURE ANALYSIS 26/JUL/2013 |
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Thanks to : M.pulse |
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saumitra
White Belt
Joined: 04 Feb 2010
Posts: 6
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| Post: #38 Posted: Fri Jul 26, 2013 2:27 am Post subject: |
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| Highest rollovers in 21 months. What do you think about that? |
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welgro
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Joined: 24 Sep 2012
Posts: 1784
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| Post: #39 Posted: Fri Jul 26, 2013 8:00 am Post subject: BANKNIFTY FUTURE UPDATE 26.07.13 |
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banknifty future if trade and hold above the break-out trend line
then some short covering (lower level profit booking rally) expects
if close above the 10970 levels means,try to test 11400 level
if not break the resistance trend line ??? then ???
yessssssss fresh breakout target : 10050 - 9980 |
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welgro
Brown Belt
Joined: 24 Sep 2012
Posts: 1784
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| Post: #40 Posted: Fri Jul 26, 2013 11:11 am Post subject: |
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VIJAYABANK TOWARDS BELOW 15.00 |
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apka
Black Belt
Joined: 13 Dec 2011
Posts: 6137
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| Post: #41 Posted: Fri Jul 26, 2013 11:19 am Post subject: |
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| welgro wrote: |
VIJAYABANK TOWARDS BELOW 15.00 |
.....
it's in 40s
why such a low trgt? |
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welgro
Brown Belt
Joined: 24 Sep 2012
Posts: 1784
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| Post: #42 Posted: Fri Jul 26, 2013 12:06 pm Post subject: |
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| saumitra wrote: | | Highest rollovers in 21 months. What do you think about that? |
PORTFOLIO HEDGING WITH STOCK BETA
How to reduce risk in your portfolio, to protect favorite stocks, that you are not ready to exit and want to hold for long term.
Hedging with beta
Beta of stock is the measure of volatility of that stock in relation to the market/index. Beta more than 1 means, that stocks movement will be more than the index(up/down).
Imagine your portfolio worth 10 lakhs and you want to be immune from the correction thats going to happen.
Example for beta hedging
Portfolio value = 1000000 ( 10 lakhs)
Beta value of Portfolio = 1.2
Imagine Nifty currently trading at 6000.
As beta value is 1.2, for every 1 % change in nifty there will be 1.2% change in value of your portfolio.
Hedging method with Nifty future
Worth of index, needed to sell = (1000000 X 1.2) = 1200000 ( 12 lakhs)
That means to hedge a 10 lakhs worthing portfolio, with 1.2 beta , you need to sell nifty index that worths 12 lakhs.
Means (1200000/6000) = 200 nifty,
Lot size of nifty = 50 , so 200/50 = 4, you need to sell 4 lots of nifty future.
This is not the most accurate method to neutralize your portfolio, because there will be changes in beta, well this is a useful method to reduce losses and sit safe in short term prospective . |
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bharatpatel
White Belt
Joined: 26 Oct 2011
Posts: 401
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| Post: #43 Posted: Fri Jul 26, 2013 12:21 pm Post subject: hi |
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Dear Welgro,
I think you will not spare any aspect of T A.
We are keep educating through your posts. |
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welgro
Brown Belt
Joined: 24 Sep 2012
Posts: 1784
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| Post: #44 Posted: Fri Jul 26, 2013 12:37 pm Post subject: Re: Banknifty target 3399 ??? Are you ready ??? |
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| welgro wrote: | Banknifty target 3399 ??? Are you ready ???
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apka
Black Belt
Joined: 13 Dec 2011
Posts: 6137
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| Post: #45 Posted: Fri Jul 26, 2013 12:55 pm Post subject: Re: Banknifty target 3399 ??? Are you ready ??? |
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| welgro wrote: | | welgro wrote: | Banknifty target 3399 ??? Are you ready ???
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you are kidding, right? a gap of 7000 points, nothing in between will support it you mean? |
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